SviatoslavGusev
Deeply immersed in the IT world, exploring with passion and gaining insights. Actively investing in blockchain ventures at the very nexus of Web3 innovations.
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You often hear about stability from Putin and Lukashenko, but it’s not the end goal for a state. It’s more like a ‘service’ that the powers that be sell to the people under certain conditions.
A common mistake among traders is thinking of their home country as a natural base for all their assets at once. In reality, each jurisdiction should be treated like a separate cog in your life and business: one offers financial opportunities, another provides legal protection, a third gives operational flexibility, and the fourth grants political freedom.
A common mistake among traders is thinking of their home country as a natural base for all their assets at once. In reality, each jurisdiction should be treated like a separate cog in your life and business: one offers financial opportunities, another provides legal protection, a third gives operational flexibility, and the fourth grants political freedom.
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✖️ Сервис X Money внутри Twitter планируют запустить до конца апреля 2026 года — пользователям обещают металлическую Visa-карту с никнеймом из X, бесплатные переводы, кешбэк до 3% и 6% годовых на остаток.
See translation
Полимаркет добавил авторизацию через Telegram и анонсировал перед на другой блокчейн (сейчас они используют Polygon).
Может быть, тон для них ускоряли?
Может быть, тон для них ускоряли?
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🚀 Важные изменения
Друзья, решили сказать открыто как есть, чтобы между нами не было недопонимания и недосказанности. В такой атмосфере гораздо легче выстраивать коннект, создавать топовый контент и воплощать в жизнь другие интересные идеи/проекты.
❤️ Здесь от вас никто ничего не ждёт, кроме искренней поддержки и диалога. Мы не продаем ни курсов, ни платных подписок, мы зарабатываем исключительно на крипто-рынке и небольшом проценте с комиссий наших рефералов на бирже, о чем всегда открыто говорим в сообществе.
Возвращаясь к открытости и изменениям. Хотим протестировать на ютубе новые рубрики и лица, общаться с вами чаще, поэтому было принято решение сделать рокировку и познакомить вас с другими членами команды. Многие из вас могли быть уже с ними знакомы по закрытому каналу «Торговые вероятности». 📊
Рубрику инвестиционного портфеля подхватит Софа, о чем она скоро подробнее сама расскажет. Обзоры по рынку и разборы монет также останутся, но их будет больше, что, на наш взгляд, не может не радовать.
На днях сделаем голосовой чат здесь в канале, чтобы познакомиться с вами поближе. Поотвечаем на вопросы, разберём рыночек и торговлю.
📞 - накидай реакций, если присоединишься к болталке.
Друзья, решили сказать открыто как есть, чтобы между нами не было недопонимания и недосказанности. В такой атмосфере гораздо легче выстраивать коннект, создавать топовый контент и воплощать в жизнь другие интересные идеи/проекты.
❤️ Здесь от вас никто ничего не ждёт, кроме искренней поддержки и диалога. Мы не продаем ни курсов, ни платных подписок, мы зарабатываем исключительно на крипто-рынке и небольшом проценте с комиссий наших рефералов на бирже, о чем всегда открыто говорим в сообществе.
Возвращаясь к открытости и изменениям. Хотим протестировать на ютубе новые рубрики и лица, общаться с вами чаще, поэтому было принято решение сделать рокировку и познакомить вас с другими членами команды. Многие из вас могли быть уже с ними знакомы по закрытому каналу «Торговые вероятности». 📊
Рубрику инвестиционного портфеля подхватит Софа, о чем она скоро подробнее сама расскажет. Обзоры по рынку и разборы монет также останутся, но их будет больше, что, на наш взгляд, не может не радовать.
На днях сделаем голосовой чат здесь в канале, чтобы познакомиться с вами поближе. Поотвечаем на вопросы, разберём рыночек и торговлю.
📞 - накидай реакций, если присоединишься к болталке.
Expectations for the Week
This week could be a nail-biter. Talks regarding Iran have stalled again, meaning the risk of new escalation is still on the table.
On Wednesday, the Fed meeting will take place. They're likely to keep rates unchanged, but the key focus will be on Powell's press conference. By the way, this might be his last press conference as the head of the Fed.
Additionally, this week, on Wednesday and Thursday, we’ll see earnings reports from Microsoft, Amazon, Alphabet, and Apple. This also raises the chances of a strong impulse move after Powell.
Let’s stay patient and wishing everyone a profitable trading week 🤘
This week could be a nail-biter. Talks regarding Iran have stalled again, meaning the risk of new escalation is still on the table.
On Wednesday, the Fed meeting will take place. They're likely to keep rates unchanged, but the key focus will be on Powell's press conference. By the way, this might be his last press conference as the head of the Fed.
Additionally, this week, on Wednesday and Thursday, we’ll see earnings reports from Microsoft, Amazon, Alphabet, and Apple. This also raises the chances of a strong impulse move after Powell.
Let’s stay patient and wishing everyone a profitable trading week 🤘
BTC Update
The week is wrapping up, and if we zoom out to the weekly timeframe, BTC has come up against the first serious technical resistance.
We're talking about the 0.5 level from the weekly impulse. In this zone, we often see initial reactions: some traders take profits, and many fund algorithms also react at this level, leading to position closures.
For now, I'm anticipating a reaction in the 0.5–0.78 range. For mid-term traders, this area could be a spot to look for short entries if we consider the scenario of a continuing bear market.
The stock market and short-term positivity in geopolitics are certainly helping keep the month in the green. But I think most participants feel a sense of uncertainty about this rally. Therefore, a full market reversal isn't something anyone is seriously discussing yet.
The last review is still relevant. If you missed it, I recommend checking it out 🤘
The week is wrapping up, and if we zoom out to the weekly timeframe, BTC has come up against the first serious technical resistance.
We're talking about the 0.5 level from the weekly impulse. In this zone, we often see initial reactions: some traders take profits, and many fund algorithms also react at this level, leading to position closures.
For now, I'm anticipating a reaction in the 0.5–0.78 range. For mid-term traders, this area could be a spot to look for short entries if we consider the scenario of a continuing bear market.
The stock market and short-term positivity in geopolitics are certainly helping keep the month in the green. But I think most participants feel a sense of uncertainty about this rally. Therefore, a full market reversal isn't something anyone is seriously discussing yet.
The last review is still relevant. If you missed it, I recommend checking it out 🤘
Macro Week 🗓
This week, the markets are testing the main scenario for 2026: inflation is gradually decreasing, while the economy is slowing down without a sharp downturn.
🔗 CPI – Consumer Price Index
The market expects a rise of about 0.2–0.3% for the month. If the numbers come in higher, talks about inflation making a comeback will resurface. If lower, markets might switch to risk-on mode.
🔗 GDP – Economic Growth
Strong data above 3% will lower the chances of a dovish Fed policy, while a slowdown below 1% will support arguments for cutting rates.
🔗 Core PCE – The inflation measure the Fed watches
Expectations are around 0.3–0.4% for the month. A higher figure may increase pressure on the markets, while a lower one could support stocks and the crypto market.
🔗 Labor Market – Jobless claims and vacancies
These data show how easy it is for people to find jobs. If jobless claims rise and vacancies fall, it means the labor market is gradually cooling down. Conversely, if the opposite occurs, the economy remains too "hot." Focus on continuing to lower vacancies to the zone of 6.5–6.8 million.
⚠️ Main Point
The market currently needs balance: inflation should decrease, and the economy should slow down smoothly. If the data reflects this picture, it will be a positive signal for the markets.
This week, the markets are testing the main scenario for 2026: inflation is gradually decreasing, while the economy is slowing down without a sharp downturn.
🔗 CPI – Consumer Price Index
The market expects a rise of about 0.2–0.3% for the month. If the numbers come in higher, talks about inflation making a comeback will resurface. If lower, markets might switch to risk-on mode.
🔗 GDP – Economic Growth
Strong data above 3% will lower the chances of a dovish Fed policy, while a slowdown below 1% will support arguments for cutting rates.
🔗 Core PCE – The inflation measure the Fed watches
Expectations are around 0.3–0.4% for the month. A higher figure may increase pressure on the markets, while a lower one could support stocks and the crypto market.
🔗 Labor Market – Jobless claims and vacancies
These data show how easy it is for people to find jobs. If jobless claims rise and vacancies fall, it means the labor market is gradually cooling down. Conversely, if the opposite occurs, the economy remains too "hot." Focus on continuing to lower vacancies to the zone of 6.5–6.8 million.
⚠️ Main Point
The market currently needs balance: inflation should decrease, and the economy should slow down smoothly. If the data reflects this picture, it will be a positive signal for the markets.
Unveiled 14 out of 15 points of Trump's peace plan for Iran - Times of Israel.
Three key demands from Iran:
1) abandonment of the nuclear program;
2) disbanding of Iranian regional proxies;
3) restrictions on the missile program.
In return, the U.S. offers full sanctions relief and assistance in developing peaceful nuclear energy.
All known points:
1. Iran must dismantle its current nuclear capabilities.
2. Iran must commit to never pursuing nuclear weapons.
3. No uranium enrichment can occur on Iranian territory.
4. Iran must transfer all 450 kg of 60% enriched uranium to the IAEA in the near future.
5. Iran's nuclear sites - Natanz, Isfahan, Fordow - must be dismantled.
6. The IAEA will be granted full access, transparency, and oversight within Iran.
7. Iran must abandon its paradigm of regional proxies.
8. Iran must stop funding, directing, and arming its regional proxies.
9. The Strait of Hormuz must be open and function as a free maritime corridor.
10. Iran's missile program must be restricted in range and quantity; specifics will be determined later.
11. Iran may use missiles only for self-defense.
12. All sanctions against Iran will be fully lifted.
13. The U.S. will assist Iran in developing a civilian nuclear program, including electricity generation at the Bushehr nuclear power plant.
14. If Iran violates the terms, all sanctions will be reinstated.
Three key demands from Iran:
1) abandonment of the nuclear program;
2) disbanding of Iranian regional proxies;
3) restrictions on the missile program.
In return, the U.S. offers full sanctions relief and assistance in developing peaceful nuclear energy.
All known points:
1. Iran must dismantle its current nuclear capabilities.
2. Iran must commit to never pursuing nuclear weapons.
3. No uranium enrichment can occur on Iranian territory.
4. Iran must transfer all 450 kg of 60% enriched uranium to the IAEA in the near future.
5. Iran's nuclear sites - Natanz, Isfahan, Fordow - must be dismantled.
6. The IAEA will be granted full access, transparency, and oversight within Iran.
7. Iran must abandon its paradigm of regional proxies.
8. Iran must stop funding, directing, and arming its regional proxies.
9. The Strait of Hormuz must be open and function as a free maritime corridor.
10. Iran's missile program must be restricted in range and quantity; specifics will be determined later.
11. Iran may use missiles only for self-defense.
12. All sanctions against Iran will be fully lifted.
13. The U.S. will assist Iran in developing a civilian nuclear program, including electricity generation at the Bushehr nuclear power plant.
14. If Iran violates the terms, all sanctions will be reinstated.
$13 billion.
That's what hackers have stolen over the past four years. This figure only accounts for major breaches, but the numbers are still staggering.
I think Tona should focus on the North Korean market instead of the American one. There’s enough cash flow there; we just need to ensure decentralization and ditch the blocks, and we'll be living large!
That's what hackers have stolen over the past four years. This figure only accounts for major breaches, but the numbers are still staggering.
I think Tona should focus on the North Korean market instead of the American one. There’s enough cash flow there; we just need to ensure decentralization and ditch the blocks, and we'll be living large!
The crypto community is buzzing about gold's bounce off the 200-day moving average, drawing parallels to the end of 2023. But if we zoom out a bit, the picture isn't so clear-cut.
First off, back in late 2023, the market approached this average in a totally different context: without such an overbought rally beforehand.
Secondly, if we pull up a longer time frame, the 200 MA gets breached to the downside regularly, and it's not some "iron level" that always holds the price.
So, this bounce by itself is far from a guarantee of an upswing; it's better to keep an eye on multiple indicators.
First off, back in late 2023, the market approached this average in a totally different context: without such an overbought rally beforehand.
Secondly, if we pull up a longer time frame, the 200 MA gets breached to the downside regularly, and it's not some "iron level" that always holds the price.
So, this bounce by itself is far from a guarantee of an upswing; it's better to keep an eye on multiple indicators.
Meanwhile, the picture for ETH is as follows: there's a massive amount of liquidations stacked in the $1k - $2k range.
🇺🇸 Another attempt was made on the best president in the world...
The incident happened during dinner. Poor Donald Trump and Melania...
The incident happened during dinner. Poor Donald Trump and Melania...
Trump called the surge in oil prices a "small price" for security and promised a quick drop as soon as the Iranian nuclear threat is dealt with.
Basically, he's telling the markets to hold their horses and wait for the conflict to wrap up 😯
In the meantime, Brent already broke $119 a barrel. That's the highest since July 2022. And after that, Brent took a nosedive to $89 following Trump's statements that the war is nearing its end, losing all its gains for the day.
Basically, he's telling the markets to hold their horses and wait for the conflict to wrap up 😯
In the meantime, Brent already broke $119 a barrel. That's the highest since July 2022. And after that, Brent took a nosedive to $89 following Trump's statements that the war is nearing its end, losing all its gains for the day.
As you know, I am currently gaining experience by interacting with the charitable organization of our family, as I plan to launch a charitable foundation in my name in a few years.
In my opinion, social projects should be present in our society by default. After all, systematic charity excludes emotional donations.
That is why I recommend that every entrepreneur engage in systematic charity, especially those who plan to dedicate themselves to politics in the future or rise through government positions, up to a minister or a member of the Federation Council.
After all, working on a hedge fund model with measurable ROI and a fixed percentage of revenue transforms the process from a one-time PR action into an infrastructural mechanism.
The integration of such structures into our society and elites legalizes influence and creates additional contours for expanding business influence.
In my opinion, social projects should be present in our society by default. After all, systematic charity excludes emotional donations.
That is why I recommend that every entrepreneur engage in systematic charity, especially those who plan to dedicate themselves to politics in the future or rise through government positions, up to a minister or a member of the Federation Council.
After all, working on a hedge fund model with measurable ROI and a fixed percentage of revenue transforms the process from a one-time PR action into an infrastructural mechanism.
The integration of such structures into our society and elites legalizes influence and creates additional contours for expanding business influence.
The share of ordinary traders (not funds or whales) in the market has halved – from 15% to 8.1%. This is the lowest in the last one and a half years 🤷♂️
People simply get tired of such a market and leave it. Small players are unloading at a loss, while new ones have not yet arrived during the hype.
But, as history shows, such apathy usually appears right at a local bottom.
People simply get tired of such a market and leave it. Small players are unloading at a loss, while new ones have not yet arrived during the hype.
But, as history shows, such apathy usually appears right at a local bottom.
The collapse of trillions of dollars in the crypto market has revealed the mechanics of leverage: any leverage on top of an asset without real cash flow destroys the system at the first outflow of liquidity.
Deleveraging does not operate like a crisis, but rather as a mechanism for a forced return to fundamentals. In a phase of a 70% decline, only projects with direct monetization remain afloat: B2B gateways, automation, subscription models. Growth without confirmed cash flow hides off-balance-sheet debt, and the survival of a business is determined solely by positive margins.
Deleveraging does not operate like a crisis, but rather as a mechanism for a forced return to fundamentals. In a phase of a 70% decline, only projects with direct monetization remain afloat: B2B gateways, automation, subscription models. Growth without confirmed cash flow hides off-balance-sheet debt, and the survival of a business is determined solely by positive margins.
As I planned in winter, this summer I will spend in Europe: I will definitely stop by Poland. And I definitely do not want to fly to Paris again, somehow France does not appeal to me, in this I agree with Pavel Durov, although I have not received French citizenship, I prefer a German passport.
Today I want to repeat a bit about the AI that we are using in our IT products: Claude, Grok from xAI, DeepSeek, GLM from Zhipu AI, MiMo from Xiaomi, Gemini, of course MiniMax with Qwen. And, of course, a more universal alternative to Perplexity with Higgsfield features. Of course, I am talking about TonChat + Manus from Meta, as well as recently GPT Pro from OpenAI.
If you think that I am "overpaying a little," that is not the case… Because for subscription payments, I use American Wise + Asian TNG eWallet > which, like some crypto cards, returns up to 100% cashback on most services, as the ByBit exchange does, of which we have been partners for many years.
As a result, the savings are thousands of dollars a year. At the same time, you do not need to waste time on dances with a tambourine, just link the necessary card in a specific region to the service you are using. As always, everything is very simple, enjoy.
Today I want to repeat a bit about the AI that we are using in our IT products: Claude, Grok from xAI, DeepSeek, GLM from Zhipu AI, MiMo from Xiaomi, Gemini, of course MiniMax with Qwen. And, of course, a more universal alternative to Perplexity with Higgsfield features. Of course, I am talking about TonChat + Manus from Meta, as well as recently GPT Pro from OpenAI.
If you think that I am "overpaying a little," that is not the case… Because for subscription payments, I use American Wise + Asian TNG eWallet > which, like some crypto cards, returns up to 100% cashback on most services, as the ByBit exchange does, of which we have been partners for many years.
As a result, the savings are thousands of dollars a year. At the same time, you do not need to waste time on dances with a tambourine, just link the necessary card in a specific region to the service you are using. As always, everything is very simple, enjoy.
An appeal from the people of Russia to Vladimir Putin, recorded by Victoria Bonya. Full version.
From my side, I would add that the media layer in any conflict is always about managing the narrative. The media broadcasts the frame for which they are paid by those who need the desired frame to emerge at the end.
Media war is a lagging indicator. A signal that behind the scenes, the rules are already different (then a narrative appears that explains why this supposedly means nothing). A similar narrative can now be observed from the Russian intelligentsia in immigration regarding Russia.
From my side, I would add that the media layer in any conflict is always about managing the narrative. The media broadcasts the frame for which they are paid by those who need the desired frame to emerge at the end.
Media war is a lagging indicator. A signal that behind the scenes, the rules are already different (then a narrative appears that explains why this supposedly means nothing). A similar narrative can now be observed from the Russian intelligentsia in immigration regarding Russia.
Has everyone watched the video of Victoria Bonya? So have I... And while Ksenia Sobchak is looking for compromising material on her, as Maxim Katz reported with Ilya Varlamov — I am seriously considering renouncing my citizenship.
Which one exactly, I won't say, for obvious reasons (after all, such statements are a political act in our time).
How many passports do you have, what citizenships do you hold, and are you planning to renounce any of them? Share in the comments, I would be curious to read.
Which one exactly, I won't say, for obvious reasons (after all, such statements are a political act in our time).
How many passports do you have, what citizenships do you hold, and are you planning to renounce any of them? Share in the comments, I would be curious to read.
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