MarketTheory
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MarketTheory
Market structure Smart Money Concepts GOLD |BTC| Alt coins
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About Bitcoin 🟢
After the overnight correction, we already bounced back pretty well and returned above $77 000 again. Dip-buying is recovering, indicating increasing strength.
Now, after getting a more or less decent pullback from the local high and also covering the current daily imbalance, the asset may be ready to continue rising toward the next resistance level, which is at around ~$82k.
So, right now I’m starting to consider the continuation of the uptrend, with a stop loss below the local low at $75 500.
$BTC #BTC
After the overnight correction, we already bounced back pretty well and returned above $77 000 again. Dip-buying is recovering, indicating increasing strength.
Now, after getting a more or less decent pullback from the local high and also covering the current daily imbalance, the asset may be ready to continue rising toward the next resistance level, which is at around ~$82k.
So, right now I’m starting to consider the continuation of the uptrend, with a stop loss below the local low at $75 500.
$BTC #BTC
Liquidity positioning 🔎
From the liquidity map, we can see that there is no liquidity left at the top. Now, the entire main focus is concentrated only at the bottom.
So either after a couple more percent of growth, or already from the current levels, we should see at least a decent market correction to redistribute liquidity. Otherwise, it’s simply no longer profitable for the market to keep moving further upward.
#btc $BTC
If you liked the publication, don’t forget to support me 😊
From the liquidity map, we can see that there is no liquidity left at the top. Now, the entire main focus is concentrated only at the bottom.
So either after a couple more percent of growth, or already from the current levels, we should see at least a decent market correction to redistribute liquidity. Otherwise, it’s simply no longer profitable for the market to keep moving further upward.
#btc $BTC
If you liked the publication, don’t forget to support me 😊
🪙HISTORY REPEATS ITSELF
We follow the same schedule as in 2022.
🔴June 2022 bottom → August pump +43% → Current bottom at $16K
🔴June 2026 bottom → August pump +37% → Current bottom at ???
‼️Last time, everyone was also shouting about the start of the pump.
🕯The movement looks very similar to what happened during the bear market 4 years ago
$BTC
#BTC .
We follow the same schedule as in 2022.
🔴June 2022 bottom → August pump +43% → Current bottom at $16K
🔴June 2026 bottom → August pump +37% → Current bottom at ???
‼️Last time, everyone was also shouting about the start of the pump.
🕯The movement looks very similar to what happened during the bear market 4 years ago
$BTC
#BTC .
☄️The strongest flash crash in the crypto market since October 10, 2025
In just 6 minutes, $108 billion vanished from the market.
The total capitalization of the crypto market was $2.66 trillion, while long liquidations were only $6 million. Then the collapse began, and already within 6 minutes the capitalization fell to $2.55 trillion.
At the moment the drop started, Bitcoin was trading around $78,500, after which in 6 minutes it plunged to $76,500—down $2,000.
🐻The fall was triggered by a cascade of liquidations: in just 30 minutes, $467 million in longs were liquidated, and the total volume approached $500 million.
And what’s most interesting is that all of this happened without any news or an obvious catalyst.
🫧The market is now trying to find balance, with pressure coming from both sides. So over the next few days, there will be plenty more of these sharp moves and squeezes.
If you liked the post, please support me 😊
#btc
In just 6 minutes, $108 billion vanished from the market.
The total capitalization of the crypto market was $2.66 trillion, while long liquidations were only $6 million. Then the collapse began, and already within 6 minutes the capitalization fell to $2.55 trillion.
At the moment the drop started, Bitcoin was trading around $78,500, after which in 6 minutes it plunged to $76,500—down $2,000.
🐻The fall was triggered by a cascade of liquidations: in just 30 minutes, $467 million in longs were liquidated, and the total volume approached $500 million.
And what’s most interesting is that all of this happened without any news or an obvious catalyst.
🫧The market is now trying to find balance, with pressure coming from both sides. So over the next few days, there will be plenty more of these sharp moves and squeezes.
If you liked the post, please support me 😊
#btc
Weekend in the side box ➖
While we’re still treading in place around $77k. Overnight, we saw some small local moves in both directions, but quickly returned to the initial levels.
As I noted yesterday, as long as we’re staying below this resistance level on the daily timeframe, I will prioritize considering a continuation of the pullback reaction.
No changes for now—we’re waiting for further developments.
If you liked the post, you can support it financially 😊🤫🤭
$BTC #btc
While we’re still treading in place around $77k. Overnight, we saw some small local moves in both directions, but quickly returned to the initial levels.
As I noted yesterday, as long as we’re staying below this resistance level on the daily timeframe, I will prioritize considering a continuation of the pullback reaction.
No changes for now—we’re waiting for further developments.
If you liked the post, you can support it financially 😊🤫🤭
$BTC #btc
⚠️ This Can Stop Growth
The yield on 30-year US bonds has fully recovered the drop after the announcement of Treasury bond buybacks and has returned to 5,282%.
‼️All of this bond-yield decline has now been completely unwound in less than 48 hours.
💵The risk of a rising US dollar index remains, creating additional pressure on BTC, which runs on a cheap dollar.
🤏 Yesterday, Jim Cramer said, “go and buy Bitcoin.” So it looks like we’re waiting for a dip.
🪙$BTC traded below $80k, near support around $77k. Over the weekend, its next move will be decided.
#btc
P.S.: If you liked the post, you can support me financially on my profile 😊😊
The yield on 30-year US bonds has fully recovered the drop after the announcement of Treasury bond buybacks and has returned to 5,282%.
‼️All of this bond-yield decline has now been completely unwound in less than 48 hours.
💵The risk of a rising US dollar index remains, creating additional pressure on BTC, which runs on a cheap dollar.
🤏 Yesterday, Jim Cramer said, “go and buy Bitcoin.” So it looks like we’re waiting for a dip.
🪙$BTC traded below $80k, near support around $77k. Over the weekend, its next move will be decided.
#btc
P.S.: If you liked the post, you can support me financially on my profile 😊😊
‼️This is what I was talking about:
$79,500 Bitcoin has been deployed, we're almost at $80,000.
📊There was a large volume of sell orders there, but the market will gradually eat them up and move higher.
☄️ Above $80,000, there's still a lot of billions of dollars in shorts that still need to be liquidated. This is already the third major liquidation wave.
$BTC
$79,500 Bitcoin has been deployed, we're almost at $80,000.
📊There was a large volume of sell orders there, but the market will gradually eat them up and move higher.
☄️ Above $80,000, there's still a lot of billions of dollars in shorts that still need to be liquidated. This is already the third major liquidation wave.
$BTC
$BTC $72 000 📈
As a result, over the course of a day we saw Bitcoin grow another 6% and reached the $72,000 level.
We achieved our goal 🎯
As I noted to you yesterday, we didn’t catch one local impulse, but then we caught the next few impulses with a higher percentage of the move.
Soon I’ll send you an update—today I was in the mountains all day.
#btc
As a result, over the course of a day we saw Bitcoin grow another 6% and reached the $72,000 level.
We achieved our goal 🎯
As I noted to you yesterday, we didn’t catch one local impulse, but then we caught the next few impulses with a higher percentage of the move.
Soon I’ll send you an update—today I was in the mountains all day.
#btc
AND HERE IS THE HIDDEN REASON FOR THE GROWTH $BTC
🇺🇸Yesterday, Trump said that the US is considering the possibility of buying “significant” amounts of BTC and other cryptocurrencies. But we’ve heard this a year ago already.
🗣Also, Trump added that America is the “undisputed leader” in BTC, cryptocurrencies, prediction markets, and AI.
🪙BTC continues to trade above the $69k level. The question is whether the price will be able to hold above this level and not drop into a correction, since everything is currently being supported by liquidity from liquidated shorts.
‼️Over the past 24 hours, short positions worth $2.66 billion were liquidated. This is the largest short liquidation in the history of the crypto market.
🔼BlackRock and other ETFs bought BTC worth $517.19 million. The largest inflow in more than 3 months.
🕯Yesterday, my long position in BTC was triggered. A little below 70k, there is strong resistance; I’m watching the $68k level—if support holds, I’ll continue holding the long. More current crypto and stock trades are available in our Pro Subscription.
#btc
🇺🇸Yesterday, Trump said that the US is considering the possibility of buying “significant” amounts of BTC and other cryptocurrencies. But we’ve heard this a year ago already.
🗣Also, Trump added that America is the “undisputed leader” in BTC, cryptocurrencies, prediction markets, and AI.
🪙BTC continues to trade above the $69k level. The question is whether the price will be able to hold above this level and not drop into a correction, since everything is currently being supported by liquidity from liquidated shorts.
‼️Over the past 24 hours, short positions worth $2.66 billion were liquidated. This is the largest short liquidation in the history of the crypto market.
🔼BlackRock and other ETFs bought BTC worth $517.19 million. The largest inflow in more than 3 months.
🕯Yesterday, my long position in BTC was triggered. A little below 70k, there is strong resistance; I’m watching the $68k level—if support holds, I’ll continue holding the long. More current crypto and stock trades are available in our Pro Subscription.
#btc
🇺🇸Today, the largest crypto summit in history is taking place at the White House.
🗣Trump is due to meet with the SEC chair Paul Atkins, the CFTC chair Mike Selig, and representatives from Coinbase, Ripple, Gemini, Polymarket, Kalshi, Nasdaq, NYSE, CME Group, and DTCC.
✍️New rules of the game for the entire crypto industry are at stake.
⚡️I doubt this event won’t trigger a sharp rise;
however, it’s at least some positive news for the crypto market in recent times.
#btc
🗣Trump is due to meet with the SEC chair Paul Atkins, the CFTC chair Mike Selig, and representatives from Coinbase, Ripple, Gemini, Polymarket, Kalshi, Nasdaq, NYSE, CME Group, and DTCC.
✍️New rules of the game for the entire crypto industry are at stake.
⚡️I doubt this event won’t trigger a sharp rise;
however, it’s at least some positive news for the crypto market in recent times.
#btc
Can I go ahead?
Verified
‼️After an ultimatum from Tehran, Trump ordered leading US diplomats to suspend negotiations with Iran.
🛢Tensions in the Middle East remain, with Brent trading above the $91 level.
🏠Yesterday, the SEC proposed its first-ever rules on cryptocurrencies, “Regulation Crypto Assets,” to create a clear framework for crypto assets. The SEC is launching its own Clarity Act.
🤑BlackRock and other ETFs are buying BTC for $189.31 million.
⚡️Event of the day: ADI’s revenue report—good results and a stock rise are expected. Throughout the day, I will share information on how I’ll trade this stock.
#trump #war
🛢Tensions in the Middle East remain, with Brent trading above the $91 level.
🏠Yesterday, the SEC proposed its first-ever rules on cryptocurrencies, “Regulation Crypto Assets,” to create a clear framework for crypto assets. The SEC is launching its own Clarity Act.
🤑BlackRock and other ETFs are buying BTC for $189.31 million.
⚡️Event of the day: ADI’s revenue report—good results and a stock rise are expected. Throughout the day, I will share information on how I’ll trade this stock.
#trump #war
Important point ❗️
Considering that most significant factors tell us about further correction, but even if despite that we get a breakout of this resistance, it will make the continuation of the local manipulation up to the next resistance level around ~$66,700. However, the fact that we can’t in any case go much higher is because the market is simply not able to move against its own liquidity for long—there’s no point in supporting the crowd for a long time in a direction that benefits it. Also, you should under no circumstances forget that the correction cycle has not yet ended.
Therefore, I think that either from the current level or already from the range of the next resistance, we should see a correction to a new local low—i.e., below $58,000.
#btc $BTC
Considering that most significant factors tell us about further correction, but even if despite that we get a breakout of this resistance, it will make the continuation of the local manipulation up to the next resistance level around ~$66,700. However, the fact that we can’t in any case go much higher is because the market is simply not able to move against its own liquidity for long—there’s no point in supporting the crowd for a long time in a direction that benefits it. Also, you should under no circumstances forget that the correction cycle has not yet ended.
Therefore, I think that either from the current level or already from the range of the next resistance, we should see a correction to a new local low—i.e., below $58,000.
#btc $BTC
What about Bitcoin?
Growth or decline?
The market never stops delighting us with growth. Yesterday we managed to hold above the EMA, so today we’re seeing a “pump” in the market. Let’s figure out what we should expect next.
So, to start with: in the medium term, I expect a drop; the only question is at which levels we’ll bounce and fly lower from.
I think it will be around the 65–65.5 level in the market. After that, we’ll see a reversal structure form, and then a plunge like a stone into the river.
Now, as for the local scenario: a clean 1–2% upward from the current levels is fully possible. Then, after a day or two, we’ll be watching for a reversal of the move.
Watch closely and wait for the fall.
Have a great evening 🔥
#BTC $BTC
Growth or decline?
The market never stops delighting us with growth. Yesterday we managed to hold above the EMA, so today we’re seeing a “pump” in the market. Let’s figure out what we should expect next.
So, to start with: in the medium term, I expect a drop; the only question is at which levels we’ll bounce and fly lower from.
I think it will be around the 65–65.5 level in the market. After that, we’ll see a reversal structure form, and then a plunge like a stone into the river.
Now, as for the local scenario: a clean 1–2% upward from the current levels is fully possible. Then, after a day or two, we’ll be watching for a reversal of the move.
Watch closely and wait for the fall.
Have a great evening 🔥
#BTC $BTC
Considering that most significant factors tell us about further correction, and even despite this we will get a breakout of this resistance, it will make the continuation of the local manipulation go higher up to the next resistance level around ~$66,700, but in any case we cannot go too far. The market cannot move against its own liquidity for long, because it is simply not beneficial for anyone to keep feeding the crowd for long. Either now or from the next resistance, we should move to a new local bottom, namely below $60,000.
$BNB | analysis 💬
After receiving a rollback reaction from the key resistance, I will now wait for the continuation of the correction up to the nearest significant support level at $570 - $560.
It’s also worth noting that even amid the local rise of Bitcoin, the asset is still unable to show a proper upward impulse. This indicates its weakness and the need for the price to move to a strong support level.
After receiving a rollback reaction from the key resistance, I will now wait for the continuation of the correction up to the nearest significant support level at $570 - $560.
It’s also worth noting that even amid the local rise of Bitcoin, the asset is still unable to show a proper upward impulse. This indicates its weakness and the need for the price to move to a strong support level.
Still a long way to fall before the reversal 📉
Considering past cycles, the average duration of a bear market is about 370 days.
However, the current bear market has lasted only 315 days.
Just as everything technically suggests that the correction will continue, historically it’s still too early to expect a reversal reaction. I’d also like to note that in this cycle, I think we’ll drop even a bit longer than before.
$BTC
Considering past cycles, the average duration of a bear market is about 370 days.
However, the current bear market has lasted only 315 days.
Just as everything technically suggests that the correction will continue, historically it’s still too early to expect a reversal reaction. I’d also like to note that in this cycle, I think we’ll drop even a bit longer than before.
$BTC
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