Important data from the US this week: CPI and non-farm data, pay attention to the support level for BTC/ETH during the backtest, and the high position for gold #BTC走势分析 $BTC
Analysis of Gold Asset Allocation Strategy: The 5600 level may establish a cyclical top Focusing on the risk premium reconstruction under the liquidity turning point
As real interest rates rise, gold prices have encountered a rare sell-off at the 5600 level, marking the entry of a long-term one-sided bull market into a structural correction period since 1983. The market is switching from 'emotional premium' to 'mean reversion', with the 5200 resistance band becoming a key point for the transition between bulls and bears, while 3876 serves as a lifeline to assess the resilience of the bull market. In the context of rising volatility, the focus of allocation should shift from 'trend inertia' to 'liquidity defense', carefully assessing the strategic adjustment space during pricing reconstruction. #黄金
Black Friday! Gold plunges to the worst since 1983, silver crashes to new record
💥 The precious metals market faces a historic crash! Gold records its largest single-day drop since 1983, while silver plummets to refresh the worst record in history! On Friday (January 30), the global precious metals market experienced a "Black Friday." Against the backdrop of a significant strengthening of the dollar against major currencies, the spot gold price faced rare selling pressure, plummeting nearly 10% at one point, marking the largest single-day drop since 1983. Silver was even more tragic, showcasing an epic flash crash, with declines reaching levels rarely seen in decades, establishing the worst single-day performance ever. This round of plummeting came rapidly and without warning. Previously, precious metal prices had been continuously rising under the influence of macroeconomic uncertainty and risk aversion, briefly hitting historical highs and attracting a large influx of bullish capital. However, when the market faced a rebound in the dollar and funds flowed back into the dollar from safe-haven assets, the originally high-positioned profit-seeking funds quickly withdrew, triggering concentrated stop-loss orders from bulls, which further amplified the downward trend. Analysts pointed out that this significant drop was not triggered by a single event but was the result of multiple factors acting together. The most apparent shock was the strong rise in the dollar exchange rate, which directly suppressed the prices of gold and silver denominated in dollars. Meanwhile, the latest policy signals from the U.S. and adjustments to future interest rate expectations have also prompted funds to reassess the attractiveness of precious metals. Suki Cooper, Head of Global Commodity Research at Standard Chartered Bank, stated that this round of selling is more due to changes in macro fund flows and profit-taking from bulls rather than a single fundamental factor. From a technical perspective, the dense profit-taking positions and leveraged positions of bulls at high levels became amplifiers of this crash. Once key support was breached, stop-loss orders and forced liquidations triggered a chain reaction of declines, accelerating the speed of market sell-offs. This crash not only shocked the precious metals market but also has profound implications for investor risk appetite. In the face of a historic-level correction, can bulls stabilize and rebound at low levels? Or will they continue to seek new support? Future trends are worth close attention from the market. 📉 The market lesson is clear: risk management and position control are crucial in a highly volatile market. #贵金属巨震
Gold is approaching a critical drop trigger zone at high levels, short-term alarms are sounded!
Currently, gold is at the typical end structure of trend acceleration, with prices rapidly distancing from the mid-term moving average, and the short-term deviation rate is too large. The area around 5200 is a strong supply zone. From a purely technical perspective, this is no longer a low-risk area for buying, but rather a position where bulls can reap the most profits while also being the most susceptible to emotional reversals. The upcoming FOMC meeting further amplifies the significance of this technically sensitive area. Gold is fundamentally highly sensitive to 'interest rate expectations' and 'actual interest rate direction,' rather than just reacting to whether interest rates are raised. If the meeting releases hawkish signals, such as emphasizing that inflation risks remain high, the pace of rate cuts may be delayed, and high rates will be maintained for longer, then US Treasury yields and the dollar are likely to strengthen, making it easy for gold to encounter concentrated profit-taking at high levels. In this case, the area near 5200 is likely to become a trigger zone for a temporary peak, and once there is a surge followed by a retreat back below that area, it will easily form a 'false breakout' in the short term, leading to a quick pullback rhythm, with the first target naturally pointing to the moving average return area, which is around 4500. If that area cannot hold, the market will begin to reassess the strength of the mid-term trend, and the probability of prices returning to the mid-term trend support near 4120 will significantly increase.
This moving average system composed of 14, 25, 99, and 200 is a very complete full-cycle trend-following scheme. Its design logic is to use indicators of different speeds to simultaneously consider 'entry sensitivity' and 'trend stability'. The following is the in-depth usage logic and practical explanation of this set of combinations:
Core roles of various cycles 1. MA14 (Short-term Attack Line): It is the 'tentacle' of the entire system and responds to price the fastest. It is mainly used to observe the current short-term momentum. In a strong trend, the price usually runs close to MA14 and does not break below.
2026, everything goes well 🎄 Wishes hanging at the treetops, good luck hidden in the years. This tree of colors is a love letter written for 2026 💌 May you: have all your wishes come true, and your paths be smooth ✨ —— JackFinance Community 🥂📈 #2026 #新年快乐
BNB market value is in a high peak distribution state, Binance Life does not recommend excessive participation to avoid being trapped at a high position passing the buck #币安人生
Vegas Indicator Free Feeding: Vegas Tunnel Indicator - Technical Documentation Overview The Vegas Tunnel Indicator is a technical analysis tool that uses multiple Exponential Moving Averages (EMA) to identify market trends and potential trading opportunities. The system employs five EMAs, divided into three groups, for multi-timeframe analysis. Component Structure Filter Line: 12-period EMA (green), used as a short-term trend indicator Channel A: 144-period and 169-period EMA (blue), used to define mid-term trend direction Channel B: 576-period and 676-period EMA (red), used to establish long-term trend context Operation Method The indicator generates trading signals based on the relative position and interaction of these EMA groups. Prices above both channels indicate a bullish market, while prices below both channels indicate a bearish market. The crossover point between the filter line and Channel A provides potential entry and exit signals, while Channel B is used to confirm the primary trend direction. Application Guide The indicator is optimized for swing trading and position trading strategies over one hour or longer time frames. Traders should consider the slope and spacing of the channels as indicators of trend strength. The channel areas between the EMAs can serve as dynamic support and resistance zones. Parameter Customization All EMA periods can be adjusted via input parameters, allowing traders to optimize settings for specific tools and trading styles. Default values are based on the Fibonacci sequence, which has historical significance in technical analysis. Can be added for free on Tradingview #ETH🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥