林中有川

$ETH $BTC Tuesday's range-bound upward bias ～

After a weekend of narrow-range consolidation, the market in the new week gradually stabilized and rebounded. Following an early pullback test around 62716, prices turned to rebound on oscillation. As of now, the highest has already reached the 64610 area.

In terms of price structure, bullish sentiment appears strong. However, both the 1-hour and 4-hour timeframes are in a severely overbought condition. In the short term, a high-and-fade move or sideways consolidation is likely to occur to help correct indicators. The first resistance level to watch is the daily Bollinger Band upper rail and the previous high area around 65300 - 65500. If price can break through effectively, you may look toward above 66,000. The first support level to watch is the 4-hour Bollinger Band midline and the previous breakout zone around 63200 - 63800. Stronger support lies near the 24-hour low and the prior base around 62500 - 62700. For the day, short-term momentum is bullish, but a full reversal will still require more time for confirmation through consolidation.

Bitcoin trading suggestion: go long on a pullback into the 64000-63500 range, with targets watching 66000. Ethereum can follow in parallel as well. #比特币徘徊63500美元

Friday, choppy and slightly bearish—expect the continuation of the shorts~

The best part of trading isn’t how much you make, but having figured things out in advance, and the market happens to move exactly as you expected. This “unity of knowledge and action” feeling is more addictive than the numbers themselves. Judging from yesterday’s real price action, the market perfectly played out the “spike up and then retreat, pull back and then surge again” oscillation rhythm. After facing pressure in the 64,000 area, price moved downward, reaching a low around 62,800. Our first target at 63,000 was hit smoothly. The total downside room across the move was about 1,200 points, and in the short term the timing and risk-reward were both quite favorable.

On the technical levels, rebounds have been repeatedly capped by resistance from the Bollinger Band midline, while the highs keep shifting lower. Although there is some support below, overall the price focus shows a step-by-step downward trend. This is a typical pattern of resistance-style decline with a market dominated by the bears—an overall choppy, slightly bearish setup.

For the intraday rebound, keep staying with short positions. For Bitcoin, focus on shorting the 63,500–63,800 range, with the target around 62,200. Ethereum can follow the same approach $BTC #ETH #俄罗斯央行9月起限散户加密交易

Thursday, choppy oscillation cycle～

Liquidity remains relatively thin in the near term, mainly consolidating and trading within the 63,000~64,500 range. After the evening data, the price briefly rebounded in the short term. However, this is also within expectations, indicating that shorting the 64,000~64,500 range was successful. Afterwards, the market gradually slipped lower, and as of now it is once again approaching yesterday’s low.

From a technical standpoint, the key resistance to watch is around 64,500—the intraday rebound high. If this level cannot be broken effectively, a second leg lower is likely to unfold from this high. On the downside, first watch the 63,000 psychological support. Once a bearish body breaks below this area, downside room may extend further toward the 62,000 zone.

Trading strategy reference:
Bitcoin (BTC): Suggest entering a small short position on a rebound around 64,000. The short-term target is toward the 63,000 support level; if it breaks, hold for a move toward 62,000.
Ethereum (ETH): The rhythm is aligned with the broader market—simply use the same high-short idea as for BTC. $BTC #ETHETFsApproved

Wednesday, the short-term is weak as expected—play out ～

The market won’t run in only one direction forever. Sideways consolidation is both a pause in the trend and also a test of patience. Yesterday’s outlook was not very technical: any rebound should be treated as an opportunity to go short. On the downside, the key focus was the 63,300 level, which successfully matched the expected target. In terms of ETH, it’s moving in sync with the BTC rhythm as well, and the target was also set around 1,850.

In the current structure, it still leans weak. Continuing to rebound and test resistance ultimately still couldn’t stabilize above 64,000. During the day, keep looking for shorts around the resistance areas. The upper resistances are around 64,000 and 64,500. The supports are 63,000 and the low point. Only if the price breaks the low will there be a possibility for the bearish move to continue. If it doesn’t break, then it will mainly remain a choppy, back-and-forth consolidation.

Short BTC in the 64,000–64,500 range; target to watch is 63,000.
Short ETH in the 1,900–1,910 range; target to watch is 1,850.$BTC $ETH #美国7月CPI与PPI数据本周出炉

On Tuesday, the market fell into a stalemate. There is pressure overhead and support below; what’s being worn down is the price levels, and what’s being drained is people’s confidence. Looking back at yesterday’s action, the broad market surged to around the 65,300 level before turning back. Although it rebounded several times during the move, the trading volume was inadequate. In particular, after the price pulled back to the 64,500 threshold, the second attempt to move higher still lacked strength. Ultimately, the downtrend continued, with the low touching about 63,788. From an intraday perspective, the price once again got stuck in a sideways consolidation around the 64,000 level.

Structurally, on the daily chart, the range is tightening with no clear trend signals. In a larger box of 62,800–65,500, the bias is weak with oscillation below the midline. On the 4-hour chart, the price is tracking along the lower Bollinger Band; the midline is the first hurdle for any rebound. On the 1-hour chart, after a sharp drop the market is consolidating; the J line has turned upward, suggesting a technical rebound is needed, but as long as the price does not reclaim and hold above 64,371 (the midline), any rebound will only be a repair rather than a genuine reversal. With daily oscillation, 4-hour oversold conditions, and 1-hour weakness, the direction has not been chosen—however, in the short term, the bias remains weak.

For Bitcoin: short in the 64,300–64,100 range, with the target at 63,300.
For Ethereum: short in the 1,880–1,890 range, with the target at 1,850.
$BTC $ETH #特朗普要求伊朗赔偿

The essence of trading is not buying and selling, but judgment. You are always using your understanding of the present to fight against the uncertainty of the future. The winners aren’t lucky people—they’re simply the ones who make fewer mistakes.

On Monday, the narrow trading range and volatility remain limited.

For Bitcoin, in terms of the daily chart, it continues to stay within a range. What needs attention is that it may extend its rise to some extent. In the short term, watch the 65,800–66,000 area as resistance. On the smaller timeframe, the early session continues higher and breaks above the previous high, but the continuation strength isn’t strong. For support, watch around 64,700. If the pullback doesn’t break, expectations remain for further upside. In recent price action, it has been ranging with a bullish bias—rising step by step with a “look back” style, then consolidating. The short-term upward move hasn’t finished yet; just focus on pullback-and-go-long opportunities.

For Ethereum, it continues to follow the same pace as Bitcoin, maintaining a narrow range. In the short term, the pattern is bullish/range-biased. The key resistance zone is 1,940–1,950. The key support zone is 1,890–1,900. Pullbacks still favor keeping a low-buy bias and looking for upside.

In summary: For Bitcoin, the suggestion is to go long around the 64,700–65,000 range. The first targets to watch are 65,800 and 66,000; if it breaks out, continue to look toward 66,900. For Ethereum, go long around the 1,900–1,910 range. The first target is around 1,950; if it breaks out, then 1,980 is the next level. $BTC $ETH #韩国议员拟推迟加密所得税至2030

Friday: Recently, the market has been in a choppy range-bound battle. This is especially clear toward the end of the week. Price has been consolidating directly around 64,000–65,000. After pushing higher in the early hours, it gradually pulled back. In the morning, it tested support around 64,000 and then stabilized, stopping the decline and recovering. In the evening, it broke through the 65,000 level in one move. It is currently consolidating above 65,000.

Today’s intraday guidance mentioned going long near 64,000, and that target was successfully achieved in the evening.

After wind and rain, there will surely be calm and settling. The longer the settling lasts, the more it will usher in a violent storm. Everything complements everything else!

As for the current trend: On the short term, the spike higher has enabled a small-level consolidation breakout. 65,000, as the current top-to-bottom conversion zone, is also the key line that determines strength and weakness right now. If it holds steady, we can look toward the next resistance areas at 65,700 and 66,924. In the short term, after the push higher, the move has not continued into a sell-off that would create a multi-empty-to-down cycle. Moreover, price has remained above the 65,000 level. Therefore, after the buildup and consolidation, there is still an expectation of further upside. In terms of strategy, continue to follow the trend and stay bullish.

Bitcoin: Go long directly near 65,000; target 65,700–66,000.
Ethereum: Go long directly near 1,920; target around 1,950.
$BTC $ETH #美国初请失业金人数维持20万以下

$BTC morning prompt: go long around 64,000; in the evening, successfully reaches around 65,000. $ETH #美参议院8月休会前不表决加密法案

On Friday, August 7, we analyze the Bitcoin and Ethereum market conditions and provide suggestions for future trading.

Time flies and we’ve reached the end of the week. Recently, the price action has indeed been quite frustrating. Both upward and downward moves lack follow-through, forming a rather clear sideways tug-of-war within a narrow range. Especially after breaking above the 64,000 level, the past two days have shown this more distinctly. For this kind of market, we’ve always emphasized: observe more and do less. Until the trend becomes clear, focus on watching rather than acting. However, short-term trading is still relatively manageable—if you execute two words properly, you can still earn well: “timing at key levels.”

On Thursday, price stayed consolidating within the 64,000–65,000 range. In the US session, it dipped to around 64,100 again and then produced a choppy rebound to test the pressure near the 65,000 mark. After that, it pulled back once more and is currently hovering around 64,300. The tug-of-war between bulls and bears has been quite obvious. During the day, we highlighted that longs and shorts could be placed respectively around 64,000 and 65,000, and both sides achieved solid results.

Our view on the current trend:

On the daily chart, the candle closed bearish. After the earlier low was probed, price gradually rebounded, but now it is clearly facing resistance at the 65,000 level. This is the key resistance area currently, and also the line that determines whether bulls or bears are stronger. Only if price can stabilize above 65,000 can the bulls potentially open up upward space. If it continues to be suppressed, the expectation is still for pullbacks.

On the smaller timeframe, the market remains mostly range-bound. The overhead resistance is mainly concentrated at 65,000. Next, the key support below is 64,000. If during the day price cannot break the box-range consolidation structure, then it’s best to continue to trade the range and keep the mindset of consolidation. Second, keep an eye on whether price breaks through to the upside or downside. Once the breakout happens, we follow the move accordingly.

For Bitcoin in the morning: look for bullish opportunities directly around 64,000, with the target to watch the 65,000 level.
For Ethereum: look for bullish opportunities directly around 1900, with the target to watch around 1930. $BTC $ETH #美参议院8月休会前不表决加密法案

Thursday: Yesterday maintained a rising-range tug-of-war for most of the day, and so far the market still hasn’t broken out into a large trading range. Although the overall market is oscillating slightly bullish, for the bulls to achieve a continuation move, they still need to watch the strength of support around the 64,500 area. In the morning yesterday, we advised shorting around 64,500, and in the evening this also worked well, successfully reaching around 64,700. On the short term, there was also roughly 800 points of upside-to-downside room. In terms of the oscillation rhythm, the main approach is to trade at key turning points. Even if going long can still offer some room, as long as key resistance hasn’t broken through and stabilized, our thinking remains mainly to sell on rebounds. At the moment, price has already been consolidating above 64,500 on the short term. Tonight, first focus on the strength of the rebound and whether it can continue; second, focus on the depth of the pullback. For tonight’s trading plan: around 64,500, go long with the trend and look for the rebound to continue. On the upside, watch the 65,400 area. $BTC $ETH #标普纳指BTC比率升破200周均线

$BTC Wednesday, intraday is still a choppy, ranging rhythm.
Since Monday’s small double-bottom support triggered the rebound,
the overall tone at the start of the week has been slightly upward within a range.
On the daily timeframe, the market remains in a wide-ranging tug-of-war,
with no clear single-direction trend.
Resistance is currently concentrated around the 64500 area, and price is being suppressed from below.
To open up a new round of upside space,
price must break through and hold above 64500.
Before that happens, the overall downward channel has not been broken,
so a pullback is still expected.
Chasing longs blindly carries high risk.
In the morning, for short-term trades, stay near 64500 with shorts; the target to watch is 63700.

$BTC Tuesday, the choppy range keeps going without changing ～

In the evening, the rebound around the 64,000 area hesitated and met resistance. At this stage, it is gradually oscillating downward again. Around midnight, shorts are set near 64,000; we have already captured over 600 points. 600 points is not the goal—hold it steady and continue to look for follow-through.

Judging from the recent price-time pattern on the chart, the intraday rebound has not managed to break and stabilize above the 64,000 threshold. Being close to this key resistance zone is currently the main area of pressure. As long as price keeps running weakly and pressured below 64,000, the downward-leaning rhythm will not be broken. In this round of choppy decline, although the follow-through is not strong, the overall downward trend has not changed. Combined with the current market momentum and the point structure, the morning action will most likely probe the 63,000 level again and further approach the 62,000 area. For the daytime session, it’s still best to rebound and short.

In the morning, around 63,500 for the BTC can be shorted directly. The target to watch is 62,200. For Ethereum, around 1,860, short immediately; the target is around 1,820. $ETH #美伊谈判将启动

$BTC Tuesday, short-term range-bound chop

Looking back at Monday: the market continued its range-bound chop. After midnight, it bounced off the 63,000 area, and after testing Friday night’s gap-down opening level, it once again came under pressure and fell back. In the morning, it dropped from around 63,800 all the way to near 62,200. Early on, there was already a clear bearish bias for everyone to see—whether around 63,700, or around 63,100 in the afternoon, the focus was mainly on selling short. In the afternoon, it successfully delivered the previous low area near 62,200, allowing for a smooth take-profit. After probing lower, the price did not continue to break down; instead, it found double-bottom support and moved into a consolidation rebound.

At present, the market is again consolidating around the 64,000 mark. Even though intraday momentum looks weak to continue, what matters is whether the low area and the key integer level break down, which would open up expectations for further downside. However, that didn’t materialize; it continued with a choppy, ranging mood. After breaking above 63,000, price also adjusted during the session, until it successfully reached the 64,000 area.

Overall, intraday still followed the technical structure. Whether it was the morning’s trend-following short idea, or the evening long idea, the intraday setups were relatively well executed.

As for the current structure: at midnight, the key point is the 64,000 level. Only if it holds and stabilizes can there be expectations for further upside. If it faces rejection, then the rhythm remains a repeating consolidation cycle. The 64,000 area created by the evening’s push higher is also the current short-term boundary between bulls and bears. Right now, the up-move’s continuity remains weak, and the probability of a strong breakout and stabilization here is not high. Until the market is able to firmly hold above the breakout level, the short-term approach remains mainly to participate with shorts from the high side.

For Bitcoin: short in the 64,000–64,300 range; targets to watch are 63,000.
For Ethereum: short in the 1,870–1,890 range; target to watch is 1,830.#美伊谈判将启动 $ETH

$BTC Monday afternoon. The morning signal mentioned that the area around 63100 was empty; in the afternoon it has already precisely reached 62200, and in the short term the move in the market is close to 900 points.

As for the trend, intraday action continues a choppy, tug-of-war pattern. In the short term, after a pullback toward 62200, support was obtained. In the afternoon, watch the continuation and strength of the rebound. For the downside, pay attention to support around 62200 and the 62000 level. If it breaks below the recent low, it indicates that the market’s retracement pressure is continuing; if it does not, then the range-bound tussle remains.

For the intraday approach, follow the market rhythm: in the higher range, continue to short. For the big BTC, short around 62600, with the first target at 62000; if it breaks below, then look at 61000. For Ethereum, short around 1845, with a target at around 1800. $

$BTC weekend narrow-range fluctuations transition,
Sunday early morning rebound tests pressure around 63800, then oscillates and falls back,
currently trading around 63000 and battling around 63000.
On the short term, a double-top formation suppresses and causes a pullback; the upside resistance still lies at 63800 and the integer level barriers. If this upper level isn’t broken, there’s no way to open up the space above. Downside support is near 62400, and the low point is 62220.
In the morning, staying short is fine; around 63100, first look for a pullback, and watch 62200.
#特朗普取消打击伊朗待协议

$BTC High mountains host micro-dust; rivers gather into fine streams. The way of trading lies in accumulating small wins to achieve big wins, and pooling “inch-level” benefits to gain substantial profits.

On Thursday, we suggested the idea of going short in the 64700–65000 zone. Today’s market opened with a slight push higher in the morning. Although the price briefly pierced 65000 and touched 65391, it failed to hold effectively above the prior strong resistance. It then plunged back rapidly—this is the typical “bull trap” (lure higher to draw in longs). We entered shorts according to plan, precisely capturing the thousand-point move. Ethereum also aligned with our target expectations. The market never lacks opportunities; what it lacks is clear thinking and steadfast execution.

At this stage, after the spike, the market has shown a thousand-point pullback, but it has not formed a strong, one-directional downtrend rhythm—its momentum is still a bit insufficient. In the short term, it is stuck near the tail end of a triangular consolidation range. So in the afternoon, watch support around 63700, and also whether it breaks the prior low at 63234. “If it doesn’t break, it won’t stand; if it breaks, that’s the start.” For today, we continue to look for choppy back-and-forth within the range; if it breaks out, we’ll then look for continuation.

For Bitcoin: go long directly around 63900; the first target is 64700.
For Ethereum: go long directly around 1890; the first target is 1920.$ETH #美国二季度GDP增长1.5%不及预期

Patience isn’t slow; it’s about saving up “compound interest” for the future.

On Thursday evening, the broader market still showed no real improvement and kept ranging.

There was a slight push higher in the evening, but that was also within expectations.

After the rebound around 65,000, we advised shorting, and on the short term we also provided nearly 500 points of room.

In recent trading, the market has been quite repetitive and choppy, with no strong one-way momentum. For range-bound conditions, it’s relatively easier to trade. Accumulating the space within the levels we provide can be very impressive.

On the evening outlook, there’s still no major change: if the market hasn’t stabilized and rebounded above 65,000, then you can short. The target remains the same—first look at 64,000.
$BTC #美国二季度GDP增长1.5%不及预期

On Thursday night, after multiple attempts to push up during the day, the market broke through the 64,700 level in the short term. This is also a pressure point on a smaller timeframe. The key for the evening session is whether the market can break above the 65,000 resistance level and stabilize. As of now, the current short-term rebound has not yet formed a clear reversal. Only after stabilizing above 65,000 do we have expectations for a continued bullish move. Otherwise, any rebound reaching the area is still an opportunity to add to short positions. For the evening, you can go directly short around the 65,000 area, with the initial target at 64,000 first.$BTC $ETH #SpaceX延续跌势

On Thursday, throughout the day price action remained focused on fighting over 64,000, with a clear choppy back-and-forth. After the daily “shoe” (order) fell and the index dipped to test support around 63,500, it then staged a technical rebound. At present, the price is back near 64,700, probing/pressuring again.

From today’s rebound, when facing a key resistance area there was no significant reaction; the rebound strength/volume has been insufficient. The main focus today is still the contention around 64,700 and the resistance at the corresponding level. Until resistance is broken and price can hold above it, it’s still recommended to prioritize selling on rebounds.

For BTC: short in the 64,700–65,000 range; watch around 63,000.
For ETH: short in the 1,920–1,940 range; watch around 1,875.$BTC $ETH #

Friday! Our earlier judgment that the 67,000 suppression would inevitably pull back was executed directly by placing a short position near the actual price around 66,500. After two days of sideways-to-down consolidation and a channel retest, today the market probed as low as about 64,700. The 65,000 target we expected was once again hit precisely. To be honest, this profit wasn’t luck. Before the session, we had layered a three-level structure: the upper boundary of the 4-hour rising channel, the previous high at 67,255 resistance, and a triple MACD bearish divergence. We then used mechanical execution, waiting for the market to run into it.

As for the current setup: on the smaller timeframes, the second rebound after a rally-and-fade lacks momentum. 65,000, which was prior support, has turned into resistance. Around 64,000 is the lower boundary of the channel plus a horizontal support zone. If it’s broken again, the bears will fully take control. If the hourly candles cannot hold above 65,000, then any rebound is just a bear-market correction; you can continue shorting on the midnight rebound.

Bitcoin: short directly around 65,000, with a target of 64,000; if it breaks down further, look to 63,000. Ethereum—same plan, in sync.
$BTC $ETH