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#BTC #ETH both hit take-profit in profit. The trading plan for this trade was given in the 10.20 video.
Bitcoin gained 3,000 points, and Ethereum gained 120 points.
The strategy of shorting on rallies remains unchanged. We recommend waiting for Bitcoin to fall back to 84,300 on the 1-hour chart and Ethereum to fall back to 2,500 before entering short positions. Place the stop-loss above the false-breakout high.

Add back the remaining half position in BTC and ETH. Stop-losses: 79,700 and 2,320; targets: 84,300 and 2,480.

2026-10-16 #BTC #ETH Trading Strategy
🟢BTC: Go long on a pullback to 80800 (0.618 + gap), stop loss at 79800, take profit at 84400
🔴BTC: Place a small short position at 84400–85200; add to the position if the price falls back, stop loss at 85800
🟢ETH: Enter long in batches at 2388–2356, stop loss at 2320, take profit at 2585

Focus mainly on buying pullbacks, with shorting at resistance as a secondary strategy. Don’t chase rallies or sell into declines.

The long position is performing as expected, with an unrealized profit of 1,500 points. Close half according to plan, and target 82,800–84,300 for the remainder. Move the stop-loss to 79,700.

2026-10-14 Bitcoin Market Analysis
Market outlook: Consolidating in a high range. No intraday trades; wait for the range boundary to short 📉
🔴 Direction: Short
🟥 Entry: 84400–85300, average entry 84800
🔴 Stop-loss: 86200 (1400 points of risk)
🎯 Target 1: 82800｜Target 2: 80000
💡 At 1:1 floating profit, move the stop-loss to breakeven
In a ranging market, trade the boundaries. Don’t chase or guess—enter when price reaches the level

🚩Bitcoin breaks below 82,800 and reclaims it? Watch out for a bear trap!

Bitcoin Market Analysis — 2026-10-12
I. Trading Plan:
🟢Direction: Long
🟢Entry: 83,400–82,800 (average entry: 83,200)
🔴Stop-loss: 82,200 (1,000 points)
🎯Take-profit 1: 85,000
🎯Take-profit 2: 87,400 (previous high)

Summary: Price broke below 82,800 on the daily chart, then reclaimed it—a possible bear trap 🎯
Short sellers are chasing the move + funding rates are low + CVD divergence: a setup for a long trade

II. Market Structure
1. Many traders opened shorts after the break below 82,800: After price broke below the 82,800 neckline on the daily chart, a large number of bears joined in. Funding rates turned negative, signaling crowded short positions.
2. False breakdown and reclaim: Price dipped below 82,800 but quickly recovered. The daily candle closed with a long lower wick, indicating strong buying interest below—a bear trap and shakeout pattern.

3. Order-book confirmation:
-CVD is negative on the daily chart, but price has not continued falling → selling pressure from bears is being absorbed; bullish divergence
-Funding rates are extremely low → short positions are cheap to hold, but if price rebounds, short covering could fuel the rally
-4-hour CVD has turned positive → short-term capital is starting to flow back in
-Key level: 82,800 shifted from support to resistance, then back to support. A break below followed by a reclaim = bear trap and a potential opportunity for bulls.

Bitcoin is dropping on heavy volume—don’t try to catch a falling knife ⚠️
🟢 Trading plan:
Direction: Long
Condition: 1-hour candle closes back above 83900
😭 Stop-loss: 83500
🎯 Take-profit: 85500–87400
Otherwise, wait for the price to drop to around 82800, then observe price action before entering.
If the conditions aren’t met, stay out and wait—don’t try to catch the dip early.

#XAU Gold Long
✅False breakdown below 4110, swept liquidity and reclaimed the level; go long on confirmation
🟢Entry: Around 4130
🔴SL: 4070 (approx. 47 points of risk)
🎯TP1: 4230 (take half off first)
🎯TP2: 4290 (previous high)
$XAU

2026-10-5 Bitcoin Market Analysis
I. Trade Review
🔴85200 Short: After entry, the price faced no significant selling pressure and continued rising, hitting the stop-loss and resulting in a 500-point loss.

II. Current Market
🟢Plan: Continue to favor short positions
🟡Trigger: If the 1h chart breaks above 87400 and then falls back below → enter short on the right side
🔴Stop-loss: Above the false-breakout high
🎯Take-profit: 82800 (approximately 4600 points of potential movement)

Wait for confirmation of a false breakout before entering. Do not place limit orders on the left side to gamble on a top.

III. Why not place limit orders on the left side?

🔴The lesson from 82800 is still fresh — that was also a previous high, and if you had placed a short limit order on the left side, the price could have broken straight through without looking back. The same applies to 87400: you must wait for the “break above first, then fall back below” false-breakout pattern to form, and enter only after confirmation on the right side. Better to miss out on some gains than to gamble on a top.

2026-10-1 Bitcoin Market Analysis​

Trade Recap:
Long order 85200 take profit 2450 points ✅
Short order highest profit 1900 points ✅

Trading Plan:
Bearish volume expands step by step, bears dominate
Resistance confirmed + bears volume surging, only short, no long 📉

Three Short Setups:

🔴 Plan A: Break below 82800 to short, stop loss 1500 points
🔴 Plan B: On a pullback to 85200 failing to break higher, short; stop loss at 85700
🔴 Plan C: Fake breakout—if price breaks above 87400 but falls back, then short; stop loss at the fake breakout high

2026-9-29T Bitcoin market outlook analysis (short version)
Long position floating profit 1,500 points, price above the POC
✅🔒 Stop-loss moved to lock in break-even, risk set to zero
🎯 First take-profit: 85,200 (VAH + small parallel high point + Fibonacci 0.618 triple resistance)
🎯 Second target: 87,400 (prior high)

Subsequent market judgment:
▫️ Break through 85,200 and hold above it → remaining positions look to 87,400
▫️ 1h long upper wick / break then falls back → close all longs and reverse to short
▫️ Retrace back below the POC → close all and stand by. 85,200–85,500 is a strong resistance zone; when it gets there, take profit first

“Core logic—see Diagram 2”

2026-9-28 Bitcoin Market Analysis
A 82800–85200 range consolidation. After breaking below 82800, it swept the liquidity, then recovered ✅
Triple support resonance: the lower bound of the range + Fibonacci 0.618/0.666 + a retest of the prior high
🟢 Long: around 82800, SL 81700
🎯 TP1: 85200 (upper bound of the range, take half profit)
🎯 TP2: 87400 (parallel high of the prior high)
If it briefly breaks down (a fakeout) and then washes, go long again at the lower bound of the range