观潮BTC

CPI data released: CPI rose 3.7% year over year (forecast: 3.6%), while core CPI rose 2.6% (forecast: 2.5%). The probability of a rate hike surged from 22% to 45%, as the figures came in slightly above expectations amid rising oil prices. No need to panic excessively: the data opens the door to a rate hike in December, but the probability of an October hike remains low.
#CPI数据

#ETH falls below 2,500; watch for the strength of a short-term recovery first!
As of October 14 at 21:14, #ETH was down 1.44% over 24 hours. The 20:00 hourly candle closed near 2,476, and the current hourly candle has set another 24-hour low, suggesting short-term weakness.
I’m watching two key zones:
• Around 2,465: the current low to watch. If the price breaks below it and cannot reclaim it on a rebound, weakness may persist. A quick recovery above it would be a meaningful sign to watch for a potential bottom.
• 2,495–2,510: the area where previous hourly candles traded, which I’m watching as rebound resistance. Only if the price regains and holds this zone will I look next at 2,520–2,530.
My approach: wait for the hourly candle to close for confirmation. I won’t rush to buy the dip or chase a short. I’ll watch how the price reacts at key levels, exit promptly if I’m wrong, and take profits in stages.
$ETH #以太坊 #行情分析

After BTC’s sharp drop, first let’s see whether it can reclaim 83,000!
A quick look at Bitcoin. BTC is currently around 82,780, down about 0.54% over the past 24 hours.
The hourly candle at 16:00 today surged to 84,146 before closing back at 83,432, showing that the price failed to hold those gains. During the 20:00 hour, it fell again from around 83,900 to around 82,600. That candle hadn’t closed at the time of writing, so for now I’m watching for a weak short-term structure.
Next, I’m keeping an eye on three key levels:
① Around 82,600: This is the current 24-hour low. If the price returns here, watch whether it briefly breaks below and quickly recovers, or whether the hourly candle closes below it and the price fails to reclaim it on a rebound. The former would warrant watching for signs of a bottom; the latter would mean the weakness is continuing.
② 83,000–83,200: The first zone to watch for a rebound. Only if the price gets back above this zone and holds it on a retest would it make sense to keep watching 83,400–83,500. If the rebound gets rejected here again, it’s too early to call a turnaround.
③ 83,400–83,500: Several of today’s hourly candles opened or closed around this area, so I see it as a more important zone to watch for recovery. Only if the price regains and holds this zone would I consider looking next at the previous high area of 83,900–84,150.
My view: the short-term structure is weak, so first wait for candle closes and confirmation on a retest. A single rebound after a sharp drop isn’t enough to confirm a reversal; a brief break below the low doesn’t necessarily mean a much steeper drop is coming either.
For short-term trading, first be clear about which price level would invalidate your view, then consider the potential profit. If you’re in profit, you can scale out in stages. Leave enough room for normal price fluctuations when setting a stop-loss, and don’t let a short-term trade turn into a position you’re forced to hold.
The above is a conditional analysis based on the current price structure; these zones aren’t guaranteed to be reached. Tonight, the key is to watch how the price reacts at these levels.
$BTC #BTC走势分析