灯塔说

Aster's second season competition has ended
Personally finished fifth, with a capital of 10,000 U and a profit of 9,500

The big gambler Liangxi couldn't hold on to the 100,000 USD profit
Otherwise, it would have been a solid first place

The human team lost! Compared to the AI team, it was a negative return
Are humans too weak?

It's just that the time was too short, otherwise I could have taken first place (only the first place has a prize)
#Aster $ASTER

Gold reached a new high today, breaking $5550!
Bitcoin fell below $88000 again in the morning session today.
What is the relationship between gold and Bitcoin?
In fact, gold and Bitcoin have never been "safe-haven assets in the same moment and role."
Gold is usually a "confirmed safe haven."
It rises often when risks have been confirmed by mainstream capital.
For example, inflation, geopolitical tensions, and interest rate expectations are repeatedly priced in, with capital seeking "stability" and "certainty."
Bitcoin, on the other hand, is a repricing asset after risk transfer.
It rarely performs well in the "first moment of panic"; instead, it is often treated as a high-volatility risk asset during true safe-haven situations and is sold off to cover margins or to buy cash/U.S. Treasuries/gold.
This manifests as: a decline instead of a rise, or just stagnation.
For instance, on the day of the Russia-Ukraine war, it fell sharply instead of rising.
The patterns that have repeatedly appeared in history actually have rules, such as:
Phase 1: Risk explodes → Gold rises, BTC remains stable or even falls.
Phase 2: Gold FOMO → Volatility converges or corrects.
Phase 3: Risk sentiment eases + liquidity returns → BTC starts to catch up.
So, if gold corrects, will BTC immediately catch up?
There is no absolute correlation to this question.
If gold's short-term sentiment is overheated and profits are taken.
However, if macro liquidity is not tightened, Bitcoin may catch up or rebound.
But if risks escalate again, the dollar strengthens, and liquidity is withdrawn, Bitcoin may still fall and lead the decline in gold.
Thus, gold does not directly influence Bitcoin's bullish or bearish trends but affects the macro events behind gold, the dollar, and liquidity.
When you see gold stabilizing without FOMO, the market calm, and the world peaceful without panic,
it might be a real signal for Bitcoin to move.
#金价再冲高位 #黄金比特币联动行情能走多远？ $BTC #XAU

Federal Reserve Statement and Key Points from Powell's Press Conference:

FOMC Statement:

1. Interest Rate Decision: The benchmark interest rate is maintained at 3.50%-3.75%, pausing the continuous three rate cuts since September last year.
2. Voting Discrepancy: The interest rate decision was passed with a 10-2 voting ratio, with Governors Mester and Waller supporting a 25 basis point cut.
3. Interest Rate Outlook: The statement did not provide signals regarding the timing of the next rate cut. It reiterated that rates will be assessed based on data, economic outlook, and risks.
4. Economic Outlook: Upgraded the assessment of economic activity, stating it is expanding at a "robust" pace; uncertainty regarding the economic outlook remains high.
5. Labor Market: Removed the statement regarding the rising downside risks to employment; the labor market has shown some signs of stabilization.
6. Inflation Situation: Inflation remains slightly elevated.

Powell's Press Conference:

1. Interest Rate Outlook: Rates are at the upper end of the neutral range; there is no preset path for policy, it speaks through data; if tariff-induced inflation recedes after peaking, it will indicate a possibility of easing policy; a rate hike is not a baseline assumption for anyone. Non-voting members also widely support this rate decision.

2. Economic Outlook: The foundation of the U.S. economy is solid; the outlook for economic activity has significantly improved, overall stronger than the December forecast.

3. Employment Outlook: The labor market may be stabilizing after gradually softening; risks regarding both inflation and employment have diminished.

4. Inflation Outlook: Inflation remains slightly above target, with December core PCE inflation possibly rising to 3%; it is expected that tariff-induced inflation will peak mid-year.

5. Political Stance: Tight-lipped on sensitive issues; has not decided on plans after the conclusion of the Fed chair's term; advises the next chair to stay away from politics.

6. Other Aspects: The housing market remains weak; no data indicating that investors are hedging against dollar risks; little macro information derived from the rise in gold prices.

7. Latest Expectations: Overall rate cut expectations are slightly dampened, essentially maintaining pricing for a total reduction of 46 basis points this year, with a 60% possibility of a rate cut in June.

8. Market Reaction: From the announcement of the statement to Powell's speech, spot gold and silver initially fell and then surged, while the dollar moved in the opposite direction, with gold hitting a new historical high, fluctuating over 60 dollars; U.S. Treasury yields and U.S. stocks showed slight volatility.
$BTC $ETH $XAU

BlackRock deposited 1156.87 units of $BTC (103.87 million USD) and 19644 units of $ETH (59.23 million USD) into #coinbase , and may deposit more.
Typically, after such news comes out, the market usually rebounds first
#BTC

After reviewing, I found that #hype has had three consecutive days of big bullish candles, up 57%
I'm a bit surprised. Is it that I've been out of the loop, or has the market's sentiment been dampened by the decline of Bitcoin, with no one sharing or mentioning it?

First, let me clarify: this is not a speculation!

I looked into why there has been such a big increase?
Mainly it's the influence of precious metals, the significant rise in gold and silver has driven a large trading volume.
And 97% of the trading fees generated from this volume have been used to buy back Hype, which is already a huge benefit.

But why, with both silver and gold perpetual contracts on the platform, is it that the rise in platform tokens is specifically driven by Hype?
Decentralization! Hype, as a leading decentralized DEX, has the advantage of being able to trade without KYC.

Currently, the global economy is unstable, those who love to trade gold and silver as a hedge, who also do not want KYC, and who want high leverage, will definitely prioritize high liquidity like $HYPE .
Here, I thought about the counterparty and market maker issues, who will provide the trading pairs for gold and silver perpetual contracts?

Opportunity, it really is an opportunity. Remember Hype's HIP-3 mechanism upgrade released in October? This HIP-3 allows third parties to deploy perpetual contract trading pairs on Hype and operate independently without relying on Hype. In simple terms, it's open-source, attracting quality teams and communities in the market, truly promoting the on-chain trading of RWA (real-world assets). In the future, it's going to be a big casino; you can bet on whatever you want as long as you have the strength to deploy perpetual contracts.
This wave of precious metals rising, major exchanges are launching perpetual contracts one after another, and the third party @tradexyz has deployed silver, directly creating a trading volume of 1.2 billion USD, second only to BTC, recently.

Awesome! @Hype
At least for now, Hype's model is incredible, and if there are long-term buybacks, I'm really excited and want to get on board.
The market hasn't shown a direction yet, so let's pay close attention and keep an eye out. The precious metals market is also in a highly FOMO period, so let's stay calm and wait for a small adjustment. If it doesn't drop below 28-30, then look for an opportunity to get on board.

Gold is a bit FOMO now
Promotional ads for gold foreign exchange have started to appear in the group
Various aunties have started to buy physical gold offline
At this time, one might wonder if gold is going to correct and drop

I do not have a long position in gold, and I don't really care whether gold corrects or not

But what comes to mind is if gold really does correct
Some funds will withdraw

Will Bitcoin see an inflow of funds to catch up, or will it continue to drop with gold?

If it's the same type of digital gold, it should normally show correlated ups and downs
But the fact is, during true risk aversion, Bitcoin stands still, not rising but instead falling

So when gold experiences FOMO and corrects, will Bitcoin catch up or continue to fall into a bear market?
#黄金 #BTC #bitcoin

There are too many brainless people in the square
This is no longer the 10U War God
This has already upgraded to the 1U War God
Holding a 1U position and "firmly bearish"
What the hell is this??
#river

“Tom Lee said today that after a decline this year, there will be a rise. This year has already started with a decline.
A couple of days ago, he mentioned that Bitcoin would reach 180,000 USD before January 31.”
There are 10 days left, I wonder if there will be a miracle?

Anyone can talk big, right?
If you're right, you're awesome; if you're wrong, there's no cost.

Yesterday, MicroStrategy increased its holdings by quite a bit #BTC .
However, there was a continuous decline yesterday, and the market was once again liquidated by over 1 billion.

These are all institutions and whales.
They are looking at the long term or they have other plans.
We see these messages and make trades, which is the real liquidity and speculation.

Wake up, everyone!
$BTC

Trump's workweek kicks off with surprises
Truly provocative to the world, 'who dares to be the first to stick their neck out?'

As soon as the morning news broke, gold and silver surged, while cryptocurrencies plummeted
Risk aversion is evident

The market's absorption over the past two days has directly led to a cliff-like plunge; this rapid decline may also be a liquidation of liquidity from the recent high-level consolidation and a clearing of long leverage.
Although short-term sentiment is leaning bearish and fluctuating, structurally, it appears more like a downward move to capture liquidity, followed by an upward recovery. In simple terms: range oscillation!

So let's pay attention to the range fluctuations
Today, a buy around 92200-91800
A strong rebound to sell around 94600-95200

Thank you all for your attention and the little bell, which gives me the motivation to output more willingly!
#BTC #ETH

Important Signal 1:
#人手必备10万枚币安人生
Last year at 0.09, I reminded that at least 100,000 Dogecoin must be prepared by the staff, with a maximum of 0.4+
Now releasing the signal again, at least 100,000 Binance Life must be prepared by the staff, current price 0.227

Important Signal 2:
#大盘可以多了
After a few days of pullback, the selling pressure has been absorbed
There are still buyers, and the rebound will continue
Expecting around 98000-104000
The rest is up to time!
#BTC #币安人生

Sold! Sold!
Cutting losses
Can't handle the thousands of followers of the大妈 and the new fans who outshine me
BSCmeme is dead
#BSC #我踏马来了 #草根文化

A wonderful day has begun

Brothers, what was lost is beginning to return

Binance life has smoothly broken through the high point of the仙人指路

The overall market broke through 95K, which is a tough high point, but today is not a good time to chase
90K-95K-100K are three major checkpoints, each requiring some grinding
#BTC #币安人生

Binance Life is progressing steadily
Every time it dips, it holds firm
The steps are rising
Indicating consistent consensus on good expectations
Continuing to hold!
Where are the brothers with Binance Life?
#币安人生

Brothers, I couldn't resist!

This morning I still bought #我踏马来了 #草根文化

Now buying, don't know what stage it is? Eating leftover scraps or still the one picking up the pieces

But I don't want to think too much, just as a contribution to the BSC community

I have a feeling
Maji Brother said he's tired and surrendering
100,000 might actually come through

The crypto world can be so magical sometimes

I really want to buy: #我踏马来了
I also really want to buy: #草根文化

But when I open my wallet and see the awesome Meme coins I bought before lying there
It feels like they're reminding me of something

I've calmed down
I'll hold off for now!

Group friend question: Where is Binance Life heading? How far to go?
Answer: Don't know
But cousin CZ said two days ago that the book title will be confirmed in 4-6 weeks. From a fundamental perspective, we will continue to hold during the period of rising expectations.
Sell when the expectations are realized and a big bullish candle appears.
Simple truth: Buy on expectation, sell on facts!
So, do you know where to get it?
#币安人生 $币安人生

How to Avoid the Mind-Game Truth of Losing After Big Gains?
Core principle: Remember that all altcoins will eventually go to zero
But that doesn't mean rejecting altcoins—on the contrary, altcoins are opportunities for retail investors to achieve big gains and cross social classes with small bets
Here I've summarized a set of logic (if you agree, please interact and encourage):
1. Capture swing profits during narrative or hype surges, don't stubbornly hold after the hype cools down;
2. Position core holdings at low levels before the surge, enter and exit event-based positions promptly—don't hold altcoins out of faith
In short: Capture profits during narrative hype windows!
Question: Before the CZ book title is confirmed, is #币安人生 a pre-hype window for positioning?
$币安人生

Talk about Binance Life:

What's currently most valuable about it isn't the K-line itself, but the imaginative space of the current narrative.

Two days ago, Binance officially listed the 'Binance Life' spot trading, but instead of immediately continuing upward, it was pulled down—something extremely common in memecoins.

But yesterday, CZ publicly mentioned that the Chinese version of his memoir might consider using the name 'Binance Life,' which actually stabilized the price.

That single statement was enough to make the market re-label and re-price it.

If we look back on this, the whole story suddenly makes sense:
From the birth of a Chinese meme → to Binance opening a Chinese spot channel for it → then being named as a book title candidate.

In crypto, things often unfold this way: what seems like coincidence is actually narrative growing legs on its own.

Of course, CZ has clearly clarified: the book title candidate has no connection to any memecoin or listing, and he personally neither holds nor plans to buy it.

But the market is never a courtroom—it's more like an emotional amplifier.

The more he clarifies 'no connection,' the more people remember those four words: Binance Life.

So I'd rather interpret this as a statement:
A token without a story ends at spot listing; a token with a story begins at spot listing.

'Binance Life' now carries multiple layers of 'shareable' branding:

Chinese memecoin leader (catchy and memorable), Binance ecosystem traffic tag

CZ's autobiography candidate title tag (CZ's influence)

These tags may not guarantee daily gains, but they can become 'random explosive fuel' at certain moments.

In the crypto world, don't rush to ask if it's a value investment.

Right now, I just want to know:
Do you want to hitch your own narrative onto Binance Life?

#币安人生 @CZ @币安Binance华语