NG Market Flow
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NG Market Flow
l trade natural gas NG on Binance. 📈 Sharing my thoughts, analytics, and trade logic. Join the market flow!!!
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Short $NATGAS1.2K USDT
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$NATGAS GFS ENS 7-Day Observed & 14-Day Forecast GWDDs:
Обновлённые данные взвешенных градусо-дней ансамбля GFS ENS на ближайшие 14 дней.
Обновлённые данные взвешенных градусо-дней ансамбля GFS ENS на ближайшие 14 дней.
$NATGAS 👋
Technical overview:
The price of our benchmark continues to consolidate in the 2.75$–2.80$ range. The key support pivot has shifted from 2.754$ to 2.767$. Its position does not provide confident guidance, leaving developments dependent on reactions—either strengthening above or below the balance level. In the first case, if buyers manage to hold above it, their target levels will be resistance at 2.824$ and 2.867$. If sellers retain the initiative, their expectations will focus on 2.724$ and 2.667$.
Technical overview:
The price of our benchmark continues to consolidate in the 2.75$–2.80$ range. The key support pivot has shifted from 2.754$ to 2.767$. Its position does not provide confident guidance, leaving developments dependent on reactions—either strengthening above or below the balance level. In the first case, if buyers manage to hold above it, their target levels will be resistance at 2.824$ and 2.867$. If sellers retain the initiative, their expectations will focus on 2.724$ and 2.667$.
$NATGAS TG NG Re : port
Production: 112.40 bcf/d (+2.60% y/y)
Demand: 78.70 bcf/d (+14.70% y/y)
Flows to export terminals: 18.00 bcf/d (-0.80% m/m)
Production: 112.40 bcf/d (+2.60% y/y)
Demand: 78.70 bcf/d (+14.70% y/y)
Flows to export terminals: 18.00 bcf/d (-0.80% m/m)
$NATGAS Prices will be squeezed in the side corridor $2.60 – $2.95 / MMBtu. The market is balanced by two opposing forces. Heat (Growth driver): Widespread air-conditioner adoption will sharply increase electricity demand, preventing the price from falling and pushing it toward the upper end of the corridor. Surplus (Growth brake): Record U.S. production and filled storage (at ~6% above normal) will prevent the price from breaking through the psychological ceiling of $3.00. Key risk: Hurricanes in the Gulf of Mexico. They could either drive the price down (if they halt LNG export plants) or sharply raise it (if they damage producing platforms).
Verified
$NATGAS
Injections into storage facilities continue to exceed seasonal norms as production recovers: NGI forecasts that the latest weekly U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) report on natural gas inventories for the week ending July 31 will show an injection of 30 Bcf, which is 2 Bcf higher.
Injections into storage facilities continue to exceed seasonal norms as production recovers: NGI forecasts that the latest weekly U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) report on natural gas inventories for the week ending July 31 will show an injection of 30 Bcf, which is 2 Bcf higher.
$NATGAS TG NG Re:port
Technical snapshot:
As mentioned in the weekly outlook section, the opening turned out to be moderately neutral. The price continues to consolidate near the key support level at $2.754. Traditionally, if buyers manage to hold above it, that would mean they are taking control. If their expectations are realized, their focus will be on $2.795 and $2.844. If sellers keep the price below, their targets will be $2.705 and $2.664.
Technical snapshot:
As mentioned in the weekly outlook section, the opening turned out to be moderately neutral. The price continues to consolidate near the key support level at $2.754. Traditionally, if buyers manage to hold above it, that would mean they are taking control. If their expectations are realized, their focus will be on $2.795 and $2.844. If sellers keep the price below, their targets will be $2.705 and $2.664.
$NATGAS $XLE $CL
GFS ENS 7-Day Observed & 14-Day Forecast GWDDs:
Updated data for the weighted degree-days ensemble of GFS ENS for the next 14 days. Can be compared with the previous model
GFS ENS 7-Day Observed & 14-Day Forecast GWDDs:
Updated data for the weighted degree-days ensemble of GFS ENS for the next 14 days. Can be compared with the previous model
$NATGAS Important news:
• According to a report from the Energy Information Administration, the volume of gas in U.S. underground storage was 3 084 bcf. This represents a net increase of +28 bcf compared to the previous week. Storage levels are -32 bcf lower than last year and +185 bcf higher than the five-year average of 2 899 bcf. Total working gas is within the five-year historical range.
• According to a report from the Energy Information Administration, the volume of gas in U.S. underground storage was 3 084 bcf. This represents a net increase of +28 bcf compared to the previous week. Storage levels are -32 bcf lower than last year and +185 bcf higher than the five-year average of 2 899 bcf. Total working gas is within the five-year historical range.
$NATGAS
According to preliminary data from BloombergNEF, the early production cycle is estimated today at 112.75 bcf/d.
• Current demand for natural gas will fall this weekend, then rise sharply next week amid widespread mid-summer heat.
• Asset managers are increasing their positions in European gas futures and options for the fourth week in a row, as concerns grow about low storage levels ahead of next winter. Over the seven days ending July 24, traders bought the equivalent of an additional 18.00 TWh on the benchmark Dutch contract TTF. The total volume of purchases over the past four weeks reached 111.00 TWh, increasing the net position from 154.00 TWh to 265.00 TWh.
• Golden Pass LNG yesterday again came close to zero flows to the terminal.
According to preliminary data from BloombergNEF, the early production cycle is estimated today at 112.75 bcf/d.
• Current demand for natural gas will fall this weekend, then rise sharply next week amid widespread mid-summer heat.
• Asset managers are increasing their positions in European gas futures and options for the fourth week in a row, as concerns grow about low storage levels ahead of next winter. Over the seven days ending July 24, traders bought the equivalent of an additional 18.00 TWh on the benchmark Dutch contract TTF. The total volume of purchases over the past four weeks reached 111.00 TWh, increasing the net position from 154.00 TWh to 265.00 TWh.
• Golden Pass LNG yesterday again came close to zero flows to the terminal.
$NATGAS $CL $XLE
Henry Hub on the NYMEX exchange as of July 30, 2026.
Current metrics on the chart
Last price: 2,733 USD per MMBtu (+0.40% vs. the open).
Local trend: A short-term decline from the June highs (~3,400) toward a strong support zone.
Key levels: The price is now very close to the “ASIA” (2,745) and “EUROPE” (2,717) levels, which are currently acting as psychological and technical support.
Technical picture
Support: From below, the chart is being held up by a strong horizontal buyers’ area in the 2,500–2,550 range, from where a powerful upward impulse began in May.
Resistance: The nearest moving averages (the lines on the chart) are significantly higher—at 3,072 and 3,201—indicating that sellers dominate the medium-term segment.
Volume: At the bottom, the volume histograms remain stable without abnormal spikes, confirming a steady decline in price within a downward channel.
Henry Hub on the NYMEX exchange as of July 30, 2026.
Current metrics on the chart
Last price: 2,733 USD per MMBtu (+0.40% vs. the open).
Local trend: A short-term decline from the June highs (~3,400) toward a strong support zone.
Key levels: The price is now very close to the “ASIA” (2,745) and “EUROPE” (2,717) levels, which are currently acting as psychological and technical support.
Technical picture
Support: From below, the chart is being held up by a strong horizontal buyers’ area in the 2,500–2,550 range, from where a powerful upward impulse began in May.
Resistance: The nearest moving averages (the lines on the chart) are significantly higher—at 3,072 and 3,201—indicating that sellers dominate the medium-term segment.
Volume: At the bottom, the volume histograms remain stable without abnormal spikes, confirming a steady decline in price within a downward channel.
$TMF $TBT $BITO
The trading bot works but sometimes it gets sluggish and closes trades at a loss. Who has been using the trading bot for a long time and understands how it works?
The trading bot works but sometimes it gets sluggish and closes trades at a loss. Who has been using the trading bot for a long time and understands how it works?
$NATGAS Hello everyone 👋
🚨⏱️ Focus: EIA Report (17:30 MSK)
Consensus forecast: Expected injection of +37 bcf.
Preliminary estimate: The model indicates a possible value of +34 bcf.
Major players’ expectations: A range from +33 bcf to +40 bcf.
Reference points for comparison:
Last week: +32 bcf
Last year: +44 bcf
5-year average: +26 bcf
🚨⏱️ Focus: EIA Report (17:30 MSK)
Consensus forecast: Expected injection of +37 bcf.
Preliminary estimate: The model indicates a possible value of +34 bcf.
Major players’ expectations: A range from +33 bcf to +40 bcf.
Reference points for comparison:
Last week: +32 bcf
Last year: +44 bcf
5-year average: +26 bcf
$NATGAS Information and analytical summary for readers of our publication:
• According to preliminary data from BloombergNEF, the early production cycle is estimated at 112.20 bcf/d today.
• Current demand for natural gas will slightly decline due to cooling in the southeast.
• The economic calendar published a consolidated forecast of +37 bcf.
• According to preliminary data from BloombergNEF, the early production cycle is estimated at 112.20 bcf/d today.
• Current demand for natural gas will slightly decline due to cooling in the southeast.
• The economic calendar published a consolidated forecast of +37 bcf.
$NATGAS
For a complete assessment of the market during the transition period (August–September), over the past 6 years, the maximum and minimum spot price values for Henry Hub during each of these months are provided below, along with the exact volume of surplus or deficit in U.S. natural gas storage in PХG (compared with the 5-year average EIA value at the end of the reporting period.
Size of the current surplus: The volume of gas in U.S. underground gas storage (PХG) is 6.4% above the five-year average level for this time of year.
For a complete assessment of the market during the transition period (August–September), over the past 6 years, the maximum and minimum spot price values for Henry Hub during each of these months are provided below, along with the exact volume of surplus or deficit in U.S. natural gas storage in PХG (compared with the 5-year average EIA value at the end of the reporting period.
Size of the current surplus: The volume of gas in U.S. underground gas storage (PХG) is 6.4% above the five-year average level for this time of year.
$NATGAS An abnormal heatwave in the US is hitting gas reserves: should we expect prices to rise?
NOAA forecasts for the first half of August 2026 (maps 6–10 and 8–14 days) are unanimous: the US will be covered by a powerful heat dome. Practically the entire country is shaded in the “red” zone—temperatures above normal.
What this means for the gas market:
Air conditioners at maximum: Extreme heat in the West, South, and the East Coast will drive Americans to cool their homes en masse. Gas consumption at power plants (Power Burn) will surge to peak summer levels.
Impact on the surplus in underground storage: For now, US underground gas storage levels are comfortable and exceed the five-year average by about 6.4%. However, prolonged August heat will force producers to burn through their supply “on the spot,” sharply slowing weekly injections into storage and quickly drawing down this surplus.
Boost for Henry Hub: While the current gas surplus has kept exchange prices from spiking sharply, the scale of the impending heat wave acts as a strong “bullish” factor. Futures prices are receiving strong support and could test new local highs once Energy Department (EIA) reports confirm a drop in injection rates.
NOAA forecasts for the first half of August 2026 (maps 6–10 and 8–14 days) are unanimous: the US will be covered by a powerful heat dome. Practically the entire country is shaded in the “red” zone—temperatures above normal.
What this means for the gas market:
Air conditioners at maximum: Extreme heat in the West, South, and the East Coast will drive Americans to cool their homes en masse. Gas consumption at power plants (Power Burn) will surge to peak summer levels.
Impact on the surplus in underground storage: For now, US underground gas storage levels are comfortable and exceed the five-year average by about 6.4%. However, prolonged August heat will force producers to burn through their supply “on the spot,” sharply slowing weekly injections into storage and quickly drawing down this surplus.
Boost for Henry Hub: While the current gas surplus has kept exchange prices from spiking sharply, the scale of the impending heat wave acts as a strong “bullish” factor. Futures prices are receiving strong support and could test new local highs once Energy Department (EIA) reports confirm a drop in injection rates.
$TSLA 🚨🚨🚨 Hello everyone 👋
1. The company’s financial situation (A fundamental dead end)
Tesla’s financial report for Q2 2026 stripped the stock of short-term growth drivers:
A margin crisis: Car price cuts pushed margins down to 16.3%. The company makes less from every sold vehicle.
A cash gap: Huge spending on AI and robotics ($5.8B) led to negative free cash flow (-$1.1B). Tesla is spending more than it earns.
Investments without quick returns: Cybercab and Optimus projects require years to reach commercialization. For now, they are just expenses.
A market trap: An extreme long
Futures market data for TSLAUSDT shows a dangerous anomaly:
Crowd in longs: The long/short ratio jumped to 7.45–9.51. Nearly the entire market expects a rebound and is positioning in buys.
The threat of a Long Squeeze: When the vast majority is stuck in longs, it becomes beneficial for large players and exchanges to push the price below. The price drop will trigger a cascade of forced position closures (margin calls) and liquidations of these trades. This will spark a rapid, lightning-fast plunge in the stock quotes.
1. The company’s financial situation (A fundamental dead end)
Tesla’s financial report for Q2 2026 stripped the stock of short-term growth drivers:
A margin crisis: Car price cuts pushed margins down to 16.3%. The company makes less from every sold vehicle.
A cash gap: Huge spending on AI and robotics ($5.8B) led to negative free cash flow (-$1.1B). Tesla is spending more than it earns.
Investments without quick returns: Cybercab and Optimus projects require years to reach commercialization. For now, they are just expenses.
A market trap: An extreme long
Futures market data for TSLAUSDT shows a dangerous anomaly:
Crowd in longs: The long/short ratio jumped to 7.45–9.51. Nearly the entire market expects a rebound and is positioning in buys.
The threat of a Long Squeeze: When the vast majority is stuck in longs, it becomes beneficial for large players and exchanges to push the price below. The price drop will trigger a cascade of forced position closures (margin calls) and liquidations of these trades. This will spark a rapid, lightning-fast plunge in the stock quotes.
$ETH Hi everyone 👋
. Local bull channel (Daily chart)
Price is squeezed within an upward channel from the June low.
Ceiling (Where it can rise): $1,932 – $1,950 (the upper boundary of the channel and a resistance zone).
Floor (Where it can fall): $1,850 – $1,800 (the lower support line of the channel).
2. Global downtrend (Weekly chart)
Targets if the price breaks out of the local channel upward or downward.
Upside targets (If $1,950 breaks upward):
Target 1: $2,177 (long-term EMA average line).
Target 2: $2,467 – $2,588 (a zone where the global downtrend is broken).
Target 3: $3,000
Downside targets (If $1,800 breaks downward):
Target 1: $1,650 – $1,550 (test of the June double bottom).
Target 2: $1,350 – $1,450 (the main blue support zone).
Target 3: $1,100 (the minimum point of the global bottom).
. Local bull channel (Daily chart)
Price is squeezed within an upward channel from the June low.
Ceiling (Where it can rise): $1,932 – $1,950 (the upper boundary of the channel and a resistance zone).
Floor (Where it can fall): $1,850 – $1,800 (the lower support line of the channel).
2. Global downtrend (Weekly chart)
Targets if the price breaks out of the local channel upward or downward.
Upside targets (If $1,950 breaks upward):
Target 1: $2,177 (long-term EMA average line).
Target 2: $2,467 – $2,588 (a zone where the global downtrend is broken).
Target 3: $3,000
Downside targets (If $1,800 breaks downward):
Target 1: $1,650 – $1,550 (test of the June double bottom).
Target 2: $1,350 – $1,450 (the main blue support zone).
Target 3: $1,100 (the minimum point of the global bottom).
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