November: −17.5% December: −3.2% January: −10.1% February — ?
I think there will be a rise soon. Why?
Because there are indicators that have proven themselves over the years in the market. One of them is the fear and greed index. Right now, global confidence is at a very low level. Most people are afraid.
And that is a good sign. The rule in the market is simple: the stronger the fear, the greater the subsequent profit.
Therefore, I think one should buy now and wait. Growth is just a matter of time.
I myself will set a limit order at the 74 500 level tomorrow and will enter the purchase. I see the potential at 40–50%.
The US Treasury bought back $2 billion of its own government debt.
Simply put, at current rates, bonds are being bought worse than needed.
▪️ Investors demand higher yields ▪️ Servicing the debt is becoming more expensive ▪️ The government is starting to support the market manually
If the trend continues, the choice is simple: either lower rates or start the printing press. Both scenarios will lead to pressure on the dollar and increased interest in real and digital assets.
#BTC - the asset is back in the breakout operation, as of the end of the week, we can see a return to the trend channel. The market wants to rise ahead of the Fed meeting.
Good market dynamics are confirmed. For Bitcoin, I set the next target — $120,000.
Congratulations to our community — we entered this growth on time. This could be a strong start to the entire growth season.
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Why is it important now? • Around — FUD, fear, doubts. • But we see deeper: long liquidity has already been cleared, there is no one left to liquidate. • The market has been cleaned — and it is in such moments that real momentum begins.
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💬 For those in the know:
Those who come to the streams, participate, listen — they will be one step ahead of the majority. Without emotions, without guesses, only system and facts.
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We activate concentration mode. 120 000$ for BTC — the next station. 🚀
📈 Crypto — long positions prioritized for the US session 🇺🇸
With the opening of the American session, the market confidently secures above key levels — buyer activity is increasing.
🟢 According to the P3 strategy, more and more crypto-assets are moving into the green trend zone, forming signals for Long. 📊 In the order book, the volume delta is on the buyer's side, and the previously observed density at 1000 BTC around 109,000 — has already run out. This confirms: 💡 This was spoofing, artificially created by sellers to intimidate.
🔍 Signals are strengthening: • The breakout at 108,000 occurred on volume 💥 • CVD continues to rise 📈 • Coinbase, Bybit, Binance — are recording abnormal buyer activity
💥 Against the backdrop of these confirmations: ▶️ Priority for BTC — Long ▶️ Focus — on continuing the momentum above 110,000
We are monitoring the development. A repeat of the 14-day-old pattern is possible 📊
I cannot confirm the accuracy of the rumors, but there are reports circulating on the internet that over 2000 crypto traders have taken their own lives after the crash on October 10, 2025 — the very day when the market experienced record liquidations.
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📉 Data from Glassnode: • Funding rates in the crypto market fell to minimal levels not seen since the bear market of 2022. • This is one of the most powerful instances of deleveraging in the history of crypto markets — the market aggressively and quickly "blew off" speculative excesses.
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💡 Conclusion: Something clearly went wrong. The market did not just experience a correction — it conducted a purge of excessive speculation. Such events are rare, and they remain in history as harsh lessons for all.
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⚠️ It is important to remember: • Emotions and tragedy are part of human history, but they cannot be ignored. • We are traders, but first and foremost, we are human beings. • When the market breaks leverage, it is especially important to maintain discipline, understand risks, and be prepared strategically.
The green wide zone is clearly visible on the chart — this area is the range where buyers are systematically accumulating the asset. This zone is called the “order shelf” or Buyer Block — market participants are holding the price at this level and are actively buying back any dips.
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🔹 What this means: • The width of the zone indicates the scale of participant interest — the wider it is, the higher the liquidity and attention from large players. • The green “strong” signals at the bottom of the chart show the buyers' initiative and confirm that there is demand. • Currently, demand and interest in ETH are at a high level — this is also confirmed by the recovery in price and growth in trading volume.
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💬 Conclusion:
📊 Ethereum is currently situated in the area under the following conditions: • consistent interest from buyers has formed, • active price holding and buybacks are occurring, • and if this zone is maintained, there is potential for further upward movement in price.
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• The majority of members consider a softening of monetary policy appropriate in 2025; • However, inflation remains the main risk limiting aggressive rate cuts; • Committee members emphasized: decisions will depend on inflation and labor market data.
📉 Conclusion: The Fed is on course to lower rates, but is doing so very cautiously. If inflation accelerates again — the pause will continue. The market reads this as "soft, but without euphoria."
The US Senate has once again failed to approve the budget agreement. 👉 The shutdown continues.
📌 What this means: • Federal agencies have partially suspended operations • Reports on labor markets, inflation, and the economy may be delayed • The SEC and other regulators are operating in emergency mode — this blocks the launch of new crypto-ETFs • Political tensions are rising, pressure on the economy is increasing
📉 Markets are reacting nervously. Every day of the shutdown is a decrease in investor confidence and a slowdown of key processes.
▪️CryptoQuant analysts believe that BTC is maintaining a bullish trend despite a slowdown in growth. The price is currently around $119,600, which is 10% higher than the recent low.
▪️The key level, according to experts, is at $130,000. This is where short-term investors may start to take profits.
▪️The company notes that traders are actively using dips to enter the market, which supports momentum and increases Bitcoin's chances of moving to new highs.
1) Options are expiring Tomorrow, a total of $23 billion worth of options on Bitcoin and Ethereum will expire. This event happens once every three months and leads to significant changes. It's called the "maximum pain" point, where most options expire. For Bitcoin, this threshold is $110,000, and for Ethereum, it's $3,700. Major players (whales) usually push the market close to this threshold, and it seems to be happening now as well.
2) Risk of a US government shutdown The likelihood of a temporary US government shutdown by October 1st is estimated at 67%. In previous instances, markets have declined. Therefore, investors are on edge.
3) Very good economic indicators In the second quarter, the US GDP was 3.8%, higher than expected (3.3%). This is good in the long term, but in the short term, it could exert downward pressure. A strong economy might prevent interest rates from dropping, whereas traders are hoping for a "rate cut" in the short term.
4) Excessive leverage Last week, many small traders entered altcoins with high leverage, especially due to the hype around DEX. In some cases, open positions in altcoins have exceeded those in Bitcoin by two times. Now, liquidations are occurring, further driving down prices.
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Conclusion
This situation resembles the classic game of the whales. At the beginning of September, they raised the price, convincing people that "everything will rise now." Now they are driving it down, causing panic among people. If you are not cautious, when the whales raise the price again, you might end up selling at the lowest price.
Growing in trading is not just about chasing every hot signal. It comes from depth, discipline, patience, and a lot of hard work over time. The way is as follows 👇 1. Find the strategy that suits you Experiment with different trading styles; one day you will find the one that suits you. It must match your personality, time, and way of thinking. You won't succeed with a system that doesn't fit you. 2. Stick firmly to one strategy Once you find your style, commit fully. Don't be distracted. You need to endure all the good and bad moments. 3. Learn from past leaders and setups Spend a lot of time (more than 10,000 hours). Study successful traders and repeatedly recurring patterns. As you train your brain, you'll start to see good opportunities faster. 4. Establish the market trend model Know exactly when to trade and when to wait. Choosing the right time increases your chances of winning. 5. Learn risk management Understand the basics, then dive deeper. Your first goal is to stay in the market. Take minimal risks, preserve your capital, and one trade shouldn’t wipe you out. 6. Document every trade Use tables, screenshots, and notes. This way, documenting will speed up your learning process. 7. Make not losing money your primary goal The first goal is not profit but to avoid losing money. Risk control and choosing the right market will help you break even. 8. Eliminate recurring mistakes Every mistake is a lesson. Review your trades, identify mistakes, and write new rules to avoid repeating them. This way, you will grow. 9. Achieve consistent profits Over time, your graph will start to rise—not because you found better setups, but because you managed risk and time better. 10. Expand cautiously Only increase positions and margins when you start seeing consistent profits. But never scale up a faulty system.