Yes, futures do not forgive mistakes. The screenshot is not mine — it belongs to a trader I have been following for a long time.
So, who remembers my words about the beginning of 2026? If you forgot — let me remind you, I wrote about it here and here
In principle, everything happened as I said. We are in a full bear cycle.
And remember, I also said that this “red swan 🇺🇸” from the USA could bury crypto? I wouldn't be surprised if that happens. And this bear market will be remembered by crypto enthusiasts for a lifetime, just as the altseason was remembered once.
📉 My plans now
They are as simple as possible and without illusions:
🥇 BTC — I am starting to accumulate in the zone of $35–40k 🥈 ETH — interested from $1.1k
I don't want to hunt for altcoins anymore. I want to at least sell this current garbage for zero someday and close the topic
I feel that today was the last push upward. Almost always by the New Year, people secure part of their profits — you understand, holidays and all that.
So I expect only downward movement until the end of the year. Well, from the new year, we will see.
I only needed #ETH to rise by $60 to close my long position at breakeven. And now I am once again in a significant loss.
Since it's December now, and statistically this month is almost always "red", it is unlikely that we will rise to the level of 3100. So, most likely, I will have to stay in this position for a long time.
I don't know about you, but I find futures very difficult — not in terms of profit, but rather in terms of emotional swings.
While I can hold spot for years and have long learned not to worry about losses or rush to sell when I see a small profit…
With futures, everything is much worse for me. When I see a loss — I start to get very nervous and worry about my capital, and it doesn't matter whether I'm trading with 100 or 1000 dollars.
And when I see a profit — I rush to close as quickly as possible, just to secure something. Although I set goals for closing positions, emotions always take over.
But in the current reality of penny drops, I need to somehow keep afloat, cover my minimal desires, and not touch the main capital, which is intended for other purposes.
Although the price is still far from the project's target, I continue to secure a small profit from the project 🚗 Project — Buying a car for crypto To be more precise — I'm not securing, but transferring part into cash 💵
Today I sold 1 $ETH, securing +91% profit from the invested funds 📈
🚀 I remind you, there are still 4.4 $ETH left in the project — we continue to wait for a higher price.
And on this positive note, I want to talk about something sad — namely, when do you think the bull cycle will end and a smooth transition to a bear market will begin.
My opinion: 2025 will be very important, as I expect a cycle change either at the end of this year or at the beginning of 2026. This will happen unnoticed, like a usual correction, to lure in the next 'hamsters' for every last penny into tokens at the highs. Whether an alt-season will happen before the end of 2025 is still a mystery.
Most likely, I will fix around $ETH a bit below the set targets for the project. But what to do with altcoins if we do not get the alt-season — that is a more complex question. Still, about 80% of the altcoins in my portfolios are in the red, and that is something to seriously consider.
I think each of you understands that when we transition into a bear cycle, our altcoins bought in the last bear cycle will drop to such an extent that disappointment will come even to the most seasoned in crypto.
ETH has returned to the $4000 mark, and this is certainly exciting. It's time to show what is happening with my portfolio 💼
🚗 Project — Buying a car with crypto
🟢 Everything is stable now — the portfolio is up by $11,000 🟢 Although the project is currently on hold, as I mentioned earlier, the ETH accumulated during the active phase continues to work: 🟢 It generates passive income from providing liquidity 🟢 Participates in farming and interactions
❓ Will I resume purchases every day? Most likely, no. I don't see the point in continuing in the current cycle. But if everything goes well, then I already have two new project ideas ready for the next bear market.
If you are not yet aware of what is happening with the crypto market (and not only crypto), let me explain:
Elon Musk and Trump are measuring their "****" on Twitter. First, Musk attacked Trump over the new public spending law, claiming that without his support Trump wouldn't have garnered enough votes to win.
In response, Trump stated that Musk has lost his mind and that Tesla survives solely on government subsidies.
Musk then blocked Trump's account on Twitter, but about half an hour later, he unblocked it, removing the verification checkmark in the process.
Now Musk writes: "In light of the president's statement regarding the cancellation of my government contracts, @SpaceX will immediately begin decommissioning its Dragon spacecraft."
I wouldn’t be surprised if today some large wallet went long, and tomorrow these two clowns write on Twitter: "We have come to a mutual understanding, everything remains as it was."
This is one of the most controversial points in crypto. It refers to transferring your coins to another asset (not a stablecoin) to increase profits.
Example from practice: Recently, I transferred PIRATE coins to ETH — I wrote about it here
📌 At the time of the exchange: - The price of PIRATE was $0.117 - ETH was $1850 - I received 0.077 ETH
⏳ 20 days have passed: - Now PIRATE costs $0.062 - ETH — $2650
💰 Net profit: ~$60, simply by transferring from one asset to another. And this is without considering additional actions.
⚠️ BUT it's important to understand: - The larger the amount, the larger the potential income - Such transfers do not always lead to a profit - Personally, I only do this if the coin is in profit or at least at break-even from the average purchase price
🧠 Draw conclusions and always assess risks before changing one asset for another.