张不烦

Bitcoin continues to look bearish until there are signs of a stop in the decline!

The liquidity of Bitcoin is highly concentrated between $72,000 and $80,000.
Be careful of the doge operator fomo dumping.

Big Pie 4-hour technical chart update, Big Pie is approaching the resistance level of 0.31 at 7.17w again. If it wants to continue its upward trend, it must break through and stay above the resistance level of 7.17w.

Don't be jealous or anxious just because someone made hundreds of thousands of U from Binance's manipulation; in reality, 99% of retail investors won't be able to make that money.

1. Always keep an eye on the market and notice abnormal candlestick patterns.

2. Realize that price differences can be exploited.

3. Have tens of thousands of U in capital and be familiar with contract grid operations.

How many retail investors can achieve the above?

Bitcoin mining difficulty has just undergone the largest negative adjustment since China banned mining in 2021.

Good news: Historically, the bear market for BTC has only lasted 1 year

Bad news: We have only experienced 4 months of this bear market, with another 6 months to go.

Liquidity Trap

In Africa, hunters have a way to catch monkeys without using guns.
They find a heavy coconut.
Drill a small hole in it.
The size of the hole is just enough for the monkey's hand to fit inside.

Then, the hunter puts a fragrant nut inside the coconut.
They tie the coconut to a tree and hide.

The monkey comes drawn by the scent.
It reaches its hand into the hole and grabs the nut.
At this moment, the hunter jumps out.
The monkey is terrified and wants to escape.
But its hand is clenched into a fist (holding the nut).
The fist is larger than the hole, and it cannot pull it out at all.
It screams desperately and struggles.
But it refuses to let go of the nut in its hand.
If it would just open its hand, it could easily pull out and escape.

But until the moment it is caught by the hunter,
it still tightly grips that nut.

🖊️ This is not just about greed.
It is more about the "liquidity deadlock."
That nut represents the unrealized gains on your account.
The hole in the coconut represents market liquidity.
When you want to exit with all the profits (big fist),
you will find that the market simply cannot absorb it.

Trading Practice:

At the peak of a bull market.
Many people are like this monkey.
They look at the numbers on their account (nut) and feel happy.
But when risk (hunter) comes,
they always think, "I want to take away the last coin."
"If it rises a little more, I will sell."
As a result, because they cannot bear to let go (take profit),
they ultimately get harvested by the market (hunter), losing both their principal and profits.

Remember:

If you do not sell, it is just a number on your account.
Only by letting go of part of your hand can you pull it out and take the remaining money home.

Currently: The market has too many short positions and few long positions.

⚡ NOW: The market is stacked with shorts. Long exposure is thin.

btc Bitcoin is in a strong downward trend!

Next, pay attention to when wave C will end!?
#加密市场回调

Give advice to those who have never experienced a complete bear market
The bottom of a bear market is flat, and there is no need to catch the bottom.

I don't know who created this bull market top signal checklist

The family's almost gone, and the current indicators show that none of them have touched the top escape indicator

In the future, if anyone gives you any advice about top escape indicators, just blacklist them!

The ones who trade cryptocurrencies are truly the most optimistic group of people...
After the rebound, they are looking at a market that might return to 100,000 for the New Year.

Hua Zi has lost nearly 800 million this time,

not only has he lost all the profits from the last time he predicted from 1500 to 4000, but he has also lost 450 million in principal.

In the past, Hua Zi was involved in primary market large cuts, but insisted on playing in the secondary market. In the second half of last year, he made a profit on ETH, his confidence soared, and he even leveraged to go long.

Trading in the secondary market has a success probability of less than one in a thousand; making money is only temporary, and liquidation is the final outcome.

Last night's rebound was a correction after a sharp drop, and we are about to enter the mid-term of a bear market.

The strategy is simple: be patient and wait. You can buy a few to draw your attention first, and we will have to wait for the appointment of Walsh by Trump before we can reassess.

The most likely scenario is to shrink the balance sheet first and then cut interest rates, which means pulling out money before pumping it back in, experiencing a sharp drop before a sharp rise, and we still have to wait until October.

Since its establishment, the U.S. strategic Bitcoin reserves have decreased by nearly $5 billion, down 45% from the peak.

Trend Research sold $322 million worth of $ETH today.
Keep selling, selling, selling, and sell off on the rebound.

After the big drop, gold fell;
After gold fell, US stocks fell;
After US stocks fell, the big drop struck again.

No matter how you look at it, it's me who's dropping.

The more it drops, the more I want to sell,
The more I sell, the lower the price gets,
This is no longer something that technical analysis can solve,
But a typical panic death spiral.

At this stage——
Price is not determined by valuation, but by panic.

To speak a painful truth:

The "bottom" you see now is very likely not the bottom.

The real bottom is never lively,
And is never when everyone is discussing "buying the dip."

What is the current state?
• Everywhere you hear "Is this the bottom?"
• Everywhere you hear "Should I buy this dip?"
• In groups, on timelines, and video accounts, everyone is discussing the bottom.

👉 With all this excitement, how could it possibly be the bottom?
So the strategy can be summed up in one word: don't rush.
• ❌ Do not go all in
• ❌ Do not put all your money in at once
• ❌ Do not pressure yourself to place an order with "If I don't buy now, I'll miss out for a lifetime."

There are only two things you can do:

✔ Dollar-cost averaging is fine
✔ Control the pace, save enough bullets

The real bottom must look like this:
• Sideways movement
• No volatility
• No one is cursing, no one is praising
• Trading volume is low enough to make you question life
• Time stretches for several months

Drag it out until everyone loses interest,
Drag it out until you can't even be bothered to open your market app,
And then——
One day, without warning, it starts.

And rest assured,
There will definitely be many opportunities to get on board,
The bottom is never a single point; it is a broad span of time.

⸻

The last line is for those currently tormented by the market:

The market is not afraid of your slowness, but fears your impatience.
Those who survive to the next round are never the ones who bought at the lowest,
But those who didn’t play themselves out in panic.
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