Crypto-爱币斯坦

Why are they masters? That is the result of thousands of trials and tribulations. How much time, energy and cost have you spent on learning how to trade? If you have spent nothing or very little, then don't ask why others can get results but you can't. I practiced trading for more than eight hours a day. It took two hours a day to find targets. I researched four projects at the fastest every day, and sometimes I could only finish one. The whole team researched all the currencies of Binance and OK very clearly, which took more than half a year. Most people would be numb after just one look at the Google spreadsheet. With so much information, we think the basic information is clear at a glance. Next, we will study the K-line pattern, market maker methods, project structure and operation. This is also the reason why currencies are not shared often. The reason is simple. Olympic gold medalists only have a few minutes or one chance to go on stage, but they have studied and practiced hard for more than ten years! When you see people sharing coins, your cognition is not at the same frequency and level as theirs, and you can't even tell whether the person sharing is an expert or not. So many people often suffer a lot in this regard. They call it paying a lot of tuition fees, but in fact, they have wasted their hard-earned money. They wanted to change their fate in the coin circle, but ended up becoming fuel for others.

Learning is important, and practice is more important. There is a gap in the middle that needs to be crossed. It is very difficult to integrate knowledge and practice.

My confidence comes from the fact that the entire team has been deeply involved in the coin circle for many years and has experienced the trials and tribulations of the coin circle, and the confidence brought by continuous learning and practice. That's why I say that each coin has its own temper, because in my heart they are not just a string of letters but people with life and feelings.

What’s with this tea table—I'm really fed up with myself! I didn’t get filled on those 640+ orders; I thought, okay, later at 650 I’ll place an empty order. The phone screen hadn’t even changed yet, and I’d already entered everything. But then, I went off to post an article. After I posted it, I checked and 650 had already hit—then it quickly dropped.

That 650 level has to be predicted in advance. Hold your phone and wait; as soon as it comes up, hit the market to open a short immediately—only then can you buy at the high point instantly. Otherwise you end up around 648.

I even want to slap myself twice. Why did I have to go and post an article? If I’d just held my phone and waited for 650, wouldn’t it be more satisfying to have the money in hand?! This morning I already predicted the level: 648–650. And even during the night livestream, I said I was seeing 648–650. So why post an article—when I wasn’t making any money from it?! Wow—money wasn’t made. Now I’ve got it easy: tomorrow I punish myself by not being allowed to eat breakfast. And if I can’t make money, then tomorrow I’m not allowed to eat all day.

@Yi He @Richard Teng @CZ
$BTC

Just now on the live stream, I said the big coin would go up. I first saw it at 648–650, and now it’s already pulled up to almost 648.

What a pity. I watched the big coin reach around 640, and my entry amount was already typed in—I was ready to enter—but I didn’t. This is exactly what people mean by doing all that analysis and sounding fierce, but the operation is stupid—250. That’s me.

Seeing money that can’t be earned.

The fans who entered the trade in the live chat made some profit. Make sure you set your take-profit properly.

When I was writing an article, the big coin was already pulled up to almost 650. So exciting!!!

It’s been another day of me busying around blindly. Next time, I definitely have to enter. If I don’t grab the time to make money, I’m going to starve!

$BTC
@Yi He @Richard Teng @CZ

I think Big Pie (Bitcoin) will rise at night, so I went long around 641.

Mainly because yesterday the ETF buying was too aggressive—Fidelity bought, BlackRock didn’t move, but today if BlackRock makes a move it’s going to pump, and Bitcoin doesn’t follow the US stocks: when the US stocks fell yesterday, it rose instead. Ultimately, whether it tracks or doesn’t comes down most to volume—if the buying/selling is synchronized then it follows; if it isn’t, then it doesn’t.

Up top, I’m planning to exit the long position at 648–650. I’ll place the order and let it be—after that, it’s all about whether the market lets me take profits or not.

Actually, one really bad move in spot trading is not cutting losses. People keep thinking it will bounce back, so they keep adding to the position. From a trading perspective, that’s not right. Recently, the books I’ve been reading show that the people who trade really well are all doing futures, using leverage. Of course, there are also skilled spot traders in the A-share market.

In reality, true trading must come with a stop loss. Losing money is normal—that’s just the way it is. If you can’t get past the stage of tolerating losses, it will be hard to continue for the long run.

$BTC
@CZ @Richard Teng @Yi He

Today I was at home looking for something, and somehow I found that the blockchain-related books I bought back in the early days of crypto—when I first got into the coin scene—are still here.

I went out to buy groceries and noticed that the trees in my residential area are bearing fruit. But I’m a bit slow—I can’t tell what kind of fruit it is. Could it be pomelo?!

Xiao Cui No. 19 headed to Chongqing to study. I said, “Hey, you’re here. Let’s go check out Zhang Xue’s motorcycle.” You like playing with motorcycles.

At dawn yesterday, he called me in great panic. He said, “I told you, teaching you won’t be a scammer, will it? My flight is already booked. What if you’re a scammer?”

I asked, “Why do you have such an idea?” He said that before, he followed orders. He blew up in a margin liquidation. When the other side asked why he hasn’t traded recently, he said he’d been looking for AiJiao to study after the liquidation. The other side replied, “I’m a scammer—the traffic is all fabricated.” He said, “I usually go to his livestream to ‘cat’ the wealth password. I learned everything from him. Don’t come.”

I didn’t argue. After all, I know people who want to make money—make money by taking commissions for bringing people in. I reminded everyone in the livestream: you can only last long if you have real ability. Xiao Yu and many other BTB research-and-trading students have also experienced KOLs’ trades where following them led to liquidation and losses of hundreds of thousands or even millions. As for exactly which people they followed, I won’t mention it.

I told Xiao Cui, “I dare to meet you. If I were a scammer, the police station is downstairs from our building. Reporting is very convenient.”

If you come, you’ll be able to meet Xiao Yu. She basically comes every day. You can chat and compare experiences. You can also meet Junhong. Half a year ago, he said he wanted to come over because his kid is starting school. Now he and his wife and child are in Chongqing. @BTB投研-中南 is about your age; you’ll be able to meet him too. He also only recently entered the circle. There’s also Squid—Geng Xin and Sun Peng have settled in Beijing. They came into Chongqing for business and will stay until October 1. You might still be able to meet Guo Xiaobai—she may come over after she’s done with her work. There’s also a chance Wang Jun will come too. He’s one of the students from Qingdao. I even sent messages specifically to the Central-South group, begging the big bosses in the advertising industry to have time to come by for a meal and exchange ideas.

If I’m a scammer, that would only mean my scam skills are too brilliant. So many people have met me offline, and they’ve been studying alongside me for one or two months. If I don’t have real ability, how could I fake it?

When you come, I’ll show you the analyses I did before: when the bull market starts, when the bull market ends, and predicting the current trend—all were predicted last year. For every analysis, there’s a record saved. Not only will I show it to you, I’ll also teach you how to predict it yourself.

Keep it up, kid! AiJiao the coach wants to make money. Three years ago, he started doing order-leading with commission rebates. He made plenty of money long ago—so why would he be struggling to trade now just to scrape together a little “porridge money”? As the saying goes: don’t forget your original intention. Be the guide for everyone in the coin圈.

@CZ @Richard Teng @Yi He

Originally I said on last week’s live stream that this week would be bearish. But on Monday I took a look at the chart and felt it was wrong—BTC should move up. I saw it around 636. There’s resistance above at 640-646. Last night it really surged fast—honestly it even pushed all the way to 646. I didn’t expect it to be that strong. I thought 643 would be about right, but I ended up going short and got stopped out and damaged. I shorted again at 64560. I made a little, then left—too sleepy, I wanted to sleep.

This time is good—I slept until 6 and woke up, not 4.

BTC went to the edge of the down-channel on the purple line I drew. I’m still watching it. If it’s going to go short from above, I can only wait until 650-648. I don’t dare short randomly—it’s just too strong!

I checked Ethereum and SOL—no energy. Not as strong as BTC. And MicroStrategy didn’t buy last week either. If the overall buying volume doesn’t keep up, then it’s still bearish, unless it breaks 654.

The US-Iran war—America really pulled the whole thing off. Iran and Oman can’t do anything without the US, and South Korea also can’t without the US. I said two years ago: back then in crypto the pump relied on narrative—celebrity call-sheets pulling the market. In the future, without narrative, crypto can’t pull the whole market like 2021 did—no more疯狂. Going forward, the narrative is the narrative between China and the US. Now looking back, my judgment was right—when the US makes some stupid move, China counteracts. Yesterday the Ministry of Foreign Affairs escalated its stance toward Japan’s Yasukuni Shrine, calling it a “shrine for war criminals.” Hearing that makes me feel really comfortable!

I didn’t buy Changxin International (長鑫國際). In my research I thought it should go toward RMB 100-120. In USD that would be about 14-16. I also started slowly studying stocks—seeing that my research in VC can be applied to stocks too, and it’s actually simpler. For the A-share market there’s no language barrier, but I still need to strengthen my depth of understanding of the fundamentals.

Yesterday I was busy watching BTC. spcx149—I also finished shorting it. Around 150 is a cut point. If it can’t break up, then it really won’t go up anymore. Let’s see how powerful Musk is. I found US stocks are pretty much like small caps—just a few days ago it was around 104, then it jumped, jump jump jump, up to around 150. That’s really exciting!

I cut all the altcoins I bought earlier—edu, apt, sui, etc. I only kept link. I bought it at 10, and it looks like my earlier judgment was right: public chains aren’t working anymore. Oracles are absolutely essential infrastructure.

$BTC $SPCX $LINK

I looked at the trend of the big pancake, and basically it followed the weekend expectations. It bounced back to around 636. Before the so-called dog-scheme crew started pumping, they dipped it down again to around 627.

Now we need to wait and observe. If 636 holds steady, this week may start an upward channel. The purple line in the chart represents the pressure movement of the downtrend channel. If it breaks through and holds, it should continue to rise—so we need to watch.

I entered a long position at 62801 and already exited it. With a chart like this, I don’t dare to short casually. We should wait; it’s safer to go long on pullbacks. The overhead resistance zone is 640–646.

Overall, I’m still bearish toward the 50s/“five-hundreds” range. This is only a rebound. As long as 657 isn’t broken, the trend should remain downward.

This analysis is for reference only. Please make your own judgment and take full responsibility for your own profit and loss. You may find my analysis confusing because I seem bullish at one moment and bearish the next—whether it will go up or down depends on different timeframes I’m looking at, from small to large. If you don’t understand the cycles and levels, go back and listen to my livestream—I’ve explained it before, though I can’t remember which specific episode. Look it up yourself.

$BTC
@Yi He @CZ @Richard Teng

When I was at my most agonizing moment in life, @BTB投研 Xiao Bo told me!

Do you know what it is that makes you most admirable? You’ve gone through so many terrible things, yet you still haven’t turned bad. You’ve seen so many human beings’ darkness and the world’s ruthlessness, but instead of going to extremes, you became even more mature and gentle. It’s not that you couldn’t do it anymore—you know what true growth really is: it’s not escaping pain, but staying clear-headed through it. Society may reward those who can put on a show, but karma absolutely will not fail to treat sincerely kind hearts fairly.

So BTB’s original intention in its investment research is to become a guide for everyone—so we’ve gotten to where we are today. We don’t push trades, we don’t lead trades. We earn only what fits within our own understanding!

Theory study, practice, assessment—if you don’t know something, you come around for another round. In the end, you meet the standard and build a trading system.

If you still can’t do it, then you can only say it’s not because it’s useless—it’s because you’re not putting in the effort. People who are willing to learn won’t lack motivation. If someone wants to learn and improve, they definitely aren’t trying to get something for free. They aren’t the kind of person who wants “easy money” without paying the cost.

So I’ve come to this conclusion: there’s no such thing as something you can’t teach—only people who don’t want to learn.

During the training, we found that when the theory was first presented, everyone was confused. Adults have to learn through practice in order to remember.

I organized the course into a table. After finishing it, I go straight to practice. I review the knowledge points I compiled, combine them with practice, and assess them one by one with records.

This way, I know which areas each student is weak in and provide targeted intensive training. By comparing it with the survey form from before the training, we can see what improvements were made afterward, forming a closed loop.

If they don’t understand, they keep learning until they finally get it. Practice continues until a trading system is established. Training continues until they can do it and make money—only then is it considered complete.
@Yi He @Richard Teng @CZ

I think this action by CZ is progress.

Before, his perspective was a personal one. He thought whatever I do is my business, and he didn’t realize that being a public figure means every move and every sentence can be used by others. If someone has ulterior motives, they could use him to hurt people!

Now, the progress is huge. He has switched to an “overlook-the-world” perspective and understands that the greater the influence, the more careful one must be with one’s words and actions!

@CZ @Yi He @Richard Teng

Woke up again around 4 o’clock. I’m going to force myself to sleep a bit more. There isn’t much market action on the weekend either, but I still checked the chart. On Sunday, the big BTC could rise to around 636. Once it gets there, I’m going to place a short order. I’m still bearish next week too— the 625 level probably won’t hold.

I’m really sorry. Originally I was supposed to livestream on Saturday night at 9 p.m. After dinner I took a nap and then fell asleep. Around 9, Xiaobo called me and said it’s already live. I was so sleepy I couldn’t get up. I said, forget it—no livestream on Saturday. I’ll rest, and I’ll make it up on Sunday. Since I had an appointment with Junhong and Zhongnan, I was half-asleep and I think I replied to them and said I couldn’t make it. I’ll rest for a bit. Let’s see if I’m better by Saturday night, and then on Sunday I’ll handle the commitment.

The Saturday 9 p.m. livestream has been moved to Sunday 9 p.m. Again, I’m very sorry. I know that over these many years, a lot of old friends and fans have been supporting me. You’ve all been waiting for my livestream every Tuesday and Saturday at 9 p.m. Sometimes I really need to analyze specific situations—being a person who teaches students is even more exhausting than trading on my own. But that’s exactly the value of BTB’s research and investment—being a guide for everyone in the crypto circle.

I thought about what I’ll cover in the livestream:
1. Several types of crypto trading
2. Future directions for crypto trading
3. How the global situation will affect the future trend of big BTC
4. Where the future direction of AI might go
5. The role of the Eastern Great region (Dadong) in great-power competition
6. Common problems traders often run into
7. Differences in the future and behavior of crypto idealists vs. realists

Also, if your altcoins are stuck in a position—spot, not futures—or if you want to accumulate a certain altcoin, you can leave a comment or ask in the livestream chat. I’ll take a look for you. And if there’s anything else you want to understand, feel free to comment.

I still have a little left to finish reading “The Stock Market Master” (the remaining portion). Once I finish it correctly, I’ll share it with everyone. After that, during the next livestream I’ll also share what I’ve learned from John Murphy’s futures market technical analysis—looking at what content there is and what’s worth learning for my own contract trading. After I finish and整理 it, it takes 3–5 days. Then I’ll post a note to tell everyone what the livestream covers.

【BTB Research & Investment】: Be a good guide in the crypto world
【The Four Things I Don’t Do】: I don’t call trades, I don’t lead trades, I don’t do rebates, and I don’t teach contracts
【Coach’s Love】: Livestream every Tuesday and Saturday at 9 p.m.

Reviewing everything up to now—if it’s over, I don’t want to write it anymore. Today I’ll just relax and rest properly. The main problem is one thing: my mindset went wrong, which caused execution to go wrong, which then affected my mindset again, and round and round. The funniest part is that I somehow managed to operate the trade the wrong way and lost a few hundred in oil for trading fees. Adding a rule like maximum drawdown—stop trading after it reaches a certain level—would solve it.

Tonight at 9pm there will be a live stream. I haven’t prepared content, and I want to give myself a day off. The live stream will still analyze the market, answer everyone’s questions, and share some takeaways and experience. The lessons to cover are things I’ve already discussed in past streams—you can listen to the replays.

The market is still trending downward. For the big cake (BTC), I can see the rebound levels at 636 and 644. Let’s see when this month I’ll be able to catch a time when BTC is back in the 50s.

Yesterday, Junhong said he went to sing. (He hadn’t joined BTB research and trading yet when he first started interacting with us; since then he’s made tens of thousands—staying in Chongqing for 2 weeks, he probably made around 2,000 “oil.” I’ve always insisted that his wife should make money and withdraw it.) It was the day before yesterday or yesterday—I can’t remember. It should have been profitable. We had said so, but I made a mistake yesterday: I entered a long position late at night, and I had to watch the chart, so I didn’t go. It moved up, and I made some profit before I closed out. Today I’ll go sing. Only Zhongnan is free, so when I asked him, he said the team is streaming the Debris-style race for Zhang Xueji’s rider. We’ll finish in the evening; we’ll meet up then. I want to ask him properly about his recent trading. He’s been getting beaten up when advancing his trading lately—maybe because he’s been too smooth before. He’s basically been through the “trial,” and the difficulty has gone through enough; now it’s time to cross into a higher level. This means his ability to make money needs to take another step up.

As for Junhong making money—this isn’t me bragging that I’m awesome. It’s that he could realize that the money he made before was basically luck. After coming to Chongqing to study, the money he made is now based on real skill. No one can have good luck forever, but once your skills are solid, you can keep turning consistent profits.

Yesterday Junhong said he’d treat us. Today it’s my turn to treat—anyway, if I can’t hit it, I’ll just spend the 600 yuan living allowance in one go. For the second half of the month, we’ll eat steamed buns.

Alright, everyone, brothers—see you at the live stream tonight!

Woke up naturally after 4 a.m. again. The long positions made some profit, then I walked away. This time, overall I was down.

This weekend, over the past two days, I’ve pulled out the delivery trade records and reviewed them one by one, summarizing what happened.

I have a very intuitive feeling: trend-following contracts generally don’t yield as much overall profit as swing trading. If the leverage is high, swing trading has a big advantage; if the leverage is low, trend trading has the advantage. I practiced for a long time and came to the conclusion that contract trading on the 4–8 hour timeframe is extremely suitable.

Later, because the students on-site had limited time, during practice they required doing 1-minute and 5-minute timeframes. There are more signals on smaller timeframes, so there are more chances to practice, and the underlying selection is for spot—big BTC. I’ll do it as well, but what I trade is contracts.

I’ve discussed contract cycles, timeframes, trends, risk-reward, stop loss, and more with Roy before. We’ve stayed fairly consistent. But after doing it in practice more, I separated out a small-timeframe approach—what I shared earlier: the 18-grid trading.

Stopping ratio is also very important—it cuts off the inevitable path of being emotional.

Recently, I also missed opportunities because I was eating and chatting, so I got distracted. When the opportunity showed up, I didn’t act. Trading needs to be prepared in advance. So any trading pro—absolutely—must be quietly by themselves. Highly focused, like being at war. There’s no way to trade-and-run while also managing a group or talking with others. You just silently enjoy the joy that comes from loneliness. This time I made two mistakes: I opened a long when it should have been a short, and the loss in fees was a few hundred yuan worth of oil.

The students on-site saw me lose money and were also pretty uncomfortable—after all, they know I support myself through my own trading. I told them it’s fine. I can earn it back. And it’s not like I’ve never lost before—I don’t hate it. There’s definitely a conflict between training and trading, and that’s something I need to overcome myself. Coincidentally, opportunities came up while I was training or communicating—only by giving up trading did I feel that a person’s growth always comes from within, not from yearning outward. That’s how you can grow. If something goes wrong, you say it’s someone else’s problem, the environment’s problem—people like that can never grow or go far.

I wrote a bunch of nonsense again. I’m going to rest now. Tomorrow I’ll wake up and review the execution/delivery trades, summarize what I gained and what I lost, optimize my trading system and buy/sell timeframes, adjust my position sizing, strengthen the rules, and think about how to handle the contradiction between training and trading.

Go for it, Xiao Ai. You’ll definitely work hard and earn 600 RMB for living expenses. Go for it!

Many people don’t know what level their trading is actually at. So how do they know where they should take profit, and how long they should hold?

Today, @BTB投研 Xiaobo gave a detailed explanation to the students on the importance of trading levels on-site.

When we move from the bottom of a bear market to the top of a bull market, what level or time period is that? Daily? Weekly? Monthly?

For an intraday trade, what level is it? Daily? 4-hour? 1-hour?

Different timeframes correspond to different entry and exit points, and therefore the holding time is different too.

Why do people end up going against the position? Because they didn’t read the trend correctly. Why do people miss their sell (sell too early and let it run)? Because they didn’t match the correct timeframe. Why do they feel anxious and panicked? Because their mindset isn’t stable—they’re not sure.

Xiaobo’s explanation is extremely on point! If you get the trend right and you get the level/timeframe right, the outcome will be pretty much the same.

$BTC has been hit and is damaged; observe first, then we’ll talk.