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$BTC The simplest, most straightforward strategy: buy the dip with a large position in the green zone, dollar-cost average in the yellow zone, and sell in the red zone. See the second image for the self-developed, enhanced dollar-cost averaging model.

$BTC you believe it?

$BTC In the previous cycle, it took 90 days after the AHR indicator broke out of the bottom-fishing zone and entered the dollar-cost averaging zone to reach the stop-DCA line at 0.8 (blue line). This cycle, 66 days have passed since it broke out of the bottom-fishing zone and entered the dollar-cost averaging zone. It’s still a long way from the stop-DCA line at 0.8 (blue line)—and even farther from the take-profit zone at 1.5.

$BTC Let's take a look at BTC's current market cap: $1.64T. Even if it doubled, it still wouldn't be as large as Microsoft's. The price per coin may look high, but the supply is small. Nvidia's market cap is now second only to gold. Which do you think is more likely to double: Nvidia or Bitcoin?

$BTC NDX/BTC posted this chart last week. The daily moving averages crossed downward, and BTC will outperform US stocks. See? It’s held up much better than US stocks. Markets rotate—now it’s BTC’s turn to shine.

$BTC First, look at the daily structure in Chart 1. The consecutive bearish structures on the left have come to an end. On the right, two consecutive bullish structures have completed, and the third descending channel is still consolidating.
Now look at Chart 2. In the previous cycle, after entering a bull market, price consolidated in a descending channel for 80 days. The current price action is also moving in a descending channel, so it can be seen as the same structure.
Next, look at the weekly structure in Chart 3. In the previous cycle, after more than 200 days of wide-range consolidation, a bullish breakout structure formed. The same thing could happen this cycle. If it does, dollar-cost averaging is the best strategy. AHR is still in the DCA zone.
Finally, in Chart 4, USDT.D is currently in an ascending channel. This pattern is bearish; if it breaks below the channel, BTC could make another strong V-shaped reversal. BTC is still breaking above the descending trendline. It has retested the trendline several times without breaking below it, so there’s no reason to expect a breakdown unless it actually happens.

$BTC What I post is pretty boring, but my comments section is quite lively.

$BTC should be the last episode in the “Carving a Mark on the Boat to Find the Sword” series. We’ve reached the channel boundary. Will it break through? Let’s guess in the comments. On the daily chart, it’s already broken out.

$BTC The US Dollar Index can’t keep up the act anymore. Look at the chart. Before it breaks above the ascending trendline, watch it crash. The three rejections at the trendline line up with BTC’s three bottoms. Don’t believe me? Go look for yourself. My “刻舟求剑” analogy is based on evidence—I’m not just making this shit up.

$BTC The current price (82,487) is forming a converging pattern highly similar to the one seen before the previous sharp rally, and it has now broken above the descending trendline. Prepare for three scenarios:

Scenario 2 (current priority): Direct breakout
The price is now above the descending trendline. The key is whether buying volume at the bottom picks up. If the price holds above the trendline and volume increases, a successful retest would favor a bullish position.

Scenario 1 (alternative): False breakout + false breakdown shakeout
If the price falls back below the descending trendline, it will likely repeat the pattern on the left: first a false upside breakout to lure in buyers, then a drop below horizontal support (around 80,800) to shake them out. Wait for the price to reclaim support before entering.

Scenario 3 (defensive threshold): False breakout followed by a genuine breakdown
Do not consider this scenario unless the price actually breaks below horizontal support at 80,800. If it breaks below on heavy volume and fails to recover, the bullish thesis is invalidated.

$BTC Carving a Mark on the Boat to Find the Sword, Episode 5. Once again above the channel's midpoint, waiting for a breakout.

$BTC Marking the Boat to Find the Sword, Episode 4: The previous 4H candle closed above the channel’s midline. At 12 o’clock, another 4H bullish candle closed, further increasing the likelihood of testing the red line. If price breaks above the red line directly, it will leave the consolidation range and enter a trending market.

$BTC Carving a Mark on the Boat to Find the Sword, Episode 3: As before, after reaching the lower boundary, it began to rebound and then broke through the channel midline. The rebound has now broken through the channel midline. If the next 4H candle closes bullish, the likelihood of a continued rebound will increase further.

$BTC Last cycle, it took 56 days after breaking out of the buy-the-dip zone and entering the dollar-cost averaging zone to pull back to the buy-the-dip zone.
This cycle, it has been 57 days since breaking out of the buy-the-dip zone and entering the dollar-cost averaging zone. It is still in the dollar-cost averaging zone.
Will you keep dollar-cost averaging, or wait for a pullback to the buy-the-dip zone before buying? Let’s discuss in the comments.

Quick survey: What's the status of your current position?

$BTC NDX/BTC has crossed below on the daily chart. In this market-wide decline, BTC is holding up better than U.S. stocks. See for yourself whether that's true and whether I'm just saying this in hindsight. When the rebound comes, BTC's rally will inevitably be stronger than that of U.S. stocks.

$BTC An update on “刻舟求剑”: basically, this is how it’s playing out. As long as the structure hasn’t broken down, keep watching. Take it one step at a time.

꧁꫞꯭The stray dog's last chance to escape꯭꫞꧂
〖The stray dog's last chance to escape〗
The stray dog's last chance to escape
The dog's last chance to escape
$BTC

Can we inscribe another version of $BTC?

$BTC What the hell do you mean, you shady bookmaker? This is exactly the same!