币圈十二叔

I’ve been watching the $VTHO -day RSI—it's already at 80.3, clearly in the overbought zone. The current price is around 0.0005759, and in the short term it tends toward selling.
For the downside targets, first look at 0.00051831, then 0.00046072, and further down at 0.00040313.
This setup isn’t a hard push with a single strategy: shorting for hot-condition “Dragon” setups to harvest overbought moves; using the leader strategy to go long to catch follow-on rallies; trading the volatility in the US stock market; and treating BTC/ETH/SOL long-term as core holdings. When the market regime switches, funds are automatically rotated. Just follow the signals from the homepage.

$VELVET long/short ratio is 2.15; the large-holder position ratio is also 1.52. Positions are偏多, yet the fee rate is -0.0499%. I’m waiting for a pullback to go long—I won’t chase this rebound. The real contradiction isn’t whether large holders and accounts are on the same side; it’s that shorts are still paying fees, and the price has risen 19.26% over the past 24 hours—squeeze fuel hasn’t burned out completely.

OI 14M versus market cap 27M, leverage participation is already very heavy. As long as price reclaims the 4-hour EMA25 at 0.063372, short covering could further amplify volatility. But the current price of 0.0613 is still below pressure—chasing in now means taking risk for someone else’s position. Daily RSI 14 is only 24.7, indicating the position is very weak and there’s room for a rebound; however, you can’t treat “oversold” as confirmation for a rise.

This move ($VELVET ) is clearly stronger than BTC and the whole market—independent strength—so a squeeze can continue. But during a fade-out, the lack of broad-market support makes pullbacks more direct. I’ll only participate once it reclaims around 0.0635; if it breaks below 0.055, I’ll admit I’m wrong. Up ahead, I first watch the 4-hour EMA60 at 0.0763, then the range high at 0.1. If I don’t get confirmation, I’ll go to cash and watch.

📊 Direction: Go long
💰 Entry reference: Around 0.0635, participate after it reclaims the 4-hour EMA25 (0.063372)
🛑 Stop loss: 0.055; exit if it breaks
🎯 Take profit 1: 0.0763, corresponds to 4-hour EMA60 (0.076297)
🎯 Take profit 2: 0.1, corresponds to the range’s highest price

Negative funding gives a squeeze opportunity; the key levels decide whether longs have the right to keep holding.

Are you staying short and continuing to cover, or are you loosening your grip as longs at high levels? Pick one.

$VELVET #技术分析 #Uncle Twelve
If you like this setup, come to Binance and search for Uncle Twelve in the public domain to follow the trades. Watch both position sizing and stop loss together
Click my profile to follow immediately
https://www.binance.com/zh-CN/copy-trading/lead-details/5051200019981811968

I’m paying relatively close attention to $SNDK today. It’s suitable to observe and trade on Pacifica.
On the 1-hour timeframe, the market greed index is 63—overall it leans toward risk appetite, but it also reminds me not to chase higher extensions.
The current trend strength is pretty good, though the direction on a higher timeframe hasn’t fully synchronized yet.
Monitor multiple markets 7×24—when the market moves, I respond immediately without missing any opportunities—things I can’t do, I let the machine handle. The live trading sync entry is on my homepage.

我不认为 $MSTR 会像大多数比特币圈的人说的那样崩盘。
我的资金会自动从走弱策略流向强势模块，逆风收缩、顺风加码，回撤护栏是动态的。主页有实盘入口。

I checked the past 24 hours of BNB Chain meme coin capital inflows. $MarsCoin, $哈基米, and $CS are temporarily leading, and several other low-cap coins are moving up in sync—market heat has clearly picked up.
Going all-in on a single direction is too dependent on luck. My US stock strategy uses tools like SQQQ with a low position size to absorb volatility; go short when it calls for it. It doesn’t interfere with my crypto strategy at all—there’s a real-account entry link on the homepage.

Chasing the highs feels great for a moment, but when it drops, it turns into a funeral furnace. $RIVER 24 hours, up 34.43%. If I don’t chase, I’ll wait for a pullback and go long. The long positions are already too crowded, yet the price is still surging.

OI is already at 54% of market cap. In the past 24 hours, cumulative funding rate is +0.0300%. The long/short account ratio is 2.5486, and the big-holder positioning ratio is also 1.5483. Both sides are leaning bullish, meaning sentiment is hot—but it also implies that when a drawdown comes, longs may all let go at the same time. The spot market isn’t here yet. The contract has been listed for 329 days, so volatility can’t be judged with the old-coins’ temperament.

In the 4-hour chart, price is above EMA5 at $1.329, EMA25 at $1.221, and EMA60 at $1.248. The short-term structure hasn’t broken, but RSI7 is already at 73.1. Over the last 3 candles, volatility is 10.72%. Chasing long at the current price isn’t a good bet. My plan is to wait for the pullback to around $1.329, confirm the order flow/holding strength, and then enter. If it can’t hold $1.220, it means this rebound logic has failed—then I’ll admit defeat and exit.

First target is the 4-hour high at $1.460. If it breaks through and holds, then look at the daily EMA25 at $1.742. BTC and the whole market are slightly down. $RIVER is showing independent strength—short squeezes could continue—but during the tide turning, there’s no big-market support to cushion the fall.

📊 Direction: Long
💰 Entry reference: Pull back to around $1.329; after confirming the support/hold, participate
🛑 Stop loss: $1.220; if broken, exit
🎯 Take profit 1: $1.460, the 4-hour range high
🎯 Take profit 2: $1.742, daily EMA25 resistance

Sentiment can push the price up, but it can’t help you hold through a drawdown.

When you see the pullback and it holds, do you enter—or when you see crowded longs, do you loosen your grip first? Pick one.

$RIVER #技术分析 #十二叔
I’m also doing this order myself. Want to see how it plays out in real time? Come to Binance, find Twelve Uncle on the copy-trading home page.
Click my profile to follow immediately.
https://www.binance.com/zh-CN/copy-trading/lead-details/5051200019981811968

I look at this lobster and it feels like it’s about to be traded on the spot market, but with such speed I’m also a bit skeptical.
In the Chinese market, the contract buzz for it is almost as big as the bull we’re seeing in the spot.
What I fear most is manually holding the position and chasing in the wrong direction. The scoring system identifies underlying assets with “heat that's overstretched” and automatically triggers shorting them—index shorts are also part of it, and the machines follow discipline without emotions. Check the live trades on my profile.

I'm watching $LSK : after a long consolidation, a vertical breakout came through. The OI is EXTREME; the asset rose 5.48% in 1h, but the price stayed almost sideways, a sign of crowded orders and already at an advanced stage. The 0.1348 region keeps the setup: T1 at 0.1441 and T2 at 0.1503 if volume comes in. Liquidity is thin, so slippage may weigh in.
Holding without a stop-loss is the culprit behind turning a small loss into a bigger one. For each asset, I keep position size ≤2% and use strict stop-losses; risk control is fully automated, and you can see the live trading approach on the homepage.

$LSK 24-hour cumulative funding rate: -2.5938%. The shorts are continuously paying protection fees, but the price still surged to $0.19932. I’m going long on this—just waiting for a pullback. I won’t chase with emotion at RSI highs.

The long/short ratio is 0.7921, and the large-holder positioning ratio is 0.8737—both are leaning bearish, yet the price has jumped nearly 60% in 24 hours. This isn’t a normal rebound. The harder the shorts clamp down, the more likely their eventual covering will drive volatility even harder. Open interest is still around $23 million—close to one-third of a $72 million market cap. Leverage participation isn’t light; if the direction is right, it can move violently—if wrong, it can turn just as fast.

$LSK is stronger than almost flat BTC and a falling overall market—this is independent strength. But the broader market isn’t holding as a safety net. If the chasers let go, the pullback won’t be gentle. The 4-hour EMA5 is at $0.16691. Hold it here to keep the squeeze structure intact; if it breaks below $0.128389, the short-term trend should be acknowledged and you should give up. $0.21 is the current range high above—also the trigger level for whether the shorts continue covering.

📊 Direction: Long
💰 Entry reference: Participate after a pullback to $0.16691 and confirmation of support/acceptance
🛑 Stop loss: Exit after a breakdown below $0.128389
🎯 Take profit 1: $0.21, the current 4-hour and daily range high
🎯 Take profit 2: No reliable higher target yet

Shorts paying fees doesn’t mean they can keep holding the trend forever.
At $0.16691, do you stand on the pullback support and go long, or do you stay with the shorts waiting for the drop? Choose one.

$LSK #技术分析 #Uncle Twelve
Brothers who understand the rhythm—come to my Binance copy-trading lead page and let’s watch the market together to trade.
Click my profile to copy trade immediately
https://www.binance.com/zh-CN/copy-trading/lead-details/5051200019981811968

$LSK This wave is up 36.8%; the volume has kept up too. I think it’s a relatively clean trend expansion.
The 1-hour, daily, and weekly charts—as well as the structure of $BTC —are all resonating. For now, it’s more biased to the upside; it doesn’t look like a bull trap.
However, the RSI is already at 80.9, and the 15-minute chart has pulled too steeply. I won’t chase at the 0.1732 level.
Hold BTC/ETH/SOL long at low positions as the core portfolio; for higher-volatility products, use dragon-slaying hunting to harvest. The combination aims to eat Beta long-term while keeping drawdowns under control. The live-trade entry is on my homepage.

I see Aschenbrenner is back again. This time he’s still buying stocks in bottleneck trading—$SKHY , $BE , and $SNDK are all within his watchlist, along with a few other related tickers.
Chasing and killing, or trading based on rumors and hype, is too easy to get treated as liquidity. I only trade when my quant system signals trigger—not FOMO. I want to sync my live trading with everyone—check my profile.

$LAB is up 65.28%, yet I’m not chasing the current price; the 4-hour RSI7 has reached 71.9. The price is far from the EMA5 by 0.070485—if it moves up faster, the pullback is more likely.

Technically, the 4-hour EMA5>EMA25>EMA60, so the short-term trend is indeed leaning bullish. However, the recent three K candles have already pulled back 3.48%, and the volatility is as high as 18.56%. On the daily timeframe, the last three sessions are still up 51.88%, but the RSI14 is only 48.5—this suggests the larger timeframe hasn’t fully lined up yet, and the odds of chasing longs at the current price are not favorable.

The real trouble is positioning: OI is around $54 million, already higher than the $42 million market cap; the 24-hour cumulative funding rate is +0.1058%, meaning longs are paying. The long/short ratio is 3.344, and the big-holder positioning ratio is 1.9253. The direction is aligned but crowded—when a pullback comes, the longs may be the first to loosen their grip.

$LAB is clearly stronger than BTC and the entire market—this is independent strength, so a short squeeze can continue. But during the tide turning, there’s no strong market support to lean on, so drawdowns may come more directly. The contract has only been live for 328 days—don’t treat this kind of high-volatility behavior as a mature asset and hold on based on belief.

I’m only waiting for a pullback near the 4-hour EMA25; I won’t chase at 0.07811. Participate only if it holds at 0.063. If it breaks below 0.055, I’ll admit I’m wrong and exit. First look for 0.075 above; only if it truly breaks out will I look at the previous high of 0.09.

📊 Direction: wait for a pullback to go long
💰 Entry reference: participate after a pullback to 0.063 is confirmed
🛑 Stop loss: 0.055—if it drops below, exit immediately
🎯 Take profit 1: 0.075—first recover risk
🎯 Take profit 2: 0.09—the prior high in the 4-hour range

Don’t go all-in in one shot—keeping your ammunition always keeps you from losing.

If you’re betting on the short squeeze continuing, or betting on the paid longs loosening first—pick one.

$LAB #技术分析 #Uncle Twelve
If you want to do it without worrying, come check out the copy-trading page in Binance Public Domain—only follow if it’s a fit
Click my profile to start copying
https://www.binance.com/zh-CN/copy-trading/lead-details/5051200019981811968

What Leo is buying right now is exactly the direction I would avoid: $SNDK , $SKHY , and a few related names.
Most retail investors lose money not because they can’t get the call right, but because they can’t control their impulses. The system I use—backtested, with stop-loss fully automatic, and 7×24 monitoring without missing a single order—is something I’d like you to go check on my profile if you’re interested in seeing the same thing.

Tomorrow I’ll watch these names:
$INTC : If tomorrow can hold 96-100, I’ll consider placing a 11/20-expiration 110C with targets at 112 and 120;
Buying the common shares directly is also fine.
$AAPL : If the backtest hits 323, I’ll consider a 9/14-expiration 330C with targets at 327 and 330.
$QCOM : If tomorrow pulls back to 168-170, I’ll consider buying the common shares with targets at 184 and 191.
The “dragon-head strategy” is: only when there’s enough potential (potential > 95) does it start a long; “slaying the dragon” is when hype is overheated, then you short. The rules are clear and consistent—no guesswork or snap judgments. If you want to follow along, go to my profile.

Brothers, today’s altcoin chart on the backstreet exchange isn’t a full-on bull market—more like a localized rebound in a weak environment. In the past 24 hours, BTC is up only 0.49%, while the altcoin index is actually down 0.30%. This suggests that the market-wide capital hasn’t yet formed a broad diffusion. There is trading activity, but it’s a hot-spot crowding effect, not a broad-based rally.

The gainers list is lively, but the risks are also not small. $Lobster surged 87% in the past 24 hours, and its daily chart gain reached 456%. In the 4-hour chart, RSI7 is up to 90—it's already clearly overheated. Its market cap is about 104 million, but the trading volume data shows 0; meanwhile OI is 94 million. Both volatility and squeeze risk are very high—chasing it is not a good idea.

Also, $LAB and $RIVER should be looked at differently. The former is still above the EMA25 on the 4-hour chart, but the daily chart is still weaker than EMA25, so the rebound confirmation isn’t enough. The latter has RSI7 at 88 on the 4-hour chart, and the daily chart is still in the repair phase after a big drop. You can continue to chase the upside, but the probability of a pullback is also not low.

On the sector side, alpha has several altcoins moving in sync, with strength and breadth clearly higher than ai. My view is: alpha is worth watching, but don’t blindly chase. After the leaders cool down, observe whether low-position names within the sector can take over. This is a rebound window, not confirmation of a bull market. Don’t be afraid—go for it—but don’t swap stop-losses for blind faith.

#山寨币 #Altcoin #Uncle Twelve
Click my homepage to follow trades immediately
https://www.binance.com/zh-CN/copy-trading/lead-details/5051200019981811968

I’m watching $LSKUSDT — the entry at 0.1237 has already hit the target levels: 0.1269, 0.1300, 0.1395, and 0.1554.
Stop-loss reference: 0.1162; for further defense, look at 0.0984.
Hold BTC/ETH/SOL long in the lower zone as core positions. For more volatile pairs, use “Slay the Dragon / Hunt the Dragon” to harvest. The portfolio holds Beta long-term while also keeping drawdowns under control. The real-account entry is on my homepage.

Chasing the highs feels great for a moment—$Lobster saw a 87% surge in 24 hours. We’re waiting for the rebound to short, but sentiment and positioning are no longer at a comfortable spot. In 4H, RSI7 is 89.9 and RSI14 is 78.4; price is far from the $0.057839 EMA25. On the daily, RSI is also 67.7—trend is strong, but the odds of going long at the current price are clearly worse.

What’s truly troublesome: the long side’s 24-hour cumulative funding rate has already paid 0.5325%, yet OI is at 94M—close to a $104M market cap. The long/short ratio in the account is only 0.7027, but large holders’ positioning ratio is 1.4053—there’s a big divergence in exposure. The longs are paying for it, but retail hasn’t fully chased up. Any failure to break higher during a spike could cause high-cost positions to loosen first.

$Lobster is indeed stronger than BTC and the entire market—this is independent strength, and a squeeze could continue. But during the pullback, there’s no broader market to prop it up, so the drawdown may be more direct. The volatility of the last three 4H candles is 24.6%, and on the daily it’s even higher at 41.57%. With the contract having been live for 183 days, you can’t force the same playbook as with older coins. The contract’s ~$109M trading volume over that period shows the battle is extremely hot—but that doesn’t guarantee the uptrend can keep going smoothly.

I’m not shorting at the current price at $0.071475. I’ll wait for a rebound to approach the 4H EMA5 at $0.074323 and the daily EMA5 at $0.074695, then look for rejection. If it continues to push toward the prior high of $0.11 and holds above it, the short thesis fails—you must admit it and back off. If the breakout fails, first watch EMA60, then EMA25.

📊 Direction: Short
💰 Entry reference: Enter near $0.075 after the rebound faces rejection
🛑 Stop loss: $0.11—once triggered, exit on stop
🎯 Take profit 1: $0.066237, 4H EMA60
🎯 Take profit 2: $0.057839, 4H EMA25

Paying on the long side doesn’t automatically mean an immediate drop—but if it can’t break higher, that’s the short side’s odds.

Do you want to keep riding the squeeze higher, or do the paid-up longs start to let go first? Choose one.

$Lobster #技术分析 #Uncle Twelve
If you’ve got this move figured out and want to follow along, just come into my Binance copy-trading page and execute according to the plan
Click my profile to copy trade now
https://www.binance.com/zh-CN/copy-trading/lead-details/5051200019981811968

$SKHY (SK hynix) is the world’s second-largest memory chip manufacturer, mainly making memory and storage chips.
I noticed that after someone bought it for $SKHY 12 days, the company announced a $29 billion share repurchase plan.
So far, this stock is up nearly 40%.
Going all-in on one direction is too much about luck. My US stock strategy uses low-position tools like SQQQ to absorb volatility—if it should be short, I short it. It doesn’t interfere with my crypto strategy. There’s an entry point to real accounts on the homepage.

I calculated that $PONS has already reached a market cap of $11 billion.
The transaction tax is 1%, meaning a fee of $110 million.
Of that, 70% goes to the creators and 30% goes to the protocol.
Of the protocol’s share, 80% is used for buyback and burn, and the remaining goes to the team.
Roughly speaking, the team’s actual net inflow is about $6 million to $7 million, not including the money they make through additional token issuance.
Once a black swan hits, a single strategy can get wiped out directly. My portfolio uses a composite leverage and keeps it within 2x on equity. I hold a core position through the cycle, and the homepage can stay in sync with live trading.

I just saw that Hyperliquid launched $SNXX , which is Tradr's 2x long SANDI ETF. The contract can still open up to 10x leverage.
This storage run is already intense—SANDI's underlying stock is already quite stimulating. Now on-chain you can still get a 2x ETF to keep stacking leverage. This thing's volatility probably won’t be small.
Holding through without cutting losses is the culprit of turning small losses into big ones. I keep each position at ≤2%, use strict stop-losses, and the risk control is fully automated. You can see the live trading approach on the homepage.