Cryplon
Cryptos are the best
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$RIVER is bouncing aggressively, but the broader structure still favors a sell-the-rally scenario rather than a true trend reversal.
SHORT $RIVER — Trade Setup
Entry: 14.80 to 15.2
Stoploss: 16.2
Targets: 13.60, 12.90, 11.80
Technical View:
Price is only marginally above the SMA7 and hovering around the EMA30, suggesting this move is corrective, not a fresh trend.
MACD has flipped positive but remains weak, while RSI near 45 shows buyers still lack control.
Following a steep 76% weekly selloff, rebounds typically run into strong profit-taking near resistance.
As long as RIVER fails to reclaim and hold above 15.5, downside continuation remains the higher-probability path.
SHORT $RIVER — Trade Setup
Entry: 14.80 to 15.2
Stoploss: 16.2
Targets: 13.60, 12.90, 11.80
Technical View:
Price is only marginally above the SMA7 and hovering around the EMA30, suggesting this move is corrective, not a fresh trend.
MACD has flipped positive but remains weak, while RSI near 45 shows buyers still lack control.
Following a steep 76% weekly selloff, rebounds typically run into strong profit-taking near resistance.
As long as RIVER fails to reclaim and hold above 15.5, downside continuation remains the higher-probability path.
$WLFI and $ZKP
longs — I’m taking an early exit at these levels.
Both positions have already paid well, so I’m locking in profits while momentum is still on our side
. If you entered from the original setups, you can either close here to secure gains or trail your stop to entry and let the rest ride risk-free.
Clean execution either way.
longs — I’m taking an early exit at these levels.
Both positions have already paid well, so I’m locking in profits while momentum is still on our side
. If you entered from the original setups, you can either close here to secure gains or trail your stop to entry and let the rest ride risk-free.
Clean execution either way.
🔥 ALL CALLS GREEN — SOLID SESSION! 🔥
Every setup shared is now in profit with clean execution across the board.
$RIVER, $BDXN , and $DASH are leading the move with the strongest momentum and growth 🚀
If you booked profits on these trades, drop a comment — your support keeps me pushing to spot these moves early.
You can let the trend run or lock in gains if you’re satisfied. Discipline always comes first.
Appreciate everyone who trusted the calls.
More setups coming — stay locked in 🔥📈
Every setup shared is now in profit with clean execution across the board.
$RIVER, $BDXN , and $DASH are leading the move with the strongest momentum and growth 🚀
If you booked profits on these trades, drop a comment — your support keeps me pushing to spot these moves early.
You can let the trend run or lock in gains if you’re satisfied. Discipline always comes first.
Appreciate everyone who trusted the calls.
More setups coming — stay locked in 🔥📈
$BTC January 2026 closed at 78,738, and that level now acts as the median for trading within the weekly range. As long as the weekly close stays below the monthly close, the broader bias remains bearish.
If you’re looking for shorts, this area still makes sense, with a stop placed near the average high around 79,220.
For longs, opportunities only exist lower down, in the oversold region. The bearish structure only truly shifts once the weekly timeframe starts to accumulate again.
This is not investment advice.
A weekly close below 76,500 changes the picture entirely.
A close above 78,500 is a different scenario as well.
If accumulation does develop, a retracement toward 86,500 is possible. Given how unstable conditions are right now, limiting yourself to a few well-chosen trades per week is the sensible approach.
If you’re looking for shorts, this area still makes sense, with a stop placed near the average high around 79,220.
For longs, opportunities only exist lower down, in the oversold region. The bearish structure only truly shifts once the weekly timeframe starts to accumulate again.
This is not investment advice.
A weekly close below 76,500 changes the picture entirely.
A close above 78,500 is a different scenario as well.
If accumulation does develop, a retracement toward 86,500 is possible. Given how unstable conditions are right now, limiting yourself to a few well-chosen trades per week is the sensible approach.
🚨 JUST IN:
MICHAEL SAYLOR'S STRATEGY IS SITTING ON $1.5 BILLION IN UNREALIZED LOSSES ON $BTC .
AND WE HAVEN’T EVEN ENTERED A BEAR MARKET YET. $BTC
MICHAEL SAYLOR'S STRATEGY IS SITTING ON $1.5 BILLION IN UNREALIZED LOSSES ON $BTC .
AND WE HAVEN’T EVEN ENTERED A BEAR MARKET YET. $BTC
SAYLOR IN THE NEGATIVE ON $55 BILLION OF BITCOIN
Bitcoin is currently 1.5% lower than Michael Saylor’s average price.
After 5 years of buying Bitcoin worth $54.6 Billion, Saylor is currently in a total loss of $750 Million.$BTC
Bitcoin is currently 1.5% lower than Michael Saylor’s average price.
After 5 years of buying Bitcoin worth $54.6 Billion, Saylor is currently in a total loss of $750 Million.$BTC
🚨 BREAKING:
$100 million investor “NoLimit” is calling for Michael Saylor’s Strategy to collapse within the next 12 months.
This is the same person who warned about the COVID crash before it happened.
ARE YOU SCARED??
$BTC
$100 million investor “NoLimit” is calling for Michael Saylor’s Strategy to collapse within the next 12 months.
This is the same person who warned about the COVID crash before it happened.
ARE YOU SCARED??
$BTC
🚨BITCOIN HAS NOW CRASHED OVER $53,000 IN THE LAST 120 days.
From its peak of $126k in October 2025, Bitcoin has dropped to a new yearly low of $73,200
BTC has erased over $1.1 Trillion from its market cap and is down -42% from its all time high.
While the S&P500 and the other U.S. stock market indexes are still near All time high, Bitcoin and crypto remains trapped in a brutal bear market.
S&P 500: -1.50% from ATH
Nasdaq: -3.60% from ATH
Russell: -4.20% from ATH
Bitcoin: down -42% from ATH
ETH : down -56% from ATH
Either this is an insane level of manipulation or something huge has broken behind the scenes in crypto.$BTC
From its peak of $126k in October 2025, Bitcoin has dropped to a new yearly low of $73,200
BTC has erased over $1.1 Trillion from its market cap and is down -42% from its all time high.
While the S&P500 and the other U.S. stock market indexes are still near All time high, Bitcoin and crypto remains trapped in a brutal bear market.
S&P 500: -1.50% from ATH
Nasdaq: -3.60% from ATH
Russell: -4.20% from ATH
Bitcoin: down -42% from ATH
ETH : down -56% from ATH
Either this is an insane level of manipulation or something huge has broken behind the scenes in crypto.$BTC
$BTC PLAN
Support: 71.300 – 73.700
Resistance: 83.700 – 86.700
I expect price to retest the resistance zone soon, which aligns with the recent breakdown level. This move would also fill the weekend CME gap.
Even though the current structure hints at a potential pump, liquidity below 74.500 remains untouched and the support zone has not been tapped yet. Because of that, it would make sense for price to sweep the lows once more before pushing higher to retest resistance.
Overall, the trend remains bearish. After the resistance retest and CME gap fill, I expect continuation to the downside, targeting the next major liquidity clusters at 60.800 and 51.780.
Support: 71.300 – 73.700
Resistance: 83.700 – 86.700
I expect price to retest the resistance zone soon, which aligns with the recent breakdown level. This move would also fill the weekend CME gap.
Even though the current structure hints at a potential pump, liquidity below 74.500 remains untouched and the support zone has not been tapped yet. Because of that, it would make sense for price to sweep the lows once more before pushing higher to retest resistance.
Overall, the trend remains bearish. After the resistance retest and CME gap fill, I expect continuation to the downside, targeting the next major liquidity clusters at 60.800 and 51.780.
I’m closing my $BTC , $ETH , and $SOL shorts at current price to reassess market conditions.
These trades have already delivered solid moves, and with price nearing key levels, the risk–reward from here isn’t as clean anymore. Locking in profits lets me step aside, cut exposure, and observe how the market reacts before committing to the next setup.
These trades have already delivered solid moves, and with price nearing key levels, the risk–reward from here isn’t as clean anymore. Locking in profits lets me step aside, cut exposure, and observe how the market reacts before committing to the next setup.
$BTC — liquidity sweep held, bounce still favored from higher-timeframe support.
Long BTC
Entry: 76,800 – 78,200
SL: 75,000
TP1: 81,200
TP2: 84,800
TP3: 89,500
$BTC swept below recent lows but was quickly met with strong buying, showing absorption instead of further downside. Selling momentum is fading, price is holding above a key demand zone, and bears failed to push acceleration lower. As long as 75k holds, this still looks like a corrective move with a relief bounce toward higher resistance.
Trade $BTC here 👇
Long BTC
Entry: 76,800 – 78,200
SL: 75,000
TP1: 81,200
TP2: 84,800
TP3: 89,500
$BTC swept below recent lows but was quickly met with strong buying, showing absorption instead of further downside. Selling momentum is fading, price is holding above a key demand zone, and bears failed to push acceleration lower. As long as 75k holds, this still looks like a corrective move with a relief bounce toward higher resistance.
Trade $BTC here 👇
#Bitcoin will NEVER ever go to ZERO.
It’s impossible.
I’m not even bull posting.
Or selling dreams.
I just researched this point for years.
I’ll tell you why.
For Bitcoin to go to 0
All of the following would need to happen at the same time:
1. The network stops functioning globally
2. Every miner shuts off
3. Every node goes offline
4. Every holder sells
5. No country, institution, or individual sees value in it
6. No black market, no censorship use, no store-of-value use
7. No one is willing to buy it at any price
That’s not just unlikely.
That’s the collapse of the modern internet + global trust systems.
In other words.
Never fucking happening.
So as long as it is alive,
Opportunities to create generational wealth in #crypto will be here.
Do not fucking waste it.
$BTC
It’s impossible.
I’m not even bull posting.
Or selling dreams.
I just researched this point for years.
I’ll tell you why.
For Bitcoin to go to 0
All of the following would need to happen at the same time:
1. The network stops functioning globally
2. Every miner shuts off
3. Every node goes offline
4. Every holder sells
5. No country, institution, or individual sees value in it
6. No black market, no censorship use, no store-of-value use
7. No one is willing to buy it at any price
That’s not just unlikely.
That’s the collapse of the modern internet + global trust systems.
In other words.
Never fucking happening.
So as long as it is alive,
Opportunities to create generational wealth in #crypto will be here.
Do not fucking waste it.
$BTC
Bitcoin still has a large CME gap open near the $84K level.
An upside move this week is likely to fill that gap
$BTC
An upside move this week is likely to fill that gap
$BTC
🚨 BREAKING:
VITALIK BUTERIN JUST STARTED DUMPING HIS $ETH HOLDINGS
HE HAS ALREADY SOLD 1,000 ETHEREUM WORTH OVER $2.4 MILLION AND KEEPS SELLING MORE
WHAT IS GOING ON??
$ETH
VITALIK BUTERIN JUST STARTED DUMPING HIS $ETH HOLDINGS
HE HAS ALREADY SOLD 1,000 ETHEREUM WORTH OVER $2.4 MILLION AND KEEPS SELLING MORE
WHAT IS GOING ON??
$ETH
SEVERAL CONTENT CREATORS ON X ARE CLAIMING THEY WERE OFFERED PAYOUTS IN $XRP INSTEAD OF USD.
MASSIVE IF TRUE!
MASSIVE IF TRUE!
🚨 WARNING: SOMETHING BIG IS COMING!
GOLD: $4,958
SILVER: $87
That's a 6.5% and 14% pump in ONE day.
It's the BIGGEST daily gain since 2008.
This is a WARNING you gotta understand if you hold stocks, crypto, or anything else.
Know what happened in 2008 to every market except metals?
It dumped to all time lows.
When gold pumps with silver and copper, it screams one thing:
THE SYSTEM IS BROKEN.
And I've seen this movie before.
Right before 2000.
Right before 2007.
Right before 2019.
Every time, people said "the economy is fine".
And then you know what happened.
Gold at $4,958 and silver at $87 puts the gold to silver ratio near 56.
That is not a normal market.
That is the system repricing what "money" is.
And корпs, hedge funds, and banks that manipulate every move aren't "bullish".
They're exiting the casino.
They're loading TRILLIONS into metals,
while farming leverage traders on the way.
So if you think this is bullish just because charts are green...
YOU'RE WRONG.
This is how the 2026 collapse starts.
Not with a headline.
With FLOWS.
I've studied macro for 10 years and I called almost every major market top, including the October BTC ATH.
Follow and turn notifications on.
I'll post the warning BEFORE it hits the headlines.
$BTC $ETH $BNB
GOLD: $4,958
SILVER: $87
That's a 6.5% and 14% pump in ONE day.
It's the BIGGEST daily gain since 2008.
This is a WARNING you gotta understand if you hold stocks, crypto, or anything else.
Know what happened in 2008 to every market except metals?
It dumped to all time lows.
When gold pumps with silver and copper, it screams one thing:
THE SYSTEM IS BROKEN.
And I've seen this movie before.
Right before 2000.
Right before 2007.
Right before 2019.
Every time, people said "the economy is fine".
And then you know what happened.
Gold at $4,958 and silver at $87 puts the gold to silver ratio near 56.
That is not a normal market.
That is the system repricing what "money" is.
And корпs, hedge funds, and banks that manipulate every move aren't "bullish".
They're exiting the casino.
They're loading TRILLIONS into metals,
while farming leverage traders on the way.
So if you think this is bullish just because charts are green...
YOU'RE WRONG.
This is how the 2026 collapse starts.
Not with a headline.
With FLOWS.
I've studied macro for 10 years and I called almost every major market top, including the October BTC ATH.
Follow and turn notifications on.
I'll post the warning BEFORE it hits the headlines.
$BTC $ETH $BNB
reasons why crypto is down:
1. On chain stocks and bonds have not resulted in material fee capture for any major L1 protocol. Arbitrum pumped on Robinhood announcement only for Robinhood to build its own inhouse solution. Temporary Nasdaq on-chain trading pump then it turns out they're using private blockchains. SOL doing $1m a day of fees down from $24m Trump coin frenzy and $15m+ of inflation.
2. high inflation and primary equity story is international equities, gold, and AI. crypto is not getting enough attention
3. Trump promised mass deportation, less international engagement, low inflation. seems we are 0/3. With no Trump USD stablecoins and regulatory progress could reverse. Crypto is seen as Trump proxy. when Trump won EURUSD collapsed and BTC went bid. now EURUSD is surging while BTC is down
4. Gold / silver have captured 'sovereign diversification'. Russia appears to have successfully use gold to thwart US sanctions after invading Ukraine. Despite the fact it could have used crypto (it did not). Now China is looking at Gold as a good reserve asset if it chooses to invade Taiwan
5. "Digital Gold" story does not work if Gold is up only and AI is up only while coins are down only. Thus - people no longer believe. At the same time there are high valuations and relatively high network inflation
6. There has yet to have been material evidence of AI <> crypto inter-relation. Bittensor if anything by becoming more credibly non political is allowing subnets to do anything (not just AI related). Coin is dead. Narrative of AI agents doing things with crypto so far has not come to pass.
7. DATs, and MSTR buying at high prices are a double edged sword. As DATs drop below MNAV activists are incentivized to take stakes in DATs and sell the underlying tokens to drive shareholder value. In current market conditions this would be catastrophic
8. Maybe quantum fears - but I think we are memeing ourselves about that far more than ppl are actually trading on this
I think it's important to understand these things. The market put on a huge bet that the system and crypto would mesh. That bet has imploded. It is not pretty. I got some things right and many things wrong. I am not planning on leaving the industry or pivoting to gold mining.
Reasons to be excited about Crypto on a go-forward
1. People are not thinking through what a fully multi polar world looks like given current debt levels combined with CBDCs. base case is mass financial repression and wealth taxes targeted at individuals. Individuals cannot easily
2. There are only 100-200k researchers and engineers in the global AI industry. Unlike previous industrial revolutions - the growth in AI will not cause mass employment. It will instead cause mass unemployment. This will only accelerate confiscatory impulses and also put pressure on global central banks to ease (bullish fixed supply assets). AI itself will be effectively leveraged to track physical locations ala China making it difficult for individuals to effectively custody gold
3. Nation states may not get along but all of them will want to tax citizens
4. The original BTC run was Chinese high net worth individuals. We have a mental model of what this looks like. More repression. More capital controls. That's how BTC went from $100 -> $80k to begin with.
5. Unlike the original BTC run privacy technology has advanced considerably. ZK transactions are 20x cheaper than they were in 2021. Halo2 / Z cash have made substantive technical progress. Railgun is responsive to TornadoCash rulings and there are increasingly legal frameworks for privacy.
6. AI is fundamentally compression technology. Models are getting smaller. Open Source (like Kimi K2.5) is pretty solid and will remain subsidized by China indefinitely which is treating open Source AI development a bit like free marketing for CCP ideals. There will reach a threshold when there are models that are smarter than ppl that run on local hardware. This makes society portable in a way that was previously unimaginable.
7. The technical selling has 2 sources:
a. DAT overhangs, which are reflexive and can expand to buying pressure if the market turns around
b. Bloated teams, which should structurally be able to be cut due to AI coding
8. Re: quantum I think AI coding will also accelerate the speed at which some protocols become quantum resistant, and I imagine this will be faster than traditional websites. There are some undeniably scary 'quantum internet' bear cases out there but I think we're way too early for that
Put another way: sovereign individuals were never really believable before "vibe coding". Because you'd need an army of employees. Who need national services. The economic viability of small scale technological economies is skyrocketing. And therefore even if traditional equities or bonds don't end up on public blockchains imminently there is still believably going to be substantial post-national on-chain volume. But it is coming at a lag vs market expectations, resulting in massive financial destruction
Binance, Hyperliquid and Tron remain successful decade long experiments in - what are essentially equity like assets that exist completely outside of traditional jurisdiction or reporting requirements. It is fundamentally viable to run on-chain businesses, and will become more appealing over time bc of how messed up our world is
I don't want to pretend that the current market condition is good or that "I Called it". or something. I am trying to make sense of it. If I had to sum it up "anti or post nation state assets bet the ranch on nation states and got screwed". Anarcho capitalists shocked their government partnership didn't work out. Makes sense in hindsight doesn't it.
$BTC $BNB $ETH
2. high inflation and primary equity story is international equities, gold, and AI. crypto is not getting enough attention
3. Trump promised mass deportation, less international engagement, low inflation. seems we are 0/3. With no Trump USD stablecoins and regulatory progress could reverse. Crypto is seen as Trump proxy. when Trump won EURUSD collapsed and BTC went bid. now EURUSD is surging while BTC is down
4. Gold / silver have captured 'sovereign diversification'. Russia appears to have successfully use gold to thwart US sanctions after invading Ukraine. Despite the fact it could have used crypto (it did not). Now China is looking at Gold as a good reserve asset if it chooses to invade Taiwan
5. "Digital Gold" story does not work if Gold is up only and AI is up only while coins are down only. Thus - people no longer believe. At the same time there are high valuations and relatively high network inflation
6. There has yet to have been material evidence of AI <> crypto inter-relation. Bittensor if anything by becoming more credibly non political is allowing subnets to do anything (not just AI related). Coin is dead. Narrative of AI agents doing things with crypto so far has not come to pass.
7. DATs, and MSTR buying at high prices are a double edged sword. As DATs drop below MNAV activists are incentivized to take stakes in DATs and sell the underlying tokens to drive shareholder value. In current market conditions this would be catastrophic
8. Maybe quantum fears - but I think we are memeing ourselves about that far more than ppl are actually trading on this
I think it's important to understand these things. The market put on a huge bet that the system and crypto would mesh. That bet has imploded. It is not pretty. I got some things right and many things wrong. I am not planning on leaving the industry or pivoting to gold mining.
Reasons to be excited about Crypto on a go-forward
1. People are not thinking through what a fully multi polar world looks like given current debt levels combined with CBDCs. base case is mass financial repression and wealth taxes targeted at individuals. Individuals cannot easily
2. There are only 100-200k researchers and engineers in the global AI industry. Unlike previous industrial revolutions - the growth in AI will not cause mass employment. It will instead cause mass unemployment. This will only accelerate confiscatory impulses and also put pressure on global central banks to ease (bullish fixed supply assets). AI itself will be effectively leveraged to track physical locations ala China making it difficult for individuals to effectively custody gold
3. Nation states may not get along but all of them will want to tax citizens
4. The original BTC run was Chinese high net worth individuals. We have a mental model of what this looks like. More repression. More capital controls. That's how BTC went from $100 -> $80k to begin with.
5. Unlike the original BTC run privacy technology has advanced considerably. ZK transactions are 20x cheaper than they were in 2021. Halo2 / Z cash have made substantive technical progress. Railgun is responsive to TornadoCash rulings and there are increasingly legal frameworks for privacy.
6. AI is fundamentally compression technology. Models are getting smaller. Open Source (like Kimi K2.5) is pretty solid and will remain subsidized by China indefinitely which is treating open Source AI development a bit like free marketing for CCP ideals. There will reach a threshold when there are models that are smarter than ppl that run on local hardware. This makes society portable in a way that was previously unimaginable.
7. The technical selling has 2 sources:
a. DAT overhangs, which are reflexive and can expand to buying pressure if the market turns around
b. Bloated teams, which should structurally be able to be cut due to AI coding
8. Re: quantum I think AI coding will also accelerate the speed at which some protocols become quantum resistant, and I imagine this will be faster than traditional websites. There are some undeniably scary 'quantum internet' bear cases out there but I think we're way too early for that
Put another way: sovereign individuals were never really believable before "vibe coding". Because you'd need an army of employees. Who need national services. The economic viability of small scale technological economies is skyrocketing. And therefore even if traditional equities or bonds don't end up on public blockchains imminently there is still believably going to be substantial post-national on-chain volume. But it is coming at a lag vs market expectations, resulting in massive financial destruction
Binance, Hyperliquid and Tron remain successful decade long experiments in - what are essentially equity like assets that exist completely outside of traditional jurisdiction or reporting requirements. It is fundamentally viable to run on-chain businesses, and will become more appealing over time bc of how messed up our world is
I don't want to pretend that the current market condition is good or that "I Called it". or something. I am trying to make sense of it. If I had to sum it up "anti or post nation state assets bet the ranch on nation states and got screwed". Anarcho capitalists shocked their government partnership didn't work out. Makes sense in hindsight doesn't it.
$BTC $BNB $ETH
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