👋 ECONOMIC & FED INTEREST RATE OUTLOOK SUMMARY (17/9/2026)
1️⃣ Interest rate decision
The Fed INCREASED the interest rate by 0.25 percentage points, bringing it to 3.75% - 4.0%. This is the first rate hike since July 2023. The decision was approved with a 12-0 vote, meaning all voting members were in agreement. The Fed said this round of rate increases will help inflation return to the 2% target faster. The Fed still assesses that economic growth is solid, while inflation remains high.
2️⃣ Economic outlook
• PCE inflation for 2026: 3.6% -> 3.7% • Core PCE inflation for 2026: 3.3% -> 3.4% => The Fed continues to raise its inflation forecast, despite having increased interest rates in this meeting.
3️⃣ Interest rate outlook – Dot Plot
• End of 2026: 4.1%, up from 3.8% in June • End of 2027: 4.1%, up sharply from 3.6% • End of 2028: 3.9%, up from 3.4% • Long-term rate: 3.2%, up from 3.1% => 16 out of 18 Fed officials believe at least one more rate hike is needed in 2026.
More notably, the median projected rate will remain at 4.1% all the way through the end of 2027, and only then will it fall to 3.9% in 2028. Keeping rates high for longer is returning quite clearly in this Dot Plot. #TinFed #btc
Galaxy Digital’s Top Researcher Reveals When Bitcoin Could Reach $250,000
Galaxy Digital’s Top Researcher Reveals When Bitcoin Could Reach $250,000 Bitcoin is projected by a top Galaxy Digital researcher to potentially reach $250,000 by the end of 2027, as the market remains highly uncertain while the asset continues to mature. Galaxy Digital’s Top Researcher Reveals When Bitcoin Could Reach $250,000 Alex Thorn, Head of Firmwide Research at Galaxy Digital, believes Bitcoin has the potential to reach $250,000, though this milestone is unlikely to be achieved in the near term. According to Thorn, the flagship cryptocurrency could realistically hit this level by the end of 2027, rather than within the next year. However, the analyst acknowledged that forecasting Bitcoin’s price movement in 2026 is particularly challenging. Data from the options market highlights the current uncertainty, showing that the odds of Bitcoin falling to $50,000 and surging to $250,000 by the end of next year are nearly equal. Alex Thorn On X Alex Thorn On X “These wide ranges reflect significant near-term uncertainty. At the time of writing, the broader crypto market remains deep in a bear phase, and Bitcoin has yet to firmly re-establish bullish momentum,” Thorn said in a post on social media. Beyond the unclear macroeconomic outlook, the upcoming U.S. midterm elections are also expected to add another layer of uncertainty, potentially increasing volatility across financial markets, including cryptocurrencies. Bitcoin Is Gradually Maturing as a Financial Asset According to Thorn, Bitcoin is undergoing a structural transition from a highly speculative asset to a more mature financial instrument. He noted that over the past year, long-term BTC volatility has declined, signaling a shift toward greater market stability. Bitcoin Price Chart Bitcoin Price Chart This evolution is also evident in the options market. Six months ago, call options were significantly more expensive than puts, reflecting intense FOMO as traders paid a premium to capture potential upside rallies. Today, the situation has reversed, with put options now priced higher than calls, a pattern more commonly seen in traditional financial assets. This shift suggests that investors are increasingly focused on protecting capital against downside risks, rather than chasing aggressive upside gains. As Thorn explained, Bitcoin is moving away from “the skew typically seen in developing, growth-oriented markets” toward behavior more consistent with traditional macro assets. Notably, the analyst believes it is very possible that Bitcoin follows gold’s path, becoming widely adopted as a hedge against monetary debasement and inflation within the next two years.
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Some tips to help avoid losing money when first entering the market
1. Anyone who inboxes you to offer, sends a link to the vip group, makes a trade bet, airdrop bet, sends strange files,... most of them have the purpose of taking profit from you. If you don't want to lose money or get infected with a virus, press block and report. Check out the article on how to secure Telegram better:
2. Before transferring money on crypto networks or transferring money to anyone, transfer 1-2$ to check whether the wallet address is correct and whether the sender received it or not. Many people have lost hundreds of millions because they transferred the wrong wallet address. Please spare some $ fees, but make sure your money is safe. Be careful little by little, it will help you invest better.
3. Find a place to gradually learn investment knowledge. Newbies don't have no knowledge, they have negative knowledge. I hope everyone should learn the minimum knowledge about this market, investing is a long-term process, not 1-2 bets that will make you rich.