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Recently, gold and silver have been on the rise, including the Nasdaq which has also rebounded.

In contrast, Bitcoin and Ethereum have been in a large range consolidation, choosing a direction. Yesterday, our Bitcoin and Ethereum also experienced a rebound. Successfully reached the first take-profit target.

Today's market analysis:

After testing the upward channel yesterday, Bitcoin and Ethereum fell back below the upward channel in the evening. The strength is still relatively weak, both began to retreat upon reaching the 20-day moving average. The upward momentum is lacking, today's suggestion is to maintain a bearish outlook.

From the 1H chart, there should be a small rebound, but personally, I expect it to be around 88800 at most. Ethereum at 2985, which has converted from support to resistance.

Intra-day trading suggestion: Short Bitcoin around 88800, entry can be within 200 points up or down. If it doesn't break through, the upward channel will test the lower support level again, we tentatively set the target at 85500. We just hope that the support at 80600 can hold.

Enter a short position near 2995 for Ethereum, target 2880-2800.

Market changes in real-time, specific operations should be based on my live guidance, remember to maintain good defense!

#BTC走势分析

BTC

The market is entering the weekend preparation phase, and volatility has dropped to a low point. There is a high probability that there will not be any significant market fluctuations before Monday, so everyone can gradually enter a rest state.

Next week will welcome the most important event of the month, the Federal Reserve's interest rate meeting and rate decision. Powell's speech will indicate the direction for the subsequent trend.

Currently, I still tend to be bullish towards the $96,000 area, but current operations remain highly cautious. Waiting for the opening of the workweek next week.

#BTC走势分析

Today's Bitcoin market analysis, you already know its future direction

#BTC走势分析

All positions in Bitcoin and Ethereum have been fully closed out, netting 23,000U after fees. Patiently waiting for the next opportunity!

The mindset of the elite is simple: results are the manifestation of a systematic approach.

Trading is not just a way to make profits for me, but a lifestyle.

Every decision is carefully weighed. Every trade is the result of calm calculation. This is the true path to building real wealth.

If you're ready to step into this level, welcome aboard. The future will only go deeper.

#BTC走势分析 #ETH

Let me emphasize this LDO

0.6265 prompted everyone to go long, with the price peaking at 0.68, offering a 0.05 point profit margin. But don't underestimate this 0.05 point—regardless of position size, this 0.05 point represents at least an 11-fold profit potential.

Personally, I went short at 0.66, and I'm currently at 6 times profit—preparing to exit.

Because I believe the opportunity has arrived again. We've been tracking abnormal market behaviors, and the timing is now right. Everything is ready: technicals, order flow, market depth. The perfect entry setup is in a narrow range—stop-loss orders can be swept within seconds, while we build our position with tick-level precision.

This trade isn't for everyone. It's for those who understand position sizing and pursue precise execution. I've already entered.

BTC

Comparison between yesterday's chart and today's chart. Since I warned everyone not to chase long positions, the price has dropped by approximately 4,000 points already.

Currently, it has reached the moving average support and started rebounding. The 1H Bollinger Bands are also contracting, choosing a direction. The 1H and 4H charts show a short-term bottom around 90800. Looking for a rebound, so a long position can be taken based on the moving average support.

Trading suggestion: Place staggered long positions around 90800-90300, with a target at 92000

#BTC走势分析

ETH

Ethereum's movement is almost identical to Bitcoin's, just at different price levels. It retraced 180 points after hitting resistance.

Currently, the 1-hour chart is still deciding direction. From a technical perspective, the bottom at 3140 appears to be complete. However, the 4-hour indicator suggests a possible downward spike followed by a rebound today. Therefore, in trading, we can base our strategy on the bottom-level moving average support, which is at 3095.

Trading suggestion: Place buy orders in batches around 3130-3100, with a target of 3200

#ETH走势分析

The decline is still ongoing, all as expected, as I had already alerted everyone through my blog posts a few days ago.

Bitcoin and Ethereum have both reached the TP1 target level. After waiting so long, this opportunity has finally arrived!

Short Bitcoin at 93,000, take profit at 91,300, securing 1,700 Dian.

Short Ethereum at 3,270, take profit at 3,170, securing 100 Dian.

The reason for going short was already analyzed and shared in my blog posts a few days ago.

We've been waiting for this moment to capture 20,000 U. Opportunities are always present—just identify the right timing and join me to seize the moment at any time.

I've been closely monitoring abnormal market behaviors, and the moment is now here. Everything is set: technicals, order flow, market depth. The perfect entry setup is in place—within a narrow range, stop-loss orders can be swept away in seconds, and I’ve built my position with tick-level precision.

Congratulations to all friends who successfully entered with me! Perfect closing. See you tomorrow!

ETH
Weekly K-line resistance level at 3350, after the support/resistance reversal, the previous resistance level at 3170 becomes support
Looking at the 4H and daily charts, the top near 3300 may appear early in the day, with the daily candle showing overbought conditions
Suggestion: Partial short positions around 3270-3300, target 3170-3100

#ETH走势分析

BTC

The daily chart shows a short-term top, with the immediate resistance level at the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level of 94,200

The past two days, Chán Coin has mentioned that the daily and 4H indicators have already entered the overbought zone, making short positions more appropriate

Currently, it is encountering resistance at 94,200 and retracing downward; today may continue to decline. When recording the video this morning, I mentioned shorting at 93,000, which is currently profitable!

Traders without positions can go short around 93,000, targeting 91,300–90,300

#BTC走势分析

SPX 1-hour position has broken down, consider entering short.

LDO Daily Chart
A new week begins, and it is expected that there will first be a partial correction to key levels, followed by a recovery of the upward trend. This may be seen as an opportunity to establish long positions.
Target levels: $0.7147, $0.8200

When the system begins to suffocate
Looking at this chart, a familiar feeling arises.
This is not a "market decline," nor is it "bad news."
Rather, it's the moment when the mechanism begins to creak.
What is presented in the chart.
Overnight Repo refers to the Federal Reserve's overnight repurchase operations.
In simple terms: it indicates how much liquidity the Federal Reserve needs to urgently inject to help banks get through the night.
There are several phenomena worth noting.
For a long time, the data was almost zero.
The system operates on its own. Funds circulate normally, counterparties trust each other, and the market can complete financing without the assistance of regulatory agencies.
Then, steep vertical spikes appear.
It's not gradual growth. It's not a trend.
Rather, it's a sudden surge: $20 billion, $30 billion, or even over $70 billion in a single night.
This is not "stimulus policy."
This is a fire hose.
Typically, this means:
- Certain institutions have imbalanced balance sheets
- Some participants cannot complete refinancing through the market
- Willingness to take on risk declines
- Trust between counterparties diminishes
At this point, the Federal Reserve intervenes as the ultimate counterparty.
It should be noted:
Repo is not QE; they prefer to call it that, but it's really not.
This is not a long-term asset purchase plan but a temporary patch to prevent the system from suddenly stalling.
However, when the demand for patches becomes increasingly frequent and expands in scale, it itself has become a symptom.
Historical experience shows that such periods often:
- Occur at the peak phase of tightening policy
- Coincide with pressures in the credit market
- Typically signal a policy shift or market turmoil
The core issue raised is not about the chart but rather about the macro context.
If the economy is "strong," interest rates are high, and inflation is controlled
—
Why does the system so frequently need overnight rescues?
In my view, this is not a reflection of strength but of internal pressure.
On the surface, all seems calm, but internally, cracks have already appeared.
The market often initially turns a blind eye to such signals.
But then, it will suddenly trigger a comprehensive reassessment.

ETH

Ethereum has broken through the triangular range, testing the resistance level of 3170 yesterday, and today it has broken through directly. Currently, it is uncertain whether it can stabilize. However, overall, the bulls are relatively strong, and stabilizing at 3170 should not be a big issue.

The resistance level above Ethereum is 3400. In the short term, it is also possible to buy in batches near 3170-3130, targeting 3320-3400.

However, when approaching 3400, one must be cautious of the risk of a pullback. This surge upward will still likely lead to a significant pullback #ETH走势分析

BTC Daily Chart
The daily line of Bitcoin has already seen a 5-day winning streak. The previous resistance level of 91400 has successfully transformed into a support level. This wave of increase is also unconventional; it was initially thought that it would dip before rising, but it surged directly instead. However, this is not a big issue.
Currently, Bitcoin's support is at 97500. This wave of rebound near 97500 still needs to be shorted. For short-term operations, one can operate low positions using the bottom support.
Intraday: Long positions between 91400-92000, target 97500, then reverse!
Suggestions are for reference only; market conditions change in real time, and specific operations should be based on my actual trading! #BTC走势分析

Today is the last day of the year

First, I would like to wish everyone in advance: 2026, may success come swiftly.

Now, let's briefly talk about Bitcoin. From April 7 to October 7 this year, it took 6 months to rise by 51,751 points. In just a month and a half, it then fell to 80,600, a drop of 45,608 points, with a decline rate of up to 88%. This year is also considered a rare year in history, with such a decline only seen in years 21 and 22. It is both an opportunity and a river of sadness.

But then again, history will eventually pass, and there is no need to sink into it; let's start looking forward to the new year!

Intraday Bitcoin analysis:

Currently, it is in a large range box fluctuation, with back-and-forth movements that have lasted for a month, showing almost no trading volume; otherwise, this trend would not be possible! As of now, Bitcoin is still trying to return to the upward channel, but I believe the chances of a surge are slim. As I mentioned last time, according to the values of the Bollinger Bands, 95% are influenced within the bands, and this wave has already gone outside the 95%, reaching a 99% characteristic that will not occur again; even if it goes again, it will be around 1,000 points.

If it can recently push up to around $90,000, that would be an excellent opportunity for me to short. From both indicators and theory, it must break before it can establish itself!

Market conditions are changing in real time, and specific changes will be communicated later. That's all for today!

#BTC走势分析

ETH: Expected to rebound at the support level of $2950-3000.
The price surged sharply from the low, encountering classic resistance at $3200.
Staying above this range will retest the resistance level; if it breaks down, then look for $2800.
Although the trading volume is weak, the market continues.

#ETH走势分析 #以太坊

Sometimes the market is just repeating the same actions
On the 3D chart of BTC, the MACD has once again shown a golden cross.
The one in April 2025 was almost unnoticed.
No noise, no frenzy, and no news stimulus.
At that time, prices were sluggish, market sentiment was exhausted, and expectations were very conservative.
It was precisely at that point that the market turned and achieved an almost 50% increase.
Now we are seeing a similar scenario:
- The deep correction has ended,
- Downward momentum is weakening,
- The MACD histogram is converging,
- The fast and slow lines are crossing upwards again.
It needs to be clear: MACD is not a "buy" button.
It is a momentum indicator, not a predictive tool.
It does not predict increases, but reflects the exhaustion of selling pressure and the weakening of market downward momentum.
What truly deserves attention is the current context.
The golden cross occurring in higher time frames:
- Is rarely driven by emotion,
- Often appears when most people have lost patience,
- And currently almost never seems "perfect."
This does not mean that the increase will start tomorrow.
It also does not rule out the possibility of sideways fluctuations, pullbacks, or complex corrections.
But this again confirms that such signals often appear at the end of a phase, rather than at the start.
The answer from the spring market comes a bit late.
Now it raises the same question again.

#BTC走势分析 #比特币