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BITCOIN 1H CHART UPDATE: BTC TESTING A KEY BREAKOUT LEVEL
Bitcoin is currently sitting at a major decision point.
After recovering from the recent sell-off, BTC has pushed back towards the $64,000 resistance zone and is now trading around $63,900.
The key battle right now is clear:
Can Bitcoin reclaim $64,000 and turn this resistance into support?
Over the past few days, BTC has made multiple attempts to break above this area, but each move has been met with selling pressure.
This tells us $64,000 is not just a random level.
There is clearly a large amount of supply sitting above this zone, with sellers defending every attempt to move higher.
However, the structure is starting to improve.
Bitcoin has been making higher lows since finding support around the $62,500-$63,000 region, showing buyers are still stepping in on dips.
The current setup:
Resistance:
$64,000
If BTC can get a clean 1H close above $64,000 and hold the level as support, the next major area we are watching is $65,000.
A successful reclaim would confirm that buyers have absorbed the selling pressure and could open the door towards higher resistance levels.
Support:
$63,000
If Bitcoin fails again at $64,000, the first level to watch is the $63,000 support zone.
A loss of this area would weaken the short-term structure and increase the probability of another move lower.
From a ChartHouse Research perspective, this is one of the more important short-term moments for Bitcoin.
The market has already shown strength by recovering back into resistance.
Now the question is whether buyers have enough momentum to break through, or whether this becomes another rejection point.
With derivatives positioning cooling, ETF flows returning positive, exchange balances being monitored, and liquidity still sitting within the ecosystem, the ingredients are there for a move higher.
But price still needs to confirm.
For now, $64,000 remains the level that decides the next short-term move.
Bitcoin is currently sitting at a major decision point.
After recovering from the recent sell-off, BTC has pushed back towards the $64,000 resistance zone and is now trading around $63,900.
The key battle right now is clear:
Can Bitcoin reclaim $64,000 and turn this resistance into support?
Over the past few days, BTC has made multiple attempts to break above this area, but each move has been met with selling pressure.
This tells us $64,000 is not just a random level.
There is clearly a large amount of supply sitting above this zone, with sellers defending every attempt to move higher.
However, the structure is starting to improve.
Bitcoin has been making higher lows since finding support around the $62,500-$63,000 region, showing buyers are still stepping in on dips.
The current setup:
Resistance:
$64,000
If BTC can get a clean 1H close above $64,000 and hold the level as support, the next major area we are watching is $65,000.
A successful reclaim would confirm that buyers have absorbed the selling pressure and could open the door towards higher resistance levels.
Support:
$63,000
If Bitcoin fails again at $64,000, the first level to watch is the $63,000 support zone.
A loss of this area would weaken the short-term structure and increase the probability of another move lower.
From a ChartHouse Research perspective, this is one of the more important short-term moments for Bitcoin.
The market has already shown strength by recovering back into resistance.
Now the question is whether buyers have enough momentum to break through, or whether this becomes another rejection point.
With derivatives positioning cooling, ETF flows returning positive, exchange balances being monitored, and liquidity still sitting within the ecosystem, the ingredients are there for a move higher.
But price still needs to confirm.
For now, $64,000 remains the level that decides the next short-term move.
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04 h 02 m 00 s
19.2k
87
$BTC has slipped to $62.6k as spot demand remains weak and derivatives stay defensive.
Stronger on-chain activity, resilient holders and ETF inflows offer support, but conviction remains muted.
#BTc
Stronger on-chain activity, resilient holders and ETF inflows offer support, but conviction remains muted.
#BTc
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03 h 19 m 33 s
9.3k
74
Bitcoin 4H Chart Update
Bitcoin is continuing to trade inside the same range, with price once again being rejected around the $64,000 resistance level.
So far, neither buyers nor sellers have been able to force a decisive move, which is why patience remains important here.
The key thing we're watching is how Bitcoin behaves around $64,000.
A clean reclaim and sustained hold above this level would put $65,700 back into focus. That remains the first major resistance, and if bulls can break through it with conviction, the next significant level sits at $67,200.
On the downside, $63,000 continues to act as the range support. It's been defended multiple times over the past week and remains an important area for buyers to hold. Losing that level would likely open the door for a move into the $61,000 support zone.
What stands out to us is that despite the recent volatility across macro markets, Bitcoin is still respecting these technical levels remarkably well. Price isn't breaking down, but it also isn't showing enough strength to confirm a trend reversal yet.
When we combine this with today's data:
• Funding rates remain relatively neutral.
• Open interest has started rebuilding after the recent flush.
• Exchange inflows remain contained rather than accelerating.
• Stablecoin liquidity is still sitting near cycle highs.
• Bitcoin dominance is gradually recovering, showing capital is still favouring BTC over higher-risk altcoins.
Taken together, this still looks like a market searching for its next catalyst rather than one entering a sustained trend.
Our focus hasn't changed:
Above $64,000, momentum begins improving.
A confirmed break above $65,700 shifts the structure back in favour of the bulls.
Below $63,000, the probability of testing $61,000 increases significantly.
For now, this continues to look like consolidation inside a well-defined range, and until one of these levels breaks, we expect price to remain reactive rather than directional.
Bitcoin is continuing to trade inside the same range, with price once again being rejected around the $64,000 resistance level.
So far, neither buyers nor sellers have been able to force a decisive move, which is why patience remains important here.
The key thing we're watching is how Bitcoin behaves around $64,000.
A clean reclaim and sustained hold above this level would put $65,700 back into focus. That remains the first major resistance, and if bulls can break through it with conviction, the next significant level sits at $67,200.
On the downside, $63,000 continues to act as the range support. It's been defended multiple times over the past week and remains an important area for buyers to hold. Losing that level would likely open the door for a move into the $61,000 support zone.
What stands out to us is that despite the recent volatility across macro markets, Bitcoin is still respecting these technical levels remarkably well. Price isn't breaking down, but it also isn't showing enough strength to confirm a trend reversal yet.
When we combine this with today's data:
• Funding rates remain relatively neutral.
• Open interest has started rebuilding after the recent flush.
• Exchange inflows remain contained rather than accelerating.
• Stablecoin liquidity is still sitting near cycle highs.
• Bitcoin dominance is gradually recovering, showing capital is still favouring BTC over higher-risk altcoins.
Taken together, this still looks like a market searching for its next catalyst rather than one entering a sustained trend.
Our focus hasn't changed:
Above $64,000, momentum begins improving.
A confirmed break above $65,700 shifts the structure back in favour of the bulls.
Below $63,000, the probability of testing $61,000 increases significantly.
For now, this continues to look like consolidation inside a well-defined range, and until one of these levels breaks, we expect price to remain reactive rather than directional.
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End
03 h 33 m 31 s
12.5k
33
STABLECOIN MARKET CAP UPDATE
One metric we've been paying very close attention to is stablecoin liquidity.
It's one of the clearest ways to gauge how much capital is sitting on the sidelines waiting to enter the market.
Right now, the data is sending a pretty interesting message.
• The total stablecoin market cap remains close to all-time highs despite Bitcoin trading well below its cycle peak.
• USDT supply is still holding around record levels. There hasn't been a meaningful contraction in liquidity, which tells us capital hasn't left crypto, it's simply become more selective.
• USDC has seen enormous growth over the past year and continues to hold most of those gains. Institutional participation is still far stronger than it was in previous cycles.
The key takeaway for us is this:
If investors were genuinely exiting crypto, we'd expect to see stablecoin supply shrinking as capital leaves the ecosystem.
That's not what's happening.
Instead, liquidity is largely staying inside crypto while participants wait for higher-conviction opportunities.
This fits with what we're seeing across the rest of the market:
• Funding rates remain relatively neutral.
• ETF flows have become more mixed after months of heavy buying.
• Exchange balances aren't showing signs of widespread panic selling.
• Stablecoin liquidity remains elevated.
When we put all of those pieces together, it looks less like money is leaving the market and more like capital is temporarily sitting on the sidelines.
From our perspective, that's an important distinction.
The next sustained move higher is likely to require this existing liquidity to rotate back into risk assets rather than entirely new capital entering the market.
For now, that's one of the biggest metrics we're watching.
The money is still here.
It's just waiting for conviction.
One metric we've been paying very close attention to is stablecoin liquidity.
It's one of the clearest ways to gauge how much capital is sitting on the sidelines waiting to enter the market.
Right now, the data is sending a pretty interesting message.
• The total stablecoin market cap remains close to all-time highs despite Bitcoin trading well below its cycle peak.
• USDT supply is still holding around record levels. There hasn't been a meaningful contraction in liquidity, which tells us capital hasn't left crypto, it's simply become more selective.
• USDC has seen enormous growth over the past year and continues to hold most of those gains. Institutional participation is still far stronger than it was in previous cycles.
The key takeaway for us is this:
If investors were genuinely exiting crypto, we'd expect to see stablecoin supply shrinking as capital leaves the ecosystem.
That's not what's happening.
Instead, liquidity is largely staying inside crypto while participants wait for higher-conviction opportunities.
This fits with what we're seeing across the rest of the market:
• Funding rates remain relatively neutral.
• ETF flows have become more mixed after months of heavy buying.
• Exchange balances aren't showing signs of widespread panic selling.
• Stablecoin liquidity remains elevated.
When we put all of those pieces together, it looks less like money is leaving the market and more like capital is temporarily sitting on the sidelines.
From our perspective, that's an important distinction.
The next sustained move higher is likely to require this existing liquidity to rotate back into risk assets rather than entirely new capital entering the market.
For now, that's one of the biggest metrics we're watching.
The money is still here.
It's just waiting for conviction.
BITCOIN DOMINANCE UPDATE
Bitcoin dominance is starting to show strength again.
After rejecting from the 59.5% area, BTC.D pulled back towards the 58.8% level and is now attempting to stabilise around 58.9%.
The important thing to understand:
Rising Bitcoin dominance means capital is flowing into Bitcoin faster than the rest of the crypto market.
This usually happens when:
• Investors prefer the liquidity and relative strength of Bitcoin
• Risk appetite across altcoins weakens
• Capital rotates back into BTC during periods of uncertainty
Looking at the current structure:
Bitcoin dominance has been trending higher since the beginning of the move, pushing from the 58.2% area towards 59.5% before the recent pullback.
The key level we are watching is 59%.
A clean reclaim and hold above this area would suggest Bitcoin is continuing to absorb market liquidity, which could keep pressure on altcoins in the short term.
However, if BTC.D loses the 58.8% support zone, we could see capital begin rotating back into altcoins.
Our current view:
Bitcoin dominance strengthening while BTC holds key support levels suggests the market is still favouring Bitcoin over higher-risk assets.
This does not mean altcoins cannot move, but the current data shows Bitcoin remains the preferred destination for crypto capital.
The next move in BTC dominance will be important in determining whether we continue in a Bitcoin-led market phase or whether broader risk appetite starts returning across crypto.
Bitcoin dominance is starting to show strength again.
After rejecting from the 59.5% area, BTC.D pulled back towards the 58.8% level and is now attempting to stabilise around 58.9%.
The important thing to understand:
Rising Bitcoin dominance means capital is flowing into Bitcoin faster than the rest of the crypto market.
This usually happens when:
• Investors prefer the liquidity and relative strength of Bitcoin
• Risk appetite across altcoins weakens
• Capital rotates back into BTC during periods of uncertainty
Looking at the current structure:
Bitcoin dominance has been trending higher since the beginning of the move, pushing from the 58.2% area towards 59.5% before the recent pullback.
The key level we are watching is 59%.
A clean reclaim and hold above this area would suggest Bitcoin is continuing to absorb market liquidity, which could keep pressure on altcoins in the short term.
However, if BTC.D loses the 58.8% support zone, we could see capital begin rotating back into altcoins.
Our current view:
Bitcoin dominance strengthening while BTC holds key support levels suggests the market is still favouring Bitcoin over higher-risk assets.
This does not mean altcoins cannot move, but the current data shows Bitcoin remains the preferred destination for crypto capital.
The next move in BTC dominance will be important in determining whether we continue in a Bitcoin-led market phase or whether broader risk appetite starts returning across crypto.
BITCOIN EXCHANGE NETFLOW UPDATE
One of the most important things we track at Chart House Research is whether Bitcoin is moving towards exchanges or away from them.
Why?
Because exchange flows give us an insight into whether holders are preparing to sell, or whether BTC is being moved into longer-term storage
Looking at the latest data, the takeaway is simple:
We are not seeing type of sustained exchange inflows that typically appear during major distribution phases.
Over previous market tops, large amounts of BTC consistently flowing onto exchanges has often been a warning sign, as more supply becomes available for sellers
Right now, the data looks balanced
We are seeing periods of both inflows & outflows, showing that market is actively repositioning, but there is no clear evidence of aggressive selling from holders
The important part
BTC has retraced significantly from its previous highs, yet exchange activity has not shown same level of panic selling that has historically appeared during major corrections
This suggests current weakness may be more related to short-term market positioning and leverage resets rather than a broad-based exit from BTC
We are not ignoring the risk
If exchange inflows begin increasing consistently while Bitcoin struggles to reclaim key resistance levels, that would indicate growing sell-side pressure
For now, the data shows
• No major wave of BTC moving onto exchanges
• No clear sign of widespread holder distribution
• Market participants appear to be repositioning rather than exiting
Our current view
Exchange netflows alone are not enough to predict Bitcoin's next move, but combined with ETF flows, open interest, funding rates and liquidation data, they help build a clearer picture of market conditions.
At the moment, the data suggests Bitcoin is in a consolidation phase where supply dynamics remain relatively stable.
The levels we continue watching:
$62,000 support
$63,000-$64,000 reclaim zone
A break from this range, combined with changes in exchange flows, will likely provide the next major signal
One of the most important things we track at Chart House Research is whether Bitcoin is moving towards exchanges or away from them.
Why?
Because exchange flows give us an insight into whether holders are preparing to sell, or whether BTC is being moved into longer-term storage
Looking at the latest data, the takeaway is simple:
We are not seeing type of sustained exchange inflows that typically appear during major distribution phases.
Over previous market tops, large amounts of BTC consistently flowing onto exchanges has often been a warning sign, as more supply becomes available for sellers
Right now, the data looks balanced
We are seeing periods of both inflows & outflows, showing that market is actively repositioning, but there is no clear evidence of aggressive selling from holders
The important part
BTC has retraced significantly from its previous highs, yet exchange activity has not shown same level of panic selling that has historically appeared during major corrections
This suggests current weakness may be more related to short-term market positioning and leverage resets rather than a broad-based exit from BTC
We are not ignoring the risk
If exchange inflows begin increasing consistently while Bitcoin struggles to reclaim key resistance levels, that would indicate growing sell-side pressure
For now, the data shows
• No major wave of BTC moving onto exchanges
• No clear sign of widespread holder distribution
• Market participants appear to be repositioning rather than exiting
Our current view
Exchange netflows alone are not enough to predict Bitcoin's next move, but combined with ETF flows, open interest, funding rates and liquidation data, they help build a clearer picture of market conditions.
At the moment, the data suggests Bitcoin is in a consolidation phase where supply dynamics remain relatively stable.
The levels we continue watching:
$62,000 support
$63,000-$64,000 reclaim zone
A break from this range, combined with changes in exchange flows, will likely provide the next major signal
Strategy Sells 1,638 BTC to Raise Capital
In a rare move, Strategy confirmed the sale of 1,638 BTC last week while simultaneously raising fresh capital via equity sales.
This unexpected pause in their long-running accumulation strategy has traders debating: standard treasury management or a strategic pivot?
#Bitcoin
In a rare move, Strategy confirmed the sale of 1,638 BTC last week while simultaneously raising fresh capital via equity sales.
This unexpected pause in their long-running accumulation strategy has traders debating: standard treasury management or a strategic pivot?
#Bitcoin
·
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05 h 44 m 34 s
14.9k
54
DEX Market Share Hits All-Time High at 24% 📈
A major shift in crypto trading behavior: Decentralized exchanges (DEXs) captured a record 24% of global spot crypto trading volume last month.
Traders continue to move away from centralized exchanges in favor of self-custodial on-chain trading. Self-sovereignty is winning. 🔑
#DeFi
A major shift in crypto trading behavior: Decentralized exchanges (DEXs) captured a record 24% of global spot crypto trading volume last month.
Traders continue to move away from centralized exchanges in favor of self-custodial on-chain trading. Self-sovereignty is winning. 🔑
#DeFi
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