易道千元

#中国政策 #日本经济 This event of China sanctioning Japan highlights our wisdom. 👏 On one hand, it precisely targets Japan's lifeline, such as by restricting the export of rare earths and dual-use items, directly hitting its high-end manufacturing and military industry due to its high dependence on related resources from China. 👏 On the other hand, the sanctions are reasonable and compliant, only prohibiting exports for military use to Japan, ensuring the stability of the civilian supply chain. This effectively curtails Japan's ambition for "re-militarization" while demonstrating the responsibilities and strategic prudence of a major power. This is a true depiction of winning without fighting!
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Afghan women are prohibited from showing their faces, leaving their homes, making sounds in public, and until now are banned from attending school...

The Chinese girl married a black man, and they look very happy...

I never expected that the once strong and charismatic male god would end up like this...

Cut or not cut? Just came out of the police station.

Everyone is spraying coolness, and the general also has a heart that cares for the world. Such things have happened before, it’s just that the heat was suppressed. Previously, a woman riding a motorcycle was stopped by a group of men in black. Later, when they saw the license plate was from Beijing A, they probably didn’t dare to act and hurriedly said they had mistaken the person before fleeing.

Everyone is spraying coolness, and the general also has a heart that cares for the world. Such things have happened before, it’s just that the heat was suppressed. Previously, a woman riding a motorcycle was stopped by a group of men in black. Later, when they saw the license plate was from Beijing A, they probably didn’t dare to act and hurriedly said they had mistaken the person before fleeing.

Feminist leader Zhang Yuqi is finally going to be completely banned and has been exposed for a collection of dark history: proxy cloud, unboxing, cheating, domestic violence, flaunting wealth. The Liaoning Spring Festival Gala that was originally scheduled has also been canceled.

#币圈吴亿凡

If Russia is defeated this time, what will happen to the world? To say it without exaggeration, once Russia is defeated, China will have a lot of headaches ahead.

On the satellite cloud map of the Plesetsk launch site, a huge black pit with a diameter of 62 meters has appeared.
That is not a meteorite impact mark; it is the scar left by the RS-28 Sarmat intercontinental missile, known as "Satan 2," after a detonation in the launch silo. The loud bang in September 2024 seems to have not only destroyed the launch silo but also shattered a delicate balance that had been maintained for decades.
If this is not just a failure of a test but a prelude to the complete collapse of Russian strategy, what will happen to the world?
Many people think this is merely a win or lose situation on the geopolitical chessboard, unrelated to ordinary people's daily lives. This notion is probably even more hollow than the deep pit created by the explosion.
When that colossal entity spanning the Eurasian continent collapses, the first wave of shock will not even need to wait until the next morning.
In the first hour after the news breaks, futures traders in London and Chicago will go crazy.
Not because they care who won, but out of fear. The black land of Russia and Ukraine is, in fact, the "artery" of global food supply. Once Russia's defeat leads to internal divisions and warlords' rule, the Black Sea shipping will instantly become an unregulated "pirate zone."
In 2024, global food prices had just barely decreased by 2%, but this fragile balance will be instantly shattered. Whether it's the bread buyers in Egypt or the bakers in France, they will find that flour prices are skyrocketing as if propelled by a rocket. For those countries in Africa and the Middle East that rely on food imports, hunger will no longer be a mere adjective but a turmoil that is happening.
Next comes energy. Although Russia's oil and gas have been sanctioned by Europe, they still nourish the global market like an underground river. Once defeat leads to oil fields being halted or forcibly taken over by Western capital, the power to set energy prices will completely change hands. For manufacturing powerhouses, this means that the cost of every kilowatt-hour and every barrel of oil will depend on Wall Street's whims.
Shift your gaze to the northwest corner of the map.
With the entry of Finland and Sweden, the Baltic Sea has effectively become NATO's "inland lake." But that is not enough; once Russia is defeated, the Western powers' push will unhesitatingly advance into Central Asia.
Those countries that were once Russia's "backyard" will be forced to submit to the West for survival. NATO's reconnaissance planes and radar stations will stretch from Poland all the way to the Mongolian plateau.
What does this mean?
It means that the thousands of kilometers of defensive line, originally serving as a strategic buffer, will instantly vanish. For any major power that does not want to be subservient, this is a nightmare. The security line will be hard-pressed inward by over a thousand kilometers, like a once spacious yard suddenly having the fence shoved right up to the front door by a neighbor.
If Russia really collapses, the most troubled will not be Putin, but its eastern neighbors.
This is not just the old saying that "when the lips are gone, the teeth are cold." Imagine if on the other side of the long northern border, there is no longer a back-to-back partner but a series of pro-Western fragmented regimes, or a chaotic area engulfed in civil war and nuclear weapon proliferation. What a terrifying sight that would be?
The pressure from a refugee wave and border security alone would be enough to deplete enormous national resources. Not to mention the costly "Power of Siberia 2" gas pipeline project.
Recent intelligence indicates that Mongolia has excluded this pipeline project from its national plans before 2028, which itself is an extremely dangerous signal — as Russia finds itself in trouble, even transit countries are beginning to hesitate and waver.
If Russia is completely defeated, this land-based lifeline originally meant to secure energy security will likely turn into a pile of scrap metal. We will have to return to the crowded Malacca Strait, looking at others' faces to bring back every cubic meter of natural gas.
In the United Nations Security Council, that hand which once raised a "no" vote to balance the situation will no longer exist. Western countries will seize this opportunity to rally hundreds of nations to propose one targeted resolution after another, and we will truly fall into a state of "drawing swords and looking around in confusion" as a solitary battle.
So, stop treating this game as a casual topic over tea and meals.
If Russia is defeated, it is not merely a matter of Moscow changing hands; it is a violent rupture of the post-World War II international order. The shattered fragments will fly towards every country's dining table, fuel tank, and border.

The President of Venezuela announced the refusal to recognize the Maduro government and all debts previously incurred by Venezuela!
It's over, the 50 billion dollars borrowed from Todai is likely down the drain.

#川哥掘金现货

Could be a spy, could be San Tong Yi Da, could also be a poor student, and more likely has bad habits and infectious diseases.

What a surprising revelation! The whole world is focused on those few nanometer chips, but Musk bewildered everyone with a single statement: the real bottleneck is not the chips, but the large iron boxes made in China! This thing costs about 200,000 yuan, and Europe and the United States have to queue up to buy it, even having to quietly put away the tariff stick for it.
Europe and the U.S. are genuinely anxious this time, unable to sit still, as they see their own AI data centers waiting for critical equipment, with delays extending to 2029; they finally have to bow their heads.
Previously, they wielded the tariff stick with a 104% increase against China, and now they are quietly retracting it, starting various forms of "tariff exemptions."
What exactly is making these Western big shots feel like ants on a hot pan?
It is not some top-end chips or those lithography machines costing hundreds of millions of dollars, but a seemingly clumsy and heavy large iron box—transformers.
On the surface, the world is scrambling for orders, but what is revealed is the massive hollowing out of Western manufacturing; this bottomless industrial void cannot be filled by themselves at all.
Back in March 2024, Musk hinted at a conference in Germany that next year the whole world would face shortages of electricity and transformers.
At that time, the elites on Wall Street were still reveling in the frenzy of grabbing Nvidia graphics cards, thinking this madman was just alarmist, but what happened? Reality gave everyone a resounding slap in the face.
In the past year, the hardest commodity in the tech circle has indeed shifted from graphics cards to this inconspicuous large iron box. Even Musk's pride, the xAI supercomputing center, with a power of 70 megawatts, took a full year to sort out due to inadequate power access equipment.
How important is this iron box? To put it this way, AI data center servers rely on it to run, electricity generated from solar and wind power needs it to connect to the grid, and electric vehicle charging stations depend on it to function.
Processing a single ChatGPT query consumes about ten times the electricity of a single Google search; those giant data centers can easily consume the total electricity of a city with a population of 200,000.
Moreover, for every electric vehicle sold, at least 5 to 6 transformers are needed to support the entire charging network. This isn't just making cars; it’s a crazy test of the power grid's limits.
The current situation for Europe and the U.S. is particularly awkward: although they have money in hand and designs on the table, they simply cannot produce enough transformers.
Currently, about 80% of transformers in the U.S. must be imported. Their domestic production capacity is insufficient, and if you want to order a large transformer in the U.S. now, sorry, the delivery time has been pushed to 2 to 4 years later.
Earlier this year, a transformer explosion in Cleveland and a fire at a substation in San Francisco completely tore away the last fig leaf covering the U.S. power grid.
More than 70% of transformers in the U.S. are operating beyond their service life, with an average "work age" of 38 years. These antiques, which should have long retired, cannot withstand the current high-load operations and could fail or even explode at any moment.
Europe isn’t faring much better. The EU originally had ambitious plans for a €584 billion power grid upgrade, but because they couldn't buy transformers, the entire grand blueprint came to a halt.
Germany and France managed to build their wind and solar power stations, but without transformers, they cannot connect to the grid. Just in 2025, the G7 countries suffered direct losses of up to €7.2 billion due to this "wind and solar waste."
At this time, Western eyes have to turn back to the East. China currently holds 60% of the global transformer production capacity, and from the upstream oriented silicon steel materials to the final product manufacturing, the entire industrial chain can be self-sufficient.
Especially the core material, oriented silicon steel, with last year's output being eight times that of the U.S. This material is not ordinary iron; it’s known in the industry as the "pearl on the crown of steel."
It must be rolled to just 0.18 mm thick, and its magnetic properties must remain stable throughout the process. This technical challenge is hard to overcome, and few countries can manage it; Baosteel has a unique ultra-thin silicon steel production line, which directly controls the upstream throat of high-end transformers.
What makes the West even more desperate is the efficiency gap. For the same transformer, Chinese companies can deliver in just 6 to 12 months, and for urgent orders, it can even be compressed to 3 months.
The price advantage is incomparable; for products with the same performance, China sells them for about $10,000, while the cost of producing them in Europe is 30,000 to 50,000 dollars.
Thus, this extremely ironic scene unfolded: the U.S. government previously imposed a 104% tariff on Chinese transformers to suppress Chinese manufacturing, artificially raising the price from over $3,000 to $6,800.
But now? Faced with frequent power outages at home and stalled data center construction, they have no choice but to pinch their noses and go for "exemptions."
While they are still putting on a brave face, their actions tell a different story. By 2025, China's total transformer export value soared to 64.6 billion yuan, with an average export price reaching 205,000 yuan.
Exports to Europe skyrocketed by 138%. Even wealthy buyers like Saudi Arabia signed a large order worth 16.4 billion yuan, and some European clients even proactively requested to increase the price by 20% just to get an urgent order arranged by the factory.
Current orders have piled up until 2029, and many companies' order volumes have multiplied several times.

Who is with Jackie Chan on the streets of Paris?
This photo of Jackie Chan on the streets of Paris has gone completely viral! Dressed in trendy brand outfits with luxury cars, the big shot next to him exudes an impressive aura, with the Eiffel Tower in the background, instantly elevating the atmosphere to the extreme.

Who is with Jackie Chan on the streets of Paris?
This photo of Jackie Chan on the streets of Paris has gone completely viral! Dressed in trendy brand outfits with luxury cars, the big shot next to him exudes an impressive aura, with the Eiffel Tower in the background, instantly elevating the atmosphere to the extreme.

No one expected that the seemingly unsolvable chess game in Greenland would be revitalized by the Danish Prime Minister in a way described as 'self-castration.' To prevent the United States from seizing control, Denmark willingly handed over management rights: giving up territory for territory, allowing the construction of an anti-missile 'Iron Dome' as long as nominal sovereignty is maintained. Such concessions make one feel a chill down their spine.
Greenland is far from an ordinary ice sheet; it occupies nearly one-third of the world's island area and is the core of Arctic games, as well as a strategic trump card that the United States must grasp. Denmark's compromise is essentially a recognition of reality — with its national strength, it cannot stop the ambitions of the United States and can only exchange real power for nominal status.
The U.S. has coveted Greenland for nearly two hundred years: since purchasing Alaska in 1867, it has wanted to include Greenland, using 'protection' to establish bases during World War II, and acting as an outpost to monitor the Soviet Union during the Cold War. Now, it has become key to balancing Russia's Arctic expansion. After Trump took office, he brazenly declared his intention to seize the island, and recently changed his tune to obtain 'unlimited comprehensive access rights,' leaving Denmark with no grounds for refusal.
Beneath this ice sheet lies nearly 20% of the world's rare earth reserves and vast oil and gas resources, which are crucial for the chip and new energy industries; with the melting of Arctic ice, the northwest passage it guards can shorten the Eurasian voyage by 40%, controlling the future initiative in trade. The United States claims that building an anti-missile system is a response to threats from China and Russia, yet it has been exposed by the Danish military — no Chinese or Russian vessels have ever appeared in the area, and the so-called security needs are merely an excuse.
Now, the U.S. can not only expand its bases and deploy weapons but also holds priority procurement rights for Greenland's minerals, with rare earth projects set to begin production soon. The Greenland autonomous government and its people are deeply resistant but powerless to fight back; Denmark clings to its sovereignty red line, which in reality has become nominal and ineffective.
This is the lament of a small nation caught in the games of great powers. Denmark trades 'sovereignty for security,' while the United States seizes strategic locations without firing a shot. And this frozen land will ultimately shed its tranquil veil in the calculations of great powers.

Iran's move became crucial, causing the Pentagon to delay its military plans and allowing China and Russia to gain some experience!
On January 18, 2026, the streets of Iran returned to calm, and internet and text messaging services were gradually restored nationwide. This large-scale unrest, which began in late December 2025 and affected 111 towns, was completely extinguished within three weeks. A review afterwards revealed that what truly turned the situation around was a seemingly 'technical' yet strategically significant operation — precise countermeasures against Starlink terminals.
The situation began in the early stages of the unrest. Intelligence indicated that agencies such as Israeli Mossad coordinated actions remotely through encrypted channels, even delivering funds and instructions. This model of 'decentralization + external empowerment' once put Iran in a passive position.
But the turning point came 48 hours after the unrest began. Iran suddenly deployed a new electronic jamming and signal positioning system in multiple hotspot regions across the country. These devices were not traditional military radars but civilian-grade spectrum monitoring devices developed in cooperation with Russia and China, specifically optimized for low-orbit satellite communication frequency bands. They can identify the unique electromagnetic 'fingerprint' emitted by Starlink terminals when connecting to satellites, and then, using triangulation algorithms, quickly lock onto the user's geographical location.
According to data disclosed later by Iranian officials, during the internet blackout, this system alone identified over 10,000 active users of Starlink, including many key organizational members. More critically, two Mossad agents lurking in Shiraz and Kerman were exposed due to their frequent use of Starlink terminals for encrypted communication and were captured on the spot. This blow directly severed the command chain between the US and Israel. China and Russia did not expect the results to be this good.
After the internal situation in Iran stabilized, the White House immediately abandoned thoughts of military strikes against Iran. Notably, while the jamming devices used by Iran were provided by China and Russia, they did not violate international arms control agreements. This means that such civilian technological devices provide a new idea for countries facing US strategic encirclement: instead of relying on traditional military confrontation, they can disrupt the opponent's 'hybrid warfare' capabilities through precise information link disruptions.

The wife of Ukraine's former foreign minister suggests that the public use bed toys for warmth [Doraemon is surprised]