Crypto-爱币斯坦

Why are they masters? That is the result of thousands of trials and tribulations. How much time, energy and cost have you spent on learning how to trade? If you have spent nothing or very little, then don't ask why others can get results but you can't. I practiced trading for more than eight hours a day. It took two hours a day to find targets. I researched four projects at the fastest every day, and sometimes I could only finish one. The whole team researched all the currencies of Binance and OK very clearly, which took more than half a year. Most people would be numb after just one look at the Google spreadsheet. With so much information, we think the basic information is clear at a glance. Next, we will study the K-line pattern, market maker methods, project structure and operation. This is also the reason why currencies are not shared often. The reason is simple. Olympic gold medalists only have a few minutes or one chance to go on stage, but they have studied and practiced hard for more than ten years! When you see people sharing coins, your cognition is not at the same frequency and level as theirs, and you can't even tell whether the person sharing is an expert or not. So many people often suffer a lot in this regard. They call it paying a lot of tuition fees, but in fact, they have wasted their hard-earned money. They wanted to change their fate in the coin circle, but ended up becoming fuel for others.

Learning is important, and practice is more important. There is a gap in the middle that needs to be crossed. It is very difficult to integrate knowledge and practice.

My confidence comes from the fact that the entire team has been deeply involved in the coin circle for many years and has experienced the trials and tribulations of the coin circle, and the confidence brought by continuous learning and practice. That's why I say that each coin has its own temper, because in my heart they are not just a string of letters but people with life and feelings.

I have to go see "Eight Immortals" tonight at the last minute and can't get out of it, so I'll push back the livestream time a bit. After the movie ends, it'll probably be around 11-12 o'clock.

I'm very sorry.

In crypto trading and investing, there are only two situations:
1. It will eventually crash, but you don’t know when.
2. It will eventually surge, but you don’t know when.

For ordinary people like us, the first situation is a disaster—the longer it goes on, the worse the end result. The second situation is the one we should be positioning for.

The key here is choosing the right asset and understanding the price path. If you only know the outcome—this coin will definitely rise to a certain level—but cannot identify why it would surge, then you should not participate, no matter how certain the conclusion seems.

This is the principle that you must know not only what is happening, but also why it is happening.

Has anyone watched Baxian's Coins? How is it? Is it worth watching?

The live stream content for tonight at 9 o'clock is as follows:
1. Analysis of Bitcoin market trends
2. How to position in altcoins
3. Career planning for trading in the crypto market
4. Whether there is still any money-making potential in the crypto world in the future
5. How Trump, Bessent, and Waller's actions will affect the development of the crypto market
[BTB Investment Research]: Be a good guide in the crypto world
[Four Nos]: No signal calls, no lead trading, no rebates, no futures teaching
[Coach Ai]: Live stream every Tuesday and Saturday at 9 p.m.

The release of this Bitcoin movie may help push Bitcoin's price upward. It hasn't been released yet; let's see it when it comes out.

The privacy trio are pumping again, and it’s on a weekend.

If you missed $ZEC , you can keep an eye on Dash $DASH . If you think Dash is too expensive, you can take a look at $ZEN . However, I don’t recommend jumping in right now. Let it pump and wait for a pullback. The market is also closed on Monday, so altcoins may try to stir things up.

Given the expectation that Bitcoin will retrace, it’s better to wait.

@Yi He @Richard Teng @CZ

Bitcoin has just started to look like a condom-shaped trend. It’ll probably pull back a bit and then push back up. This is just my guess; I’ve run into too many of these bizarre moves before.

When I anticipated that it would break above 815 and rise, I stuck to my view and went long. At 817 I felt it was about right, so I shorted a little and went to sleep. When I woke up and checked, I had made money, but then it still had another high at 822 planned. In the afternoon I opened a long position. The main idea was: if the news is positive, it will charge hard, and the long makes money; if it’s negative, it will also be pumped before the bad news, and that also makes money. Either way it’s profitable, so just do it!

But the data came out better than expected, and within 5 minutes it dropped straight back down, which was also a very strong performance. I just watched without moving at all, treating the news-driven spike-and-crash as a show.

The U.S. market is also closed on Monday, so with three days of closure, it’ll probably just oscillate. If it gets pumped and forms a condom-shaped structure, then the big players are up to something!
$BTC

Yesterday, the big pie ETF bought more than 700 million—no wonder it’s been rallying so hard. If today’s Non-Farm Payrolls data and unemployment rate come out favorable, then it’s possible that 828 won’t hold, and it may rise further.

Personally, I think tonight will likely be bullish. But if 828 can’t break through, then whether it breaks or not, there should be a pullback. I estimate the timing will be around late September or early October. Once the pullback is in place, it should coincide with the mid-term election run-up and drive a move up toward 90k–100k.

Actually, from a technical perspective, as long as the big pie hasn’t broken the 126 all-time high, you can still consider it a bear market. For example, the last time it broke above the previous high of 690, that’s when people started thinking a bull market had arrived—then it topped around 125. The move from 154 to 73777 for the big pie was basically just preheating. If you’re a slower, more patient type of trader, you can wait until 126 actually breaks before calling it a bull market, and it won’t be too late. After all, that kind of certainty is higher, and you can plan entries more safely—straight into the bull market.

Recently, China has started buying U.S. dollars to stabilize the RMB exchange rate. As the dollar strengthens, U.S. Treasuries also rise. Previously, I shared a chart showing that the dollar index and the big pie are negatively correlated—meaning when the dollar index rises, the big pie tends to fall. So China’s actions will affect the big pie’s trend.

In the afternoon, you could take a long position in the big pie. In the evening, when the pump happens, you flip and short it in the opposite direction. Mainly I’m watching whether 822 and 828 break or hold—if they don’t break, then short into it.

$BTC

Before, in China, virtual coin trading, manipulation, or being scammed couldn’t be resolved or were unable to obtain judicial support. Now, more and more cases show that support can be obtained. For example, the case in the screenshot: someone borrowed your coins and has to repay them according to the agreement.

If someone uses a certain identity or a certain reason to ask you to borrow coins, it is actually a roundabout way of borrowing money from you. If you don’t repay, you can apply for judicial support.

I have never been afraid of the market. I was, after all, just an ordinary little person—a tiny nobody with nothing. My wealth was hard-earned by myself, piece by piece. I don’t have any backing, so I am my own backing. In the future, I will be the backdrop—the support—for all BTB investment research program trainees.

When someone asks, “You’re so amazing—who did you learn from?” they’ll say, “Love Coaching.”

I didn’t sleep. I watched the chart. I felt that if this big market kept rising like this, it was going to break the previous high at 814—so I kept watching. Sure enough, it broke through. The big coin wasn’t rising alone; I was riding along with it.

The long position I posted earlier was also predicted correctly. It’s been so long since I’ve felt this good. Tonight I have a remote video training session with Xiao Zheng—foundation course plus live trading demonstration. I told him that tonight it would rise, and I explained the logic behind my prediction, telling him to wait for time to verify whether I was right.

Even though I’m training him, I’m not trading alongside it—I can’t focus—but I just couldn’t hold back. I knew it was going up, so I entered a 778 long position. After all, I have to earn my living expenses by trading myself.

With a rise like this, one possibility is that it won’t pull back below 755—maybe not even down to 730 or 700. It could go straight in one wave to 90,000–100,000. I’m not trying to scare you. I’ve been through three cycles of bull and bear. Back when the big coin was around 8,000, a lot of people said, “Wait for a pullback to 5,000 to get in,” and then it rose to 20,000—that was the 2017 high. “It should be time to pull back, right?” Sorry— it went straight to 42,000!

In 2023, when the big coin was also over 20,000, people were expecting a pullback before entering. The result? It just kept running all the way to 35,000, then an ETF rose after a pullback and then it surged straight to 73777. How violently the bear market falls—how fiercely the bull market runs.

Getting ready to sleep. My prediction was verified. Respect the market—like walking on thin ice. Only when you accept losses can you short the big coin. If you can hold it up and it rises to 90,000–100,000, then fine. But if it’s going to go crazy and blast through the previous high, then you short it.

When trading contracts, you have to be psychologically prepared to lose everything. Otherwise, don’t trade contracts. Otherwise, when you lose it all, go to the rooftop to drink or go swim—no one will save you.

Today Xiao Yu told me he went short—and I scolded him badly. He did random trades with no sense. Anyway, if he loses, that’s on him. He should own his losses. I’m not trading and I’m not teaching contract trading either.
$BTC

The big pancake basically went up according to the prediction—rising all the way from 764 to 80,000. Tomorrow is Friday. Originally, I predicted it would rise to 784–795 today and that would be about right—didn’t expect it to surge so hard and break through 80,000. Still, Trump’s post on Twitter really works. The US stock market is going up—whether you believe it or not!

Also, if tomorrow’s data for unemployment rate and non-farm payrolls matches expectations, then the level around 814 should basically be broken through. If it breaks, then we’ll look at the previous high at 828. If it keeps charging hard, it should go to 830–850. If that level is reached, then we can consider the pullback.

If the non-farm and unemployment rate are worse than expected, then Japan will likely raise rates, which is effectively a form of “US rate cut.” Everyone already has expectations that the US will raise rates. If it doesn’t raise rates instead—that would be above expectations—then the data would be a downside but it probably wouldn’t fall much, and the pullback wouldn’t be deep.

I think tomorrow’s data has a higher probability of being favorable.

Today in the office I had Xiao Cui analyze the market. The result was up. I said, good—if the analysis says it’s going up, then do it!
$BTC

Missed $HYPE
and $LIT
without $ASTER
@Richard Teng @Yi He @CZ

Today Trump spoke at the White House and publicly called out trades, saying the U.S. stock market will rise. In reality, it also serves to drum up support for the midterm elections. Add Japan's rate hike, which is effectively a disguised Federal Reserve rate cut. With these two boosts, the U.S. will probably cook up the data—making the CPI numbers come in line with expectations. The big move in this rally should keep going upward; at the extreme, I think it could rise to 815–820, and then afterward pull back.

Trump's trade calls still have power. This time the rate hike by the yen has changed the underlying logic compared with the first few times. It’s best for it to be increased gradually, so the funds return gradually and achieve a soft landing. If it’s a hard landing, it will definitely crash!

Later tonight during the U.S. evening session, it may rise again for another wave. Wait and see how strong the subsequent pullback is for a bit.
$BTC

Analysis shows there’s basically nothing wrong. The multiple entries are also correct. Now it only depends on whether price can hold steady around 780. The overhead pressure is in the 782–795 range, and I feel it won’t be able to rise further.

It’s early September now—soon it’ll likely pull back. There might be a big one. It depends on what the big players do and what kind of move they make.

Just now, the big players poked the market with a needle near 770; normally, that would be a sign that it’s time to start moving upward, with a very high probability of going up.

$BTC

Long positions entered. It kept falling, and finally stabilized—it's already dropped to 764, and the drop is still a bit much.

Let's see whether it can rebound to 778 and 784 tonight. If it can’t rebound back up, and it breaks below 755, that would basically confirm a downward trend. If it goes down, there are three levels: 743, 730, and 710. Then we’ll see how far it drops.

First, take a defensive approach. The recent market is a bit strange—watch more, move less.

I’ve managed to overcome how I trade during teaching sessions so that it doesn’t get affected. Today, a fellow crypto friend came to the office for交流, and that also influenced my judgment and trades—this is something I hadn’t encountered before. Next time I run into a situation like this, it’s best not to trade. Even though you won’t make money, at least you won’t lose. Protecting your principal is the top priority.
$BTC