龚有柴GongYouchai

Penta killed
Today, both bulls and bears have made a profit again. Those interested can check out the latest episode.

Tangled up, which one to choose?

One must have dreams; who knows, they might come true?

Many people attribute the surge of Bitcoin from 70,000 to 110,000 to the "election frenzy" brought about by the US election. But now, this wave of election market has been gradually digested, and the market may return to the previous "ETF support" area, which is between 70,000 and 60,000. You can understand it this way: more than 100,000 is the emotional premium of the election, while 70,000 to 60,000 is the hard-core support of ETFs, because most people who buy ETFs are long-term holders and are unlikely to move positions easily.
However, if the market continues to be quiet, these ETF holders may lose patience because of waiting too long and move their funds to other assets, such as gold or Hong Kong stocks that have performed well recently. If this happens, ETF support may not be able to hold up, and the market will further decline.
Therefore, in addition to watching the market, we must also pay close attention to changes in the macro market, especially the flow of ETF funds. After all, the market has never been explained clearly by a single logic. Multiple factors are intertwined to determine the final direction. #比特币价格走势分析

In the investment game, both rises and falls are opportunities for the big players. When the market falls, they take the chance to buy in at low prices and can also clear out floating chips; when it rises, they sell off at high prices, passing the chips to retail investors. But for retail investors, the situation is completely opposite. When the market falls, they can only cut losses; when it rises, they easily become the ones left holding the bag.
Therefore, if you always trade with a retail investor's mindset, you'll never expect to win. Regardless of how much capital you have, as long as you learn to view the market from the perspective of big players, you can at least grab a little bit of the profit and avoid suffering too much loss.

Adjust your state and patiently wait for opportunities. Keep your coping strategies in mind.
In this high-risk market, how can one survive longer? From this perspective, analyze yourself, improve yourself, and find a trading method that suits you. By achieving this, you have already succeeded halfway!

When you understand the wisdom of being short, learn to wait patiently, and act decisively only when there is a high degree of certainty, and have no regrets even if you miss some seemingly attractive market opportunities, then you already have the ability to make a living by trading.

Currently, we are in the phase of market bubble compression. As various noises and irregularities are gradually being cleared away, people will gradually realize that the cryptocurrency space is not merely a casino; it also possesses intrinsic value. In the future, as more quality projects enter the market through compliant channels like ETFs, those projects with lower market capitalization, higher consensus, less bubble, and a less speculative atmosphere are expected to truly take off.
The essence of investment is not speculation, but a judgment based on value. True investment can achieve profitability. #你看好哪一个山寨币ETF将通过？

In the future, MEME may still bring about a large-scale wealth effect. With their unique cultural influence and community-driven communication, they may continue to attract the attention and participation of a large number of investors.
In the long run, various chaos in the current market, such as regulatory uncertainty and market volatility, may eventually have a positive impact on Bitcoin. As the "digital gold" of cryptocurrency, Bitcoin's scarcity and decentralized characteristics make it more potential for value storage in turbulence.
If Ethereum wants to achieve a real outbreak, it may not be enough to rely solely on ETF pledge. The introduction of RWA may be the key. By digitizing real-world assets and introducing them into blockchain, Ethereum is expected to further expand its application scenarios and attract more participants in the traditional financial field.

The traditional market cycle of "three years of bear and one year of bull" may have been broken. With the maturity of the cryptocurrency market and changes in the external environment, the market's volatility pattern may be more complex and diversified, and investors need to adapt to the new market rhythm.
Please don't FUD. Retail investors are an important part of the market, and everyone's power cannot be ignored!

Trading is a long-term battle. If you want to survive in the market for a long time, you must abandon those deadly bad habits.
Before opening a position, be sure to establish a clear stop-loss plan, rather than hoping for a rebound after the price drops and fantasizing, 'I'll sell when it rebounds.'

Why do you always buy at the bottom, only to find yourself halfway up the mountain? Let’s talk about the tricks of the market makers.
If the coin you bought has been falling for several months and suddenly a big bullish candle appears at the bottom, don’t impulsively chase the rise! Many people see that they finally have a chance to buy at the bottom, only to go all in and realize they just bought halfway up the mountain.

Why can’t you easily buy at the bottom when a big bullish candle appears? There are a few reasons:
First, market makers usually do not continuously produce big bullish candles. Even if they do, there may be a pullback. When market makers create bullish candles, it’s either because the cost price has been reached or because they can’t get low-priced chips and need to push the price up to let those who are stuck sell their holdings, thus allowing them to acquire more low-priced chips. Just think about it, if you’ve been stuck for months and the market maker pushes the price up, are you likely to sell? Many people would, and as a result, the coin price is bound to drop. The market maker at this position will not support the price; what they need is low-priced chips. Therefore, after a big bullish candle at the bottom, a pullback is very likely, generally pulling back by more than 50% of the highest price, so don’t chase the rise at this time.
Second, if the market maker hasn’t finished selling their inventory or the selling price is too low, they will lure in buyers by pushing the price up, attracting those who chase the rise and panic sell. In this case, the big bullish candle is just bait, and there is a high probability of a significant pullback afterward.

So when can you buy at the bottom? If a coin is rapidly falling and suddenly there is a massive volume at the bottom, followed by a quick recovery within 15-30 minutes, forming a pin bar pattern, then it’s time to boldly buy at the bottom! Why? Because during a rapid decline, retail investors generally don’t dare to buy; only market makers will be sweeping up at this position. After the market maker has acquired the chips, they don’t want to share the low-priced chips with retail investors, so they will quickly push the price back up. This is the logic of buying at the bottom; brothers, do you remember it?

Thank you Binance for the Spring Festival gift!
The quality is excellent! Thank you to the Binance team!

This passport holder is my favorite! I'll be using it right away!
I plan to use the box to give to fans. What do you think is the best way to give it away, a lottery or something else?

We must strictly develop the habit of not chasing ups and downs. Whether it is a slow rise or a rapid surge, the ultimate goal is often for large investors to sell.
In this case, you should enter the market after the decline stabilizes, buy more appropriately when entering the market, but reserve some positions.
When rising, set a 5%-10% profit target, strictly follow your own trading principles, and don't hesitate.
Ship in batches, and continue to build positions if it falls.

You have to understand that profits are not made by frequent buying and selling, but by holding on to orders.
There are only two situations for profit: either a large position encounters a small market, or a small position catches up with a big market. Occasionally, if you are lucky, you can also encounter a large position encountering a big market.
But in real transactions, most people are always keen on large positions and small markets, always thinking about making money quickly in short-term fluctuations, and it is best to get rich overnight.
But this method is extremely difficult and has a very low tolerance rate. In the end, most people will let their funds be eaten away by the market bit by bit in frequent entry and exit and continuous stop losses. #加密货币普及

Thank you for the invitation, see you on the 19th at 'Night of Wonder'.

The core of trading is not how many trades you make, but how much profit you can ultimately retain. I've seen many beginners who think trading is like moving bricks; the more they operate, the more they earn.
But if they could seriously review their trading records for the whole year, they would find that the trades that truly bring significant profits are actually only a few.

The CPI data will be announced at 21:30 tonight.
If the CPI is far beyond expectations, it will have a negative impact on the market. The price of Bitcoin is expected to fall by 3% to around $94,000. However, from a long-term perspective, the market still has strong resilience, and after experiencing short-term fluctuations, Bitcoin is likely to rise again.
If the CPI is lower than expected, this is undoubtedly a major positive news for the market. The price of Bitcoin is expected to rebound strongly and quickly return to the $100,000 mark. At the same time, the altcoin market will also usher in a recovery, and the overall market is expected to pick up.
#CPI数据来袭

For small capital traders, appropriately increasing position size can indeed lead to higher returns, but the prerequisite is to have a mature trading strategy and strict risk control. Fantasizing about getting rich overnight or doubling your money quickly is unrealistic, and ignoring risks often results in becoming market 'fodder'.
For example, if the stop-loss setting for a single trade is originally at 1%, it can be moderately relaxed to 2% or 3%. Although the drawdown during a loss will increase, as long as overall risk control is adequate, the account will not be liquidated. It's like driving on the highway; moderately speeding up can help you reach your destination faster, but if you don't control your direction and brakes well, no matter how fast you go, it's easy to flip over.
The key is to let profits grow steadily under controllable risks, rather than just recklessly sprinting to the finish.

At 11 o'clock tonight, Federal Reserve Chairman Powell will attend a Senate hearing and deliver a semi-annual monetary policy testimony. The market is paying close attention to his remarks, as they may have a significant impact on market trends.
If Powell's remarks are bearish, the market may see a wave of declines; conversely, if the content is positive, it may push the market upward. However, given the complexity of the current economic situation, it is difficult to accurately predict what message Powell will convey.
Personally, I think he may not be able to say anything good. 。 。 #美国加征关税

In the past, I always thought that Bitcoin's market cap percentage would gradually decrease in each bull market, as more valuable cryptocurrencies would emerge.
But recently, my thoughts have changed. With the emergence of 37 million worthless altcoins springing up like mushrooms after rain, the market is instead filled with air coins.

Now I believe that Bitcoin will instead siphon off these altcoins, and its market cap percentage may reach new highs, even returning to 80% or even 90%. The polarization of this world will only become more and more apparent.