J哥的币圈生活

There was a moment when I thought I was the polymarket killer.

I've been seriously trading on Polymarket lately, mainly for the airdrop. Right now, I'm focusing on boosting my trading volume. The best strategy is to jump into some quick in-and-out projects, specifically looking at Bitcoin's 5-minute price movements. But honestly, predicting those projects can lead to some heavy losses, so I've opted for a second approach: predicting the number of tweets Elon will send out in the next two days. One, I can make a prediction every couple of days, and two, it's tough to encounter a black swan event. I could also choose to predict the weather, but that comes with variables like wind and rain.

Anyway, each approach has its pros and cons; it really boils down to personal choice.

Recently, a friend showed me an AI contract quant strategy he developed six months ago, specifically for trading Ethereum. At that time, he backtested it and claimed it was stable with a monthly return of 15% to 20%, and the drawdown was particularly low.

I was skeptical at first because with compounding, a 500% annual return is not out of the question. After gradually putting some funds in, the profits were indeed impressive. I'll test it for a while longer and then share my findings.

Liquidity mining check-in day 27, today’s annualized return is 26%, total earnings 250u

The three-day bull run ended so quickly, what a ride.
Ethereum is looking weak as hell, but thankfully most traders are thinking short, so it probably won't drop too much.

ETH is pure trash, man!

Bitcoin has shot up to 81,000, and the funding rate is still negative—how many people are shorting this? 😂😂

While I think this is just a pullback and it can't just shoot straight to 100k+, that doesn't stop it from climbing further.

Right now, my Dogecoin is still underwater; once the funding rate for Bitcoin turns positive, I can consider cashing out.

ACH and FLOW are in the green, just hold tight and you'll see those gains.

Stay chill and patient, that's how you rack up profits.

These days, even holding USDT can lead to losses.

Looking to short,
I usually only short when the price has pumped over 20%,

The next step is to analyze the tokenomics, checking if the chips are concentrated, and it's best to dig into the data on the doge chain.

Of course, the most important thing is to keep the leverage really low, around 0.2x, and to place orders across multiple coins to spread out the risk.