洛胜金

After the gold market opened yesterday at the 4377 level, it initially fell to the 4367 level. The price action then showed strong consolidation and rallied upward. During the evening session, the daily high briefly touched the 4329 level, after which the market received pressure from the lower band of the current descending channel and consolidated. In the end, the daily candle closed at the 4416.6 level, forming a medium bullish candle with upper and lower shadows of about equal length.

From the current four-hour perspective, this uptrend has not yet been broken. Yesterday it kept pulling back along the rising trendline before climbing again, and even now the market still looks like it needs one more push. Overhead resistance lies at 4440, 4455, and 4468. Support lies at 4395, 4378, and 4365. For today’s intraday approach, maintain a plan for going long on dips, and closely watch the many data releases scheduled for the evening U.S. session.

Go long on a pullback to 4395; add to the position at 4386. Keep risk control at 4378. Targets: 4430–4445.

Opportunity is not something to wait for, but something to seize; destiny is not dictated by fate, but made by human effort. We cherish every minute, grasp every market move. Opportunities always favor the prepared. I will place trades for each of my friends and keep risk control solid.

Judging from the current four-hour chart: after hitting a low around 4310 on Friday and rebounding, the level at 4396 formed resistance and then shifted into a range after closing with consolidation. Today, the key focus is the resistance around 4400. If price breaks above this level with increased volume, then in terms of trading we will adopt a strategy of going long on a pullback. Otherwise, on the first touch of this level, our idea will be to maintain a high-level short. Pay special attention to how price behaves during the US session.

Short at 4396. Add positions at 4405. Defense at 4410. Targets: 4365–4350

The market changes by the minute—riding the trend is the way to go. When the trend comes, just act on it. Don’t try to bottom-fish against the trend; otherwise you’ll end up feeling miserable, constantly enduring pain. In trading, remember not to act impulsively. The market is ruthless toward all kinds of arrogance, so absolutely don’t “hold the bag.” Many people can probably relate: the more you resist, the more panic you feel, your floating losses keep growing bigger and bigger, and you end up eating poorly and sleeping badly—while also missing many opportunities for no reason. If you have these same worries, then why not follow the rhythm and give it a try to see if it can suddenly make things click.

Yesterday’s market moved pretty much as expected: it bottomed out around the 4019 level, then surged up to near 4060. In recent sessions, long and short positions have been switching back and forth, which has probably left many people feeling dizzy.

At the moment, the 4-hour gold chart is nearing the end of the consolidation range. The upside room above is also very limited. Price has repeatedly met resistance in the 4065–4072 area, while strong support below is in the 4018–4021 range. If price breaks below 4040–4046 during the day, then the short-term trading range will be broken. In terms of strategy, keep a bias toward going long? Actually, maintain a mindset of being positioned for selling rallies (high short). For today, focus on how the evening U.S. session will affect the market. As you get close to the non-farm payrolls, be sure to manage risk.

Sell at 4060; add to the short if it reaches 4072; keep defense at 4075; targets are 4040–4029

The market changes by the moment; follow the trend—this is the way. When the trend comes, go for it. Don’t try to catch a falling bottom against the trend, or you’ll end up feeling miserable and suffering. In trading, remember not to act on impulse. The market disciplines all who think they’re right, so you must not “hold the bag.” Many people have surely experienced this: the more you hold on, the more panicked you become, and your floating losses only keep growing. It makes it hard to eat or sleep, and you also miss countless opportunities for no reason. If you also have these troubles, why not get in sync and give it a try—see whether it can suddenly bring clarity.

Gold moved within the range of 4202–3960 last month. In the end, it closed at 4043, forming an inverted hanging bullish candle, ending four consecutive bearish sessions since March. This week is also the start of August, a super Non-Farm Payroll week. Everyone must be cautious and trade in line with the trend; any impulsive entry only increases risk.

From the current four-hour chart: the morning showed a gap-up opening at 4080, then fell under pressure. The current price is around 4065. After the earlier sharp decline, price has been hovering near the moving-average support in recent days. If the market holds the key support, it should continue upward. If price breaks below the key support at 4017, then the market will turn weaker. Resistance levels are 4086, 4105, and 4123. Support levels are 4037, 4017, and 3096. In terms of approach, keep a low-buy (buy-on-dips) mindset and focus on the release of the PMI data this evening.

Buy at 4037, add at 4028. Place a stop at 4020. Targets: 4070–4086.

Morning 4072 current order, basically meets expectations, with the low touching the 4034 support line.

Yesterday’s market moved up by a gap directly in response to weekend news and signals, jumping open higher. Today’s market has once again opened with a gap higher, although the move is not large. In the short term, bullish sentiment is still fairly concentrated. However, considering this week’s Thursday interest-rate decision, the market is still currently within a range of consolidation. Before that is announced, the market is unlikely to see any major breakout.

From the current four-hour chart: since yesterday’s rally pushed up to around 4115, the price’s successive highs have been gradually shrinking in volume. There is now a clearly defined step-like resistance structure above. In the short term, the price will likely continue probing downward. The resistance zone overhead is 4087, 4096, and 4110. Support lies at 4061, 4043, and 4021. The approach is to stay with the idea of selling high and holding short, and to watch how the evening US session data impacts the market.

Sell at the current price of 4072. Add to the short position at 4081. Place stop-loss/defense at 4088. Targets: 4043–4021

Monday morning gold gapped up and opened strongly. It surged to a high of 4096. In the short term, the bulls hold the advantage, but a strong gap-up does not necessarily mean a big rally. This week, the key focus will be Thursday’s interest rate decision.

From the current four-hour chart, although price has pushed higher, it is still under pressure around the 4100 area. After the gap-up, price has been consolidating with a mildly bullish bias, but do not chase. Near-term supports: 4082, 4065, 4043. Near-term resistances: 4096, 4110, 4127. The overall approach is to stay with “buy high, sell high” (i.e., favor selling on strength). There is no important data scheduled today; the main focus is the impact of the late U.S. session on price action.

Current price 4087: short. If it reaches 4090, add to the short. Set stop-loss at 4097. Targets: 4065–4043.

Yesterday Friday’s market action was basically as expected: it found support around 4021 and briefly met resistance near 4080. This week, price action repeatedly traded and consolidated around the 3970 area, with a reluctant but decisive rebound driven mainly by oil prices and the US stock market. Overall, this week’s market remains range-bound, consolidating within 3990–4080, with no major breakout. Next week enters the final trading session of the month. Overall, the plan should prioritize trading within the larger range, while also being prepared with a scenario for a breakout and a move into a directional trend. Do not chase rallies or panic-sell. Enter the market only when key support and resistance levels are clearly in place.

From the current four-hour chart, as long as the price has not broken through 4160, the bearish side may still rebound in the short term. Looking at it from both relative lows and absolute highs, the market is likely to continue declining in the coming period. In terms of strategy, maintain a focus on selling rallies and shorting near highs (high-short). In the short term, pay close attention to whether 4021 and 4096 break. On Monday, there is no important news catalyst; focus instead on how the US stock market during the evening session affects the market.

At the market open in the morning, boldly short around 4060–4065. If price falls, boldly go long around 4040–4035.

Yesterday the market fell from the 4170 area down to the low of 4039, a drop of nearly 2%. This basically matches my trading expectations. In the short term, the decline has not yet stabilized.

From the current 4-hour chart, the short-term line between bulls and bears is the 4040 area. Due to yesterday’s sell-off, today’s short-term trading still has a need for a corrective rebound and recovery. Overhead resistance is at 4076, 4087, and 4100. Support is at 4039, 4021, 4005. The overall approach is to stay with high (sell) setups. For the week-ending, pay close attention to the trading volume during the evening US session.

Sell short at 4086, keep a defense at 4096, targets 4040-4020-4005 #原油突破100美元

Economic data released yesterday evening came in below expectations. The market saw a strong upward move, pushing up to around 61,300. Today, major overseas holidays mean the US trading session will be closed, so the overall market is likely to see smaller intraday fluctuations in the evening.

On the four-hour timeframe, price is approaching the upper pressure range. Near-term upward momentum is limited. Key resistance levels to watch for upward moves are 62,300, 62,900, and 63,300. Key support zones on the downside are 60,600, 60,000, and 59,600. At this stage, the preferred trading idea is to look for short entries on rallies.

Short at 61,900. If price rises to 62,300, consider adding to the short position. Place a stop-loss at 62,700. Take profit in batches, targeting 61,000–60,600 #6月就业数据降温美联储加息预期

Arriving as promised, keeping up with takeoff

Yesterday was a holiday, so there were no updates. Today, we're back with more recruitment updates.

Daily updates, current balance at 42000. If you want to copy trades, I can provide a live demo.

The current market is in a wide range of upward fluctuations, with the upward space narrowing, and is facing a significant adjustment at any time. Wait for the market to pull back to 4300 before getting in. For intraday operations, just operate around the 4700-4640 range.

Exceeding expectations, the market will open low next Monday for sure.

This week's market is still in a rebound correction after a decline, currently in a rising wedge channel in the short term, with a high of 4800 and a low of 4414, showing a relatively large amplitude.

It is mainly affected by the U.S. stock market and gold being closed on Friday due to the holiday, but non-farm payrolls and unemployment rates will be released as scheduled. Considering the ADP data released on Wednesday, there will be a surge at the opening on Monday, but it will not continue. Waiting for the market to pull back around 4600-4620, long positions can be entered.