分析师余哥

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BTC intraday trading ideas

First, the BTC and ETH long positions entered yesterday both saw about a 2% rebound. If you followed along, you can reliably lock in profits. The SNDK long position performed even stronger, with the highest rebound around 8%, and its target area of 1550-1600 was reached smoothly as well.

At the moment, $BTC and $ETH have returned to the entry levels of yesterday’s long positions. Personally, I think it’s worth continuing to watch for long opportunities. Overall, the market is still range-bound. In terms of trading, you can be bolder, but you must control your position size.

BTC trading:
At the current price around 77800, you can start with 30% of your position. Add more near 77000. Set the stop loss at 72000. The target range is 79000-80000.

This time, we still use the idea of “wide stop loss, narrow take profit.” In a ranging market, what we fear most is stop-hunt wicks going up and down; therefore, the stop-loss room can be loosened a bit.

In addition, after the escalation of the situation between Iran and the US, crude oil $CL has risen again and is already approaching the previous resistance zone. Personally, I think it’s worth watching for short opportunities in the 87-95 range, entering in batches, with targets around 80.

For this crude oil move, I personally lean more toward a pullback from a high level, but I still recommend participating with a small position size and leaving enough room for later adjustments and adaptation.

#黄金较三个月高点下跌5.5%

$BTC $ETH

The price rebounded as expected—I've already secured 70% of my profit. What should we make of the next move?

From the candlestick chart, above 79.5k there is a previously untouched area of dense holdings. If BTC continues to rise, it could reach: 79.3K → 79.6K → 80K

I won’t rush to add more longs. Instead, I’ll watch for whether there’s a similar false breakout after a spike like earlier.

If it rallies to around 80K but can’t hold, and then quickly drops back, then this would be a relatively good short-term high-to-short entry.

I’ll also take profit and reverse to short within this range.

Personally, I think the market isn’t going to move in a one-way trend anymore, but instead will trade in a range.

It’s probably best not to chase the rally right now ($牛来 ). The current market cap has already exceeded 100 million, and after it was listed on Binance, the contract heat has reached its peak. The normal approach should be to consolidate rather than keep pushing the price upward. If it goes higher, it will be pushing into profit-taking orders. In terms of strategy, you should mainly short. Place the stop-loss at the new high plus 0.15. The target is around 0.099.
#牛来

$MEITUAN The bottom of Meituan is becoming more and more evident—ready to get on board for a long!

After Meituan released its Q2 earnings report, the biggest change is that it has returned to profitability. The ongoing period of a takeaway food price war has cooled somewhat, and subsidy support from platforms like Alibaba and JD has also begun to ease. This is a fairly positive signal for Meituan’s future profit recovery.

Next, the focus will be on two things: whether the takeaway food price war will continue to cool down, and whether Meituan will have any new positive catalysts going forward.

As long as either of these directions materializes, I think Meituan has the potential to see a fairly noticeable wave of upside.

In terms of trading, the main approach is still to go long. At the current price, **go long around $10.05**, set the stop-loss at $9, and the first target range to watch is **$12–$15**.

Of course, the most important part of trading is risk control—make sure to set your stop-loss properly and manage position sizing.

$BTC $ETH Intraday Trading Ideas Analysis

Early this morning, BTC’s selloff was fully driven by “war”: Iran launched missiles at a U.S. military base. Bessent said the Treasury plans to impose additional secondary sanctions on Iran every week. Trump said he will use Venezuelan oil to replenish strategic reserves. Once these headlines came out, crude oil surged immediately, and then the crypto market and U.S. stocks both saw a waterfall drop. So the question is: can we buy the dip?

Yes, absolutely. This pullback shows a “pin drop with high volume,” indicating that the bottom is being aggressively bought. Looking at the K-line chart, BTC’s strong support is around 75,000, and ETH’s is below 2,400. We’re very close to these levels now—go ahead and enter long positions directly. The pullback is an opportunity to bounce.

You don’t need to aim too high, since both rate hikes and war are bearish. Target up about 2%, place a stop-loss 1% lower. The risk-reward ratio is reasonable.

Also, there’s room for action in U.S. stocks. $SNDK is also now around the key support near 1,450. I believe this drop can continue to be bought for a rebound, aiming for the 1,550–1,600 range. Set the stop-loss at 1,400.

This week’s trading core: don’t overthink—trade the swings.

#霍尔木兹海峡战事再起

Go long $SNDK $SKHY

Personally, I think the current down move has reached a relatively low point. Going long around 1450 is totally fine.

As for storage, last week it held above the 1400 area. If it doesn’t break down further, then we can look for a rebound to the 1670–1720 range.

Reason: After the last round of a flash drop down to around 1000, it started a violent rebound, and then this down move—again—was largely due to profit-taking liquidation. The fundamentals haven’t really deteriorated → so this decline can be understood as a shakeout, not a trend reversal that starts a long-term downtrend mode.

If you think I’m wrong, feel free to discuss in the comments.

#韩国单股杠杆ETF交易下降

Encryption market current situation$BTC

After the remarks by the Fed, the probability of a rate hike in September has increased significantly. The crypto market directly plunged, with spot ETFs shifting from net inflows to net outflows. In this leg of further sell-off, the bigger likelihood is that the main players are using news as an excuse to flush out long leverage, rather than a trend reversal.

On-chain observations: the 78,000–77,000 area appears to have more genuine buy orders. Even after the sell-off, there is still capital stepping in to absorb. Therefore, structurally, the correction has not finished yet. The probability of an upside continuation remains higher than the probability of further deep declines.

For execution: consider initiating a long around 77,500, adding to the position near 75,500. Set the stop-loss at 72,000. For targets, look at the resistance zone around 85,000–90,000.

For September overall, the recommendation is to do less and watch more: strictly set take-profit and stop-loss levels. Once the direction becomes clear, then increase your actions.
#BTC

Global stock markets are all falling, but BTC isn’t following suit. It’s not because it’s that tough—it's because the options expiring on July 31 are protecting <$BTC >.

On July 31, BTC has a massive options settlement with a scale close to $10 billion.

The biggest pain point (Max Pain) is around $64,000. That means a large amount of options open interest expiring near this price could make this level the most favorable for market makers. So before settlement, the price is likely to be pushed and kept oscillating around $64,000.

My view is that before the options expire, BTC could trade in a range around $64,000;

after the options settlement ends and market pressure is released, it may first pull back toward around $61,000. If it holds there, then it could start an upward trend.

In terms of trade ideas: you can short above $64,500, with targets looking at the major support zone at $62,000–$61,000, and move the stop-loss up to around $66,000. <#美联储9比3维持利率不变 >

For the time being, tech stocks can’t really bounce back. The probability of a rate hike in September has increased to 65%, so likely the real bottom-buying opportunity is in August to September. Now I’m planning to cut my tech stock holdings, and then come back to buy the dip in August.
$SKHYNIX

$BTC Intraday trading analysis @分析师余哥

During the Federal Reserve meeting in the early morning, it was mentioned that interest rates would remain unchanged. However, BTC encountered resistance at 64500 and pulled back several times, indicating that market disagreement is still quite large, with both hawkish and dovish views present. So if the market is unwilling to rise, how should we operate next?

First, oil prices have risen now, and Trump stated at the White House that since Iran launched missiles at U.S. military bases in the Middle East, the U.S. will also begin to retaliate and deliver a heavy blow to Iran. Therefore, the international situation is already unclear, and it has even led to significant outflows of safe-haven funds. Brother Yu believes that over the next few days, the probability of rising above 66000 is not high, and the direction still remains bearish 📉.

From the candlestick chart, BTC's four-hour resistance level is 64500. You can open a short position near this level at the current price, with a stop loss at 66000, and target around 63000-62500.

Not only can BTC be traded intraday, crude oil $CL also presents an opportunity. In the previous few days, Brother Yu also said that as long as the Federal Reserve meeting is over, the U.S. will continue to strike Iran, so crude oil can continue to be entered with long positions next. The current price is around 84. Wait for a pullback to around 82-80 to continue entering long positions, with a stop loss at 77, and a target in the 90-95 range.
#WTI与布伦特原油涨超6%

I didn’t notice, but $UNI has already pulled back 40%, and it has also broken through the key resistance level of 3.9.

This independent DeFi rally is very likely led by UNI. If it holds above 3.9, then the entire DeFi sector may well start to recover.

Fans who haven’t positioned for the DeFi sector yet should move quickly—there aren’t many opportunities to set up positions during a bear market.

Right now, most of the funds are returning to UNI—prioritize setting up positions there first.
Second: $AAVE
Third: #UNI

Iran's good times are over! $CL

Mr. President is taking the fight to Iran despite a meeting at the early hours of dawn!

Could something big be coming?

Perhaps the President already knows that interest rates are good news—so that's why he moved to strike Iran?

But we have already laid the groundwork in advance. As for oil, we’ve already secured 100%! Congratulations to the followers who got in on time!

#伊拉克原油出口大幅下降

$SPCX Will a market break-out or reversal be about to happen?

Recently, there have been news reports that institutions are increasing their holdings of spcx. Even Cathie Wood (ARK Invest) has been buying more all the way down—this suggests that the 116 level is something institutions are relatively bullish on. Also, the rocket stock has fallen from the 200 high all the way down to 110, essentially a halving. Retail investors have already lost confidence, so now the rocket is likely at the stage-bottom area.

In terms of trading, you can wait until tonight’s U.S. stock market. If spcx genuinely and effectively breaks above 117, you can chase the long entry and bet on a rebound—riding along with the institutions. The target is simply to push up toward the resistance zone around 128–130.
#SPCX

$BANK once again taking profit!

I’ve already reminded everyone: if the bank breaks below 0.25, the next level is 0.14. Right now we’ve reached the point where Brother Yu also plans to take profit and exit. Don’t go chasing the absolute lowest point—only trade what you understand.

Based on the bank’s current trend, it’s in a choppy downward movement. Without any capital inflow, it could keep a steady grind lower. Compare it to the trend of SYN.

If it rebounds later, you can short with a light position. If you’re not sure how to set up your trades, come to the chat room to find Brother Yu—he’ll give you the levels.
#bank

$SKHY Continue to bargain-buy into Haili Shi!

If you believe in AI, then now is the opportunity!

I’m sure that the most smooth and uninterrupted downtrend for the shorts is likely over. In the next one or two weeks, it will be a range-bound period where the market trades by exchanging positions. If you’ve been shorting at the highs, you can close your shorts in the next few days and switch to a long position.

Then just wait patiently for the AI narrative to keep pushing the rally! Brother Yu has already entered with the initial tranche at a price of 126.8. If it drops further by 10%, add another 20% of your position!

#SK海力士韩股重挫19%

Spot value setup: $UNI

Since Standard Chartered started pumping it, UNI has been moving independently and is even stronger than other major coins. Yu Ge believes the DeFi rally is very likely to explode before August-September. Right now, it has been stuck around 3.8, unable to break above or below, which suggests there is a real large player accumulating and absorbing selling pressure.

The current price of UNI is around 3.8. If you are positioning for spot, the risk-reward is still pretty good. Compared with the 130 USD target mentioned by Standard Chartered, this is still a very low price.

If I were buying spot, I would enter 20% of my position at the current price of 3.8, then add another 20% if it pulls back to the 3.5 support level. Below that, 3.2 would be a heavy-position entry. I don’t aim to buy the absolute bottom, only to avoid missing the move!
#UNI

$HYPE The institution has started reducing its position again, and the near-term selling pressure hasn’t been fully released yet.

Once this round of sell orders is digested and the market’s selling pressure is exhausted, HYPE will most likely have another chance to return to the previous high.

At the moment, around $51 is the key support level. Right now, at $55–$54, the value for money isn’t that attractive, so there’s no need to chase it.

Over the next 5 days, about 6.5 million HYPE tokens will have their unlock/pledge release. At the current price, that’s worth about $400 million. If this portion of supply doesn’t trigger further selling, then once the selling pressure is over, HYPE’s likely phase-level bottom will probably be formed as well.
#hype

$BTC 日内操作思路分析@分析师余哥

Due to the Federal Reserve meeting and U.S. stock earnings reports affecting the past two days, global safe-haven flows have intensified. At present, before the Fed’s results are released, the market will likely remain range-bound. After all, the main players are also waiting for developments to play out, so it’s currently not very easy to see a one-way market move.

From the current candlestick (K-line) action, the 4-hour chart is already showing a range-bound downtrend. If the Fed announces that the interest rate remains unchanged, there is a high probability of a rebound. You can set up long positions at low levels below 63000.

Currently, ETF fund flows are all in a wait-and-see mode. Over these two days, there has only been a small net outflow, so the impact is not significant. Oil prices and the FOMC outcome will be the key trigger for the next turning point!
#BTC

$CL Iran is stubborn and keeps courting disaster again at the Fed meeting!

Right after Iran agreed to target the early hours and the U.S. military base launched missiles, even though everything was intercepted, it still shattered expectations for an unofficial ceasefire. That led to oil prices rising.

This Iranian surprise raid clearly aims to push up oil prices ahead of the Fed meeting, making people around the world worry that inflation will keep rising.

Based on the projections, after the Fed meeting ends, Trump will definitely increase efforts to strike Iran. Last night the price also bounced off support at 79 after falling, and the daily chart has started to show increased volume. The bullish pattern has already taken shape, so it looks like you can enter and go long.

If you place orders according to Yu Ge’s levels of 80 to 79, you should currently be in profit. Congratulations to the fans who followed along.
#原油