观澜Bit

As expected, Trump’s market sentiment resurfaces, triggering concerns over a trade war once again, leading to a market downturn. Its impact on the market remains immediate $ETH

$BTC

#加密市场回调

Today’s nonfarm payroll data is still pretty good for risk assets. Although a rate cut is still far away before the U.S.-Iran situation is fully over, it has greatly eased pressure from further rate hikes! From a technical pattern perspective, it’s still very possible that Bitcoin here could form a daily-level head-and-shoulders bottom at $BTC #非农就业数据

Saylor bro just announced a moment ago that he is a crypto trading company 😂 Today I'll be cautious and wait for the market to slowly digest this negative news $BTC

#saylor

Keep an eye on whether we can hold above 62k these next couple of days; if we stabilize, the bulls are likely to start a comeback $BTC #美联储点阵鹰派收益率曲线趋平

Is Saylor's money printer jammed? Let's break down the true impact of STRC's dip on BTC in plain terms! What exactly happened? (The essence of the bad news) STRC is basically Saylor's super bloodsucker used to borrow cash from traditional funds to buy crypto. Originally, the official face value was $100, attracting conservative institutional funds with a high interest rate of 11.5%. What does this dip mean? Dropping to $89 indicates that traditional funds are starting to waver. As long as the price is below $100, it's going to be tough for Saylor to easily print money to scoop up BTC through this channel. Core conclusion: This isn't a blowup, nor is it a liquidation! It's just that the big guy's "infinite recharge card" has hit a temporary block, and the market's strongest bullish signals have almost completely fizzled out. Especially with U.S. stocks closed for three consecutive days, the prices of MSTR and STRC are basically frozen, while the crypto market runs 24/7. This bad news will have to be digested by the crypto market itself. Weekends usually see lower liquidity, making it easy for shorts to exploit the situation and push down the leverage of bullish contracts. From Friday to Saturday, sentiment might get pretty panicky! Don't rush to catch the bottom! $BTC #saylor

Expected Hawkishness!!!
Actually, ahead of tonight's FOMC decision and Waller's speech, most traders already had a mental setup, knowing this was likely to be pretty "hawkish" 🦅. But when this anticipated hawkishness is officially confirmed, even with prior prep, it still hits risk assets like a ton of bricks. While it might not be a super black swan that can crash long-term trends, it will still have short-term bite.
Personally, I think if the Asian session opens poorly, BTC might dip another 2% to 3%, roughly in the range of 62,300 to 63,000, before the bulls start to stack up again $BTC #Waller's first FOMC keeps rates steady.