Kalirypto

526 Posts

Kalirypto

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Occasional Trader

5.6 Years

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Kalirypto

Bullish

📅 U.S. ECONOMIC CALENDAR | JULY 13–17, 2026 🇺🇸

🕒 All times are Türkiye Time (TRT)

🔹 Tuesday, July 14 – 3:30 PM
📊 Consumer Price Index (CPI)
📊 Core Consumer Price Index (Core CPI)

⭐ The most important release of the week. It could have a major impact on Federal Reserve rate expectations, Bitcoin, altcoins, and U.S. stock markets.

⸻

🔹 Wednesday, July 15 – 3:30 PM
📊 Producer Price Index (PPI)
📊 Core Producer Price Index (Core PPI)

🕘 9:00 PM
📖 Federal Reserve Beige Book

⸻

🔹 Thursday, July 16 – 3:30 PM
🛒 Retail Sales
👷 Initial Jobless Claims

⸻

🔹 Friday, July 17 – 3:30 PM
🏠 Housing Starts
🏗️ Building Permits
🌍 Import Price Index

🕔 5:00 PM
😊 University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index (Preliminary)

🎯 MARKETS’ MAIN FOCUS

1️⃣ Tuesday: CPI
2️⃣ Wednesday: PPI
3️⃣ Thursday: Retail Sales & Initial Jobless Claims
4️⃣ Friday: Michigan Consumer Sentiment

⚠️ Tuesday’s CPI release at 3:30 PM (TRT) is expected to be the week’s biggest market-moving event, with the potential to trigger significant volatility across cryptocurrencies and global financial markets.

#BTC $BTC

BTC+11.27%

Kalirypto

When does the bull arrive?That’s the question everyone is asking, but no one can answer definitively. I can’t give a specific date—no one can. But when we combine the charts and on-chain metrics, what emerges isn’t a vague prediction, but a clear timeline and a checklist. Let’s take a look at the data, step by step. First, the chart. Bitcoin is currently around $63,000, down more than 50% from its October 2025 peak of $126,000. Technically, we’re still in bear territory. That’s because the price is stuck right around the 200-day moving average (61,000–65,000), which separates the bulls from the bears. For the bulls to technically declare, “I’m back,” only one thing is needed: a sustained retake of the 66,000–70,000 range. Until that level is breached, the trend structure remains bearish. On the downside, there are two critical support levels. The $58,000–$62,000 range represents both the 200-week moving average and the “generational buying” zone—in other words, the likely bottom for the year. If this level breaks, attention will shift to the $50,000–$55,000 range—the true bottom of the cycle. Now let’s look beyond the chart at the on-chain data. Because that’s where the real story lies. The MVRV Z-score valuation metric stands at 0.22. This means the price is very close to its true cost—on the cheap side. But keep this in mind: during past bottoms, this score had dipped into negative territory, reaching levels like -0.20 and -0.29. So, while we’re cheap, the absolute bottom hasn’t been confirmed yet. The fear index is in the "extreme fear" zone. Most Bitcoin is now held at a loss, which is a sign of capitulation—indicating that selling pressure has run out. The supply side, however, remains solid. Long-term holders are holding and accumulating 78 percent of the supply, while the amount on exchanges is at a seven-year low. In other words, the foundation is slowly becoming more solid. So what does the calendar say? This is the most concrete part. Bitcoin has historically moved in a four-year cycle, and bear markets have lasted an average of 12 months. Counting from the October 2025 peak, this takes you to the fourth quarter of 2026—specifically, the October–December range. So the math of history suggests that the bottom will most likely form in the fourth quarter of this year—likely with a final drop to 50,000–55,000. But let me be clear about this. A bottom does not mean a bull market. A bottom is simply the end of the decline; the spark that triggers the rally is something entirely different. And that spark lies in the macro picture. The real catalyst for the bull market is the central bank turning on the tap: interest rate cuts and easing inflation. The first test of that spark is coming very soon. This month’s inflation data and the Fed meeting on July 29 will provide the first real signal. Now let’s put it all together, because the answer isn’t a date—it’s a sequence of events. The groundwork is already being laid: supply is scarce, owners are hoarding, and valuations are low. For the chart to turn bullish, it needs to reclaim the 66,000–70,000 range. The Fed’s pivot will be the real trigger. So the base scenario is this: a bottoming process heading into the fourth quarter of 2026, perhaps a final dip to 50,000–55,000, and the real bull run will begin when the Fed starts cutting rates and the price recovers to 66,000. There are three clear things to watch. Will it hold between 58,000 and 62,000 on the downside? Will it recover to 66,000–70,000 on the upside? And when will the Fed pivot? To be honest, this could happen earlier or later. If the Fed cuts rates quickly and 66,000 is retaken swiftly, the bull market will arrive sooner than expected. If 58,000 is broken or inflation proves stubborn, the process will drag on and deepen. No one knows the exact day—not even me. But now you’re looking at these three signals, not the calendar. That’s the beauty of it: instead of predicting, you’ll be observing. Which do you think will spark the trend first: the retest of 66,000 on the chart, or the Fed’s first rate cut?

When does the bull arrive?

That’s the question everyone is asking, but no one can answer definitively.
I can’t give a specific date—no one can. But when we combine the charts and on-chain metrics, what emerges isn’t a vague prediction, but a clear timeline and a checklist.
Let’s take a look at the data, step by step.
First, the chart. Bitcoin is currently around $63,000, down more than 50% from its October 2025 peak of $126,000.
Technically, we’re still in bear territory. That’s because the price is stuck right around the 200-day moving average (61,000–65,000), which separates the bulls from the bears.
For the bulls to technically declare, “I’m back,” only one thing is needed: a sustained retake of the 66,000–70,000 range. Until that level is breached, the trend structure remains bearish.
On the downside, there are two critical support levels. The $58,000–$62,000 range represents both the 200-week moving average and the “generational buying” zone—in other words, the likely bottom for the year.
If this level breaks, attention will shift to the $50,000–$55,000 range—the true bottom of the cycle.
Now let’s look beyond the chart at the on-chain data. Because that’s where the real story lies.
The MVRV Z-score valuation metric stands at 0.22. This means the price is very close to its true cost—on the cheap side.
But keep this in mind: during past bottoms, this score had dipped into negative territory, reaching levels like -0.20 and -0.29. So, while we’re cheap, the absolute bottom hasn’t been confirmed yet.
The fear index is in the "extreme fear" zone. Most Bitcoin is now held at a loss, which is a sign of capitulation—indicating that selling pressure has run out.
The supply side, however, remains solid. Long-term holders are holding and accumulating 78 percent of the supply, while the amount on exchanges is at a seven-year low. In other words, the foundation is slowly becoming more solid.
So what does the calendar say? This is the most concrete part.
Bitcoin has historically moved in a four-year cycle, and bear markets have lasted an average of 12 months. Counting from the October 2025 peak, this takes you to the fourth quarter of 2026—specifically, the October–December range.
So the math of history suggests that the bottom will most likely form in the fourth quarter of this year—likely with a final drop to 50,000–55,000.
But let me be clear about this. A bottom does not mean a bull market.
A bottom is simply the end of the decline; the spark that triggers the rally is something entirely different. And that spark lies in the macro picture.
The real catalyst for the bull market is the central bank turning on the tap: interest rate cuts and easing inflation.
The first test of that spark is coming very soon. This month’s inflation data and the Fed meeting on July 29 will provide the first real signal.
Now let’s put it all together, because the answer isn’t a date—it’s a sequence of events.
The groundwork is already being laid: supply is scarce, owners are hoarding, and valuations are low. For the chart to turn bullish, it needs to reclaim the 66,000–70,000 range. The Fed’s pivot will be the real trigger.
So the base scenario is this: a bottoming process heading into the fourth quarter of 2026, perhaps a final dip to 50,000–55,000, and the real bull run will begin when the Fed starts cutting rates and the price recovers to 66,000.
There are three clear things to watch. Will it hold between 58,000 and 62,000 on the downside? Will it recover to 66,000–70,000 on the upside? And when will the Fed pivot?
To be honest, this could happen earlier or later. If the Fed cuts rates quickly and 66,000 is retaken swiftly, the bull market will arrive sooner than expected.
If 58,000 is broken or inflation proves stubborn, the process will drag on and deepen. No one knows the exact day—not even me.
But now you’re looking at these three signals, not the calendar. That’s the beauty of it: instead of predicting, you’ll be observing.
Which do you think will spark the trend first: the retest of 66,000 on the chart, or the Fed’s first rate cut?

BTC+11.27%

Kalirypto

Bullish

The Black Bull ran from a near-zero start to a nine-figure valuation in under two weeks. The Black Calf is just getting started.

Crypto Twitter watched it happen in real time: an anonymous wallet sent a huge chunk of supply to Ansem, he chose to run with the meme instead of ignoring it, and $ANSEM went from a rounding error to tens of millions in market cap on nothing but attention and airdrops. If you missed that window, $BABYANSEM (The Black Calf) is shaping up to be the next chapter in the same story — smaller, earlier, and still writing itself.

The Thesis

10% of supply went straight to Ansem at launch — no vague promises, verifiable on-chain. Creator fees aren't sitting in a dev wallet either; they're being recycled straight into giveaways and grassroots marketing, echoing the same "route the fees back to the herd" playbook that turned $ANSEM's holder count into a headline.

The Branding Hits Different

"Make dad proud" isn't just a tagline — it's turned into a genuine meme format across CT, with holders rallying around the baby bull identity instead of just flipping bags.

What's Next

Merch drops, community-voted marketing pushes, and expanded CEX visibility are next on the roadmap. Early holders here aren't just speculating — they're building a brand from day one.

Baby bulls grow up. $BABYANSEM is still in diapers — that's the alpha.

NFA. DYOR.

X: https://x.com/iambabyansem

Kalirypto

Bullish

#percolator and #Three

Take a close look at these cryptocurrencies—both are part of the Solana ecosystem and are set to make history,

$Percolator is backed by Toly, a co-founder of #solana

$Three is currently securing deals with major companies

SOL+12.82%

Kalirypto

Bullish

📊 #ETF FLOWS: #Bitcoin spot ETFs are facing historical levels of selling pressure.

In the last 6 weeks, a total of $5.94 billion worth of BTC has exited from #ETFs.

#BlackRock⁩ , just in June alone, has seen approximately $1.75 billion worth of Bitcoin sold off.

This period stands out as one of the most aggressive and prolonged ETF sell-off waves observed on $BTC .

📊 JPMorgan expects $165 billion in stock sales from retirement and sovereign wealth funds by June 30.

This could be one of the largest quarter-end rebalancing moves in history.

However, similar warnings have been issued over the last 3 years, and the markets have subsequently reached new peaks.

🔴 #JPMorgan maintains a long-term target of $266,000 for Bitcoin.

#Crypto

BTC+11.27%

Kalirypto

Bullish

$BTC patience key guys 👍

BTC+11.27%

Kalirypto

as long as the war does not stop, the markets will always be this turbulent, because the big players benefit from it, be patient and pay attention

Kalirypto

While everyone is panicking, dca is buying more.

Kalirypto

Patience keys

Kalirypto

A WAITING PERIOD HAS BEEN INTRODUCED FOR CRYPTOCURRENCY TRANSACTIONS

The Financial Crimes Investigation Board (MASAK) has introduced new measures regarding the relationships of cryptocurrency asset service providers with their customers.

According to the regulation published in the Official Gazette and coming into effect today, cryptocurrency withdrawal transactions made through cryptocurrency asset service providers will be subject to a waiting period of at least 48 hours. If the user is making a cryptocurrency withdrawal for the first time through the platform, this period will be applied for at least 72 hours.

This rule will come into effect when a user wishes to send cryptocurrency to wallet addresses that are not registered with any cryptocurrency asset service provider or to a foreign service provider that is not obligated to share sender-receiver information.

Limits have also been introduced for stablecoin transactions

On the other hand, limits have been set for stablecoin transactions. Accordingly, there will be a daily limit of $3,000 and a monthly limit of $50,000 for stablecoin withdrawal transactions. These limits can be doubled if the travel rule is complied with.

The new measures also require that for all cryptocurrency transfer transactions on the platforms, customers must enter a transaction description of at least 20 characters regarding the nature of the transaction.

Sources from the Ministry of Treasury and Finance mentioned these measures in a statement to AA a few days ago, stating that the aim is to prevent the laundering of proceeds obtained from crimes such as illegal betting and fraud through cryptocurrency accounts.

$Btc #bitcoin #crypto $Eth #crypto

BTC+11.27%

ETH+18.66%

Kalirypto

Bullish

Soon bullrun

SOON-0.83%

Kalirypto

Patience is the greatest key, you will surely be rewarded in the end.

Kalirypto

Bullish

#Yne next ai project

Binance News

Binance Alpha Unveils Sixth Batch of Project Tokens: YNE, GOUT, and GAME

Binance Alpha has officially announced the sixth batch of project tokens, continuing to expand its ecosystem with fresh, innovative projects. The latest additions to the platform include:YNEGOUTGELUFDGAME

Kalirypto

#YNE good Ai

Binance News

Binance Alpha Unveils Sixth Batch of Project Tokens: YNE, GOUT, and GAME

Kalirypto

Ahhh I love you

Derek Kaiser

Auditing Science with AI and Crypto: The Rise of $YNE (Yes No Error)

Imagine a world where scientific research papers are instantly double-checked for errors by artificial intelligence, ensuring accuracy and saving countless hours of manual review. Now, imagine this system is powered by a cryptocurrency that keeps the process running smoothly. That’s exactly what $YNE (Yes No Error) is doing. It’s not just a token; it’s a game-changer for science, AI, and crypto.

Meet the Mind Behind $YNE
At the heart of $YNE is Matt Schlicht, a seasoned innovator and CEO of Octane AI. If you haven’t heard of Octane AI, it’s a Shopify tool that’s helped businesses convert over $1 billion in sales through smart product recommendations. Along with his co-founder Ben Parr, Matt has been shaping the future of AI for nearly a decade. Now, he’s bringing his expertise to crypto, and the results are nothing short of groundbreaking.
How $YNE Was Born
It all started with a simple but intriguing tweet from Ethan Mollick:
“A 10-page paper caused a panic because of a math error. I was curious if AI would spot the error by just prompting: ‘carefully check the math in this paper.’ o1 gets it in a single shot. Should AI checks be standard in science?”
That question sparked a flurry of responses. Steve Newman suggested testing AI at scale across thousands of scientific papers, and tech icon Marc Andreessen jumped in, offering to fund the idea. That’s when Matt Schlicht stepped up with a bold experiment:
"Ok! Let’s try an experiment. Meet @yesnoerror, a crypto AI agent that uses @OpenAI’s o1 to find errors in published research papers. The AI agent uses its $YNE coin to fund its AI review system. The agent’s wallet is starting with enough to run for two days."
And just like that, $YNE was born.

Why $YNE Matters

Scientific errors aren’t just embarrassing—they can lead to wasted resources, flawed policies, and even harmful outcomes. Peer review is essential, but it’s not perfect. By introducing AI into the mix, $YNE provides a way to catch errors faster and more reliably. This isn’t just a neat idea; it’s a practical solution to a massive problem.
Here’s the kicker: $YNE tokens fund the AI’s operations, creating a self-sustaining system. Contributors can support the mission while being part of a growing community that believes in the power of AI and crypto to make a real difference.

The Buzz Around $YNE
The crypto and AI communities are taking notice. Greg Osuri from Akash Network called $YNE a “remarkable convergence of AI and crypto” and praised its potential to improve humanity. With Matt and Ben’s years of AI experience, $YNE is quickly gaining traction as a project that’s not just about hype—it’s about results.

The Bigger Picture
What makes $YNE so exciting is its potential to grow beyond scientific papers. Imagine AI reviewing legal contracts, financial reports, or even public policies, all powered by a decentralized token system. The possibilities are endless, and $YNE is just getting started.

Why You Should Care About $YNE

It’s Solving Real Problems: $YNE is tackling the issue of errors in scientific research, which has far-reaching implications.
It’s Built by Proven Innovators: Matt Schlicht’s track record with Octane AI shows he knows how to deliver results.
It’s Community-Driven: $YNE’s decentralized model means anyone can contribute and be part of its success.
It’s Ahead of the Curve: By combining AI and crypto, $YNE is carving out a unique space in both industries.

The Future of $YNE
With its AI system already up and running, $YNE is poised to scale quickly. The community’s enthusiasm and support are fueling its growth, and the project’s mission is resonating far and wide. This isn’t just a token; it’s a movement to redefine how we approach science, technology, and collaboration.
If you’re looking for a crypto project with real-world impact, $YNE is it. This is your chance to be part of something that’s not only pushing boundaries but also making the world a smarter, more accurate place.
You can invest in $YNE on Solana.
Important Links:
Website: https://yesnoerror.com/
Dev's X: https://x.com/MattPRD
CA: 7D1iYWfhw2cr9yBZBFE6nZaaSUvXHqG5FizFFEZwpump

Kalirypto

Bullish

Ponke

Remember this? #ponke is now on Binance exchange,

Kalirypto

Bullish

I see the #Binance stock market is collecting wildly #Ponke

Kalirypto

Bullish

Key Developments of the Week

Monday, September 16
🔸15:00 ECB/Lane to Speak
🔸ARB Lock Opening ($49.7M)

Tuesday, September 17
🔸15:30 US Core Retail Sales (Expected: 0.2% Previous: 0.4%)
🔸17:00 Fed/Logan to Speak
🔸Trump’s WLF DeFi Project to Launch
🔸APE ($11.8M)

Wednesday, September 18
🔸12:00 European Inflation (Expected: 2.2% Previous: 2.2%)
🔸21:00 Fed Rate Decision (Expected: 25bp Cut)
🔸21:00 Fed 3-Year Rate Forecast
🔸21:30 Fed Chairman Powell to Speak
🔸Token2049 Singapore Event
🔸Shiba Inu Liquid Staking Launch
🔸MakerDAO to Launch USDS and SKY Tokens 🔸 (DAI and MKR Conversion)

Thursday, September 19
🔸14:00 CBRT Interest Rate Decision (Expectation: Stable)
🔸15:30 US Unemployment Claims (Expectation: 232K Previous: 230K)
🔸Terraform Labs Bankruptcy Hearing

Friday, September 20
🔸21:00 Fed/Harker to Speak
🔸Solana Breakpoint Event (September 20-21)
🔸DUSK Mainnet

Saturday, September 21
🔸Bitcoin ETF Options Deadline

Bullish

Here is #Binance ’s new program “#BNSOL”

What is this #BNSOL in short? 👇🏻

🔸Binance SOL Staking gives you #BNSOL , a liquid staking token that can be used across Binance products and external DeFi applications, in exchange for staking your $SOL tokens.

🔸#BNSOL benefits include flexible yield, maintaining liquidity, and providing unique usability and security within the Binance ecosystem.

🔸BNSOL holders can buy, sell, stake, invest, lend, and use their tokens in different ways, while accumulating staking rewards without locking in the value of their staked SOL.

SOL+12.82%

Kalirypto

Week of September 9-15 Key Developments

Tuesday, September 10
🔸Trump and Kamala to Debate in ABC News Session
🔸SUSHI Meme Coin Launchpad Dojo

Wednesday, September 11
🔸15:30 US Inflation (Expected: 2.6% Previous: 2.9%)
🔸US Core Inflation (Expected: 3.2% Previous: 3.2%)
🔸APT Unlock ($66M)

Thursday, September 12
🔸15:15 European Central Bank Rate Decision (Expected: 4% Previous: 4.25%)
🔸15:30 US Producer Price Index (Expected: 1.7% Previous: 2.2%)
🔸15:30 US Unemployment Claims (Expected: 230K Previous: 227K)
🔸TUM Blockchain Conference (September 12-13)

Saturday, September 14
🔸RENDER Unlock ($3.66M)

SUSHI+9.60%

Kalirypto

When does the bull arrive?

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