What to do if the open position is not going in the direction of the market: First, do not panic; second, if you adjusted the stop loss in such a way that you do not lose 20 or 30% of the capital, there is no problem, and you can wait for the liquidation or close the operation if you believe that in the analysis it will go beyond the stop loss; otherwise, just wait because no rising market is eternal and no market has a hard downtrend forever.
$KAITO What is the goal of the Bearish? To bring Kaito down to 0.80, 0.70, 0.60, and 0.50. For this, they work with a technique called stair-step drop, through a Market making which is an algorithm that sells and buys, drives up the price but then lets it fall. Buys cheap and sells expensive, accumulates and distributes. There is a probability that it will rise, I doubt it, but anything is possible in Cryptocurrencies. For that to happen, a flood of buyers is needed to surpass the algorithm and make it fall. REMEMBER, THE MARKET DOES NOT MAKE MISTAKES.
$KAITO Entered a difficult phase but with a wealth of probabilities for the shorts and for the longs. The advantage leans towards the bears, but just moving one card from the castle is enough to collapse the architecture. We'll see what happens REMEMBER, THE MARKET DOES NOT MAKE MISTAKES
$KAITO $KAITO Someone asked me how do you know if the price will go up or down; I replied, I don't know, it's just probabilities, not predictions. One does a series of technical and fundamental analyses and observes the probability of occurrence which can be upwards or downwards according to the technical analysis; suddenly new players appear in the cryptocurrency that were not in the analysis and it throws the analysis and probabilities to the ground; that's why it is necessary to have the stop losses well adjusted for the existence of an unexpected event within the probabilities. REMEMBER, THE MARKET DOES NOT MAKE MISTAKES.
$KAITO 🎲🎲 The dice have already been thrown; it's just a matter of time. Objectives for the Shorts to materialize the drop: 0.70 high-high probability; 0.55 high-medium probability; 0.35 although unlikely medium-low. The longs now depend exclusively on the big players; only they and exclusively they can stop the price from dropping. If everything is already discounted, then we will simply keep playing; otherwise, we'll see you down below. The longs that got trapped above will be liquidated or their positions forcibly closed if the outlook doesn't change. REMEMBER, THE MARKET DOES NOT MAKE MISTAKES.
$KAITO How far can it drop before the fall is complete? Everything points to a minimum target of 0.55 and a maximum of 0.35, watch your stop loss carefully. Tomorrow it could rise, technically, no, but if it does, it would reach up to 1.10 minimum and 1.15 maximum, which is difficult but not impossible and would be quick. Practically, the fate is in the hands of the bears. REMEMBER, THE MARKET DOES NOT MAKE MISTAKES.
$KAITO Destination drop 80% probability, 70% if they absorb the tokens. Probability of increase 37% very low; but in cryptocurrencies and especially in this market, anything is possible. However, the probabilities indicate high liquidations of long positions and forced closures, which would imply a price drop. Some hold on to the illusion that the price will rise, but that implies strong buying, which is not present. Advice for small investors: adjust your stop loss well to minimize the impending loss for longs. Probability of Short Squeeze 20% currently longs pay shorts to maintain their positions. Adjust your stop loss well. Longs have no other option but to change the outlook rather than sell, whether in profit or loss, and close positions. REMEMBER THE MARKET DOES NOT ERR.
$KAITO The psychological pressure has started, the risk of a Short squeeze is minimal, the funding rate has decreased from -0.03 to -0.003 which implies that the Shorts pay the longs for holding the positions but it is a minimal payment with no danger of a Short squeeze. The longs are trying to push the price to support 1.05 which is becoming increasingly difficult but in this Crypto market, anything can happen. Remember, the market does not make mistakes.
$KAITO I will say this again, the probability of longs surviving is low, the liquidations have already begun, there may be a slight rebound but it won't be significant, the longs that got trapped from 1.20 upwards, I don't think that price will come back around there, the most likely scenario is that tomorrow the drop will be deeper with an 80% probability, the 20% is for a small short squeeze. The longs will only have 51% starting tomorrow to push the price up, but the psychological pressure tomorrow will be terrible and will work against them as they see their positions approaching liquidation. The support at 1.05 has not been completely lost, but the bad news is that they are in a generally bearish trend; it's only a matter of time. Tomorrow there will be fear and panic for Kaitos as the hours go by, the longs will be closing positions, and that generates selling pressure just as we have seen now. Technical and fundamental analysis indicates a drop for this currency with a possible rebound that longs can take advantage of to minimize their losses, average occurrence level 50%.
$KAITO Kaito has hope of technically increasing in price, no; it will sink, the longs are about to start panicking more than they already have, they hope to recover, technically, no. Unless it is currently a false breakout, the support was at 1.05, if that support is completely broken the bears will have won the battle, which by the way they have already won more than 50%. Recovery percentage of the longs 43% unless the price has already accounted for the tokens that will be released otherwise the longs may start closing positions before they get liquidated. Now if it is a bear trap we will see the price rise quickly but it will also fall just as fast, probability of occurrence 43%. Another support for the longs with low probabilities of holding 0.96. When you see the price fall quickly, join the party, don't fight against it, you will be liquidated.
$KAITO The general trend is bearish; if it drops to 1.05 and breaks that support, the shorts will have won the battle, and the longs will panic and sell their positions. If it breaks that support, the target for the shorts will be 0.55. By the way, after this day, the longs will have 57% left to perform a short squeeze. Otherwise, there is a high-medium probability that their positions will be liquidated or forcibly closed unless they absorb the tokens that will be released, which may be possible in this crypto market. For the real trend to be bullish, not a micro bullish trend but real, they must break the resistance of 1.40, which by the way, the longs are far from at this moment. Remember, the market does not make mistakes.
if there is a rebound and you go long, take the profits and exit quickly, don't be greedy because it will really be brief and there might be a trap for bulls.
Deepa Rathi
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$KAITO Long 🟢 or short 🟥 please give your opinions...
$KAITO This day that begins is decisive for the longs because the psychological pressure will be against their positions as the price declines, causing the longs to close positions generating more selling pressure, since those who close positions will automatically open short positions to cover their losses, causing the price to drop even further. The longs only have one opportunity, time is running out for them, it is now or they will suffer liquidations and closures of their positions due to the psychological pressure generated by the market. Additionally, the pressure from the negative rate for the high probability of a short squeeze is weakening. Remember the market does not make mistakes.
$KAITO I will say what is happening at this moment. Kaito is in a difficult situation with bears' advantages; first general bearish trend, market uncertainty, and accumulation of tokens in other wallets nothing for the moment, large buyers almost absent, token unlocking is near, a point in favor of the bears. Let's go on the long side, dependence on whales, they have less than 86% to push the price up, tomorrow they would have 71% to push the price up, as long as they cannot push the price up the longs mean that the shorts gain advantages, another in their favor is a short squeeze market over-leveraging in shorts but requires large buying volume. In short, the shorts are winning the battle paying a high financing rate to the longs in order to maintain their positions. Trading against the shorts is a big risk but it would yield a great return, as financial experts say "the greater the risk, the greater the reward" but likewise the loss. On the other hand, trading with the shorts exposes a great advantage if buyers do not appear. My advice is to keep a well-adjusted stop loss, whether you are trading short or long because trend changes are at 1.05 for the shorts that already have the trend in their favor and would take the price down to 0.55 and on the bullish trend side it is at 1.40 any break of these supports would imply a substantial change in $KAITO In short, the longs are running out of time.
According to experience, it is easier for you to be liquidated downwards than upwards, which is why I prefer shorts because sooner or later the illusion of longs comes to an end, and history has shown this. This is because the world is always in conflict, and that guarantees that sooner or later, every financial market will fall. My philosophy is to short; I do not disregard longs, but it is very illusory. I clarify that everyone trades according to what they feel comfortable with. $KAITO $EIGEN
Sad, I operated short, I regret the longs, that's why fundamental and technical analysis is important, I researched that whales were withdrawing their tokens, suspicious, drop.
A large part of the market bleeds many longs in Eigenlayer were eliminated and in Kaito there were several that I told to close positions I don't know if they listened but look Eigenlayer reached up to 0.50 after being at 2.16, I advised one who had an open Short position don't close, it was a position of 24 thousand and something dollars opened at 1.88 I know it didn't reach the drop to 0.50 but for sure it went super well for him. The point is that all of us who work Short operations were not excellent, I traded in Eigenlayer and Kaito so let's enjoy our benefits. Happy day or afternoon as the case may be.