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#BTC Playing Bitcoin is like riding a roller coaster—there are surprises and scares. Anyway, I’m already stuck in a trap, so I might as well keep a calm mind and treat it as a little fun for the Year of the Horse. Who knows, if the Pixiu gets to work and Bitcoin soars to the sky, I might even fulfill my dream of "getting rich overnight"!
#BTC Playing Bitcoin is like riding a roller coaster—there are surprises and scares. Anyway, I’m already stuck in a trap, so I might as well keep a calm mind and treat it as a little fun for the Year of the Horse. Who knows, if the Pixiu gets to work and Bitcoin soars to the sky, I might even fulfill my dream of "getting rich overnight"!
Brothers, the focus tonight is here, simply put the key points👇
🔥 1️⃣ Market Background
This morning, the US non-farm payroll data exceeded expectations, employment is strong → Market interest rate cut expectations are postponed. Simply understood: 👉 The Federal Reserve is not in a hurry to cut interest rates in the short term 👉 The US dollar is relatively strong 👉 Risk assets (including the crypto market) are under pressure
So the core of the market tonight is: digesting the impact of non-farm data + waiting for CPI data.
⸻
⏰ 2️⃣ Key Times Tonight (Beijing Time) • 21:00–22:30 Phase of fluctuation and brewing • 22:30 US stock market opens (key observation) • 1:00–3:00 Easy to find direction
If the Nasdaq is strong → BTC is likely to rise If the Nasdaq is weak → The crypto market may continue to be under pressure
⸻
📊 3️⃣ Market Logic Tonight
Currently, market sentiment is relatively cautious:
✔ Interest rate cut expectations are suppressed ✔ US dollar index is relatively strong ✔ Contract positions are relatively high
👉 Likely to see: • Pin bar washout • Chain liquidation • False breakout market
⸻
🚨 4️⃣ When will the real big volatility occur?
🔥 Tomorrow night at 21:30 (Beijing Time) US CPI data release
CPI below expectations → Positive for the crypto market CPI above expectations → May continue to pull back
⸻
🎯 In summary
Tonight = Fluctuation + Testing direction Tomorrow night = May determine the short-term trend
For those trading contracts, pay attention to position control, don’t get caught by pin bars. Spot traders wait patiently for direction confirmation.
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