Tonight's inflation data release reveals the true picture after the disruption subsides. The core CPI is expected at 2.7%, but revisions could push the month-on-month figure to 0.36%. Housing and services are key variables. Markets hold their breath as traders closely watch the breakdown dataโlike an old captain observing wave patterns on the eve of a storm: 'Stability is hard to write, and harder to maintain.' Morgan Stanley warns that a catch-up effect could cause the inflation reading to jump by 8 basis points. Subtle deviations in data collection timing are distorting the thermometer.
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$BTC briefly fell below 90,000 last night, currently reported at 91,000. The direction remains unclear in the short term. If it cannot hold the 90,000 round number, it is basically confirmed that we have entered a bear market, and the four-year cycle remains valid.