Cryptos BD

🚨 $BTC Kalshi annualized trading volume in the prediction market surpasses $100 billion, mainstream finance is "betting on the future"

According to DealBook from The New York Times, the annualized trading volume of Kalshi, a compliant prediction market platform in the United States, has officially surpassed $100 billion. This milestone marks that prediction markets are transitioning from niche tools to the periphery of the mainstream financial system.

Kalshi's uniqueness lies in its regulatory compliance. As a prediction market regulated by the CFTC, it allows users to trade on real-world outcomes such as macroeconomic data, interest rate decisions, inflation trends, and political events. This mechanism—expressing judgments through capital—essentially links information, expectations, and prices directly, making it viewed by many institutions as a more effective probability pricing tool than traditional surveys.

The rapid expansion of trading volume reflects shifting demand. Whether hedge funds, traders, corporations, or individual users, all are using prediction markets to hedge against uncertainty. Unlike one-way betting, prediction markets function more like a "consensus discovery mechanism," where prices continuously update with new information, reflecting the market's collective judgment on the future in real time.

From a broader perspective, Kalshi's growth also reflects a transformation in financial structures. Markets are no longer focused solely on stocks, bonds, and commodities, but are increasingly pricing "events" themselves. This trend resonates with prediction protocols and on-chain derivatives in the crypto world, indicating that "event trading" is becoming a new battlefield for liquidity.

When annualized trading volume crosses the $100 billion threshold, prediction markets are no longer experiments but are becoming accepted financial infrastructure. In the future, whoever can price uncertainty more efficiently will be closer to the core of the next generation of finance.
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