叶问控饼YynOne11
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叶问控饼YynOne11
公粽号CryptoYeWin，币圈9年老兵，专注领域：比特币/以太坊趋势分析 高胜率合约策略分享
知行合一，克己慎独。
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More than a week, 4wU has reached 10wU, recently my trading has been hot, continuously making profits, always gaining, my bull has arrived, the air force has been living well during this time.
Still the same saying, remember to withdraw the principal after making a profit, use the earnings to keep running.
I have always insisted that bull and bear markets do not alternate; they coexist, just manifesting on different time scales. What we need to do is stay in a rhythm we are familiar with, striking hard at the drowning dogs🤑$ETH #加密市场回调
Still the same saying, remember to withdraw the principal after making a profit, use the earnings to keep running.
I have always insisted that bull and bear markets do not alternate; they coexist, just manifesting on different time scales. What we need to do is stay in a rhythm we are familiar with, striking hard at the drowning dogs🤑$ETH #加密市场回调
Does anyone every day, like Ye the master, openly share big meat as an open idea with the brothers???
Yesterday, big cake 63900 hit the top with resistance, then pulled back to 62800, letting us eat the upside of 1000+ points.
Second big cake 1900 hit the top with resistance, then pulled back to 1862, letting us eat the next 40 points.
Two coins, two levels—same logic.
Someone asked why Ye Ge keeps daring to look at resistance against the trend.
Actually, there’s no secret.
After trading for 9 years, the most I’ve seen is the change in market sentiment.
When the market is rising, don’t get blindly excited.
When it’s falling, don’t get blindly panicked.
Profits come from the market movement; stability comes from discipline.$BTC
#BTC走势分析
Yesterday, big cake 63900 hit the top with resistance, then pulled back to 62800, letting us eat the upside of 1000+ points.
Second big cake 1900 hit the top with resistance, then pulled back to 1862, letting us eat the next 40 points.
Two coins, two levels—same logic.
Someone asked why Ye Ge keeps daring to look at resistance against the trend.
Actually, there’s no secret.
After trading for 9 years, the most I’ve seen is the change in market sentiment.
When the market is rising, don’t get blindly excited.
When it’s falling, don’t get blindly panicked.
Profits come from the market movement; stability comes from discipline.$BTC
#BTC走势分析
The big setup at 64,800, and the cash-out at 62,800.
This week’s most satisfying deal isn’t about how much I made.
It’s about the 64,800 setup—I disclosed it in advance.
This deal was 2,000 points—not based on guessing.
After 9 years of trading, I’m increasingly disliking chasing the market.
When it surges up, I first look for risk;
when it drops fast, I look for opportunities.
Because I know the time when the market is most likely to make people make mistakes is when emotions are hottest.
When I was younger, I aimed to predict accurately; now I only aim to trade steadily.$BTC
#BTC走势分析
This week’s most satisfying deal isn’t about how much I made.
It’s about the 64,800 setup—I disclosed it in advance.
This deal was 2,000 points—not based on guessing.
After 9 years of trading, I’m increasingly disliking chasing the market.
When it surges up, I first look for risk;
when it drops fast, I look for opportunities.
Because I know the time when the market is most likely to make people make mistakes is when emotions are hottest.
When I was younger, I aimed to predict accurately; now I only aim to trade steadily.$BTC
#BTC走势分析
Yesterday Bingbing 1890 publicly topped.
Many people saw ETH's strong rally and started chasing.
But trading can't only focus on what's strong right now; you also need to look at the risks behind the position.
A 19,000 layout, then the price pulled back to around 1862.
A 40-point swing—eat the head to the tail. In every trade, the profit you take is the one you understand.
Stability isn't catching every market move; it's never missing out on opportunities that belong to you.$ETH
#以太坊基金会L1弃用Poseidon哈希 #韩股KOSPI开盘破7000点 #
Many people saw ETH's strong rally and started chasing.
But trading can't only focus on what's strong right now; you also need to look at the risks behind the position.
A 19,000 layout, then the price pulled back to around 1862.
A 40-point swing—eat the head to the tail. In every trade, the profit you take is the one you understand.
Stability isn't catching every market move; it's never missing out on opportunities that belong to you.$ETH
#以太坊基金会L1弃用Poseidon哈希 #韩股KOSPI开盘破7000点 #
Yesterday Ye Shifu’s big pancake 63900 was publicly topped.
When the market was still expecting to push higher, I chose to first look at the risk.
Then the price kept falling all the way; the low point came near 62800, and the upside of more than 1000 points was realized again.
Many people like to wait for the price action to play out before analyzing.
But real trading happens before the market hesitates—by preparing a plan in advance.
After 9 years of trading experience, what you don’t get is just courage; you get an understanding of levels and timing.
Others see price going up or down, while I see how the market’s next sentiment will change. $BTC #BTC走势分析
When the market was still expecting to push higher, I chose to first look at the risk.
Then the price kept falling all the way; the low point came near 62800, and the upside of more than 1000 points was realized again.
Many people like to wait for the price action to play out before analyzing.
But real trading happens before the market hesitates—by preparing a plan in advance.
After 9 years of trading experience, what you don’t get is just courage; you get an understanding of levels and timing.
Others see price going up or down, while I see how the market’s next sentiment will change. $BTC #BTC走势分析
8.14 ETH, two cakes at 1900—green-blue mood; target 1880/1860
Around 1860, watch for a slight dip; target 1880/1915. Range-bound movement is basically a back-and-forth grind.
ETH current price around 1885. From the 1H perspective: after the sharp selloff earlier, it has entered a range-bound corrective phase.
Price has moved back above the short moving average zone, but resistance above 1900–1920 remains clearly visible.
On the news front, the market continues to watch expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts, US economic data, and changes in geopolitical conditions; risk sentiment keeps flipping back and forth.
As ETH follows broader market swings, volatility is intensified. Recently, ETH ETF fund flows and institutional actions have also made the long-vs-short contest in the market even more obvious.
When the market gets messier, it tests your trading system the most.
After 9 years of trading, I’ve always believed:
Profit isn’t guessed—it’s built out step by step with discipline.
Trend is king; discipline first. $ETH #ETH走势分析
Around 1860, watch for a slight dip; target 1880/1915. Range-bound movement is basically a back-and-forth grind.
ETH current price around 1885. From the 1H perspective: after the sharp selloff earlier, it has entered a range-bound corrective phase.
Price has moved back above the short moving average zone, but resistance above 1900–1920 remains clearly visible.
On the news front, the market continues to watch expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts, US economic data, and changes in geopolitical conditions; risk sentiment keeps flipping back and forth.
As ETH follows broader market swings, volatility is intensified. Recently, ETH ETF fund flows and institutional actions have also made the long-vs-short contest in the market even more obvious.
When the market gets messier, it tests your trading system the most.
After 9 years of trading, I’ve always believed:
Profit isn’t guessed—it’s built out step by step with discipline.
Trend is king; discipline first. $ETH #ETH走势分析
8.14 Big Cake 63800-64000; Qing Cang Ting; target 63000/62200
Around 63000, watch for consolidation/absorption; defend 62700; target 63800.
After a sharp 1H drop, there’s repair/recuperation. In the 63000 area, clear absorption has appeared. The short moving averages are starting to turn upward, but overhead pressure remains at 63550-63800.
The CPI/PPI gives the market some breathing room, but what we truly need to guard against is a sudden geopolitical news shock. If the situation around the Strait of Hormuz flares up again, price action can expand volatility at any time.
At this position, I don’t chase. I’ll wait for a pullback to enter; if it breaks down, I withdraw.
9 years of trading—I’ve seen too many market moves.
Opportunities are never afraid of waiting; what’s scary is using up your bullets before the opportunity even arrives. $BTC
#BTC走势分析
Around 63000, watch for consolidation/absorption; defend 62700; target 63800.
After a sharp 1H drop, there’s repair/recuperation. In the 63000 area, clear absorption has appeared. The short moving averages are starting to turn upward, but overhead pressure remains at 63550-63800.
The CPI/PPI gives the market some breathing room, but what we truly need to guard against is a sudden geopolitical news shock. If the situation around the Strait of Hormuz flares up again, price action can expand volatility at any time.
At this position, I don’t chase. I’ll wait for a pullback to enter; if it breaks down, I withdraw.
9 years of trading—I’ve seen too many market moves.
Opportunities are never afraid of waiting; what’s scary is using up your bullets before the opportunity even arrives. $BTC
#BTC走势分析
8.13 ETH Strategy｜Current Price 1895
After dipping to 1852 in the 1H timeframe and quickly reclaiming, ETH’s short moving averages have turned upward again. Price has returned to the vicinity of the medium-term moving average, and there are signs of a short-term structure repair. For the upside, focus on the 1905–1915 resistance zone. After a breakout and sustained hold, look next toward 1925. For the downside, 1880–1870 is the key support/turning area.
In terms of news, after yesterday’s U.S. CPI release the market is temporarily stable. Today, keep an eye on the U.S. July PPI, as the data can easily amplify volatility. Meanwhile, the situations in Iran and Iraq, and the Strait of Hormuz, continue to influence oil prices and overall risk sentiment.
Strategy: Go long near 1880, with a defense/stop at 1868, and targets at 1905/1915. If 1905 still can’t break through after a long time, then consider going short instead.
When the market gets messier, it tests execution more than anything. After 9 years of trading, I only do what I can clearly understand.$ETH
#ETH走势分析
After dipping to 1852 in the 1H timeframe and quickly reclaiming, ETH’s short moving averages have turned upward again. Price has returned to the vicinity of the medium-term moving average, and there are signs of a short-term structure repair. For the upside, focus on the 1905–1915 resistance zone. After a breakout and sustained hold, look next toward 1925. For the downside, 1880–1870 is the key support/turning area.
In terms of news, after yesterday’s U.S. CPI release the market is temporarily stable. Today, keep an eye on the U.S. July PPI, as the data can easily amplify volatility. Meanwhile, the situations in Iran and Iraq, and the Strait of Hormuz, continue to influence oil prices and overall risk sentiment.
Strategy: Go long near 1880, with a defense/stop at 1868, and targets at 1905/1915. If 1905 still can’t break through after a long time, then consider going short instead.
When the market gets messier, it tests execution more than anything. After 9 years of trading, I only do what I can clearly understand.$ETH
#ETH走势分析
8.13 Big pancake near 63900 turns directly green and blue; add at 64500, defend 64800, target 63300/63000
After spiking to 65482 in the 1H and then continuing to fall, the short-term moving averages have turned downward. The current price at 63825 has rebounded, but 64000–64200 remains clear overhead resistance.
Last night, the US July CPI largely met expectations, with inflation continuing to cool, which supports risk assets in the short term;
However, the Middle East situation is still developing. Hormuz-related risks are causing crude oil prices and risk-aversion sentiment to swing back and forth, so the market is very likely to do a needle-like shakeout.
If 63800 breaks down, first look at 63300; if it breaks further, then 63000.
9 years of trading—what I’m watching is never just one single candlestick, but the human nature at key levels.
Go a little slower—it’s actually easier to take the meat.$BTC
#BTC走势分析
After spiking to 65482 in the 1H and then continuing to fall, the short-term moving averages have turned downward. The current price at 63825 has rebounded, but 64000–64200 remains clear overhead resistance.
Last night, the US July CPI largely met expectations, with inflation continuing to cool, which supports risk assets in the short term;
However, the Middle East situation is still developing. Hormuz-related risks are causing crude oil prices and risk-aversion sentiment to swing back and forth, so the market is very likely to do a needle-like shakeout.
If 63800 breaks down, first look at 63300; if it breaks further, then 63000.
9 years of trading—what I’m watching is never just one single candlestick, but the human nature at key levels.
Go a little slower—it’s actually easier to take the meat.$BTC
#BTC走势分析
Yesterday the big BTC plate in the broadsheet kept accumulating money; within the day there was an easy 1000-point space. The market is still swinging and heading toward the bottom to take meat.
Here we go again—another top, another realization.
The most interesting part is this: whenever market sentiment is at its hottest, someone always asks me, “Bro Ye, how do you dare to do this again?”
It’s really not any kind of mysticism.
Look at the position, look at the sentiment, look at the rhythm—then decide whether to place the trade or not.
After nine years of riding through bull and bear cycles, I’m already not superstitious about one-way moves.
What高手 look at isn’t just the immediate rise or fall, but how far the market can still go after this step.$BTC #BTC走势分析
Here we go again—another top, another realization.
The most interesting part is this: whenever market sentiment is at its hottest, someone always asks me, “Bro Ye, how do you dare to do this again?”
It’s really not any kind of mysticism.
Look at the position, look at the sentiment, look at the rhythm—then decide whether to place the trade or not.
After nine years of riding through bull and bear cycles, I’m already not superstitious about one-way moves.
What高手 look at isn’t just the immediate rise or fall, but how far the market can still go after this step.$BTC #BTC走势分析
Yet another day of gathering funds for the "Kong" and collecting money. Yesterday, Erbing publicly shared his approach and secured a 30+ point upside space.
When the market consensus is bullish, Ye Ge chooses to wait for risk to release.
Trading isn’t about whose voice is louder.
It’s about who can stay clear-minded at critical moments.
When the market is rising, dare to remind people of risks.
When the market is falling, dare to look for opportunities.
This is the steadfastness honed through many years of trading. $ETH #ETH走势分析
When the market consensus is bullish, Ye Ge chooses to wait for risk to release.
Trading isn’t about whose voice is louder.
It’s about who can stay clear-minded at critical moments.
When the market is rising, dare to remind people of risks.
When the market is falling, dare to look for opportunities.
This is the steadfastness honed through many years of trading. $ETH #ETH走势分析
Yesterday’s intraday outlook big bet 64500 top, sword points at the target—aiming to capture upside space of 1000 points or more
I’ve never been afraid to stand in opposition to the majority of the market.
Because trading isn’t voting.
Just because there are more people doesn’t mean it must be correct.
I dare to go all-in.
It’s not based on courage.
It’s based on judgments repeatedly verified over 9 years of the market.
When a trend comes, ride the trend.
When risk arrives, hedge and protect.
That’s what trading is.$BTC #BTC走势分析
I’ve never been afraid to stand in opposition to the majority of the market.
Because trading isn’t voting.
Just because there are more people doesn’t mean it must be correct.
I dare to go all-in.
It’s not based on courage.
It’s based on judgments repeatedly verified over 9 years of the market.
When a trend comes, ride the trend.
When risk arrives, hedge and protect.
That’s what trading is.$BTC #BTC走势分析
8.12 Ethereum 1890 area Qingcangyong, target 1850/1800
For Ethereum on the 1H chart, the price has been continuously falling from around 1925 in the front. After dipping and probing as low as 1852, it quickly bounced back. Currently, price is trading around 1885.
In the short term, it has moved back above the moving-average area, indicating clear support from below, but resistance around 1900–1925 still remains.
On the news front, in the recent period the market has continued to revolve around macro expectations and geopolitical developments, with the risk capital sentiment swinging back and forth.
ETH has been consolidating persistently around 1900, and the funding/positioning also shows that some chips are being redeployed.
The more the market is consolidating, the more it tests traders’ patience.
Nine years of market experience tells me that profit isn’t something you can guess—it’s something you build and take step by step with a plan.
Trend first, discipline first; align knowledge with action, and practice self-restraint in private. $ETH #ETH走势分析
For Ethereum on the 1H chart, the price has been continuously falling from around 1925 in the front. After dipping and probing as low as 1852, it quickly bounced back. Currently, price is trading around 1885.
In the short term, it has moved back above the moving-average area, indicating clear support from below, but resistance around 1900–1925 still remains.
On the news front, in the recent period the market has continued to revolve around macro expectations and geopolitical developments, with the risk capital sentiment swinging back and forth.
ETH has been consolidating persistently around 1900, and the funding/positioning also shows that some chips are being redeployed.
The more the market is consolidating, the more it tests traders’ patience.
Nine years of market experience tells me that profit isn’t something you can guess—it’s something you build and take step by step with a plan.
Trend first, discipline first; align knowledge with action, and practice self-restraint in private. $ETH #ETH走势分析
8.12 Big Cake around 64000, Qingcangyu, target 63200/62500
Looking at the 1H chart for Big Cake: after a push to 65482, there was a rapid pullback. The lowest wick touched 63211. Currently, price is stabilizing around 63800 and rebounding.
In the short term, the moving averages have turned back up, indicating that buy-side support below is still there. However, the 64500–65000 zone remains a pressure area overhead.
On the news front, the market continues to focus on expectations of a Fed rate cut and changes in the Iran–Israel situation.
Geopolitical risk keeps oscillating, causing funds sentiment to switch back and forth. In the near term, BTC has been showing more of a choppy range and washout pattern.
With 9 years of trading experience, I know: the more chaotic the market is, the more it tests discipline.
Opportunities are always for those who are prepared—not for those who chase rallies and sell in panic.
Trend rules all—discipline comes first. Align knowledge with action, practice self-restraint, and be cautious even when no one is watching. $BTC #BTC走势分析
Looking at the 1H chart for Big Cake: after a push to 65482, there was a rapid pullback. The lowest wick touched 63211. Currently, price is stabilizing around 63800 and rebounding.
In the short term, the moving averages have turned back up, indicating that buy-side support below is still there. However, the 64500–65000 zone remains a pressure area overhead.
On the news front, the market continues to focus on expectations of a Fed rate cut and changes in the Iran–Israel situation.
Geopolitical risk keeps oscillating, causing funds sentiment to switch back and forth. In the near term, BTC has been showing more of a choppy range and washout pattern.
With 9 years of trading experience, I know: the more chaotic the market is, the more it tests discipline.
Opportunities are always for those who are prepared—not for those who chase rallies and sell in panic.
Trend rules all—discipline comes first. Align knowledge with action, practice self-restraint, and be cautious even when no one is watching. $BTC #BTC走势分析
8.11 Near the 1885 area for the “Second Bing” (2nd contract), Qingcang Ting, targets 1840/1800. If ETH falls below 1792, the liquidation strength of accumulated long positions on major CEXs will reach $550 million.
After pushing higher to 1943 over the weekend, the “Second Bing” has continued to retrace; current price is 1877.
The 1-hour chart has printed consecutive bearish candles, and the 4-hour cumulative decline is nearly 2%. The long-support structure is starting to break down.
This isn’t panic—it’s the market performing normal digestion ahead of the CPI release.
Two things are weighing on prices:
First, the stalemate in the Strait of Hormuz keeps heating up. Chuanzi claims the U.S. has “100% controlled” the Strait of Hormuz, but at the same time demands compensation from Langzi for war losses.
Langzi’s foreign minister has clearly stated that “there are currently no negotiations with the U.S.”
WTI crude jumped 5.26% back above $82. The geopolitical card hasn’t been fully played yet—oil price moves directly determine the direction of inflation expectations.
Second, Wednesday’s CPI sets the direction. The market expects year-over-year July CPI to ease from 3.5% to 3.4%.
Below expectations = the rate-hike outlook continues to fade, and the “Second Bing” may be able to surge again;
Above expectations = Wash’s hawkish conviction returns.
Trading for 9 years: the faster the market moves, the less you can rely on emotions to place trades.
Real “big meat” comes from early planning and strict execution.
Trend is king, discipline comes first. Align knowledge with action—self-restraint and vigilance in solitude. $ETH #ETH走势分析
After pushing higher to 1943 over the weekend, the “Second Bing” has continued to retrace; current price is 1877.
The 1-hour chart has printed consecutive bearish candles, and the 4-hour cumulative decline is nearly 2%. The long-support structure is starting to break down.
This isn’t panic—it’s the market performing normal digestion ahead of the CPI release.
Two things are weighing on prices:
First, the stalemate in the Strait of Hormuz keeps heating up. Chuanzi claims the U.S. has “100% controlled” the Strait of Hormuz, but at the same time demands compensation from Langzi for war losses.
Langzi’s foreign minister has clearly stated that “there are currently no negotiations with the U.S.”
WTI crude jumped 5.26% back above $82. The geopolitical card hasn’t been fully played yet—oil price moves directly determine the direction of inflation expectations.
Second, Wednesday’s CPI sets the direction. The market expects year-over-year July CPI to ease from 3.5% to 3.4%.
Below expectations = the rate-hike outlook continues to fade, and the “Second Bing” may be able to surge again;
Above expectations = Wash’s hawkish conviction returns.
Trading for 9 years: the faster the market moves, the less you can rely on emotions to place trades.
Real “big meat” comes from early planning and strict execution.
Trend is king, discipline comes first. Align knowledge with action—self-restraint and vigilance in solitude. $ETH #ETH走势分析
Around 8.11, near the 64500 big pie, Qingcangyou—target 63500/62800
The big pie surged up to 65420 over the weekend, but this morning it pulled back to around 64000 and is trading in a tight range.
The rebound is on shrinking volume, and volatility has fallen to the lowest level of the year; the market is waiting for Wednesday’s CPI.
Two things are weighing on the market:
First, the Hormuz negotiations have hit a stalemate. Chuanzi claims, “I’ve already cleared the entire strait minefield, and the old Americans have 100% control,” while Langzi throws out five conditions to reopen—each side talking past the other.
Oil prices rose nearly 5% in a single day to 80.90 USD on the standoff, and Bitcoin simultaneously erased the weekend gains.
Second, CPI on Wednesday will set the direction. The market expects July CPI YoY to ease from 3.5% to 3.4%.
Below expectations = the rate-hike expectations keep fading, and the big pie could try another push higher;
Above expectations = Wash’s hawkish backbone is back.
Data will speak, but only those who have positioned themselves in advance can hear it.$BTC #BTC走势分析
The big pie surged up to 65420 over the weekend, but this morning it pulled back to around 64000 and is trading in a tight range.
The rebound is on shrinking volume, and volatility has fallen to the lowest level of the year; the market is waiting for Wednesday’s CPI.
Two things are weighing on the market:
First, the Hormuz negotiations have hit a stalemate. Chuanzi claims, “I’ve already cleared the entire strait minefield, and the old Americans have 100% control,” while Langzi throws out five conditions to reopen—each side talking past the other.
Oil prices rose nearly 5% in a single day to 80.90 USD on the standoff, and Bitcoin simultaneously erased the weekend gains.
Second, CPI on Wednesday will set the direction. The market expects July CPI YoY to ease from 3.5% to 3.4%.
Below expectations = the rate-hike expectations keep fading, and the big pie could try another push higher;
Above expectations = Wash’s hawkish backbone is back.
Data will speak, but only those who have positioned themselves in advance can hear it.$BTC #BTC走势分析
Are you still calling him Duo? I told you to work with the ones who caused trouble for you, and you’re like, ‘Who’s hurt me’...
Call out Duo and let’s see?? ? ? ? ?
If the structure isn’t broken, it should go up? What a joke
This is just a warm-up appetizer
Wait—there’s even more intense stuff coming later
$BTC
#黄金挑战4380美元
Call out Duo and let’s see?? ? ? ? ?
If the structure isn’t broken, it should go up? What a joke
This is just a warm-up appetizer
Wait—there’s even more intense stuff coming later
$BTC
#黄金挑战4380美元
Everyone on the market is shouting that the structure needs to move upward, and the news flow is full of warm breezes—are we turning around? No. Ye Shifu is even more坚定 about it
The market will never move in the direction that most people hope for
The 65,000 level on the big cake is grinding over and over—not accumulation, but distribution.
Where are the real buy orders with hard cash? Volume is shrinking. The big players pull and run at the same time—this is not bottom-fishing; it’s drawing the escape door.
Good news is piled up in baskets on the news front. You see good news; I see good news already exhausted.
Negotiations ease, CPI expectations cool—everything has been fully priced in.
Bears haven’t dispersed, bulls have no confidence—it’s all the same capital shifting back and forth, picking pockets from one another.
The second cake at 1920 is just a ball and chain. Strong resistance pins it down tightly. The big brother can’t pull it, and the little ones touch it and it shatters.
Don’t be fooled by the candlestick chart.
No matter how good the structure looks, without money coming in it’s all talk on paper.
The whole internet is looking for a chance to go long on a dip—Ye Shifu is waiting for a waterfall.
Just wait. Time will give the answer.$BTC
#美军封锁霍尔木兹拦截55艘商船
The market will never move in the direction that most people hope for
The 65,000 level on the big cake is grinding over and over—not accumulation, but distribution.
Where are the real buy orders with hard cash? Volume is shrinking. The big players pull and run at the same time—this is not bottom-fishing; it’s drawing the escape door.
Good news is piled up in baskets on the news front. You see good news; I see good news already exhausted.
Negotiations ease, CPI expectations cool—everything has been fully priced in.
Bears haven’t dispersed, bulls have no confidence—it’s all the same capital shifting back and forth, picking pockets from one another.
The second cake at 1920 is just a ball and chain. Strong resistance pins it down tightly. The big brother can’t pull it, and the little ones touch it and it shatters.
Don’t be fooled by the candlestick chart.
No matter how good the structure looks, without money coming in it’s all talk on paper.
The whole internet is looking for a chance to go long on a dip—Ye Shifu is waiting for a waterfall.
Just wait. Time will give the answer.$BTC
#美军封锁霍尔木兹拦截55艘商船
YeWin takes you to unveil this week’s core events in the crypto market timeline (8.10–8.14)
After last week’s Non-Farm Payrolls came as an unexpected shock and unexpectedly cooled rate-hike expectations, the market finally caught its breath. This week is the real tough fight.
Wednesday 20:30｜U.S. July CPI data (Impact: ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐)
Just when the jobs report cooled the rate-hike narrative, CPI is the key to whether this spark can keep burning.
The market expects overall CPI to fall from 3.5% to 3.4%, with core CPI dropping to 2.5%.
In line with expectations = holds steady for now;
below expectations = rate-hike expectations keep fading, and BTC could be set for another push;
above expectations = the hawkish backbone returns—Waller’s hawkish confidence is back, and the probability of a September rate hike can surge back above 50% at any time.
Thursday 20:30｜U.S. July PPI (Impact: ⭐⭐⭐⭐)
June’s PPI year-on-year is still as high as 5.5%. Whether upstream inflation pressure has truly eased or not—PPI will tell the truth.
A double drop in CPI and PPI = further weakens the case for rate hikes;
PPI staying hot = the cooling in CPI may just be an illusion.
Friday 20:30｜U.S. July Retail Sales (Impact: ⭐⭐⭐⭐)
“Terrifying data” makes an appearance. If employment is cooling, how long can consumption hold up?
Weak data = economic softness = rate-hike expectations keep cooling;
strong data = consumption resilience = the Fed has more confidence.
All week｜Hormuz Strait standoff (Impact: ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐)
Langzi proposes five conditions to reopen negotiations, including the U.S. military’s permanent ceasefire, troop withdrawal, and war reparations—each one is close to unacceptable for the U.S.
Chuanzi insists talks have been restarted, while Langzi denies it.
Oil prices moving up or down directly affect inflation expectations—often faster than CPI.
Citigroup has raised its Q3 forecast for Brent crude oil to $80.
This week, CPI, PPI, and retail sales come together with the Hormuz Strait story—each set of data could lead the market to reprice.
The bigger the volatility, the bigger the opportunity.
I’ll watch the direction of these data—move in when it’s time to act, wait when it’s time to wait.
With the same market move, some people see risk, others see opportunity.
Data will speak—but only those who have positioned themselves in advance can truly hear it. $BTC
#比特币ETF周净流入8.53亿美元
After last week’s Non-Farm Payrolls came as an unexpected shock and unexpectedly cooled rate-hike expectations, the market finally caught its breath. This week is the real tough fight.
Wednesday 20:30｜U.S. July CPI data (Impact: ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐)
Just when the jobs report cooled the rate-hike narrative, CPI is the key to whether this spark can keep burning.
The market expects overall CPI to fall from 3.5% to 3.4%, with core CPI dropping to 2.5%.
In line with expectations = holds steady for now;
below expectations = rate-hike expectations keep fading, and BTC could be set for another push;
above expectations = the hawkish backbone returns—Waller’s hawkish confidence is back, and the probability of a September rate hike can surge back above 50% at any time.
Thursday 20:30｜U.S. July PPI (Impact: ⭐⭐⭐⭐)
June’s PPI year-on-year is still as high as 5.5%. Whether upstream inflation pressure has truly eased or not—PPI will tell the truth.
A double drop in CPI and PPI = further weakens the case for rate hikes;
PPI staying hot = the cooling in CPI may just be an illusion.
Friday 20:30｜U.S. July Retail Sales (Impact: ⭐⭐⭐⭐)
“Terrifying data” makes an appearance. If employment is cooling, how long can consumption hold up?
Weak data = economic softness = rate-hike expectations keep cooling;
strong data = consumption resilience = the Fed has more confidence.
All week｜Hormuz Strait standoff (Impact: ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐)
Langzi proposes five conditions to reopen negotiations, including the U.S. military’s permanent ceasefire, troop withdrawal, and war reparations—each one is close to unacceptable for the U.S.
Chuanzi insists talks have been restarted, while Langzi denies it.
Oil prices moving up or down directly affect inflation expectations—often faster than CPI.
Citigroup has raised its Q3 forecast for Brent crude oil to $80.
This week, CPI, PPI, and retail sales come together with the Hormuz Strait story—each set of data could lead the market to reprice.
The bigger the volatility, the bigger the opportunity.
I’ll watch the direction of these data—move in when it’s time to act, wait when it’s time to wait.
With the same market move, some people see risk, others see opportunity.
Data will speak—but only those who have positioned themselves in advance can truly hear it. $BTC
#比特币ETF周净流入8.53亿美元
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