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Vitalik earned 70,000 USD on Polymarket. His strategy? Play against hysteria
Vitalik Buterin revealed that in the last year he earned about 70,000 USD in prediction markets. Instead of going 'all-in', he chose scenarios where the market overestimated the risks of the most sensational events.
How does 'playing against paranoia' work?
Buterin described a strategy that involves searching for markets where valuations start to resemble collective hysteria — and then betting that extreme scenarios will not materialize. This approach is less flashy than typical 'crypto-degen trades', but can be more stable: you bet on probabilities, not on crowd emotions.
How does 'playing against paranoia' work?
Buterin described a strategy that involves searching for markets where valuations start to resemble collective hysteria — and then betting that extreme scenarios will not materialize. This approach is less flashy than typical 'crypto-degen trades', but can be more stable: you bet on probabilities, not on crowd emotions.
HYPE rises by 50%. HIP-3 pumps trading volumes and open interest in perpetual markets
The HYPE token has seen a dynamic rally, and activity in the HIP-3 markets has clearly accelerated. Key derivatives indicators are also rising: trading volumes and the value of open positions.
What drives movement on HYPE?
HYPE gained over 50% in a short time, clearly outperforming the broader market. One of the engines of growth is the development of HIP-3 markets, which enable the creation of perpetual contracts on various asset classes. This is important because it expands the 'menu' of instruments on DEXs and attracts traders seeking exposure beyond the typical crypto basket.
What drives movement on HYPE?
HYPE gained over 50% in a short time, clearly outperforming the broader market. One of the engines of growth is the development of HIP-3 markets, which enable the creation of perpetual contracts on various asset classes. This is important because it expands the 'menu' of instruments on DEXs and attracts traders seeking exposure beyond the typical crypto basket.
Shooting at the protest and the response from the crypto industry. Why has the topic become so prominent?
The incident involving immigration services in the U.S. has sparked a wave of comments in the cryptocurrency world as well. The discussion quickly shifted from facts to questions about the limits of power, civil liberties, and the consequences of state policy.
Emotions in the market and political rifts in the community
Media reports suggest that during the protest, there was the use of firearms by officials, and as a result of the incident, U.S. citizen Alex Pretti was killed. The case has resonated widely as it touches on sensitive topics: escalation of law enforcement actions, safety at demonstrations, and procedural errors. There are also voices suggesting that there may have been a tragic misunderstanding in a dynamic situation.
Emotions in the market and political rifts in the community
Media reports suggest that during the protest, there was the use of firearms by officials, and as a result of the incident, U.S. citizen Alex Pretti was killed. The case has resonated widely as it touches on sensitive topics: escalation of law enforcement actions, safety at demonstrations, and procedural errors. There are also voices suggesting that there may have been a tragic misunderstanding in a dynamic situation.
Stablecoin USD1 surpassed 5 billion USD in capitalization. What drives demand?
USD1, a stablecoin linked to the World Liberty Financial project, quickly climbed to the top of the market. The increase is expected to support both exchange usability and growing interest from major players.
Where does the 'momentum' of USD1 come from?
The market capitalization of USD1 has exceeded 5 billion USD, and spot market trading has clearly increased — suggesting not only a temporary hype but a real influx of liquidity. One of the factors that usually attracts capital to stablecoins are earn programs and promotions on exchanges that allow for returns during market consolidation periods. As volatility decreases, some investors 'park' their funds in stable assets while simultaneously seeking interest.
Where does the 'momentum' of USD1 come from?
The market capitalization of USD1 has exceeded 5 billion USD, and spot market trading has clearly increased — suggesting not only a temporary hype but a real influx of liquidity. One of the factors that usually attracts capital to stablecoins are earn programs and promotions on exchanges that allow for returns during market consolidation periods. As volatility decreases, some investors 'park' their funds in stable assets while simultaneously seeking interest.
Oil is going up. This may delay rate cuts and cool appetite for crypto
Rising oil prices increase inflation risk and may hinder faster monetary policy easing. This is usually not an environment favorable to bitcoin and altcoins.
Why does the price of oil matter for BTC?
WTI rose by about 12% in January to around 64.3 USD, while Brent increased to about 68.2 USD — the highest since September. Oil is a 'hidden component' of costs throughout the economy: it affects transportation, production, logistics, and ultimately consumer prices. When energy prices rise, inflation expectations increase, and the central bank has less motivation to cut interest rates quickly.
Why does the price of oil matter for BTC?
WTI rose by about 12% in January to around 64.3 USD, while Brent increased to about 68.2 USD — the highest since September. Oil is a 'hidden component' of costs throughout the economy: it affects transportation, production, logistics, and ultimately consumer prices. When energy prices rise, inflation expectations increase, and the central bank has less motivation to cut interest rates quickly.
Bitcoin fell below 84,000 USD. Liquidations exceeding million USD accelerated the depreciation
The sharp drop of BTC to around 84,000 USD triggered a domino effect across the entire market. In the background, mass liquidations of leveraged positions and growing nervousness related to geopolitics are evident.
Liquidations and geopolitics contribute to volatility
Bitcoin recorded a dynamic drop to just above 84,000 USD — the lowest in about six weeks. This quickly led to a wave of liquidations in the derivatives market. Over 24 hours, positions worth more than 804 million USD were forcibly closed, with around 503 million USD occurring in the last 4 hours, suggesting a sudden acceleration of movement.
Liquidations and geopolitics contribute to volatility
Bitcoin recorded a dynamic drop to just above 84,000 USD — the lowest in about six weeks. This quickly led to a wave of liquidations in the derivatives market. Over 24 hours, positions worth more than 804 million USD were forcibly closed, with around 503 million USD occurring in the last 4 hours, suggesting a sudden acceleration of movement.
The U.S. Senate has taken an important step regarding crypto regulation. But there is still no compromise.
A key stage in the work on the bill aimed at organizing oversight of the cryptocurrency market has begun in the U.S. Senate. The Agriculture Committee adopted the bill by a minimal majority, but political friction is just beginning.
The end of 'regulation by enforcement'?
The Senate Agriculture Committee voted on a bill regarding the structure of the digital asset market with a result of 12–11. This is an important signal for the industry, as the document finally aims to clarify how supervisory powers will be divided between the SEC and CFTC, as well as what obligations will be placed on intermediary entities (including exchanges and brokers).
The end of 'regulation by enforcement'?
The Senate Agriculture Committee voted on a bill regarding the structure of the digital asset market with a result of 12–11. This is an important signal for the industry, as the document finally aims to clarify how supervisory powers will be divided between the SEC and CFTC, as well as what obligations will be placed on intermediary entities (including exchanges and brokers).
Bitcoin close to the fourth consecutive declining month. Options expiration is underway.
Bitcoin is holding around 87,700 USD and balancing on the edge of ending January with a slight, but positive result.
At the same time, the market is preparing for the expiration of January options contracts, which may influence short-term price dynamics.
If the current month closes with a decline, it will be the fourth consecutive monthly drop for BTC — a phenomenon rarely observed in recent years.
Four consecutive months ended in the red last appeared at the turn of 2018 and 2019, during a prolonged bear market following the 2017 bubble burst. During that period, Bitcoin recorded even six consecutive declining months.
At the same time, the market is preparing for the expiration of January options contracts, which may influence short-term price dynamics.
If the current month closes with a decline, it will be the fourth consecutive monthly drop for BTC — a phenomenon rarely observed in recent years.
Four consecutive months ended in the red last appeared at the turn of 2018 and 2019, during a prolonged bear market following the 2017 bubble burst. During that period, Bitcoin recorded even six consecutive declining months.
Do quantum computers affect the price of bitcoin?
Although the development of quantum computers regularly appears in the debate about cryptocurrency security, market data does not indicate that it currently has a direct impact on the valuation of Bitcoin.
Analysts point out that the recent price corrections of BTC were largely the result of selling pressure from long-term investors and macroeconomic factors, rather than technological concerns.
At the same time, the largest entities in the blockchain industry are taking preparatory actions, treating quantum threats as a long-term problem. Examples include research initiatives, advisory teams, and work on post-quantum cryptography standards.
Analysts point out that the recent price corrections of BTC were largely the result of selling pressure from long-term investors and macroeconomic factors, rather than technological concerns.
At the same time, the largest entities in the blockchain industry are taking preparatory actions, treating quantum threats as a long-term problem. Examples include research initiatives, advisory teams, and work on post-quantum cryptography standards.
The risk of a U.S. shutdown returns and its significance for financial markets
The deadline for temporary funding of the U.S. government is approaching, and markets are once again discounting the possibility of an administrative impasse.
A potential shutdown would mean, among other things, delays in the publication of macroeconomic data and increased regulatory uncertainty.
For financial markets, including bitcoin, the key issue is not so much the closure of institutions, but rather the limited access to the data on which monetary policy and investor decisions are based. Reduced transparency usually translates into higher volatility.
A potential shutdown would mean, among other things, delays in the publication of macroeconomic data and increased regulatory uncertainty.
For financial markets, including bitcoin, the key issue is not so much the closure of institutions, but rather the limited access to the data on which monetary policy and investor decisions are based. Reduced transparency usually translates into higher volatility.
Bitcoin below 88,000 USD – macroeconomic uncertainty returns to the market
Bitcoin fell to around 87,000 USD, and the entire cryptocurrency market recorded a noticeable capital outflow.
This move coincided with growing uncertainty surrounding the fiscal situation in the United States and the risk of a renewed partial shutdown of federal administration.
Investors are reacting with caution, which is reflected both in price declines and in outflows from American bitcoin-based spot ETF funds.
At the same time, some analysts point out that despite short-term pressure, long-term interest in cryptocurrency market infrastructure remains stable.
This move coincided with growing uncertainty surrounding the fiscal situation in the United States and the risk of a renewed partial shutdown of federal administration.
Investors are reacting with caution, which is reflected both in price declines and in outflows from American bitcoin-based spot ETF funds.
At the same time, some analysts point out that despite short-term pressure, long-term interest in cryptocurrency market infrastructure remains stable.
The White House post on X led to a 1900% surge in memecoin price
The cryptocurrency market has once again proven how strongly it can react to informational impulses. One of the memecoins operating on the Solana network - Nietzschean Penguin - recorded a sharp price increase after a graphic was published on the official profile of the White House on platform X.
Although the post did not contain any direct reference to the project, some internet users linked it to a specific token, which quickly led to a dynamic increase in price and market capitalization. Subsequently, in line with the characteristics of such assets, a correction occurred.
Although the post did not contain any direct reference to the project, some internet users linked it to a specific token, which quickly led to a dynamic increase in price and market capitalization. Subsequently, in line with the characteristics of such assets, a correction occurred.
Bitcoin developers are furious with Michael Saylor!
Michael Saylor's statement has once again sparked a wide debate in the Bitcoin community. The leader of Strategy stated that the biggest threat to the BTC network does not come from external factors, such as governments or the development of quantum technology, but from attempts to modify the protocol itself by its participants.
Saylor argues that Bitcoin should remain as a simple and stable settlement network as possible, and expanding its functionality could increase the attack surface and systemic risk. In practice, this means support for the concept of so-called protocol ossification, which limits changes to an absolute minimum.
Saylor argues that Bitcoin should remain as a simple and stable settlement network as possible, and expanding its functionality could increase the attack surface and systemic risk. In practice, this means support for the concept of so-called protocol ossification, which limits changes to an absolute minimum.
RLUSD hits Binance. Ripple's stablecoin enters the largest exchange
Binance has announced the listing of the stablecoin RLUSD from Ripple. Trading started on January 22 with the pairs RLUSD/USDT, RLUSD/U, and XRP/RLUSD, initially on the Ethereum network, and soon also on XRPL.
On the occasion of its debut, the exchange is launching a promotion of zero fees on selected pairs and announces the integration of RLUSD with Binance Earn and portfolio margin.
Availability on the Ethereum network is crucial for liquidity and adoption in DeFi, which could make RLUSD a real competitor to the largest stablecoins in the market.
On the occasion of its debut, the exchange is launching a promotion of zero fees on selected pairs and announces the integration of RLUSD with Binance Earn and portfolio margin.
Availability on the Ethereum network is crucial for liquidity and adoption in DeFi, which could make RLUSD a real competitor to the largest stablecoins in the market.
Iran bought over 500,000 USDT. Stablecoins as a tool to bypass sanctions
According to an analysis by Elliptic, the Central Bank of Iran was supposed to purchase at least 507 million USD in USDT stablecoins over the course of the year. These funds were intended to stabilize the rial and facilitate international transactions outside the sanctions system.
Purchases were made through a network of wallets and OTC brokers, mainly using UAE dirhams. After a hacking attack on the Nobitex exchange in 2025, the strategy was changed – funds began to be transferred through cross-chain bridges and DEXs.
Elliptic indicates that all identified funds have already been withdrawn from wallets associated with the central bank, although the scale of operations may be larger.
Purchases were made through a network of wallets and OTC brokers, mainly using UAE dirhams. After a hacking attack on the Nobitex exchange in 2025, the strategy was changed – funds began to be transferred through cross-chain bridges and DEXs.
Elliptic indicates that all identified funds have already been withdrawn from wallets associated with the central bank, although the scale of operations may be larger.
X introduces "Starterpacks". The end of chaos for new users?
Platform X announces the "Starterpacks" feature, which are starter packs allowing new users to simultaneously follow carefully selected thematic accounts.
The tool is set to cover over 1000 categories, including cryptocurrencies, technology, business, and politics.
As product head Nikita Bier explains, the goal is to quickly introduce the user to their real interests, rather than flooding them with random mainstream content.
The solution aims to reduce the problem of rapid churn of new accounts, which today often abandon the platform after just a few minutes. For the crypto industry, this could mean easier access to quality creators and less exposure to spam and scams.
The tool is set to cover over 1000 categories, including cryptocurrencies, technology, business, and politics.
As product head Nikita Bier explains, the goal is to quickly introduce the user to their real interests, rather than flooding them with random mainstream content.
The solution aims to reduce the problem of rapid churn of new accounts, which today often abandon the platform after just a few minutes. For the crypto industry, this could mean easier access to quality creators and less exposure to spam and scams.
The first spot ETF on dogecoin debuts on Nasdaq
The first fully SEC-approved spot ETF based on dogecoin has started trading on the Nasdaq. The 21Shares fund, traded under the ticker TDOG, offers investors exposure to DOGE without the need for cryptocurrency exchanges or self-custody wallets.
This is the first case in which the American regulator has formally approved a spot ETF on dogecoin, which has significant precedential importance. The fund also received official support from the Dogecoin Foundation.
Previous products from Grayscale and Bitwise were launched under technical procedures, without a clear SEC decision. In contrast, the 21Shares ETF received full acceptance from the regulator, which effectively means the recognition of DOGE as a non-security asset.
This is the first case in which the American regulator has formally approved a spot ETF on dogecoin, which has significant precedential importance. The fund also received official support from the Dogecoin Foundation.
Previous products from Grayscale and Bitwise were launched under technical procedures, without a clear SEC decision. In contrast, the 21Shares ETF received full acceptance from the regulator, which effectively means the recognition of DOGE as a non-security asset.
The Disappearance of Bitcoins in South Korea. Prosecutors are Investigating the Case
The South Korean prosecutor's office in Gwangju is investigating the disappearance of a significant number of bitcoins confiscated during criminal proceedings. The case came to light after an internal audit revealed the possibility of asset loss even after their formal takeover by the state.
One of the scenarios being analyzed is a phishing incident from mid-2025 that could have led to unauthorized access to wallets controlled by law enforcement. The prosecutor's office does not disclose either the scale of the losses or their market value.
One of the scenarios being analyzed is a phishing incident from mid-2025 that could have led to unauthorized access to wallets controlled by law enforcement. The prosecutor's office does not disclose either the scale of the losses or their market value.
Trump sues JPMorgan. It's about closed accounts and political motives
Donald Trump and related entities are suing JPMorgan Chase, demanding even $5 billion in compensation for the closure of bank accounts in 2021. The case will go to the district court in Miami-Dade County, Florida.
According to the lawsuit, the bank "closed the accounts of companies from the Trump empire, mainly in the hotel and golf industry, without warning and without compensation." The plaintiffs claim that the decision was politically motivated and was a consequence of the tense social situation following the events of early 2021.
According to the lawsuit, the bank "closed the accounts of companies from the Trump empire, mainly in the hotel and golf industry, without warning and without compensation." The plaintiffs claim that the decision was politically motivated and was a consequence of the tense social situation following the events of early 2021.
Toncoin in the shadow of Telegram? Scaramucci and AlphaTON see a breakthrough in 2026
A billion active Telegram users still have not translated into a clear investment success for the cryptocurrency TON. Although the project has disappeared from the mainstream market narrative, according to Anthony Scaramucci, its time may only be coming – especially in the American market.
After the regulatory climate change in the USA in mid-2025, the Telegram Wallet portfolio became available again for users from that country. A few months later, in November, TON was finally listed on Coinbase, which theoretically opened the way for broader demand. Nevertheless, the token did not become a market hit.
After the regulatory climate change in the USA in mid-2025, the Telegram Wallet portfolio became available again for users from that country. A few months later, in November, TON was finally listed on Coinbase, which theoretically opened the way for broader demand. Nevertheless, the token did not become a market hit.
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