Menjadi Trader

BTC 4H: Rebound or Continue Dump?

Market Conditions:
BTC 4H is still in a bearish structure after a major breakdown. The price is now around 68,400 and is held in the supply area of 69,500–72,000 (sell zone). As long as it hasn't reclaimed 72K, the bias remains downward pressure.

Today's Scenario:
Bullish: Stay above 66,000–67,000 and break 72,000 ➝ potential rise to 75,000–78,000.
Bearish: If it fails to hold 66,000 ➝ target down to 63,000 then 60,000.

SMM: Hope the Market Approves
🚀

DYOR & manage risk wisely.
Join the Become a Trader community for free now!

Signal “99>98”, Michael Saylor Ready to Buy Bitcoin Even More?

Michael Saylor is once again grabbing the market's attention after posting the code “99>98” along with a chart of Bitcoin accumulation by MicroStrategy. This brief message is interpreted as a signal that the 99th Bitcoin purchase will surpass the previous batch.

For information, in early February 2026, MicroStrategy purchased 1,142 BTC worth around US$90 million at an average price of US$78,815 per coin. If the next purchase is indeed larger, then the company's aggressive accumulation contrasts sharply with the current market conditions.

This move comes amid an outflow of funds amounting to US$1.8 billion from US Bitcoin ETFs since the beginning of the year. While many institutions are performing risk reduction, MicroStrategy remains consistently the largest corporate buyer. Its total ownership is now approaching 715,000 BTC with an average acquisition price of around US$76,000.

The funding strategy is also quite unusual. The company utilizes a combination of convertible notes and operational cash flow to continue adding to its Bitcoin reserves, even when prices fluctuate between US$60,000–US$70,000 after corrections.

For traders, this action strengthens the narrative that there are big players still seeing long-term opportunities, despite short-term volatility.

Follow the account Becoming Trader for the latest crypto updates and analysis #becomingtrader #bitcoin #microstrategy #cryptonews #BTC
NFA, DYOR.

If you're still struggling to cut losses...
that's not a strategy. That's ego.

The market only rewards those who are disciplined.
The others? They just become liquidity. 👀

#becomingatrader #cryptotrading #traderindonesia #tradingpsychology #riskmanagement

BTC Outlook

In the last 24 hours, BTC continued to weaken. Selling pressure increased, volatility rose, but the long-term foundation has not collapsed.

🔻 Short-term Pressure

EMA7 crossed below EMA25 + bearish MACD.

ATR & STDEV increased → the market is getting wilder.

Whales sent over $1M BTC & ETH to exchanges.

BlackRock deposited 3.402 BTC to CEX. Distribution is still felt.

🟢 Long-term Foundation

SAFU fund from one of the CEX bought 4.545 BTC ($304M). Total holdings of 15,000 BTC (~$1B).

US debt surpassed $38.7T → the narrative of BTC as “digital gold” is getting stronger.

Pro-BTC regulation discourse + wider adoption (including trading integration on X).

🧠 Market Sentiment is Divided. Some are waiting for a dead cat bounce before dropping to 50–55K. Others see this as just a distribution phase before the cycle continues.

Personal conclusion: Short term is still heavy. But looking at the big picture, institutions have not exited; they are actually increasing their positions.

The market is testing mental strength, not just technical.

If still focused on image...
it's natural that the result is just an illusion.

The market cannot be fooled.
Track record is always honest. 👀

#becomeatrader #cryptotrading #traderindonesia #tradingpsychology #riskmanagement

Scandal of Seized Evidence: 22 BTC Missing from South Korean Police USB Wallet

Shocking news comes from South Korea. A total of 22 BTC worth approximately US$1.5 million has reportedly gone missing from the police's USB cold wallet. Authorities confirmed that the seized cryptocurrency has been transferred without permission.

The Bitcoin was initially handed over to the Gangnam police station in November 2021 as evidence. However, because the investigation process was temporarily halted, the suspected leak went undetected. Interestingly, the physical USB device was never stolen; what was misused was access to the assets within it.

The Gyeonggi Bukbu police are now conducting an internal investigation to trace the cause of the incident and possible involvement of individuals. So far, authorities have not provided detailed statements as the investigation is still ongoing.

This case emerged during a national inspection, after previously 320 BTC of seized assets were also reported missing from the Gwangju District Prosecutor's Office. In a separate report, it was mentioned that the incident began when an investigator accidentally accessed a phishing site, leading to the depletion of the cryptocurrency assets.

This event serves as a reminder that the security of digital assets, even in cold wallet storage, still relies on strict access management and operational procedures.

Follow updates on global crypto news and other important insights only at Becoming a Trader. #becomingatrader #bitcoin #cryptonews #security #coldwallet

NFA, DYOR.

$MERL OUTLOOK
TIMEFRAME : 4 JAM

BTC Outlook

BTC has just experienced a wild 24 hours.
It briefly reclaimed $70,000, but the pressure is not completely gone.

🔹 What happened?

• BTC broke through $70K driven by improving macro sentiment.
• CPI is starting to soften + $120B liquidity is entering the market → short-term bullish breath.
• Potential short liquidations > $4B make a squeeze more realistic.

But…

🔻 The risks are still real

• MACD histogram is becoming more negative → downward momentum is not finished yet.
• ETFs have not recorded a weekly net inflow since mid-January.
• Just one day of net outflow saw BTC exceed $410 million.
• Whale OG sent thousands of BTC to CEX.
• BlackRock deposited 3,402 BTC to the exchange → potential selling pressure.

🔹 Institutional activity is contradictory

There is a large fund accumulating 4,545 BTC (~$304 million).
Their total assets under management are now > $1 billion.
But on the other hand, there is also significant distribution.

What does this mean? The market is still pulling in different directions.

🔹 Community Sentiment

Some are optimistic about a continued squeeze.
Others still see potential corrections to the $55K area.

Personal conclusion:
Reclaiming $70K is a strong signal, but the larger structure is not fully secure yet.
This is a phase of high volatility + high narrative.

Trading mindset must be flexible.
Intraday bullish does not necessarily mean macro bullish.

⚠️CLARIFICATION SO YOU DON'T MISUNDERSTAND⚠️

Let me explain to make it clear.

Some of you only use 1 exchange, then all my signals are entered into the same account.
In the end, it looks like I'm overtrading because there are many signals.

But the fact is:
I use different exchanges for different timeframes.
This means it's actually separated systems, not piled into one.

Example:
• Small TF → some are profit, some are loss
• Large TF → maybe currently floating / drawdown
• Different exchange → performance is different again

If you combine everything into 1 exchange:

❌Risk becomes piled up

❌Exposure becomes large

❌Looks like brutal entry

But actually, those are different “baskets”.

So please understand:
Every timeframe = different system
Every system = different probability & results

If you want to combine everything into 1 exchange, then you must:

✔️Reduce size

✔️Limit maximum open positions

✔️Do not equalize risk per setup

Not overtrading.
But you are the ones combining several systems into one account without adjusting risk.

Understand the structure first before judging.
The danger is not having many signals,
but not understanding how to manage exposure.
💪

⚠️IMPORTANT INFO ABOUT SIGNAL & EXCHANGE⚠️

By the way guys, I do use different exchanges for each timeframe.

The reason is not because of different wicks or thin prices.
But because I want to take advantage of momentum and different probabilities in each timeframe.

Each timeframe has its own character:
• Small TF → fast, aggressive, many opportunities but high noise
• Large TF → cleaner, more patient, probabilities are usually different

So, I intentionally use different exchanges so I can evaluate:

📊
"If playing in this TF, how is the performance?"

📊
"In this exchange, which TF setup is suitable?"

So this is part of tracking & improvement strategy, not just randomly switching.

If you follow the signal:

✔️Focus on the timeframe

✔️Follow the plan according to that TF

✔️Do not mix the H1 mindset but hold like Daily

Each TF is a different game.
We are not just looking for entries, but finding the best probabilities at each momentum.💪

$LDO OUTLOOK
TIMEFRAME : 1 JAM

$BCH OUTLOOK
TIMEFRAME : 1 JAM

🚨
REMINDER RISK MANAGEMENT
🚨

Friends, before entering, please instill this mindset:

If your capital is $100, then the maximum risk per setup is only 1% = $1.
This means, in 1 entry, you MUST be prepared to lose $1. Not $5, not $10.

Do not enter the market if you are not ready to lose according to the plan.

Trading is not about how often you profit,
but about how small you can keep your losses.

If 1 setup loses, relax.
There is still 99% of the capital left for the next opportunity.

Discipline of 1% risk per trade =

✔️
Capital lasts longer

✔️
Emotions are more stable

✔️
Can survive in the long run

Remember:
What makes traders go bankrupt is not an analysis mistake.
But because of over risk and lack of discipline.

Manage risk. Manage your mindset.
Profit is a bonus, survival is a must.
💪

📌
MUST READ THIS UNTIL UNDERSTAND:
Complete tutorial on how to limit losses:
https://t.me/menjadi_trader/2827

$MINA OUTLOOK
TIMEFRAME : 4 JAM

$TRX OUTLOOK
TIMEFRAME : 4 HOURS

I agree on one thing:
Don't easily trust people who are flexing wealth from trading. Being skeptical is healthy.

But we also need to be logical.

1. 90% of traders fail, that's a fact of short-term retail.
But that doesn't automatically mean the remaining 10% are lying or only living from selling classes.

In all high-performance fields (business, sports, startups), the majority fail.
Only a few survive. That's the law of competition, not proof of fraud.

2. About "showing off must be from referrals/classes"
Indeed, many are like that.
But that's different from concluding that ALL profitable traders must be like that.

Overgeneralization = logical fallacy.

3. Regarding asking for lifelong PNL
Trading is high variance. Even professional traders have long drawdowns.
What matters is not 1–2 months, but long-term consistency in expectancy + risk control.

4. About the top 500 richest people
The majority are wealthy from long-term business & investment. True.
Because trading is high skill, high stress, and its capacity is limited.
Not because it’s “definitely gambling”.

Trading is not the best way to become a billionaire.
But it’s also not automatically gambling.

The difference is clear:
Gambling: negative expectancy, the house always wins.
Trading: can have positive expectancy if you have an edge + discipline.

The main problem is not trading itself.
The problem is that people come to the market with a get-rich-quick mindset.

Skepticism is necessary.
But skepticism must also be logical, not based on blanket assumptions.

Ferry said that trading is gambling and doesn’t make you rich.
Many people were immediately offended.

In reality, 80–90% of people in the market behave like gamblers:
• Overtrade
• Don’t use stop loss
• Chasing pumps
• Think they can get rich quick

If the way you play is like that, it’s reasonable to call it gambling.

But trading that is conducted with probability, clear risk-reward, and consistency in the long term is a different story. That’s risk management, not rolling dice.

So the question isn’t "is trading gambling or not?"
But: what has your trading been like so far?

The market doesn’t care if you’re offended.
The market only punishes those who are undisciplined.

If this still stings... it means you haven't healed.

The market isn't cruel.
It just doesn't care about those who aren't ready. 👀

#becomeatrader #cryptotrading #traderindonesia #tradingpsychology #riskmanagement

BTC Outlook

BTC rebound.
But is this the beginning of a reversal or just a breath before going down again?
📈 +4% in 24 hours
📊 MACD bullish
💰 Volume up
🏦 SAFU adds thousands of BTC
On the surface, this looks strong.
However, behind the scenes:
Thousands of BTC entering exchanges.
Whale distribution.
Realized market loss exceeds $2.3 billion.
Global liquidity risks still haunt.
US inflation at 2.4% provides breathing room.
New ETF proposed.
Institutions continue to accumulate.
But fear in the market is still extreme.
Phases like this are usually full of traps.
Those who are aggressive will say “the bottom has passed.”
Those who are conservative will say “wait for confirmation.”
The key now:
Is the buying flow stronger than the potential supply from exchanges?
In a market like this, discipline is more important than opinion.

The drawdown keeps rising high, the drawdown keeps rising high again

What about the next steps? Hmm😙😇

Will it rise high again or will it plunge??

Follow Become a Trader to know what lies ahead 🗿