14号交易员

Why do trading activities require high-speed, high-quality news channels?

This early-morning case is enough to show it: After Trump said the CFTC is pushing Hyperliquid to enter the U.S. market, $HYPE rose about 15% in a short period of time, once reaching $69.

If you can see the news and assess its impact immediately, then you’re trading the information advantage; if you only see it a few hours later, you may be limited to chasing the price.

Speed and information quality often determine whether what you’re seeing is an opportunity—or already the outcome after the move has happened.

$AVAAI Actions match words, putting into practice the content of my last post. For trading on the left side of Yao Coins, it’s all about acting fast and making quick decisions—swift as thunder; finish the battle in half an hour 💪

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$EDEN The key to trading on the right side of “coin” is speed, accuracy, and decisiveness; second is risk control: set your stop-loss very tight—if you’re wrong, exit immediately.

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【Vida Latest Trading Updates: Reducing Position in US Stock Storage Shares, $BTC Also Reduces Position】

Formula News founder and a crypto big shot on the verge of A10, Vida @Vida_BWE, today updated trading updates in the channel.

In the US stocks, Vida said that the PUT he sold earlier has basically already realized 80%-98% profit. As the storage sector continues to surge, he chose to close most positions during the upswing to lock in the gains he already had.

For BTC, Vida today further reduced about 1/3 of his BTC holdings. The reduced positions were around $63,000, and he also used perpetual contracts for hedging. However, he has not fully exited—he still keeps about 2/3 of his BTC spot position.

Regarding the next phase of the market, Vida believes BTC still has cycles, but compared with the past, it may be increasingly difficult for new narratives to emerge. He judges that the next truly major bull market for BTC is more likely to come from US Treasuries, the dollar system, and the global repricing of assets, rather than short-term hype of new concepts.

Vida expects that within the next 1–3 years, if BTC returns to the $45,000–$55,000 range, he may buy back the positions he has currently trimmed.

My view is basically aligned with his: after this round of gains in the storage sector, the market is more likely to enter a period of range-bound movement; as for BTC, there is still room for further downside. Right now, compared with chasing or killing at the highs and lows, it’s more important to control position sizing and wait for the next time the odds are favorable.

Trading shouldn’t be about predicting tops or gambling for bottoms. The most important thing is to put the money you’ve already made into your pocket first.

$BICO I’ve been observing for a few days. Just now, I noticed signs of a downturn and immediately went short—one fairly successful right-side trade.

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$BLESS My thoughts on trading memecoins:

Judging memecoins: low market cap, low circulating supply, highly controlled float, and rapid pump-and-dumps. Some coins drop from their highs and end up down to just a fraction—or even less—of their previous price, staying in a low-price range for a long time. The market maker often accumulates slowly at low levels. When the market’s circulating chips become scarcer, it takes only a small amount of capital to push the price up. That’s why memecoins are very suitable for small capital aiming for high-risk/high-reward setups, but not for large capital participation, because liquidity is insufficient and large players can easily become the market maker’s prey.

To find memecoins, start by checking the exchange’s top gainers list. Focus on market cap, circulating volume, and how concentrated the holdings (float) are. Then combine on-chain data to judge whether funds have been laid out in advance. If you can’t read on-chain data, you can use Twitter and AI-assisted analysis instead—pay attention to changes in whale wallets, the distribution of holdings, and whether there is continuous accumulation.

For going long on memecoins, I personally like to look for: long-term low levels, the daily chart just starting to turn bullish/strong, and funding rates being extremely negative. The more negative the funding rate is, the more crowded the shorts are. If the market maker then initiates a rally at that moment, it’s easy to form a squeeze—pushing up the price while gradually squeezing out short positions. So when the funding rate is extremely negative, it usually isn’t a good idea to short carelessly.

Shorting memecoins needs good timing. Don’t wait until they’ve dropped 30%-40% before chasing a short. The biggest characteristic of memecoins is that after a big selloff, they often bounce back quickly by 10%-20%. A truly comfortable short entry is usually in the early stage of the downtrend—around 5%-15%—and you should also consider funding rates, contract open interest (OI), and total contract value. If the funding rate is still positive and you see consecutive large bearish candles with OI dropping quickly, that may indicate real liquidation selling. In that case, you can try a right-side short, but make sure to use a small stop loss.

Ultimately, trading memecoins isn’t about a single indicator—it’s about comprehensive judgment: funding rates, on-chain data, float/holdings distribution, market cap size, candlestick patterns, position size, contract open interest (OI), and total contract value.

Memecoins aren’t value investments. At their core, it’s a battle of chips, liquidity, and sentiment. Small capital should rely on flexible opportunities, while large capital is better off staying away.

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Precisely shorted at $1000RATS at the stroke of midnight
Rebounded and made a round
So satisfying 😊

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$SKHYNIX short-term outlook

Today, several pieces of news about Korean stocks:
1. Korean regulators plan to limit single-stock leveraged ETFs. In the future, 2x leverage could be reduced to 1.5x, or even 1x, and the market is moving into a deleveraging phase.
2. Morgan Stanley upgraded its rating on Korea to Overweight, believing this round of declines is mainly driven by leveraged funds closing positions rather than deterioration in fundamentals.
3. Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix both plunged. The market is currently unwinding crowded trades in Korean AI hardware.
4. On-chain activity shows large capital moving in: a certain address topped up Hyperliquid with 1.448 million USDC and placed long orders of approximately 10 million dollars worth of SKHX, with a price range of $991–$1,017.

My view:
This pullback is a clearing-out of liquidity, and the HBM cycle has not yet reversed.
In the short term, SK Hynix could still probe lower. Watch the 950–100 range; in extreme panic, it may approach around 900.
There won’t be a one-time bottom-pick. Wait until deleveraging is close to ending, then build positions in batches.
Also, the SEC “quiet period” after the listing of SK Hynix’s ADR is expected to end on the evening of August 4. The market is looking for the company to release its shareholder return plan. If there are messages such as share buybacks or dividends, they could become a short-term catalyst.

#韩国KOSPI跌3.28%

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The best time to short Hynix $SKHYNIX was a month ago; next best is right now.

$AKE is a typical “master-controlled high-holding, low-float” altcoin. Its recent surge has been excessive, and intraday it has repeatedly staged fake moves—dumping heavily and then quickly pulling back.

This time, three consecutive 15-minute candles of heavy-volume decline, with a cumulative drop of nearly 40%. Unlike the earlier “testing the market” behavior, it basically confirms that real selling pressure has been released. Then the price rebounded quickly. I believe this kind of altcoin’s rebound relies more on short-term sentiment and has weaker follow-through. Therefore, I chose to short on the right side during the rebound process.

Given that these altcoins are extremely volatile, and as the amount of capital gradually increases, trading such assets requires even more caution. So I only participated with 1/4 position size.

In trading, stick to quick wins—don’t linger. Although I still expect there may be further downside later, there will most likely be violent rebounds along the way. Rather than endure position volatility, it’s better to lock in the more certain profits. The trade was completed within 18 minutes, and I successfully took profit.

The overall logic of this short trade is sound, and I also verified the downward direction at the end. The real problem is still position management. For a coin where the broker’s chips are more concentrated, like $BTW , the price tends to be more volatile. Even if the entry location is good, you shouldn’t start with too large a position right away. Instead, you should build the position in multiple batches, with smaller amounts, gradually.

Although this time I also entered in batches, the additional positions added afterward were still too small, and the overall position structure isn’t very comfortable. The direction was correct, and the risk control can be considered successful—but the holding process was too painful. Going forward, I still need to slow down the pace of building the position.

Three days—500 to over 10,000, more than 37 times.
The market is always right. Just because you made money this time doesn’t mean you can easily take it next time. Keep敬畏the market, handle every trade well, and hope that the money you earn from now on is all knowledge-earned.

$UNI This short order worked out pretty well.

Recently UNI has been lifted by all kinds of news catalysts. Good developments like Fee Switch and the Uniswap ecosystem have been continuously unfolding, and market sentiment has been very hot. But I focus more on price: after it was pushed up to higher levels, the candlesticks have started to weaken, and a head-and-shoulders top pattern is gradually forming. Chasing higher prices isn’t a great value.

Today, $BTC and $ETH basically didn’t move much, yet UNI fell first. The rally driven by news is starting to cool off, so I chose to go short from this level.

A lot of these coins that are quickly pumped up by news can get an initial pullback when weekend liquidity is thin. This trade didn’t involve any complicated logic—just a resonance between the news and the candlestick chart. I followed the trend and took the position, and the result was pretty good.

Tonight, US stocks rebounded sharply for three reasons:
First, after a sustained pullback in AI and tech stocks, market sentiment became overly pessimistic. With the stimulus from positive news, we saw a clear short-covering rally and a return of funds;

Second, and most importantly, Microsoft $MSFT reported earnings that beat expectations. Its Azure cloud business grew strongly, and the paid user base for Microsoft 365 Copilot continued to expand. This shows that AI is gradually moving from the “money-burning investment” phase into the “creating profits” stage. The market has once again reaffirmed the business logic of AI commercialization, lifting the entire AI industry chain together;


Third, the Federal Reserve did not release any unexpectedly hawkish signals. The interest-rate environment did not tighten further, and market risk appetite improved.

However, I don’t think this can yet be defined as a truly major rebound. This rally is more driven by sentiment repair and fund inflows sparked by Microsoft’s earnings, rather than a fundamental change in the macro environment or market trend.

At present, high valuation pressure, economic data, the Fed’s policy, and other factors still remain. If, going forward, other big tech firms’ earnings cannot continue to validate AI profitability, or if macro data weakens again, the market may still face further pullbacks.

Therefore, I’m more inclined to view tonight’s action as a strong technical rebound rather than the start of a new upward trend. In the near term, investors should stay cautious and keep monitoring whether the market can hold its ground and gain additional fundamental support.

The rebound is over. If you're still hoping for new highs, there's no rush—wait for the second half of the year.

#全球科技股延续抛售

Some people analyze US stocks without looking at the NASDAQ, without looking at options, and without looking at real trading volume—yet they spend every day studying the candlestick charts, trading volume, and funding rates of Binance’s RWA US stock futures contracts.

In plain terms, it’s just taking the same trading mindset behind trading $BTC and copy-pasting it directly onto the US stock market.

Even if Binance holds a large share in crypto, it is still only the RWA derivatives market; in the broader US stock ecosystem, compared with the real trading scale of NASDAQ, NYSE, and traditional brokerages, it’s simply not on the same order of magnitude.

Analyzing price discovery by using follow-the-market data is, in essence, having the direction wrong.

More exchanges have gone under, which really shows how hard the bear market is.

There’s no new liquidity, no new narrative—everyone in the industry is just feeding on existing capital. Even BitMEX’s founder, Arthur Hayes—the inventor of perpetual futures—posts trade calls on X every day. What new growth point could the industry possibly have?

In the end, everyone’s profits come from other players in the industry and their followers’ money

In Google and Tesla’s earnings reports, there are a few numbers worth paying attention to.

Google revenue was $119.8 billion, up 24% year over year. AI-related spending continues to increase. Tesla revenue was $28.2 billion, up 26% year over year, with R&D spending up 49%. After the earnings were released, both companies’ after-hours stock prices started to fall, suggesting the market is paying more attention to how the high-investment phase affects profit margins.

Looking at the semiconductor memory industry, AI infrastructure is still an important source of demand. GPU server buildouts are driving growth in demand for HBM, DRAM, and enterprise SSDs, while the consumer electronics market is recovering more slowly.

Going forward, the market may continue to watch the durability of AI capital expenditure, changes in HBM supply and demand, and the impact of memory manufacturers expanding production.

$GOOGL $TSLA

AI models are getting stronger—not only developers benefit, but hackers’ capabilities are advancing in parallel.

Recently, I’ve been seeing a number of DeFi projects suffer security incidents one after another. Wallet vulnerabilities, cross-chain bridges being attacked, private key leaks… more and more, I feel that in the future, the biggest competitive edge may be how strong a project’s ability to secure crypto assets is.

AI is accelerating vulnerability discovery, and both offense and defense sides are evolving. But for projects that don’t invest enough in security, their room to survive may shrink further and further.

$NIGHT

$BILL Short Trade Review

① Opening Logic
After BILL's second pump, it clearly showed signs of stagnation. The 15-minute chart broke down with increased volume, signaling a stronger bearish trend. Considering the overall sentiment of small-cap altcoins weakening, I assessed there was potential for a daily level retracement, so I initiated a 20× short position around 0.113.

② Adding to the Position
After the initial breakdown, I didn't rush to heavily short again but instead monitored the strength of the pullback. The result was a volume-less rebound that couldn't reclaim the key level, so I added more to my short around 0.107, subsequently increasing my position to capitalize on the momentum.

③ Taking Profit
After breaking below 0.1, I had a strong inclination that it would likely accelerate downwards towards 0.09. However, after a brief consolidation around 0.1, I ultimately decided to take profits early. This trade was executed while I was feeling somewhat fatigued, so I preferred to lock in profits and reset. Although I missed out on some of the subsequent price action, the overall trade was still quite solid.