According to Catcher Predict monitoring, in the Polymarket event “Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays,” the win rate for the “Cleveland Guardians” option in the sub-market “Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays” has swung dramatically, plunging from 47.5% from one hour ago to 24.5% currently (a fluctuation of 23%). Please note the impact of relevant breaking news.
ChainCatcher message, according to Onchain Lens monitoring, Chainlink whale (0xF5B...9650) received 467,180 LINK from Binance in the past 13 hours, worth approximately $3.94 million. This includes 253,920 LINK, worth approximately $2.14 million, and 213,260 LINK, worth approximately $1.80 million. The most recent transfer occurred 3 hours ago.
The whale currently holds 2.05 million LINK, worth approximately $17.70 million.
According to Catcher Predict monitoring, in the Polymarket market event “Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs HOTU - StarLadder StarSeries European Qualifiers Playoff”, the win rate of the “Aurora Gaming” option in the “Match Winner” sub-market has fluctuated sharply, surging from 74.5% one hour ago to 96.45% currently (a fluctuation of 21.95%). Please note the impact of related breaking news.
ChainCatcher message: Bitcoin News on the X platform stated that Fidelity Investments urged the U.S. Senate to pass the Clarity Act, emphasizing that clear regulation is necessary to build investor trust and maintain U.S. leadership in the digital asset industry.
Abraxas Capital — an organization that makes on-chain analysts break out in a sweat
Author: 0xFacai
Abraxas Capital is a name that feels both familiar and unfamiliar. Yes, because it often appears in reports about on-chain detection accounts. Once, it moved tens of thousands of ETH; another time, a funds redemption directly drained liquidity. These actions are easy to notice. Unfamiliar, because this institution hardly manages a public presence. It has no confirmable X account, and no employees post opinions on Twitter. Most people come to know them through labels attached next to addresses on on-chain data platforms. From TradFi to Crypto Abraxas’ starting point was traditional finance. Both founders, Fabio Frontini and Luca Celati, previously worked at Deutsche Kleinwort Wasserstein Bank. In 2002, the two founded Abraxas Capital Management in London, initially focusing on global macro trading. In 2017, the company shifted its focus to digital assets.
According to Catcher Predict monitoring, the odds for the “Wildcard” option in the Polymarket market “Counter-Strike: Wildcard vs TheMongolz - BLAST Bounty qualification match” event’s sub-market “Match Winner” have fluctuated sharply. The probability plummeted from 37.5% one hour ago to the current 17.5% (a fluctuation of 20%). Please note the impact of related sudden news.
Lido Responds to stETH Yield Calculation Anomaly: Issue Fixed, Oracles Upgraded, and User Funds Unaffected
ChainCatcher message: Ethereum staking protocol Lido, in a post on the X platform, said that the stETH rebase has been completed as expected and that it has also topped up the ETH yield that was omitted due to insufficient calculations. The corresponding annual percentage rate (APR) is approximately 2.29%. In addition, the protocol’s oracle has been updated and passed an audit. The new version will improve report-processing speed and help identify the root cause faster if similar issues occur in the future. Regarding the observed anomalies in yield calculations, Lido stated that contributors are still conducting root-cause analysis. More investigation details will be published in the official forum and on social media platforms later. Throughout the entire incident, users’ funds have never been at risk. At this preliminary stage, Lido believes the issue may stem from a specific edge case: the yield report omitted a validator that was in a pending deposit state, resulting in some staking rewards not being included in the calculations. Lido said that a complete incident post-mortem report will be released in the coming days to further explain the cause, the remediation measures, and follow-up improvement plans.
ChainCatcher message: Mango Labs founder @dov_wo shared a market view, saying, “I’m already long ChangXin Technology. In my opinion, ChangXin is a rare 1:5 odds trading opportunity: downside of 20%, upside of 100%, five-to-one payback.”
@dov_wo listed the bullish reasons as follows: low floating share ratio, regulatory intervention, and institutions’ optimism about investment opportunities below its 3 trillion market cap. The recommended strategy is: “If it opens high tomorrow, close the position right away to take the money; if it opens lower and then goes up, be patient and wait—resolve the battle within 3 days.”
ChainCatcher message, according to CoinDesk, the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) told predictive market companies that when they set up large numbers of event contracts, they often exceed the boundaries of the rules.
The CFTC warned that it needs more specific information in order to evaluate each contract submission on a case-by-case basis.
ChainCatcher message: On the X platform, Jiang Zhuoer said: “ChangXin Storage will most likely open with a higher-than-previous close and surge, then retrace; on day one it reaches the all-time high. If you’re going to buy ChangXin Storage in the A-share market, the Hyperliquid funds need to be ready. The perfect script is: buy ChangXin on A-shares at market open, sell at a midday high on Hyperliquid, and on the following day sell on A-shares and buy on Hyperliquid to offset and square up.”
Why Are There Increasing Numbers of Indian Executives in the Global Payments Industry?
Author: Steven, Payment 201
Recently, I chatted with several friends in the payments industry and found a very interesting contrast. In the past few years, many people’s impressions of India in China have often come from business news. In many people’s understanding, India is a market with huge opportunity, but also extremely complex. After Chinese companies entered India, many of them went through varying degrees of adaptation: the regulatory environment, local business rules, and operating culture all differ significantly from China’s market. So many people’s first reaction is: the India market is big, but it’s hard to do. It isn’t another China.
The U.S. government has implicitly built an enterprise equity investment portfolio worth about $27 billion
ChainCatcher message, citing Fortune: the Trump administration has invested about $26.7 billion in roughly 30 equity or quasi-equity transactions. The largest single deal involves a 9.9% stake in chipmaker Intel, currently valued at about $42 billion. Other investments include $400 million in rare-earth miner MP Materials, the “golden share” retained when Nippon Steel acquired U.S. Steel, and multiple equity investments in several quantum computing companies. Reports say these holdings are spread across at least four agencies: the Department of Commerce (17 deals), the Department of Defense (7), the U.S. International Development Finance Corporation (DFC, 6), and the Department of Energy (2). Only the DFC has explicit statutory authority for equity investments (established by Congress in 2018 for overseas development projects).
BitMEX and Bitmart shut down one after another—do exchange failures indicate the bottom of the bear market?
By Wenser, Odaily Planet Daily
The bearish market crash wave is still spreading. In just a week, two major crypto exchanges have announced shutdowns one after another. On the morning of July 26, BitMart, a second-tier crypto platform, published an official statement saying that after careful assessment of the company’s operating conditions, the market environment, and its future strategic direction, it has decided to orderly cease operations of its trading platform: it will stop all trading services on August 26; and it will stop platform operations on January 31, 2027. On July 23, BitMEX, the pioneer of crypto perpetual contracts, officially announced that it would stop new user registrations effective immediately, and would formally close on September 23, 2026, with many prominent crypto OGs—including CZ—posting messages expressing regret and reluctance to say goodbye. In early July, AscendEX (formerly BitMax) also announced it was stopping operations, citing MiCA regulation, market factors, and financial operating pressure as the reasons provided by the official.
Zhao Changpeng on rumors that multiple CEXs may be shut down: It’s too cruel—we hope it’s a bottom signal
ChainCatcher message: regarding rumors that BitMEX and BitMart were shut down and that multiple CEXs are facing shutdowns, Zhao Changpeng responded, saying, “It’s too cruel. I hope it’s a bottom signal.”
ChainCatcher message: CryptoQuant analyst Darkfost posted on the X platform that a larger liquidity accumulation zone has formed below the current Bitcoin price, concentrated between $61,500 and $60,000. In the coming days, there is a possibility that the market will pull back and trigger the liquidation of this liquidity area.
Typically, regions where large stop-loss orders and leveraged positions are clustered are prone to attracting price volatility and become an important target for the release of market liquidity. However, this analysis is based on on-chain liquidity structure and does not necessarily mean that the market will fall into the above range. Investors still need to monitor subsequent price action and changes in market sentiment.
Crypto KOL: Binance Alpha and the migration of copy-trading traders may be the main reason for the closures of CEXs such as BitMart and BitMex
ChainCatcher report: Crypto KOL Phyrex posted on the X platform saying, “BitMart and BitMex did not shut down because they were exposed or went bust; this is very different from FTX’s sacrifice. The main issue with these two was business problems.” According to what he revealed, in 2023 BitMart approached some of his close acquaintances to discuss an acquisition. At the time, they did a lot of data work, but in the end nothing came of it. In fact, part of the downward trajectory of many tier-three exchanges is due to the impact from Binance Alpha. Small exchanges themselves are the strongholds of all kinds of knockoff coins, meme coins, MLM coins, and community coins—but the appearance of Alpha has given these coins a better source. This has also led to a significant reduction in listing fees for tier-three exchanges, and a significant decrease in the profits of coordinated pump-and-dump groups.
ChainCatcher message, according to Coinglass data, in the past 24 hours, liquidations across the entire network totaled $95.6882 million. Long liquidations were $50.0333 million, and short liquidations were $45.655 million. Among them, Bitcoin long liquidations were $1.1667 million, Bitcoin short liquidations were $5.0996 million, Ethereum long liquidations were $2.5653 million, and Ethereum short liquidations were $8.0803 million.
Additionally, over the recent 24 hours, there were 53,869 people liquidated globally. The largest single liquidation occurred on Hyperliquid - XYZ:BRENTOIL-USD, valued at $9.3533 million.
Aave Founder: The CLARITY Act Enters the “Last Mile”—If Passed, It Will Be a Boon for DeFi
ChainCatcher message: Aave founder Stani posted on X that, more than ever before, the industry now needs all parties to form a consensus and do everything possible to ensure the U.S. CLARITY Act passes smoothly. Although the bill is not perfect at present and many details will still need to be defined by regulators in the future, it will become the first regulatory legislation to address DeFi. It will provide a clear legal framework and regulatory certainty for institutions, fintech companies, and banks to participate in on-chain finance. Once officially passed, the bill’s potential to drive the on-chain finance ecosystem could be similar to the development opportunities that the earlier GENIUS Act brought to the stablecoin industry—attracting more investment and institutional capital into the on-chain space. Over the past year, and especially in the past few weeks and days, the Aave team has maintained close communication with relevant policymakers in Washington, D.C. It has now entered the “last mile” stage of pushing the bill into implementation, and this phase is crucial.
According to Catcher Predict monitoring, in the Polymarket event “Hungarian Grand Prix: Driver Wins Prediction,” the win rate of the “Yes” option in the sub-market “Oscar Piastri” fluctuated sharply, jumping from 5.65% an hour ago to the current 38.9% (a fluctuation of 33.25%). Please note the impact of related breaking news.
ChainCatcher message: Michael Saylor, founder and executive chairman of the Strategy Bitcoin Treasury company, has once again released information related to the Bitcoin Tracker.
According to the previous pattern, Strategy typically discloses changes in its Bitcoin holdings the second day after such related announcements are made.