慢就是快722
想跟单(币安hh7777),点进我主页查看持仓，资金曲线等数据。盈利模式:对冲套利,价差波动，200多天的带单接近4倍收益，最大特点不惧黑天鹅，风险低且可控下实现高收益。｜对冲套利原理：例子ETH 100U开多，SOL 100U开空，同时开仓，一小时后ETH涨5%,SOL涨3%，同时平仓，一赚一亏相抵后，相当于赚2%。
BNB Holder
High-Frequency Trader
2.2 Years
656 Following
3.4K+ Followers
66 Liked
14 Shared
Posts
All
Quotes
Live
PINNED
Bitcoin Price-Volume Relationship Analysis
The core of the price-volume relationship in Bitcoin is volume validating price. Trading volume reflects the degree of fund participation and the balance between bulls and bears, with matching or diverging patterns determining the strength and sustainability of trends. Below are key analytical frameworks and practical insights.
I. Classic Price-Volume Patterns and Signals
• Price and volume both rising (price increases with increasing volume): Healthy uptrend driven by buying pressure and strong market sentiment, indicating sustainable momentum; breakout with volume expansion above previous highs/resistance levels is more reliable.
• Volume-price divergence (price rises while volume decreases): Insufficient upward momentum, with fewer buyers chasing gains; be cautious of profit-taking and potential trend reversals.
• Price and volume both falling (price decreases with increasing volume): Panic selling with heavy selling pressure, leading to likely continued declines; avoid blindly bottom-fishing.
I. Classic Price-Volume Patterns and Signals
• Price and volume both rising (price increases with increasing volume): Healthy uptrend driven by buying pressure and strong market sentiment, indicating sustainable momentum; breakout with volume expansion above previous highs/resistance levels is more reliable.
• Volume-price divergence (price rises while volume decreases): Insufficient upward momentum, with fewer buyers chasing gains; be cautious of profit-taking and potential trend reversals.
• Price and volume both falling (price decreases with increasing volume): Panic selling with heavy selling pressure, leading to likely continued declines; avoid blindly bottom-fishing.
PINNED
If you want to learn about hedging arbitrage, you can join the group, where there are random red envelopes 🧧
Four necessary conditions for hedging arbitrage
1. Opposite directions, one goes short, the other goes long
2. Both sides have equal value, for example, both open 1000U
3. Open positions simultaneously, close positions simultaneously
4. The selected varieties that make up the hedge group should have generally consistent trends, the core is to rise and fall together, but with different amplitudes. #BTC $ETH
Four necessary conditions for hedging arbitrage
1. Opposite directions, one goes short, the other goes long
2. Both sides have equal value, for example, both open 1000U
3. Open positions simultaneously, close positions simultaneously
4. The selected varieties that make up the hedge group should have generally consistent trends, the core is to rise and fall together, but with different amplitudes. #BTC $ETH
If you want to learn about hedging arbitrage, you can join the group, where there are random red envelopes 🧧
7 major advantages of hedging arbitrage
Advantage 1. It essentially will not lead to liquidation because equal positions are opened on both long and short sides.
Advantage 2. When the market is extremely fast or the direction of arbitrage is incorrect, you have enough time to operate because the directions are opposite, resulting in profit and loss.
Advantage 3. Emotional stability is a big advantage, with low risk and high stability, it basically does not let traders get too excited, as there won't be huge profits or losses in just a few minutes; the profit and loss process is smooth and slow.
Advantage 4. Reduces transaction fees, with significantly fewer stop losses compared to a one-sided position. Holding the arbitrage position for a longer time can actually lower transaction fees.
Advantage 5. Very good control over drawdowns, as long as the price difference remains unchanged, both will rise and fall together.
Advantage 6. Better judgment of direction, you only need to judge the strength of the arbitrage group, which is easier than one-sided judgment.
Advantage 7. There are opportunities to open positions regardless of whether the market rises or falls, as long as the price difference is appropriate, it is an opportunity. #DOGE $BTC
Was this time a successful bottom fishing?
7 major advantages of hedging arbitrage
Advantage 1. It essentially will not lead to liquidation because equal positions are opened on both long and short sides.
Advantage 2. When the market is extremely fast or the direction of arbitrage is incorrect, you have enough time to operate because the directions are opposite, resulting in profit and loss.
Advantage 3. Emotional stability is a big advantage, with low risk and high stability, it basically does not let traders get too excited, as there won't be huge profits or losses in just a few minutes; the profit and loss process is smooth and slow.
Advantage 4. Reduces transaction fees, with significantly fewer stop losses compared to a one-sided position. Holding the arbitrage position for a longer time can actually lower transaction fees.
Advantage 5. Very good control over drawdowns, as long as the price difference remains unchanged, both will rise and fall together.
Advantage 6. Better judgment of direction, you only need to judge the strength of the arbitrage group, which is easier than one-sided judgment.
Advantage 7. There are opportunities to open positions regardless of whether the market rises or falls, as long as the price difference is appropriate, it is an opportunity. #DOGE $BTC
Was this time a successful bottom fishing?
Quite impressive, #BTC $ETH
Cross-asset Hedging Arbitrage Trading
Those who want to learn about arbitrage hedging can join the group, where there are random red packets 🧧 (hh7777)
币安对冲套利交易群
The four essential conditions for hedging arbitrage
1. Opposite directions—one long and one short
2. Both sides should have equal value, for example, both opened with 1000U
3. Open and close positions simultaneously
4. The selected assets in the hedging pair should generally move in the same direction; the core is that they rise and fall together, but with different magnitudes.
Profit principle of hedging arbitrage:
Normally, the arbitrage pairs rise and fall together but with different magnitudes, creating a price difference that allows for profit. For example, go long on ETH with 100U and short on SOL with 100U. Both positions are opened at the same time. After one hour, ETH rises by 5%, and SOL rises by 3%. Then both positions are closed simultaneously. One gains while the other loses, effectively earning a 2% profit.
币安对冲套利交易群
The four essential conditions for hedging arbitrage
1. Opposite directions—one long and one short
2. Both sides should have equal value, for example, both opened with 1000U
3. Open and close positions simultaneously
4. The selected assets in the hedging pair should generally move in the same direction; the core is that they rise and fall together, but with different magnitudes.
Profit principle of hedging arbitrage:
Normally, the arbitrage pairs rise and fall together but with different magnitudes, creating a price difference that allows for profit. For example, go long on ETH with 100U and short on SOL with 100U. Both positions are opened at the same time. After one hour, ETH rises by 5%, and SOL rises by 3%. Then both positions are closed simultaneously. One gains while the other loses, effectively earning a 2% profit.
The Big Short
起愿
·
--
There will be no more counterfeit seasons, it is not advisable to rush into counterfeits, as you may be trapped at the mountain top at any time.
Yoyo
Quoted content has been removed
Volume and Price Analysis
Bitcoin Price-Volume Relationship Analysis
The core of the price-volume relationship in Bitcoin is volume validating price. Trading volume reflects the degree of fund participation and the balance between bulls and bears, with matching or diverging patterns determining the strength and sustainability of trends. Below are key analytical frameworks and practical insights.
I. Classic Price-Volume Patterns and Signals
• Price and volume both rising (price increases with increasing volume): Healthy uptrend driven by buying pressure and strong market sentiment, indicating sustainable momentum; breakout with volume expansion above previous highs/resistance levels is more reliable.
• Volume-price divergence (price rises while volume decreases): Insufficient upward momentum, with fewer buyers chasing gains; be cautious of profit-taking and potential trend reversals.
• Price and volume both falling (price decreases with increasing volume): Panic selling with heavy selling pressure, leading to likely continued declines; avoid blindly bottom-fishing.
I. Classic Price-Volume Patterns and Signals
• Price and volume both rising (price increases with increasing volume): Healthy uptrend driven by buying pressure and strong market sentiment, indicating sustainable momentum; breakout with volume expansion above previous highs/resistance levels is more reliable.
• Volume-price divergence (price rises while volume decreases): Insufficient upward momentum, with fewer buyers chasing gains; be cautious of profit-taking and potential trend reversals.
• Price and volume both falling (price decreases with increasing volume): Panic selling with heavy selling pressure, leading to likely continued declines; avoid blindly bottom-fishing.
🎙️ 交易经验知识交流，共创共建币安广场！
End
03 h 47 m 20 s
39.2k
47
Four Necessary Conditions for Hedge Arbitrage
If you want to learn about hedging arbitrage, you can join the group, where there are random red envelopes 🧧
Four necessary conditions for hedging arbitrage
1. Opposite directions, one goes short, the other goes long
2. Both sides have equal value, for example, both open 1000U
3. Open positions simultaneously, close positions simultaneously
4. The selected varieties that make up the hedge group should have generally consistent trends, the core is to rise and fall together, but with different amplitudes. #BTC $ETH
{spot}(BNBUSDT)
{spot}(SOLUSDT)
{spot}(DOGEUSDT)
Four necessary conditions for hedging arbitrage
1. Opposite directions, one goes short, the other goes long
2. Both sides have equal value, for example, both open 1000U
3. Open positions simultaneously, close positions simultaneously
4. The selected varieties that make up the hedge group should have generally consistent trends, the core is to rise and fall together, but with different amplitudes. #BTC $ETH
{spot}(BNBUSDT)
{spot}(SOLUSDT)
{spot}(DOGEUSDT)
Newbies should not play contracts! Let me tell you in the most straightforward logic why contracts are a 'money crusher' for beginners:
1. The margin for error is almost zero: liquidation means zero
Buying spot: You spend 10,000 yuan to buy coins, even if it drops by 50%, as long as you don’t sell, the coins are still there, and when it rises back, you haven’t lost.
Playing contracts: You opened a 20x leverage. At this point, even if you correctly predict the general direction, as long as the market fluctuates 5% in the opposite direction, your account will be liquidated.
Reason: Newbies often can't hold on to their positions and set stop-losses poorly. In the crypto world, a sudden 5% fluctuation is very common; many times you haven’t even waited to double your investment before getting 'drowned' in a small splash.
2. The 'dumbing down' of the gambler's mentality
Contracts have a strong gambling attribute. When you see the money in your account jumping multiple times due to leverage, your dopamine will be released wildly. The consequence: you will stop looking at logic and rely on intuition. If you win, you want to increase your position to win more; if you lose, you want to double down to recover. In this state, rationality is lost, and the final outcome is often 'winning small amounts ten times, losing everything once.'
3. 'Spike' risk: the harvester of the big players
The price suddenly spikes down sharply within one second, then instantly bounces back. This is called 'spike' in the industry. Such fluctuations are often deliberately created by big players to clear high-leverage contracts. Spot trading feels nothing, but contracts can be liquidated in that one second. You think you're competing against the market, but in fact, the big players are watching your cards and playing.
4. Complicated fees and overnight costs
Contracts are not just about going long or short; they also involve funding rates, opening fees, and closing fees. Reason: If your position clearly hasn’t lost, why is your money decreasing? Because under high leverage, these frequently deducted fees will eat away at your principal. If you can’t understand these complex financial rules, you are effectively working for the platform.
5. Lack of muscle memory for 'stop-loss'
The most important skill in trading contracts is 'admitting defeat'. Newbie mentality: 'What if it rebounds later?' This kind of lucky thinking is deadly. As long as you don’t set a stop-loss once, in extreme market conditions, your savings could disappear in 10 minutes.
My heartfelt suggestion: If you haven't experienced a full bull and bear cycle and haven't learned how to manage risks, don't touch contracts. If you really want to try, please use 1% of your total capital to experiment and be prepared for this money to potentially become zero at any time.
1. The margin for error is almost zero: liquidation means zero
Buying spot: You spend 10,000 yuan to buy coins, even if it drops by 50%, as long as you don’t sell, the coins are still there, and when it rises back, you haven’t lost.
Playing contracts: You opened a 20x leverage. At this point, even if you correctly predict the general direction, as long as the market fluctuates 5% in the opposite direction, your account will be liquidated.
Reason: Newbies often can't hold on to their positions and set stop-losses poorly. In the crypto world, a sudden 5% fluctuation is very common; many times you haven’t even waited to double your investment before getting 'drowned' in a small splash.
2. The 'dumbing down' of the gambler's mentality
Contracts have a strong gambling attribute. When you see the money in your account jumping multiple times due to leverage, your dopamine will be released wildly. The consequence: you will stop looking at logic and rely on intuition. If you win, you want to increase your position to win more; if you lose, you want to double down to recover. In this state, rationality is lost, and the final outcome is often 'winning small amounts ten times, losing everything once.'
3. 'Spike' risk: the harvester of the big players
The price suddenly spikes down sharply within one second, then instantly bounces back. This is called 'spike' in the industry. Such fluctuations are often deliberately created by big players to clear high-leverage contracts. Spot trading feels nothing, but contracts can be liquidated in that one second. You think you're competing against the market, but in fact, the big players are watching your cards and playing.
4. Complicated fees and overnight costs
Contracts are not just about going long or short; they also involve funding rates, opening fees, and closing fees. Reason: If your position clearly hasn’t lost, why is your money decreasing? Because under high leverage, these frequently deducted fees will eat away at your principal. If you can’t understand these complex financial rules, you are effectively working for the platform.
5. Lack of muscle memory for 'stop-loss'
The most important skill in trading contracts is 'admitting defeat'. Newbie mentality: 'What if it rebounds later?' This kind of lucky thinking is deadly. As long as you don’t set a stop-loss once, in extreme market conditions, your savings could disappear in 10 minutes.
My heartfelt suggestion: If you haven't experienced a full bull and bear cycle and haven't learned how to manage risks, don't touch contracts. If you really want to try, please use 1% of your total capital to experiment and be prepared for this money to potentially become zero at any time.
If you want to learn about hedging arbitrage, you can join the group, where there are random red envelopes 🧧
7 major advantages of hedging arbitrage
Advantage 1. It essentially will not lead to liquidation because equal positions are opened on both long and short sides.
Advantage 2. When the market is extremely fast or the direction of arbitrage is incorrect, you have enough time to operate because the directions are opposite, resulting in profit and loss.
Advantage 3. Emotional stability is a big advantage, with low risk and high stability, it basically does not let traders get too excited, as there won't be huge profits or losses in just a few minutes; the profit and loss process is smooth and slow.
Advantage 4. Reduces transaction fees, with significantly fewer stop losses compared to a one-sided position. Holding the arbitrage position for a longer time can actually lower transaction fees.
Advantage 5. Very good control over drawdowns, as long as the price difference remains unchanged, both will rise and fall together.
Advantage 6. Better judgment of direction, you only need to judge the strength of the arbitrage group, which is easier than one-sided judgment.
Advantage 7. There are opportunities to open positions regardless of whether the market rises or falls, as long as the price difference is appropriate, it is an opportunity. #DOGE $BTC
Was this time a successful bottom fishing?
7 major advantages of hedging arbitrage
Advantage 1. It essentially will not lead to liquidation because equal positions are opened on both long and short sides.
Advantage 2. When the market is extremely fast or the direction of arbitrage is incorrect, you have enough time to operate because the directions are opposite, resulting in profit and loss.
Advantage 3. Emotional stability is a big advantage, with low risk and high stability, it basically does not let traders get too excited, as there won't be huge profits or losses in just a few minutes; the profit and loss process is smooth and slow.
Advantage 4. Reduces transaction fees, with significantly fewer stop losses compared to a one-sided position. Holding the arbitrage position for a longer time can actually lower transaction fees.
Advantage 5. Very good control over drawdowns, as long as the price difference remains unchanged, both will rise and fall together.
Advantage 6. Better judgment of direction, you only need to judge the strength of the arbitrage group, which is easier than one-sided judgment.
Advantage 7. There are opportunities to open positions regardless of whether the market rises or falls, as long as the price difference is appropriate, it is an opportunity. #DOGE $BTC
Was this time a successful bottom fishing?
A smart contract is essentially a piece of 'self-executing code' written on the blockchain.
Imagine an automatic vending machine:
You put in 5 dollars, press the button, and the machine automatically dispenses a soda. This process does not require a vendor; as long as the conditions are met (money is given, button is pressed), the result will definitely occur. A smart contract is like an 'automatic vending machine' on the internet, except it handles money, equity, digital art (NFTs), etc.
Why do many people think it is 'dirty'?
When it is said to be 'dirty', it usually does not mean the code itself is dirty, but rather that this tool has been misused by bad actors. The main reasons include:
1. It is the 'perfect shell' for scams.
Bad actors can write a smart contract: 'Allow everyone to buy in, but only allow me (the creator) to sell.'
Consequences: Your money goes in but cannot come out, and you can only watch the price double without being able to sell. This is known in the community as a 'perfect shell', which legally utilizes the rules of code to 'rob'.
2. 'Backdoors' and 'privileges'
Some smart contracts appear fair, but the developer secretly leaves a 'admin button'.
Consequences: When there is enough money in the pool, the developer presses the button and directly transfers all the money to their own wallet. This is commonly referred to as a 'Rug Pull'.
3. The 'unlimited authorization' trap
When you connect your wallet to use a smart contract, a 'authorization' request pops up.
The dark side: Some dirty contracts will request 'unlimited deduction rights'. You think you are just paying 10 dollars, but in reality, you signed a 'blank check', allowing it to empty all of a certain token from your wallet at any time in the future.
4. Vulnerabilities (Bugs) become cash machines for hackers; code is written by humans, and humans make mistakes.
Issue: Once a smart contract is published, it is difficult to modify. If the code logic has vulnerabilities, hackers will exploit these to steal the money in the contract. Although the developer does not intend to scam, in the eyes of the victims, this is also considered 'dirty'.
Imagine an automatic vending machine:
You put in 5 dollars, press the button, and the machine automatically dispenses a soda. This process does not require a vendor; as long as the conditions are met (money is given, button is pressed), the result will definitely occur. A smart contract is like an 'automatic vending machine' on the internet, except it handles money, equity, digital art (NFTs), etc.
Why do many people think it is 'dirty'?
When it is said to be 'dirty', it usually does not mean the code itself is dirty, but rather that this tool has been misused by bad actors. The main reasons include:
1. It is the 'perfect shell' for scams.
Bad actors can write a smart contract: 'Allow everyone to buy in, but only allow me (the creator) to sell.'
Consequences: Your money goes in but cannot come out, and you can only watch the price double without being able to sell. This is known in the community as a 'perfect shell', which legally utilizes the rules of code to 'rob'.
2. 'Backdoors' and 'privileges'
Some smart contracts appear fair, but the developer secretly leaves a 'admin button'.
Consequences: When there is enough money in the pool, the developer presses the button and directly transfers all the money to their own wallet. This is commonly referred to as a 'Rug Pull'.
3. The 'unlimited authorization' trap
When you connect your wallet to use a smart contract, a 'authorization' request pops up.
The dark side: Some dirty contracts will request 'unlimited deduction rights'. You think you are just paying 10 dollars, but in reality, you signed a 'blank check', allowing it to empty all of a certain token from your wallet at any time in the future.
4. Vulnerabilities (Bugs) become cash machines for hackers; code is written by humans, and humans make mistakes.
Issue: Once a smart contract is published, it is difficult to modify. If the code logic has vulnerabilities, hackers will exploit these to steal the money in the contract. Although the developer does not intend to scam, in the eyes of the victims, this is also considered 'dirty'.
First of all, thank you to the customer for placing an order of 100,000 today. Thank you again for trusting me with this investment. Order search: slow is fast 227#加密市场回调 $TRX
The following points remind oneself:
1. You will never earn money beyond your understanding unless you rely on luck. Money earned in the cryptocurrency market through luck will ultimately be lost through skill. Behind every explosive increase of a hundredfold coin, there are complex logic, market manipulation, and chip distribution. If you do not understand why a coin is rising and blindly rush in, you are essentially gambling. Have a clear understanding of your own knowledge: understand whether you are good at technical analysis, fundamental research, or simply short-term speculation. If you cannot comprehend the market, the best strategy is to act less and observe more; do not mistake the market's generosity for your own ability. Only by continuously expanding the boundaries of your knowledge can you stabilize your wealth.
2. If you are trapped, you need to find a way to "unwind" rather than "wait" in place.
Many people, after being trapped, have the only tactic of "playing dead," fantasizing that one day it will rise again. The scary part is that it not only locks up your principal but also locks up your opportunity cost. In the cryptocurrency world, one day equals a year in the human world, and the market rotates very quickly. Instead of waiting in vain for a return on your investment during a downtrend, it's better to review and judge: if the market has already turned bad, cutting losses and shifting to strong sectors might allow you to recover in just a few days. The core of unwinding is "unwinding," which is a proactive strategy adjustment, not a passive resignation to fate. Remember, as long as you have cash, there will always be a chance to make a comeback.
3. The newly wealthy are just a small minority; recognizing reality is the way to survive.
What your mind is most willing to remember is the news of the "myth of thousands of times returns," which gives you an illusion of "I can do it too." But the reality is that every newly wealthy individual stands on thousands of accounts that have been liquidated. Recognizing oneself is the first lesson of entering the market. Most of us are ordinary people, without insider information, without top algorithms, and certainly without substantial capital. Rather than fantasizing about getting rich overnight or achieving financial freedom, it is better to set a practical small goal: how to survive in this high-risk market and earn returns higher than bank interest. Those who can achieve long-term stable profits in this circle do not rely on reckless gambling but on self-restraint and respect for risk.
"Knowing when to stop leads to stability, and stability allows for peace." In the cryptocurrency world, first learn not to lose money, then learn to make small profits, and finally, you may have the chance to seize that "big money" when the opportunity of the times arrives.
1. You will never earn money beyond your understanding unless you rely on luck. Money earned in the cryptocurrency market through luck will ultimately be lost through skill. Behind every explosive increase of a hundredfold coin, there are complex logic, market manipulation, and chip distribution. If you do not understand why a coin is rising and blindly rush in, you are essentially gambling. Have a clear understanding of your own knowledge: understand whether you are good at technical analysis, fundamental research, or simply short-term speculation. If you cannot comprehend the market, the best strategy is to act less and observe more; do not mistake the market's generosity for your own ability. Only by continuously expanding the boundaries of your knowledge can you stabilize your wealth.
2. If you are trapped, you need to find a way to "unwind" rather than "wait" in place.
Many people, after being trapped, have the only tactic of "playing dead," fantasizing that one day it will rise again. The scary part is that it not only locks up your principal but also locks up your opportunity cost. In the cryptocurrency world, one day equals a year in the human world, and the market rotates very quickly. Instead of waiting in vain for a return on your investment during a downtrend, it's better to review and judge: if the market has already turned bad, cutting losses and shifting to strong sectors might allow you to recover in just a few days. The core of unwinding is "unwinding," which is a proactive strategy adjustment, not a passive resignation to fate. Remember, as long as you have cash, there will always be a chance to make a comeback.
3. The newly wealthy are just a small minority; recognizing reality is the way to survive.
What your mind is most willing to remember is the news of the "myth of thousands of times returns," which gives you an illusion of "I can do it too." But the reality is that every newly wealthy individual stands on thousands of accounts that have been liquidated. Recognizing oneself is the first lesson of entering the market. Most of us are ordinary people, without insider information, without top algorithms, and certainly without substantial capital. Rather than fantasizing about getting rich overnight or achieving financial freedom, it is better to set a practical small goal: how to survive in this high-risk market and earn returns higher than bank interest. Those who can achieve long-term stable profits in this circle do not rely on reckless gambling but on self-restraint and respect for risk.
"Knowing when to stop leads to stability, and stability allows for peace." In the cryptocurrency world, first learn not to lose money, then learn to make small profits, and finally, you may have the chance to seize that "big money" when the opportunity of the times arrives.
Those who want to learn about hedging arbitrage can join the group, where there are random red envelopes 🧧
The four necessary conditions for hedging arbitrage
1. Opposite directions, one goes short and one goes long
2. The values on both sides are equal, for example, both are 1000U
3. Open positions simultaneously and close positions simultaneously
4. The selected varieties that make up the hedging group should have generally consistent trends, the core idea is to rise and fall together, but with different amplitudes. #BTC $ETH
The four necessary conditions for hedging arbitrage
1. Opposite directions, one goes short and one goes long
2. The values on both sides are equal, for example, both are 1000U
3. Open positions simultaneously and close positions simultaneously
4. The selected varieties that make up the hedging group should have generally consistent trends, the core idea is to rise and fall together, but with different amplitudes. #BTC $ETH
Why energy dominance is the highest power of the future:
1. The shift of violent logic: from 'guns' to 'computing power'
In the past, the manifestation of power was how many tanks you had; now and in the future, the manifestation of power is how strong your AI (artificial intelligence) is.
The truth: The end of AI is electricity. OpenAI's Ultraman has publicly stated that the limitations of AI in the future are not algorithms, but energy.
The reasoning: Whoever masters stable and cheap electricity (such as nuclear fusion, photovoltaic + energy storage) has infinite computing power. In the digital age, without energy means intellectual stagnation.
2. The reshaping of financial logic: from 'petrodollars' to 'electricity standard'
In the past few decades, the strength of the dollar was because oil had to be purchased with dollars. But now the world is 'de-petroliumizing'.
The truth: Future currency credit may be linked to energy. If a country can produce the world's cheapest green electricity, all global manufacturing will go there to set up factories, then that country's currency will become 'hard currency'.
The reasoning: Whoever can set the rules for 'carbon emissions' and 'green energy' is printing the currency of the 21st century.
3. The endpoint of survival logic: energy independence equals 'golden ticket'
If you look at the international situation in the past two years, you will find:
Europe almost lost its industrial base due to lack of gas (energy being choked). China is vigorously developing new energy, essentially not for environmental protection, but for energy security— as long as the sun rises, no one can cut off my factory's power supply.
The reasoning: In the 21st century, energy dominance = industrial lifeline + national security.
1. The shift of violent logic: from 'guns' to 'computing power'
In the past, the manifestation of power was how many tanks you had; now and in the future, the manifestation of power is how strong your AI (artificial intelligence) is.
The truth: The end of AI is electricity. OpenAI's Ultraman has publicly stated that the limitations of AI in the future are not algorithms, but energy.
The reasoning: Whoever masters stable and cheap electricity (such as nuclear fusion, photovoltaic + energy storage) has infinite computing power. In the digital age, without energy means intellectual stagnation.
2. The reshaping of financial logic: from 'petrodollars' to 'electricity standard'
In the past few decades, the strength of the dollar was because oil had to be purchased with dollars. But now the world is 'de-petroliumizing'.
The truth: Future currency credit may be linked to energy. If a country can produce the world's cheapest green electricity, all global manufacturing will go there to set up factories, then that country's currency will become 'hard currency'.
The reasoning: Whoever can set the rules for 'carbon emissions' and 'green energy' is printing the currency of the 21st century.
3. The endpoint of survival logic: energy independence equals 'golden ticket'
If you look at the international situation in the past two years, you will find:
Europe almost lost its industrial base due to lack of gas (energy being choked). China is vigorously developing new energy, essentially not for environmental protection, but for energy security— as long as the sun rises, no one can cut off my factory's power supply.
The reasoning: In the 21st century, energy dominance = industrial lifeline + national security.
Four Necessary Conditions for Hedge Arbitrage
1. Opposite directions, one goes short, one goes long
2. Both sides have equal value, for example, both opening 1000U
3. Open positions simultaneously, close positions simultaneously
4. The selected varieties forming the hedge group should have generally consistent trends; the core idea is to rise and fall together, but with different amplitudes.
The Profit Principle of Hedge Arbitrage:
Under normal circumstances, the arbitrage group rises and falls together, but with different amplitudes, thus creating a price gap that can be profitable. For example, ETH goes long at 100U, SOL goes short at 100U. Both open positions, and after one hour, ETH rises by 5%, SOL rises by 3%, and then close positions simultaneously, resulting in a profit for one and a loss for the other, equivalent to a profit of 2%. #BTC $ETH
{spot}(SOLUSDT)
1. Opposite directions, one goes short, one goes long
2. Both sides have equal value, for example, both opening 1000U
3. Open positions simultaneously, close positions simultaneously
4. The selected varieties forming the hedge group should have generally consistent trends; the core idea is to rise and fall together, but with different amplitudes.
The Profit Principle of Hedge Arbitrage:
Under normal circumstances, the arbitrage group rises and falls together, but with different amplitudes, thus creating a price gap that can be profitable. For example, ETH goes long at 100U, SOL goes short at 100U. Both open positions, and after one hour, ETH rises by 5%, SOL rises by 3%, and then close positions simultaneously, resulting in a profit for one and a loss for the other, equivalent to a profit of 2%. #BTC $ETH
{spot}(SOLUSDT)
🎙️ wbe3畅流，交易经验探讨！
End
04 h 20 m 16 s
44.6k
54
I also followed the order
What we need to do this year is to help these 190 brothers turn their fortunes around.
Rest assured, you can definitely take it.
Quoted content has been removed
I have caught up
分析师舒琴
·
--
Scaring the mouse on the piano, almost got G...
I was at 3180 empty, and then ETH rushed to 3220, almost got me sent away. Did you see it? In the picture, our stop-loss is just above the second resistance level at 3220; I set mine at 3227, just a little bit away from being eaten by the market maker. QAQ
So how can we avoid this situation? When I place orders, I usually set my stop-loss a little above the next resistance level, so this time it was above 3220. This way, if it breaks through two levels of resistance, I will take a loss; as long as it doesn't break through, if it pulls back once, I can turn losses into profits, or at least break even.
Now that ETH has surged quite a bit, I'm not aiming for 3110 for a take profit anymore. As shown in the picture, I started to close my positions around 3150, choosing to observe for now. Additionally, I think an opportunity for BTC's operation may be coming.
Around the previous high of Bitcoin near 94,500 is very worthwhile to short a hand. I'm not aiming for big gains, but I think the odds of catching a pullback of 1000-2000 points are quite high. Besides that, I will also open a mid to long-term short position, and this one won't have a take profit; I will hold until the Fed meeting at the end of January.
Previously, BTC had no significant fluctuations, so we didn’t pay attention to it. Now that it has risen, we are waiting for it at the upper resistance level, it won't bounce for long. Taking advantage of the recent rebound, I will rebuild my low-leverage short positions around mid-January, entering in batches. I will trade short-term and long-term as well~
I was at 3180 empty, and then ETH rushed to 3220, almost got me sent away. Did you see it? In the picture, our stop-loss is just above the second resistance level at 3220; I set mine at 3227, just a little bit away from being eaten by the market maker. QAQ
So how can we avoid this situation? When I place orders, I usually set my stop-loss a little above the next resistance level, so this time it was above 3220. This way, if it breaks through two levels of resistance, I will take a loss; as long as it doesn't break through, if it pulls back once, I can turn losses into profits, or at least break even.
Now that ETH has surged quite a bit, I'm not aiming for 3110 for a take profit anymore. As shown in the picture, I started to close my positions around 3150, choosing to observe for now. Additionally, I think an opportunity for BTC's operation may be coming.
Around the previous high of Bitcoin near 94,500 is very worthwhile to short a hand. I'm not aiming for big gains, but I think the odds of catching a pullback of 1000-2000 points are quite high. Besides that, I will also open a mid to long-term short position, and this one won't have a take profit; I will hold until the Fed meeting at the end of January.
Previously, BTC had no significant fluctuations, so we didn’t pay attention to it. Now that it has risen, we are waiting for it at the upper resistance level, it won't bounce for long. Taking advantage of the recent rebound, I will rebuild my low-leverage short positions around mid-January, entering in batches. I will trade short-term and long-term as well~
Master, guide me
Broccoli 🥦 Yao Coin Don't 🈳 It
$BROCCOLI714
$BROCCOLI714
You are absolutely right
LD老毒先生_万币侯
·
--
Bullish#合作共赢 Collaborating to make money is essentially a negative expected value endeavor.
When profits are made, everyone is naturally happy, but once losses occur, both parties inevitably feel embarrassed.
Achieving long-term stable profits is already very difficult; at least five out of ten projects will incur losses.
More importantly, making money does not mean that relationships will improve, and high returns do not equate to high satisfaction — the deeper the cooperation, the higher the emotional cost of appeasement required, ultimately leading to a negative expected value.
No one can truly laugh in the face of losses, nor can anyone have a mindset so grand that they completely ignore losses.
In fact, making money itself isn’t considered difficult; the challenge lies in not destroying each other's relationships in the process of making money. Therefore, who takes over the cooperation and who controls the funds means taking on immense pressure.
The moment you take over, you must be clear: in the world of adults, many relationships and trusts often only give you one chance to redeem it.
I hope you do well, do great, and build well in this fragile era of human emotions, creating a better future together.
—— Thanks to Mr. P for the sentiment
@Lisa莉莎 @Wanli一本万莉
When profits are made, everyone is naturally happy, but once losses occur, both parties inevitably feel embarrassed.
Achieving long-term stable profits is already very difficult; at least five out of ten projects will incur losses.
More importantly, making money does not mean that relationships will improve, and high returns do not equate to high satisfaction — the deeper the cooperation, the higher the emotional cost of appeasement required, ultimately leading to a negative expected value.
No one can truly laugh in the face of losses, nor can anyone have a mindset so grand that they completely ignore losses.
In fact, making money itself isn’t considered difficult; the challenge lies in not destroying each other's relationships in the process of making money. Therefore, who takes over the cooperation and who controls the funds means taking on immense pressure.
The moment you take over, you must be clear: in the world of adults, many relationships and trusts often only give you one chance to redeem it.
I hope you do well, do great, and build well in this fragile era of human emotions, creating a better future together.
—— Thanks to Mr. P for the sentiment
@Lisa莉莎 @Wanli一本万莉
The short position of $ETH 3100 has been trapped
To play contracts, one must understand the difference between leverage in the crypto world and real leverage.
In cryptocurrency contract trading, two types of 'leverage' are usually mentioned:
1. Nominal leverage set by the trading platform (Nominal Leverage)
• Definition: This is the maximum leverage multiple that trading platforms (such as Binance, OKEx, etc.) allow users to choose, usually displayed on the trading interface, such as 5x, 10x, 50x, 100x, or even 125x.
• Function: It determines the nominal value of the position you can theoretically open with a certain margin.
• Formula: Nominal Leverage = \frac{Nominal Value of Position}{Required Initial Margin}
• Characteristics:
• This is a fixed, preset, optional maximum multiple.
1. Nominal leverage set by the trading platform (Nominal Leverage)
• Definition: This is the maximum leverage multiple that trading platforms (such as Binance, OKEx, etc.) allow users to choose, usually displayed on the trading interface, such as 5x, 10x, 50x, 100x, or even 125x.
• Function: It determines the nominal value of the position you can theoretically open with a certain margin.
• Formula: Nominal Leverage = \frac{Nominal Value of Position}{Required Initial Margin}
• Characteristics:
• This is a fixed, preset, optional maximum multiple.
Definitely don't be afraid!
Quoted content has been removed
Login to explore more contents