CryptoGuider

Bitcoin’s recent failure to sustain momentum above the $70,000 psychological barrier has triggered a renewed wave of short-term selling, signaling that the market is not yet ready for a clean breakout.

After briefly testing higher liquidity zones, BTC has slipped back below $68,800 and is now trading under the 100-hour simple moving average — a level often watched by traders to gauge near-term trend strength.

From a technical perspective, the rejection at $70K suggests distribution rather than continuation. A developing bearish trend line around $68,200 is acting as immediate resistance, capping upside attempts and reinforcing cautious sentiment among intraday participants.

The retracement has already pushed price below the 50% Fibonacci level of the move from $60,500 to $72,256, indicating that bullish momentum has weakened. However, this does not yet confirm a broader trend reversal — instead, the market appears to be transitioning into a consolidation range where both bulls and bears are testing control.

Key Levels to Watch
Support remains layered, with $66,000 acting as the first defensive zone. A breakdown below $65,000 — which aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement — could open the door to deeper downside exploration toward $63,500 and potentially $62,000. The broader structural support sits near $61,200, a level likely to attract stronger demand if tested.

On the upside, Bitcoin must reclaim $68,200 to neutralize immediate bearish pressure. A decisive move above $69,000 would signal renewed strength and could reintroduce $70,000 as a breakout target, followed by $71,500–$72,500 if momentum returns.

Momentum Indicators
Short-term indicators currently lean bearish. The hourly MACD continues to build in negative territory, while RSI remains below the 50 threshold, reflecting fading buying pressure rather than aggressive capitulation.

Market Interpretation
Rather than signaling a collapse, this price action reflects a classic cooling phase after an extended upward move. The market is searching for equilibrium, with liquidity rotating between $65K support and $69K resistance. Until one of these zones breaks decisively, Bitcoin is likely to remain range-bound with heightened volatility.

Traders should watch for confirmation signals rather than anticipate direction prematurely, as the next sustained move will likely be driven by whether bulls can re-establish control above $69K or bears force acceptance below $65K.

Conclusion
Bitcoin remains in a consolidation phase after failing to hold above $70,000, with $65,000 acting as key support and $69,000 as near-term resistance. The next decisive move beyond this range will likely set the tone for short-term market direction.

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