Danny小学僧

Don’t panic—don’t panic. To put it plainly, it’s just a shakeout: they want you to get off the train, and those currently holding no position shouldn’t panic either. There will be a rebound tonight—I mean it. Even Jesus can’t stop it!

In the AI era: valuation mismatches in memory stocks and the logic behind their correction

Against the backdrop of the AI industry boom, memory-leading companies are being undervalued by the market. The core issue is that the market has misjudged the valuation logic.

1. The illusion of low P/E ratios

Micron, Samsung, and SK hynix’s forward P/E ratios are only 5–6.5x, far below the 24–47x seen in AI-industry-chain companies like NVIDIA and TSMC. This undervaluation stems from the market’s traditional perception of the memory sector—treating it as a highly cyclical industry, assuming profits have peaked, that capacity is excessive, and that companies lack monopoly pricing power.

2. How AI rewrites the memory-cycle logic

In the AI era, memory demand grows in a spiral: more users → more inference calls → higher server demand → exponentially increasing memory consumption. AI servers require 8–10 times more memory than traditional servers. By 2026, AI-related applications will consume 66% of DRAM production, and the HBM demand gap will reach 50–60%. Memory has become the core bottleneck for AI computing power.

3. The essence of the valuation contradiction

The market overvalues other segments of the AI industry chain while giving memory companies extremely low valuations. The logic doesn’t add up. If AI computing demand continues to expand, memory demand must rise in tandem. If memory demand declines, then the performance and scale expansion of AI servers will be constrained, and the high-valuation logic of companies like NVIDIA will also collapse.

4. The inevitability of a valuation re-rating

Today’s low valuations in memory companies implicitly assume that profits have peaked. But ongoing growth in AI demand will break that expectation. If the P/E ratio is re-rated from 6x to 10x, the stock price theoretically has more than 70% room for repair. As a core component of AI infrastructure, memory’s valuation framework will ultimately be rebuilt in the AI era.

I remember it now.
I’m not some Wall Street wolf, not a savior of light, not a successor of chips, and not the king of storage.
I’m just a minor—I’m requesting a refund. $SKHYNIX

China has already mass-produced DUV lithography machines, and ASML's stock has been smashed! The Philadelphia semiconductor index also plummeted sharply! This wave, I believe in the rise of domestic industry!$SOXL $MINIMAX

Intel board member Chen Liwu's insider take: Stop fixating on GPUs! In the second half of AI, this undervalued chip is making a wild comeback!

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SK Hynix: The 'Hard Currency' of AI Storage
As a leader in High Bandwidth Memory (HBM), SK Hynix has heavily tied itself to AI giants like NVIDIA. Its investment thesis has shifted from traditional 'cyclical storage stocks' to being a 'pricing power AI infrastructure provider.' Thanks to long-term supply agreements (LTA) providing profit stability and high barriers in the HBM sector, the company is currently in a profit explosion phase. The main risks lie in global macroeconomic fluctuations and potential pullbacks in downstream demand cycles.
Marvell: The 'Central Nervous System' of AI Connectivity
Marvell is a key player in high-speed connectivity and customized chips (ASICs). Amidst the surge in data center traffic, its switching and optical interconnect technologies serve as the 'highway' for AI computational power flow. With Jensen Huang considering it a 'next trillion-dollar potential stock' and its inclusion in the S&P 500 index, its valuation logic has shifted from pure IC design to the core of computational connectivity ecosystem. Its growth is highly dependent on the capital expenditure strength of cloud service providers (Hyperscalers). $SKHYNIX $MRVL
Short-term is still choppy, long-term 1000B

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Iran's Revolutionary Guard: Starting April 1, it will target companies in the Middle East related to American high-tech firms
According to Iranian state media: The Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps of Iran stated that in retaliation for attacks against Iran, starting April 1, it will list American companies in the region as targets. In the announcement, the Revolutionary Guard issued warnings to 18 American technology companies, including HP, Apple, Google, Tesla, Microsoft, and others. $TSLA $GOOGL $XAU

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It's been 4 years!

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