Saylor hints at “the king returns”: after two months of silence, could Strategy restart its Bitcoin accumulation strategy?
After stopping its Bitcoin purchases for more than two months, Strategy co-founder Michael Saylor posted on X yesterday, saying “We’re back,” along with a chart showing the company’s past six years of more than 110 Bitcoin trades.
This minimalist remark instantly ignited the community and sparked public speculation. Many members commented that the giant known for its “crazy hoarding of coins” may be about to end its quiet period and restart a frenzy of Bitcoin acquisitions.
Looking back at Strategy’s recent moves, the company’s last publicly disclosed Bitcoin purchase was June 22, corresponding to the week of June 15–21. After that, over the next two months, the company not only paused accumulation, but also rarely made multiple sales—highly unusual for its six-year trading history.
Meanwhile, the company is also carrying out large-scale fundraising and capital operations. Moreover, after the latest initiative rolled out last week, it additionally established a $1.59 billion cash plan to supplement its $5.1 billion regular USD reserve.
In addition, the STRC preferred shares—which at one point dipped below par value to $75—have recently rebounded strongly to above $97, greatly easing the company’s financial pressure.
Saylor’s statement comes as Bitcoin’s price has bottomed out and rebounded. In the past week and a half, BTC has risen from below $65,000 to around $78,500.
Given Strategy’s average entry cost of $75,653, this means the company has returned to paper profits for the first time since May.
Just a few weeks ago, the unrealized losses on its holdings had also at one point exceeded $10 billion. The return to profitability provides the most direct financial backing for it to restart buying.
As for the specific restart timeline, the current CEO Phong Le previously hinted at some clues, saying it “may happen before the end of the year,” but did not provide further details.
Saylor’s public remarks have drawn intense market attention. It remains unclear whether this is an official signal for a new round of buying plans or simply a reaction to the company’s stock price rebound. The market is waiting to see what happens after trading opens on Monday.
Bitcoin’s realized capitalization has increased by more than $4.6 billion week-on-week, but the rebound in on-chain liquidity has not yet been fully confirmed
According to data from CryptoQuant analyst Darkfost, as of the week ending August 30, Bitcoin’s realized cap recorded a gain of over $4.6 billion, marking the most intense short-term realized cap volatility since this bear-market cycle began.
Meanwhile, Bitcoin’s price rebounded sharply from around $63,000 at the beginning of August to above $80,000, at one point touching a three-month high of $81,520, indicating that market liquidity is clearly improving.
However, Darkfost noted that this $4.6 billion increase is not entirely attributable to new capital. The key factor is that some investors who entered at higher levels have been forced to cut positions during the recent pullback. The UTXOs generated by this discounted sell-off can also raise realized cap.
Therefore, while this rebound to some extent supports signs of liquidity returning, it is far from enough to confirm that all of this incremental rise comes from new OTC buyers.
Although on-chain data still needs comprehensive confirmation, the real demand in the spot market provides strong supporting evidence. As of August 27, US Bitcoin spot ETFs saw total net inflows exceeding $3 billion for 9 consecutive days, suggesting that the price recovery is not driven solely by leveraged speculation.
In addition, the macro environment—such as the continued weakening of the US dollar and the US Treasury’s expansion of its long-term bond purchase program—has also prompted investors to reposition scarce assets like Bitcoin based on a “devaluation trade” logic.
That said, analysts remain cautious about the sustainability of this liquidity rebound. Bitcoin’s 30-day average growth rate is only 0.4%, meaning the liquidity expansion trend has not yet been sufficiently confirmed.
In Darkfost’s view, the true confirmation signal of liquidity recovery would require several consecutive weeks of positive growth in realized capital, along with a meaningful increase in the 30-day average growth rate, to prove that a new cost basis is being steadily built.
AI investment frenzy rekindles the myth of wealth creation: in 2025, the number of global billionaires and their total wealth both hit historic record highs
August 30—According to the latest annual report released by wealth intelligence firm Altrata, driven strongly by the AI investment boom, the global wealth landscape achieved a historic leap in 2025.
The report states that the total number of billionaires worldwide reached 3,795 this year, setting a new record. Even more strikingly, the combined wealth of these top tycoons surged 12.8% year over year to $1.51 trillion.
From a macro perspective, this figure already accounts for nearly one quarter of the total market capitalization of the companies that make up the U.S. S&P 500—signaling that the concentration of global top wealth has reached an unprecedented level.
At the very top of this ranking, there are 29 individuals with fortunes exceeding $5 billion. Tech industry representatives such as Larry Page, Elon Musk, and Jeff Bezos are among them, and AI is the core engine behind entrepreneurs’ explosive wealth growth.
The analysis indicates that as AI business footprints expand at high speed, the fortunes of many tech entrepreneurs rise in tandem with the growth of their companies’ market values. AI has already become the central driver of global wealth growth in 2025.
The report also reveals these billionaires’ preferred directions for allocating their wealth, noting that sports and philanthropy are their two most favored areas for investment.
Data show that 201 billionaires directly own sports organizations or invest in sports franchise rights.
In their view, investing in professional sports teams is not only an effective way to showcase the scale of one’s financial might, but also a key channel to expand elite social circles and integrate into core resource networks.
Meanwhile, philanthropy is also a key way for billionaires to amplify their social impact. With deep financial resources and industry capabilities, they move into public-interest efforts—empowering industrial innovation—while fulfilling social responsibilities and, at the same time, strengthening their voice in the public sphere.
This week, spot Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs saw total net inflows of approximately $1.749 billion. Among crypto ETFs of all categories, only one had a net outflow of spot capital.
On August 30, according to SosoValue data, US BTC spot ETFs recorded $924 million in net inflows this week, marking the 3rd week of cumulative net inflows since August;
Among them, BlackRock’s IBIT and Grayscale’s BTC, with $938 million and $81.83 million respectively, ranked first and second for total net inflows this week;
Next were Fidelity’s FBTC and Morgan Stanley’s MSBT, recording $61.98 million and $25.25 million respectively in total net inflows for the week;
Meanwhile, ARK 21Shares ARKB and Grayscale’s GBTC saw net outflows of $85.14 million and $77.60 million respectively for the week;
Bitwise’s BITB and VanEck’s HODL also recorded weekly net outflows of $16.00 million and $4.16 million respectively;
As of now, the total net asset value of Bitcoin spot ETFs is $97.59 billion, accounting for 6.28% of Bitcoin’s total market capitalization, with cumulative total net inflows of $54.63 billion.
In the same week, US Ethereum spot ETFs recorded $824 million in net inflows, also marking the 3rd week of cumulative net inflows since August;
Among them, BlackRock’s ETHA, Fidelity’s FETH, and BlackRock’s ETHB ranked in the top three for total net inflows this week, at $567 million, $96.50 million, and $77.29 million respectively;
Next were Grayscale’s ETH, Morgan Stanley’s MSSE, and VanEck’s ETHV, recording $61.47 million, $8.63 million, and $4.51 million respectively in total net inflows for the week;
Grayscale’s ETHE, 21Shares TETH, Bitwise’s ETHW, and Franklin’s EZET recorded weekly net inflows of $3.02 million, $2.71 million, $2.32 million, and nearly $0.94 million respectively;
As of now, the total net asset value of Ethereum spot ETFs is $15.23 billion, accounting for 5.20% of Ethereum’s total market capitalization, with cumulative total net inflows of $12.97 billion.
For other spot ETFs, aside from the LTC ETF, which recorded nearly $240,000 in total net outflows for the week, XRP, SOL, DOGE, LINK, HBAR, and HYPE ETFs all recorded total net inflows to varying degrees for the week.
Traders: Bitcoin bear market depth is getting shallower, and late entrants should be wary of a market that may have already run ahead
On August 29, Killa, a trader focused on BTC quantitative analysis, posted on the X platform. By reviewing data from Bitcoin’s multiple bull and bear cycles, he observed that the current bear market’s downside depth is narrowing step by step.
Personally, he believes that the bottom of this Bitcoin cycle has likely already been formed. And investors who are still expecting a drop to $50,000 in October are almost unlikely to wait for such a scenario to unfold.
However, Killa mentioned a fairly realistic risk concern: if Bitcoin dips to $61,000, the liquidation size for long positions is expected to reach $20 billion;
and from an incentive standpoint, market makers themselves have a strong motive to deliberately suppress the price and liquidate these long positions, and then redeploy by rebuilding and entering new positions.
Killa has more than 200,000 followers on X. He accurately predicted the peak of this bull cycle last May. In mid-April this year, at a Bitcoin price of $74,688, he opened a short position, and then flipped to go long after the market sold off broadly on June 5.
In summary, based on the current market action, traders believe that investors who are fixated on waiting for the perfect “needle-insertion” bottom-picking entry are likely to experience the market running ahead of schedule.
Analyst: Bitcoin Nears $80,000 Triggering a Surge in Exchange Inflows, But Pullbacks Quietly Reduce Near-Term Selling Pressure
August 30 — As Bitcoin once again charges toward the key resistance level of $80,000, on-chain data shows that the market is undergoing a large-scale contest of capital.
In a report yesterday, CryptoQuant analyst Darkfost said that over the past 7 days, inflows of Bitcoin into centralized exchanges (CeX) have risen sharply, peaking when BTC tested the $80,000 threshold.
Looking at the segmented data from exchanges, the pressure from selling/turnover is mainly concentrated on the top platforms. Among them, Binance ranks first with net inflows averaging about 10,700 BTC per day, followed by Coinbase Advanced with average daily inflows of roughly 7,100 BTC per day;
Meanwhile, Kraken and OKX also recorded more than 2,000 BTC of average daily inflows. Such a significant transfer of holdings once again confirms the market’s hesitation and re-positioning ahead of a key psychological level.
Darkfost explains that $80,000 draws such a large volume of sell orders because it represents the average cost basis of all capital invested in Bitcoin—an “inflection point” for breakeven.
Whenever the price reaches this level, many investors choose to lock in small profits or exit via stop-losses, causing this area to become a natural concentration zone for sell pressure.
However, as Bitcoin’s price has recently pulled back, near-term selling pressure has clearly weakened. But this subtle shift in sentiment is not the end of the trend—it is more like a “clearing of positions” before an upward move.
The analyst believes that as long as the selling pressure can continue to ease, after this round of profit-taking turnover is digested, Bitcoin will very likely soon test upward again and attempt to break through this critical resistance level.
The Federal Reserve Chair made his debut at the annual gathering of global central banks yesterday, and the probability of a rate hike in September has jumped to 60% #美联储主席 #加息概率
An $80,000 breakout is the key watershed for BTC: strong resistance sits above at $83,000–$84,500; once that level is breached, BTC could be headed toward $100,000
On August 28, multiple crypto analysts shared their interpretations of Bitcoin’s key price levels. The prevailing market consensus is that the $80,000 level—either as a decisive threshold or as the market’s main focal point—is critical.
CryptoQuant analyst Darkfost, using a capital-weighted model, estimates that Bitcoin’s average market investment cost is about $79,600. This means the average invested capital is already close to $80,000, making this price an important psychological and technical barrier.
The analysis suggests that if Bitcoin can hold above $80,000 on both daily and weekly closes, it would imply that most market positions shift into a profitable zone, releasing a strong bullish signal.
Ali Martinez, meanwhile, based on the weekly chart pattern, noted that Bitcoin’s current走势 resembles the bottom structure from late 2022 to late 2023. It has already broken out of a descending trendline, and the $83,000 area near the May 2026 high is again expected to draw keen attention.
On-chain data from the URPD platform shows that Bitcoin previously accumulated around 973,000 BTC within the $83,307–$84,569 range, forming a strong resistance zone. The first attempt to break into this range will most likely face sell pressure.
At present, on-chain trader profit margins have risen to 25%. Historically, after reaching this level, profit-taking often follows. Some large whales have already realized roughly $88 million in gains, and the risk of a short-term pullback has increased.
To deal with potential sell pressure, Ali Martinez marked two key support lines. The first support zone is at $76,996–$78,258, where about 843,000 BTC has settled;
Conversely, if this support zone is broken, the next demand area the market will likely test drops to $63,111, where about 925,000 BTC had previously traded.
In Martine’s view, if this round of price action pulls back but holds above the pullback support level, it could become another excellent buying window before an attempt to push toward $100,000.
In summary: $80,000 is the average holding-cost line for Bitcoin. Holding above it would mean most coins turn profitable. However, entering the dense trading range of $83,000–$84,500 would likely face resistance from trapped positions. The risk of a short-term choppy pullback should not be ignored.
Do you think Bitcoin will firmly hold above the weekly $80,000 level and then directly break the strong resistance at $84,500, or will it first pull back to test the support zone? See you in the comments!
BTC and ETH spot ETFs saw total net inflows of nearly $477 million on Thursday, marking the 9th consecutive day of net inflows
On August 27, according to SoSovalue data, the U.S. BTC spot ETF had yesterday’s inflows of $242 million, recording the 9th straight day of total net inflows;
Among them, BlackRock’s IBIT, Ark & 21Shares’ ARKB, and Bitwise’ BITB recorded daily net inflows of nearly $278 million (about 3,470 BTC), $29.75 million (371.33 BTC), and $21.74 million (271.33 BTC), respectively;
Next were Grayscale’s BTC, Morgan Stanley’s MSBT, and VanEck’s HODL, which recorded daily net inflows of $11.66 million (145.55 BTC), $6.66 million (83.09 BTC), and $5.66 million (70.70 BTC), respectively;
Fidelity’s FBTC and Grayscale’s GBTC, however, recorded daily net outflows of $83.63 million (1,040 BTC) and $27.21 million (339.64 BTC), respectively;
As of now, the total net asset value of Bitcoin spot ETFs is $100.93 billion, representing 6.28% of Bitcoin’s total market value, with cumulative total net inflows of $54.83 billion.
In the same day, U.S. Ethereum spot ETFs brought in nearly $235 million, also recording the 9th consecutive day of total net inflows;
Among them, BlackRock’s ETHA and Fidelity’s FETH ranked first and second for yesterday’s net inflows, with $130 million (about 51,900 ETH) and $56.23 million (about 22,410 ETH), respectively;
Next were BlackRock’s ETHB and Grayscale’s ETH, recording daily net inflows of $20.67 million (about 8,240 ETH) and $14.31 million (about 5,700 ETH), respectively;
Morgan Stanley’s MSSE, Grayscale’s ETHE, and Bitwise’s ETHW recorded daily net inflows of $8.63 million (about 3,440 ETH), $3.02 million (about 1,200 ETH), and $1.44 million (about 572.08 ETH), respectively;
As of now, the total net asset value of Ethereum spot ETFs is $15.57 billion, representing 5.14% of Ethereum’s total market value, with cumulative total net inflows of $12.87 billion.
Bloomberg: SEC’s Proposed New Rule Would Revive Public Token Offerings, but the Market Can’t Recreate the 2018 ICO Craze
August 28, according to Bloomberg, the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) has recently put forward a new regulatory framework for crypto-asset financing, aiming to reignite the long-dormant ICO (initial coin offering) funding model.
Under the proposal, startups would be allowed to raise up to $5 million within four years, while the annual funding cap for large projects would be raised to $75 million, and they would not need to submit a complete SEC registration filing.
Judging by the regulatory intent behind the new crypto-asset financing rules, this is undoubtedly a groundbreaking move toward “compliance-based direct financing.”
However, just as the regulatory door has barely opened, the market has already moved on. Bloomberg admits in its report that today’s financing environment is no longer comparable to the frenzy of the 2018 ICO boom.
Data shows that at the peak in January 2018, the monthly funding scale for ICOs reached as high as $3 billion. Today, however, token trading volumes have declined sharply, and retail speculative capital has shifted toward perpetual futures contracts, prediction markets, and the U.S. stock AI sector.
For this “late gift,” industry giants have shown a notably restrained and clear-eyed stance. Dragonfly partner Tom Schmidt said bluntly that having such a rule is better than not having one, but if it had been introduced years ago, its impact would have been far greater.
Pantera Capital partner Cosmo Jiang, meanwhile, directly pointed to the industry’s current reality: previously, meme coins were deemed legal, while tokens with actual value were instead banned—this completely defies the logic of how capitalist societies operate.
Taken together, multiple analysts appear to share a rational consensus. That is, token financing in 2026 will never simply replicate the 2018 ICO wave.
Back then, the market could attract large amounts of capital based solely on whitepapers and concept-driven stories. But after multiple cycles of bull and bear markets, changes in the regulatory environment, and macroeconomic fluctuations, the judgment of investment institutions today has become more pragmatic and cautious.
Therefore, relying only on regulatory compliance exemptions—without genuine cash flow and narrative support—will likely be unable to reignite the financing enthusiasm of that “lawless era.”
Analyst: Bitcoin is Repeating a Late-2022 Bottom-Break Pattern; $83,000 Is a Key Level to Watch
On August 28, well-known analyst Ali Charts published a weekly chart analysis post and pointed out that Bitcoin’s current price action is replicating the macro structure seen just before the start of the epic bull market in 2023.
After reviewing historical price movements, Ali found that Bitcoin broke above a declining trend in 2023, tested the prior year’s August high, and then pulled back to around $20,000—after which it began a new round of upward move. Now the market is forming a similar pattern structure.
Based on the BTC weekly chart, Ali Charts said the focus of observation is a key price level formed in May 2026—around $83,000, the prior high. This level also serves as the “equal-equivalent prior high” benchmark against historical comparisons for this current cycle.
He further noted that if Bitcoin can stabilize effectively in this zone and achieve a bottoming reversal (i.e., confirm by revisiting and testing that price level), it is highly likely to set the stage for the next major buying opportunity.
Regarding the question mentioned in the post about “a Bitcoin buying opportunity below $100,000,” the analysis may suggest that the current high-level consolidation is not a trend reversal, but rather accumulation ahead of the launch of a larger market move.
For right-side traders, whether or not Bitcoin can hold or fail at the $83,000 key level will become an important watershed for judging whether the second half of the year can see a strong upward surge.
Strive CEO Prediction: In the next 4–5 years, Bitcoin will easily break through the $500,000 mark, and the dollar’s devaluation pace will far exceed the average of the past 15 years
On August 28, according to reports by foreign media, Strive CEO Matt Cole made an extremely aggressive prediction to investors in a recent interview.
He believes that within the next 4 to 5 years, Bitcoin’s price will “very easily break through the $500,000 threshold,” while gold and silver will also see significant gains.
Matt Cole pointed out that the core logic behind this astonishing prediction is not simply a bullish view on crypto assets, but rather stems from deep concerns about the fiat currency system.
He also emphasized that the U.S. dollar is experiencing ongoing depreciation, and that the pace of devaluation is likely to far exceed the average of the past 15 years in the coming 4 to 5 years.
Therefore, he reminded investors not to judge future asset prices by today’s purchasing power of the dollar, because “by then, the same one dollar will be able to buy far less than it can today.”
Based on the macro outlook above, Matt Cole said bluntly that “the next year may be somewhat tough,” because amid economic volatility and eroding fiat purchasing power, cash held by ordinary people faces a serious risk of shrinking in real value.
He also said that whether investors want to grow their wealth or simply protect their family’s wealth, they must plan ahead and turn their attention to scarce assets that can hedge against inflation, because “the prices of these scarce assets will rise very high.”
It is understood that Strive’s core investment理念 has long been known for directly fighting inflation and opposing the traditional fiat-credit system.
Of note is that the aggressive nature of Matt Cole’s prediction closely aligns with the “hard-asset” strategy that Strive, an asset-management giant, has consistently promoted.
And against the backdrop of ongoing inflows into Bitcoin spot ETFs and rising expectations of interest-rate cuts, this forecast undoubtedly injects bullish sentiment into the crypto market and reinforces the narrative of Bitcoin as a “digital gold” to counter dollar depreciation.
In summary, Matt Cole’s disruptive $500,000 target price prediction is not only a bet on current market sentiment, but also a high-profile continuation of the firm’s long-term macro narrative of an “asset defense campaign.”
Bitcoin logged the largest single-week U.S.-dollar increase in its history last week, and also posted its biggest percentage gain since March 2023.
On August 28, Cointelegraph, citing data from Galaxy Research, reported that for the week of August 17–23, Bitcoin recorded the largest historical single-week dollar increase. The price rose by $14,775 in that one week, with a weekly gain of 23.5%.
The catalyst behind this round of price action came from a reversal in macro market sentiment. The Treasury resumed long-term government bond repurchase operations, alongside Trump’s support for the “CLARITY Act.” Meanwhile, market shorts rushed to cover, marking Bitcoin’s strongest week since March 2023.
When compared against historical leaderboards in terms of dollar gains, the week’s dollar increase exceeded the prior record of $11,667 from the week of November 4–10, 2024. However, by percentage gain ranking, this move placed 41st in history.
Galaxy’s data shows that during this phase, the market was mainly driven by expectations of policy. Optimism brought by a crypto-friendly Congress helped spur large inflows of capital.
That said, historically large weekly jumps do not necessarily mean the rally will continue in a straight line. The outlook still depends on macro liquidity and whether market capital continues to flow.
Overall, Bitcoin’s record-breaking single-week dollar surge reflects a strong pull from current policy and liquidity expectations on the crypto market. But historical data also suggests that after a sharp spike over the short term, a period of choppy consolidation and pullback often follows. Leveraged traders should be sure to manage contract risk.
Finally, do you think Bitcoin’s strong performance signals the start of a new bull market, or just a concentrated release of short-term sentiment? Leave your thoughts in the comments!
Two key metrics on-chain show a reversal, significantly easing financial pressure on Bitcoin holders
According to the latest on-chain analysis released by analyst Axel Adlern, Bitcoin’s 90-day realized profit/loss ratio (Realized Profit/Loss Ratio) rebounded to above 1 on August 26, the first time it has returned to the break-even zone since July 31.
The ratio previously hit a low of 0.747 on August 16, when Bitcoin was trading at roughly $62,800. As the price bounced back above $78,000, realized profits once again surpassed realized losses, ending a 26-day stretch dominated by losses.
At the same time, another key metric—unrealized losses—also improved markedly. Over the past ten days, this figure dropped sharply from 18.57% on August 16 to 7.35%, a decline of about 60%, the lowest level since May 11.
The proportion of Bitcoin held by market participants at a level below their cost basis has fallen significantly, delivering a concrete reduction in holders’ financial stress. This also indicates that the market is shifting from a “loss-dominated” to a “profit-dominated” regime.
Although both metrics have improved in tandem—suggesting a substantial improvement in Bitcoin holders’ financial conditions—analysts also point out that the current profit/loss ratio is only slightly above 1 and remains at a critical threshold, so the official establishment of a new trend cannot yet be confirmed.
The analysis suggests that if the ratio can continue to hold steadily above 1 and unrealized losses remain low, the bullish signal would be reinforced; conversely, it may imply that the recent relief is only temporary.
BTC and ETH spot ETFs saw total net inflows of $424 million on Wednesday, with no net outflows across all-category crypto ETFs.
On August 27, according to SoSovalue data, the U.S. BTC spot ETF recorded yesterday net inflows of $232 million, marking the 8th consecutive day of total net inflows;
Among them, BlackRock’s IBIT, Grayscale’s BTC, and Fidelity’s FBTC ranked the top three for net inflows yesterday, with nearly $201 million (about 2,560 BTC), $46.83 million (597.00 BTC), and $25.59 million (326.28 BTC), respectively;
Next were Bitwise’s BITB and Morgan Stanley’s MSBT, recording daily net inflows of $5.96 million (75.97 BTC) and $3.37 million (42.98 BTC), respectively;
Meanwhile, Grayscale’s GBTC was the only BTC ETF to see net outflows yesterday, with $50.39 million (642.41 BTC);
As of now, the total net asset value of Bitcoin spot ETFs is $9.863 billion, accounting for 6.26% of Bitcoin’s total market capitalization, with cumulative total net inflows of $54.59 billion.
On the same day, U.S. Ethereum spot ETFs saw more than $192 million in inflows as well, also recording the 8th consecutive day of total net inflows;
Among them, BlackRock’s ETHA led the net inflow chart yesterday with nearly $116 million (about 46,770 ETH), and ETHA’s cumulative net inflows currently stand at $12.52 billion;
Second were Grayscale’s ETH and Fidelity’s FETH, recording daily net inflows of $34.67 million (about 14,020 ETH) and $32.01 million (about 12,940 ETH), respectively;
BlackRock’s ETHB, 21Shares’ TETH, and Franklin’s EZET recorded daily net inflows of $6.37 million (2,570 ETH), $2.71 million (1,100 ETH), and nearly $940,000 (378.81 ETH), respectively;
As of now, the total net asset value of Ethereum spot ETFs is $15.13 billion, accounting for 5.07% of Ethereum’s total market capitalization, with cumulative total net inflows of $12.64 billion.
For other all-category ETFs, the XRP, HYPE, and SOL ETFs recorded daily total net inflows of $28.14 million, $14.71 million, and nearly $9.14 million, respectively.
Chainalysis Report: Global Cryptocurrency Taxable Activities Last Year Reached $457B, with the CARF Framework Covering Only 14%
On August 27, Chainalysis released its “Crypto Tax Report,” stating that in 2025, the total amount of on-chain taxable crypto activity worldwide exceeded $457B, with the United States accounting for the largest share among single countries at approximately $112.6B.
Next were Germany at $24.1B, China at $21.0B, the United Kingdom at $19.4B, and India at $19.0B. By region, North America ($134.6B) led in taxable activity size, followed by the European Union ($125.1B), and East Asia ($54.7B) in third place.
This estimate covers on-chain income such as realized gains, mining, staking, and lending, as well as cryptocurrency payments, but does not include trading activities within centralized exchanges.
The report notes that the Crypto Asset Information Reporting Framework (CARF) developed by the OECD currently covers only about 14% of global on-chain taxable activity. The remaining 86% mainly occurs in areas such as decentralized exchanges, peer-to-peer transfers, on-chain income streams, and payments, which are not within its coverage.
CARF began collecting data on January 1, 2026, covering 48 jurisdictions including the UK and the EU. It requires relevant crypto platforms to collect information such as customer identity and tax residency, and is expected to fully begin cross-jurisdictional information exchange in 2027.
The report states that blockchain intelligence technology can help tax authorities trace the movement of funds on-chain, identify the use of offshore or decentralized platforms, reconstruct cost bases, and detect income sources such as mining, staking, and lending.
Looking ahead, as this on-chain data starts to be exchanged with exchange data and becomes complementary, it will help tax authorities build a more complete and accurate picture of taxpayer activity, especially in areas not yet touched by CARF and similar frameworks.
Loan broker sentenced to 58 months for helping obtain tens of millions of dollars in loans using forged materials; had previously fled to South Korea
On August 26, U.S. federal prosecutors in the state of Texas announced that a 46-year-old loan broker from Dallas, Kwanghee Anh, was sentenced to 58 months in prison and ordered to pay $8.3406 million in restitution to the victim financial institution for his involvement in a long-running conspiracy to commit bank fraud.
According to case records, Kwanghee Anh, who previously worked for Preferred Marketing Group, along with colleagues, between January 2014 and March 2016, bulk-verified and forged documents for his clients, including W-2 tax forms, pay stubs, and employment verification materials.
The group inflated clients’ income and fabricated their work histories, helping clients prepare false loan applications and submit them to multiple federal-insured lenders in North Texas.
This fraudulent operation directly caused the financial institutions to release at least $10 million in problematic loans. As borrowers defaulted one after another, the bank’s actual losses ultimately exceeded $8.3 million.
As the case progressed into the investigation stage, Kwanghee Anh fled overseas in 2017. He was not captured until September 2025 in South Korea, and was only extradited back to the United States for trial in November of the same year.
On March 17 this year, Kwanghee Anh formally pleaded guilty to the charge of conspiracy to commit bank fraud. The case was investigated by the FBI Dallas Field Office, and the Fraud Section of the U.S. Attorney’s Office handled the prosecution.
In a joint statement, the prosecution and the FBI emphasized that such falsification seriously damages public trust in the financial system, and that both sides will continue to severely crack down on any fraud crimes that undermine the stability of the banking industry.
Tokenized deposits could weaken banks’ lending capacity, affecting scale or reaching up to $700 billion
On Tuesday, the Dallas Fed released a report analyzing that the widespread adoption of tokenized deposits can improve payment efficiency and settlement speed, but may also weaken the stability of bank deposits, thereby putting pressure on the traditional credit system.
The report notes that, unlike stablecoins such as USDT and USDC, tokenized deposits are typically issued by regulated banks, can pay interest, and use blockchain technology to enable real-time settlement.
However, developments in fast transfers, smart contracts, and AI agent-driven trading may reduce the cost for customers to switch banks and chase higher-yield products, making “sticky deposits” that traditionally support bank liquidity more unstable.
The report estimates potential risks: if deposits become 10% more sensitive to interest rates, then, calculated over a 10-year equivalent horizon, banks’ ability to withstand interest-rate risk could decline by about $700 billion.
Another set of scenario estimates shows that if the average maturity of deposits shortens by 10%, the banking system’s capacity for maturity transformation could correspondingly decrease by roughly $58 billion.
Currently, multiple organizations—including Custodia, Vantage, Barclays, BMO, and SWIFT—have tested or are advancing projects related to tokenized deposits and 24/7 settlement, indicating that this trend is accelerating in implementation.
In sum, the Dallas Fed’s warning comes at a time when the banking industry is increasingly embracing blockchain technology and racing to launch tokenized deposit services—making this cautionary message undoubtedly a bucket of cold water for the sector.
In this era of rapid change, balancing efficiency and stability, as well as innovation and risk, will determine the direction of the future financial landscape. But how to enhance efficiency while maintaining financial stability will be a major challenge faced jointly by regulators and the banking industry.