The teamโs plan analysis has been 100% accurate. Congratulations to everyone for paying attention and following along. Coming up, the market is expected to face a period of crisis during Q1.
In the short term, the most likely move is a rebound for a while, heading toward the 7x milestoneโฆ so please keep an eye on this plan. This is only my personal opinion andย notย investment advice.
Silver prices are currently experiencing strong volatility, so investors need to be extremely cautious and avoid FOMO or chasing the top. Silver is an asset with large price swings, and daily corrections of 20โ30% are not uncommon.
In reality, once positions become profitable, selling pressure emerges quickly. No asset can rise endlessly without pullbacks.
Looking back at history, silver peaked at around $48/oz in 1978, which is equivalent to nearly $200/oz in todayโs value after adjusting for inflation. Meanwhile, the current silver price is only around 120/200 of that inflation-adjusted historical peak.
This suggests that silver is in the process of reclaiming its long-term value and may still have room to move higher. However, upside potential does not mean it is safe to go all-in.
At this stage, a prudent strategy is to prioritize capital management, take partial profits when gains are available, and limit the use of leverage. Capital preservation should always come first. #xag
Key highlights from Fed Chair Jerome Powellโs remarks:
1. Powell remained cautious and declined to answer questions related to the Department of Justice (DOJ) investigation, as well as whether he would stay at the Fed until 2028 after his term as Chair ends in May.
2. The Fed reiterated that it does not comment on the U.S. dollar or target exchange rates, but instead focuses on broader economic conditions such as inflation and employment.
3. The entire FOMC committee currently supports keeping interest rates unchanged. Future policy decisions will depend on incoming economic data.
4. Powell noted that most of the inflationary impact from tariffs has likely already been reflected, and inflation is expected to return to the 2% target as long as no new tariff rounds are introduced.
5. The Fed is not considering any rate hikes at this time, and such a scenario is not currently on the table.
6. When asked what advice he would give to his successor, Powell emphasized: โStay away from politics.โ
7. He also warned against reading too much into the rise in gold prices. While the Fed monitors precious metals, it does not view them as a special macroeconomic signal.
At the World Economic Forum Davos 2026, CZ shared pragmatic views on crypto, traditional finance, and the future financial system. Rather than pushing the narrative that crypto will replace banks, he emphasized integration and system optimization.
On payments, CZ stated that crypto cannot and does not need to fully replace TradFi. Instead, crypto should function as an infrastructure layer, making payments faster, cheaper, and more flexible through integration with existing systems.
CZ expressed low confidence in Bitcoin payments, noting that Bitcoin increasingly serves as a store of value rather than a daily payment method. He also remained cautious about memecoins, citing high risk and lack of sustainability at a system level.
Regarding banks, CZ predicted that the number of physical banks will decline significantly over the next decadeโnot because crypto destroys them, but because traditional banking models are costly, slow, and incompatible with a 24/7 digital economy. Crypto merely accelerates an inevitable shift.
On regulation, CZ acknowledged the difficulty of establishing a global crypto framework and proposed a โregulatory passportโ model, where licenses issued in reputable jurisdictions could be recognized across borders, reducing compliance costs and enabling global scalability.
Finally, CZ emphasized that systemic risk does not come from technology, but from the fractional reserve model. Crypto, by design, offers greater transparency, especially in liquidity and risk exposure.
Conclusion: Crypto will not replace everythingโbut it will grow fastest by addressing the weakest points of todayโs financial system, which is where real opportunity lies over the next decade.
๐ MicroStrategy Continues to Accumulate Bitcoin MicroStrategy has purchased an additional 2,932 BTC, with a total value of approximately $264.1 million, at an average price of around $90,061 per BTC.
Following this acquisition, MicroStrategy now holds a total of 712,647 BTC, with an average purchase price of approximately $76,037 per BTC, further solidifying its position as the largest institutional Bitcoin holder.
๐ฅ The โDCA kingโ remains firmly committed to its long-term accumulation strategy, regardless of short-term market volatility.
๐ This Weekโs Token Unlocks: Total Value Exceeds $464 Million This week, the crypto market will see token unlocks with a total value of over $464 million, which may lead to notable fluctuations in liquidity and short-term supply pressure across several major projects.
๐ข Large-scale unlocks (over $5 million) These include notable projects such as $SUI, $SIGN, $EIGEN, along with several others. Given the size of these unlocks, investors are advised to closely monitor potential impacts on price action and market sentiment. ๐ข Linear token unlocks this week Ongoing linear unlocks are scheduled for several large-cap projects, including $SOL, $WLD, $DOGE, $TRUMP, and more. While these unlocks are distributed gradually, they can still contribute to sustained selling pressure over time.
โ ๏ธ Token unlocks increase circulating supply and may affect short-term price movements. Investors should manage risk carefully, avoid FOMO, and closely observe market behavior around unlock periods.
MACRO RISK ANALYSIS: U.S. SUPREME COURT RULING ON TRUMP-ERA TARIFFS
Within the next 24 hours, the U.S. Supreme Court is expected to issue a ruling on the legality of trade tariffs implemented during the Trump administration. While this is a legal decision on the surface, its potential consequences are fiscal, liquidity-driven, and systemic in natureโand are currently underpriced by the market.
1. Core Risk: An Unexpected Fiscal Shock
If the tariffs are ruled unlawful: - The federal government could lose over USD 600 billion in revenue in a short period - Retroactive tax refunds, legal disputes, and contract adjustments may be triggered - The Treasury could be forced to increase debt issuance or deploy emergency financing measures - This is not a typical cyclical risk, but a legal-triggered fiscal shock with immediate budgetary implications.
2. Spillover Effects on Financial Markets
- Such a fiscal disruption could rapidly evolve into a system-wide liquidity stress event: - A sharp increase in U.S. Treasury issuance, putting upward pressure on yields - Financial systems simultaneously absorbing refunds, budget reallocations, and rapid risk repricing - Abrupt policy reversals undermining market confidence and forward guidance
Critically, in this scenario, liquidity does not rotateโit exits the system.
3. Asset-Class Implications
As liquidity tightens, cross-asset correlations tend to converge toward one: - Equities face liquidation pressure as capital is freed up - Bonds experience heightened volatility due to supply and yield risks - Higher-risk assets such as cryptocurrencies fail to act as hedges and instead become sources of liquidity - This is the classic mechanism of a deleveraging phaseโfast, broad, and forced.
4. Positioning and Risk Management
In such an environment: - Institutional capital typically reduces exposure and raises cash buffers in advance -Highly leveraged positions are most vulnerable to rapid liquidation - Volatility is driven not by economic data, but by a systemic legal event
2:00 AM Thursday: The most important event of the week is theย interest rate decisionย (widely expected to remain unchanged) along with theย FOMC meeting, which will provide guidance on the future path of interest rates.
Court rulingย on the legality ofย former President Trumpโs tariffs.
President Trump threatens to impose a 100% tariff on Canadaย if the country reaches a trade agreement with China.
Despite maintaining a strict ban on cryptocurrency activities domestically, China is now very close to becoming the worldโs largest government holder of Bitcoin. According to public estimates, the amount of Bitcoin controlled by the Chinese government is only about 4,012 BTC behind that of the United States.
Most of these holdings did not come from strategic investment, but rather from assets seized in criminal cases involving fraud, money laundering, and illegal cryptocurrency exchanges. This creates a striking paradox:
1. On the surface: China enforces a hardline stance against crypto, banning trading and mining. 2. In reality: the state has quietly become one of the worldโs largest Bitcoin โwhales.โ
If China surpasses the U.S., it would rank first globally in terms of Bitcoin held by a government, despite not recognizing Bitcoin as a legal asset within its financial system. This raises several important questions:
1. Will China continue to hold, gradually sell, or eventually use Bitcoin as a strategic asset? 2. How might such large holdings impact monetary policy, state asset management, and geopolitical positioning?
As Bitcoin is increasingly viewed as a strategic reserve asset by various countries, Chinaโs silence and its approach to managing these holdings may ultimately prove more significant than its past public statements banning cryptocurrencies.
Macro Analysis: Central Banks Restructure Reserves โ Gold Returns to the Core
Data from theย World Gold Councilย indicates thatย 95% of central banksย expect to continue purchasing gold, signaling aย structural reallocationย within the global reserve system.
At the same time,ย IMFย data confirms that theย U.S. dollarโs share of global foreign exchange reserves has fallen below 60%, the lowest level in decades. Against the backdrop of expanding U.S. public debt, persistent fiscal deficits, and heightened real interest rate volatility, gold is increasingly viewed as aย more resilient reserve asset than U.S. Treasury bonds.
At its core, this shift reflects a strategic preference forย tangible assets free from sovereign credit risk, aimed at reducing reliance on a single dominant reserve currency.
The key implication is not an imminent collapse of the U.S. dollar, but rather aย gradual transition toward a more multipolar monetary order, in which the dollarโs absolute dominance continues to erode.
โ ๏ธย This content is for analytical purposes only and does not constitute investment advice.
๐๐๐ย Bitcoin Is Starting to See Stop-Loss Pressure ๐จ
For the first time sinceย October 2023,ย Net Realized Profitย has turnedย negative, indicating that investors have begun selling BTC at aย loss.
In just overย one month, an estimatedย 69,000 BTCย has been sold at pricesย below their cost basis.
Notably,ย realized profits have been weakening since early 2024, consistently formingย lower highs, even while spot prices previously remained at elevated levels.
โก๏ธ This suggests thatย buying pressure is no longer strong enough to sustain the uptrendย โผ๏ธ #BTC
PUTIN REVEALS TRUMP INVITED HIM TO JOIN A PEACE COUNCIL ๐ฅ
President Vladimir Putin stated that Donald Trump has invited him to join aย Peace Council, a structure Trump has promoted as a new, powerful forum for peace.
This move comes amid escalating geopolitical tensions, signaling that Trump is intensifyingย personal-style diplomacy, combined with trade and security leverage.
Inviting Russia sends a signal that Washington aims toย reset the negotiation framework, bringing major powers directly to a new negotiating table.
$Kaito and $Cookie both dropped 20โ30% immediately after Nikita posted his announcement.
Thatโs fineโperhaps this is a way to โliberateโ X. To be honest, X (Twitter) has become utterly flooded with low-quality content lately: AI-generated spam is everywhere, everyone posts the same generic stuff, lacking depth and real value.
Hopefully, after this โcleanup,โ the platform will become cleaner and less noisy with meaningless chatterโgiving KOLs and genuine content creators the space they need to return and deliver truly worthwhile content.
In previous Bitcoin cycles,ย after reaching the peak, the market found its bottom and began to recoverย right around this levelย โ clearly seen inย 2018ย andย 2022.
If history continues to rhyme, the currentย four-year Bitcoin cycle is still unfolding almost perfectlyย so far.
โ ๏ธ History doesnโt guarantee the future, but it often leaves clues for those who pay close attention.