林川chocolate

公众号,林中有川。在币圈,赚钱是运气,不亏是本事。我把亏过的钱写成复盘,你省下的学费就是赚的。每日只讲三件事:趋势、纪律、活着 。
Occasional Trader
3.5 Years
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Posts
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Bullish
2026.10.08 BTC, ETH Market Analysis BTC: At the start of the week, price rebounded but met resistance and then fell back. Over the past two days, the market has still been following a weak pattern. During the day, it broke below again, reaching around 81,849. Currently, the short-term rebound is running near 82,200. Based on technical analysis across multiple timeframes: in the short-term cycle, the 1-hour and 4-hour charts show a clearly bearish (short) arrangement, indicating considerable downside pressure for the near term. Meanwhile, at the daily level, price is still in the confirmation phase of a pullback within a high-level consolidation and upward trend. For resistance: first resistance to watch is around 83,000 on the 1-hour chart; further resistance lies around 83,750 on the 4-hour chart, and also near the previous high at 87,300. For support: short-term support is around 81,849, i.e., the low on the 1-hour chart. Mid-term key support is near the 80,000 area, at the start of the 4-hour up-move. Although the short-term cycle is bearish, the larger daily trend has not been overturned. Price is currently pulling back on the daily chart, but daily bulls still retain some underlying advantage. Therefore, once price probes down into the core support zone, be ready at any time to switch your thinking—from bearish to bullish. For intraday reference: go long in the 81,800–81,000 range, and keep the target at 87,000. For Ethereum: follow the same approach—go long on the retracement between 2,500 and 2,450, with a target of 2,800. $BTC
2026.10.08 BTC, ETH Market Analysis

BTC: At the start of the week, price rebounded but met resistance and then fell back. Over the past two days, the market has still been following a weak pattern. During the day, it broke below again, reaching around 81,849. Currently, the short-term rebound is running near 82,200. Based on technical analysis across multiple timeframes: in the short-term cycle, the 1-hour and 4-hour charts show a clearly bearish (short) arrangement, indicating considerable downside pressure for the near term. Meanwhile, at the daily level, price is still in the confirmation phase of a pullback within a high-level consolidation and upward trend.

For resistance: first resistance to watch is around 83,000 on the 1-hour chart; further resistance lies around 83,750 on the 4-hour chart, and also near the previous high at 87,300.

For support: short-term support is around 81,849, i.e., the low on the 1-hour chart. Mid-term key support is near the 80,000 area, at the start of the 4-hour up-move. Although the short-term cycle is bearish, the larger daily trend has not been overturned. Price is currently pulling back on the daily chart, but daily bulls still retain some underlying advantage. Therefore, once price probes down into the core support zone, be ready at any time to switch your thinking—from bearish to bullish.

For intraday reference: go long in the 81,800–81,000 range, and keep the target at 87,000.

For Ethereum: follow the same approach—go long on the retracement between 2,500 and 2,450, with a target of 2,800. $BTC
Guys, for those who just joined the livestream, there are currently two teachers online offering readings. Let's see which one you prefer.$ETH $BTC #币安推出BinanceIntelligence
Guys, for those who just joined the livestream, there are currently two teachers online offering readings. Let's see which one you prefer.$ETH $BTC #币安推出BinanceIntelligence
林川chocolate
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[Replay] 🎙️ Bitcoin and Ethereum are once again testing support at the bottom—do the bulls still have a chance to fight back? Live market analysis
02 h 36 m 20 s · 92 listens
林川chocolate
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[Replay] 🎙️ Bitcoin and Ethereum are once again testing support at the bottom—do the bulls still have a chance to fight back? Live market analysis
02 h 36 m 20 s · 92 listens
林川chocolate
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[Replay] 🎙️ Bitcoin and Ethereum are once again testing support at the bottom—do the bulls still have a chance to fight back? Live market analysis
02 h 36 m 20 s · 92 listens
🎙️ Bitcoin and Ethereum are once again testing support at the bottom—do the bulls still have a chance to fight back? Live market analysis
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Bitcoin and Ethereum are about to reach our strategy levels. Bitcoin is above 83,000, and Ethereum is above 2,560, guys. As I keep saying, when we reach key levels, we have a plan: $ETH $BTC
Bitcoin and Ethereum are about to reach our strategy levels. Bitcoin is above 83,000, and Ethereum is above 2,560, guys. As I keep saying, when we reach key levels, we have a plan: $ETH $BTC
林川chocolate
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[Replay] 🎙️ Bitcoin and Ethereum plunge across the board: Do bulls still have a chance? Is this a technical correction or the start of a signal?
01 h 50 m 41 s · 181 listens
Bitcoin and Ethereum are continuing to follow the strategy from early this morning Bitcoin at 83,000; Ethereum above 2,560 If you’re stuck in a position and don’t know what to do, come join us. Get help online with an exit strategy: $BTC $ETH
Bitcoin and Ethereum are continuing to follow the strategy from early this morning
Bitcoin at 83,000; Ethereum above 2,560
If you’re stuck in a position and don’t know what to do, come join us. Get help online with an exit strategy: $BTC $ETH
林川chocolate
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[Replay] 🎙️ Bitcoin and Ethereum plunge across the board: Do bulls still have a chance? Is this a technical correction or the start of a signal?
01 h 50 m 41 s · 181 listens
🎙️ Bitcoin and Ethereum plunge across the board: Do bulls still have a chance? Is this a technical correction or the start of a signal?
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🎙️ Bitcoin and Ethereum plunge across the board: Are the bulls really out of chances, or is this one last test?
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01 h 41 m 59 s
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林川chocolate
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[Ended] 🎙️ Short-term trades nailed again—how to position yourself tonight? Live market analysis!
30 listens
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Bullish
2026.10.07 BTC and ETH Market Analysis BTC: Recently, the market has mainly been moving sideways at elevated levels, with prices seesawing. It fell again in the early morning, but there was clear buying support around 83,500. The medium-term bullish outlook remains intact, and the daily chart has just retested the rising support line. Continue to favor long positions and a bullish outlook today. Go long directly in the 83,700–83,500 range this morning, with an initial target around 87,000. If the price breaks through and holds, look toward 90,000. ETH: It fell in tandem. Technically, the daily chart is in a sideways bottoming phase within an uptrend. The 2,570–2,550 zone is near-term support; as long as a retest holds, a rebound is still expected. Maintain a bullish outlook, with a target around 2,800. $BTC
2026.10.07 BTC and ETH Market Analysis

BTC: Recently, the market has mainly been moving sideways at elevated levels, with prices seesawing. It fell again in the early morning, but there was clear buying support around 83,500. The medium-term bullish outlook remains intact, and the daily chart has just retested the rising support line. Continue to favor long positions and a bullish outlook today. Go long directly in the 83,700–83,500 range this morning, with an initial target around 87,000. If the price breaks through and holds, look toward 90,000.

ETH: It fell in tandem. Technically, the daily chart is in a sideways bottoming phase within an uptrend. The 2,570–2,550 zone is near-term support; as long as a retest holds, a rebound is still expected. Maintain a bullish outlook, with a target around 2,800. $BTC
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Bullish
2026.10.05 BTC, ETH Market Analysis BTC: After surging intraday, the price gave back some gains. The area around 87,300 has formed clear resistance, which has been tested multiple times on the 4-hour chart without a decisive breakout. On the pullback, there has been no heavy-volume sell-off; this is a typical shallow retracement in a strong market, with the market structure still holding higher lows. For the afternoon, the main approach is to buy on pullbacks and follow through on breakouts. If the price retests and holds the short-term support zone, consider a small long position around the previous low or the dynamic moving-average band. Watch closely for a high-volume breakout above 87,300 and a stable close. If confirmed, the top of the range will open up, with short-term potential toward around 90,600. Avoid chasing the price before resistance breaks; it is safer to add to positions only after a breakout retest holds. ETH: The price action has not fully decoupled from BTC, but ETH has shown less strength. It met resistance near 2,740 intraday and pulled back. The 2,700 level was briefly breached, then quickly reclaimed, suggesting some buying support and psychological significance at that level. The afternoon outlook is similarly biased to the upside. Use the platform above the 2,700 pullback low as support, and look to buy on pullbacks. If BTC lifts risk appetite, ETH may make a second attempt at the 2,748–2,768 resistance zone; a breakout would put 2,810 in sight.$BTC #比特币冲击8.7万美元遇阻回落
2026.10.05 BTC, ETH Market Analysis

BTC: After surging intraday, the price gave back some gains. The area around 87,300 has formed clear resistance, which has been tested multiple times on the 4-hour chart without a decisive breakout. On the pullback, there has been no heavy-volume sell-off; this is a typical shallow retracement in a strong market, with the market structure still holding higher lows. For the afternoon, the main approach is to buy on pullbacks and follow through on breakouts. If the price retests and holds the short-term support zone, consider a small long position around the previous low or the dynamic moving-average band. Watch closely for a high-volume breakout above 87,300 and a stable close. If confirmed, the top of the range will open up, with short-term potential toward around 90,600. Avoid chasing the price before resistance breaks; it is safer to add to positions only after a breakout retest holds.

ETH: The price action has not fully decoupled from BTC, but ETH has shown less strength. It met resistance near 2,740 intraday and pulled back. The 2,700 level was briefly breached, then quickly reclaimed, suggesting some buying support and psychological significance at that level. The afternoon outlook is similarly biased to the upside. Use the platform above the 2,700 pullback low as support, and look to buy on pullbacks. If BTC lifts risk appetite, ETH may make a second attempt at the 2,748–2,768 resistance zone; a breakout would put 2,810 in sight.$BTC #比特币冲击8.7万美元遇阻回落
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Bearish
2026.9.29 BTC, ETH, ZEC, market analysis BTC: On Monday it spiked to 85,000 and then pulled back, falling again below 83,000. The structure is relatively weak with the focus shifting downward. It is currently around 82,900. For today, the idea is to look for a sell first and then a buy. Pay close attention to the prior breakout-to-support area at 81,800. If it stabilizes, it may move into a new wave higher; if it breaks down, watch for 81,000. ETH: Following the same rhythm as BTC, it is currently around 2,661. The 24h high/low is 2,721/2,635. The resistance around 2,700–2,720 is relatively strong, so on rebounds look to sell first. In the short term, support is at 2,630. 2,560 is the line between bulls and bears—when price pulls back, watch for whether it holds this area. ZEC: It is currently around 1,375. Today it dropped 12.3%, breaking below the rising channel. Sell orders account for over 80%, indicating heavy overhead supply. Any rebound is weak, with expectations leaning toward further downside. For today, shorting rebounds—especially around 1,440—should be the main approach. Targets are 1,300 and 1,250.$BTC $ZEC $ETH #
2026.9.29 BTC, ETH, ZEC, market analysis

BTC: On Monday it spiked to 85,000 and then pulled back, falling again below 83,000. The structure is relatively weak with the focus shifting downward. It is currently around 82,900. For today, the idea is to look for a sell first and then a buy. Pay close attention to the prior breakout-to-support area at 81,800. If it stabilizes, it may move into a new wave higher; if it breaks down, watch for 81,000.

ETH: Following the same rhythm as BTC, it is currently around 2,661. The 24h high/low is 2,721/2,635. The resistance around 2,700–2,720 is relatively strong, so on rebounds look to sell first. In the short term, support is at 2,630. 2,560 is the line between bulls and bears—when price pulls back, watch for whether it holds this area.

ZEC: It is currently around 1,375. Today it dropped 12.3%, breaking below the rising channel. Sell orders account for over 80%, indicating heavy overhead supply. Any rebound is weak, with expectations leaning toward further downside. For today, shorting rebounds—especially around 1,440—should be the main approach. Targets are 1,300 and 1,250.$BTC $ZEC $ETH #
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Bullish
It’s a time of the Mid-Autumn Festival, and market volatility remains limited. Overall, price action is staying within a relatively narrow range and oscillating. After a sharp push up and subsequent pullback toward the end of the week, the market has entered a period of temporary consolidation. The overall tone leans toward a range-bound bottoming pattern, with support at lower levels showing solid performance. Within the price structure: on the daily timeframe, after the price surged and then pulled back, it has already retraced to test support around 82,800. Although it has probed lower multiple times, it failed to break down below the low and has gradually oscillated upward. This suggests that the daily-level retracement is a benign correction, and after the correction there remains an expectation of further upside. On the 4-hour timeframe, the range is mainly locked between 85,000 and 83,000, with no clear one-way downtrend observed. The chart shows a pattern of repeated bottom probing—declining and then quickly closing back up. Support beneath the lows keeps being reinforced, forming a typical “bottom-grinding” accumulation setup. At present, there are no conditions for sustained bearish momentum; the overall focus is on repeated position-sweeping and confirming the bottom. The key short-term support zone is clearly defined at 82,800–83,400. If price retraces into this area, it remains an opportunity to set up long positions. Second, if it directly breaks above the upper boundary of the range pressure and then holds, the uptrend will likely continue and open the door to new highs. Bitcoin (BTC): For intraday short-term trading, consider taking a small long position around 84,200–83,700. Add longs on a retracement into the 82,800–83,400 area. The target is 87,000; if it breaks through, you can further look toward 90,000. Ethereum (ETH): The timing is synchronized. Suggest a small long around 2,700–2,680. Add longs on a retracement to 2,650–2,630. The target is 2,830.$BTC $ETH #特朗普拒绝重开霍尔木兹海峡提议
It’s a time of the Mid-Autumn Festival, and market volatility remains limited. Overall, price action is staying within a relatively narrow range and oscillating. After a sharp push up and subsequent pullback toward the end of the week, the market has entered a period of temporary consolidation. The overall tone leans toward a range-bound bottoming pattern, with support at lower levels showing solid performance.

Within the price structure: on the daily timeframe, after the price surged and then pulled back, it has already retraced to test support around 82,800. Although it has probed lower multiple times, it failed to break down below the low and has gradually oscillated upward. This suggests that the daily-level retracement is a benign correction, and after the correction there remains an expectation of further upside. On the 4-hour timeframe, the range is mainly locked between 85,000 and 83,000, with no clear one-way downtrend observed. The chart shows a pattern of repeated bottom probing—declining and then quickly closing back up. Support beneath the lows keeps being reinforced, forming a typical “bottom-grinding” accumulation setup. At present, there are no conditions for sustained bearish momentum; the overall focus is on repeated position-sweeping and confirming the bottom.

The key short-term support zone is clearly defined at 82,800–83,400. If price retraces into this area, it remains an opportunity to set up long positions. Second, if it directly breaks above the upper boundary of the range pressure and then holds, the uptrend will likely continue and open the door to new highs.

Bitcoin (BTC): For intraday short-term trading, consider taking a small long position around 84,200–83,700. Add longs on a retracement into the 82,800–83,400 area. The target is 87,000; if it breaks through, you can further look toward 90,000.

Ethereum (ETH): The timing is synchronized. Suggest a small long around 2,700–2,680. Add longs on a retracement to 2,650–2,630. The target is 2,830.$BTC $ETH #特朗普拒绝重开霍尔木兹海峡提议
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Bearish
The short-term trend is still choppy, with just another drop that’s opened up a range of a thousand-plus points. If the breakdown can continue, the room for further downside will expand—just keep looking for the downtrend to continue. $BTC $ETH #比特币两度受阻87300美元
The short-term trend is still choppy, with just another drop that’s opened up a range of a thousand-plus points. If the breakdown can continue, the room for further downside will expand—just keep looking for the downtrend to continue. $BTC $ETH #比特币两度受阻87300美元
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Bearish
Regarding Bitcoin, yesterday’s price faced resistance around the 87,300 level and pulled back. After a clean break below the 84,000 mark, it further probed down to around 83,450, with the bearish momentum fully released. The intraday downtrend has not yet continued. Accompanied by a technical rebound for correction, price has entered a consolidation and range-bound phase in the short term, with the long and short sides’ contest becoming relatively balanced. Yesterday, we stuck to the approach of shorting on rebounds under resistance. After price broke below the key 85,000 support, we confirmed an acceleration downward signal, and we promptly entered a short position at 84,200, realizing another large profit opportunity of around a thousand points in the early hours. Ethereum’s走势 moved in close alignment with Bitcoin; although the absolute upside/downside potential is limited, the timing and our call were highly consistent. In terms of price action, after the recent pullback from a high short-term level under pressure, Bitcoin has fallen into range-bound consolidation. The rebound strength is relatively weak and has not managed to form an effective continuation. Resistance around 84,700 is acting as the near-term ceiling, while key support lies at around 83,700. Structurally, although price has turned sideways and is gradually breaking through the downward suppression trendline, the move has not been accompanied by a significant expansion in volume to break through the upper bound of the range. Overall, the market still remains in a relatively weak posture. If the 83,700 support is later broken on a closing basis, the space for bearish adjustments will open up further. Bitcoin (BTC): Short at highs in the 84,400-84,700 range; target 82800$BTC Ethereum (ETH): Short at highs in the 2,695-2,715 range; target 2600$ETH #比特币两度受阻87300美元
Regarding Bitcoin, yesterday’s price faced resistance around the 87,300 level and pulled back. After a clean break below the 84,000 mark, it further probed down to around 83,450, with the bearish momentum fully released.

The intraday downtrend has not yet continued. Accompanied by a technical rebound for correction, price has entered a consolidation and range-bound phase in the short term, with the long and short sides’ contest becoming relatively balanced. Yesterday, we stuck to the approach of shorting on rebounds under resistance. After price broke below the key 85,000 support, we confirmed an acceleration downward signal, and we promptly entered a short position at 84,200, realizing another large profit opportunity of around a thousand points in the early hours. Ethereum’s走势 moved in close alignment with Bitcoin; although the absolute upside/downside potential is limited, the timing and our call were highly consistent.

In terms of price action, after the recent pullback from a high short-term level under pressure, Bitcoin has fallen into range-bound consolidation. The rebound strength is relatively weak and has not managed to form an effective continuation. Resistance around 84,700 is acting as the near-term ceiling, while key support lies at around 83,700. Structurally, although price has turned sideways and is gradually breaking through the downward suppression trendline, the move has not been accompanied by a significant expansion in volume to break through the upper bound of the range. Overall, the market still remains in a relatively weak posture. If the 83,700 support is later broken on a closing basis, the space for bearish adjustments will open up further.

Bitcoin (BTC): Short at highs in the 84,400-84,700 range; target 82800$BTC

Ethereum (ETH): Short at highs in the 2,695-2,715 range; target 2600$ETH
#比特币两度受阻87300美元
On Thursday $BTC , after falling to around 83,450, the short-term market staged a modest rebound. It is currently trading around the 84,000 level. Yesterday’s bearish call saw the move gain nearly 1,000 points, but it has not yet reached the expected target area. For today, I will continue to look for a pullback; the first target remains 82,800.
On Thursday $BTC , after falling to around 83,450, the short-term market staged a modest rebound. It is currently trading around the 84,000 level. Yesterday’s bearish call saw the move gain nearly 1,000 points, but it has not yet reached the expected target area. For today, I will continue to look for a pullback; the first target remains 82,800.
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Bearish
There is no such thing as a bullish trend that only rises and never falls, and there is no such thing as a bearish trend that only falls and never rises. Yesterday’s intraday rebound failed to break the earlier high—this was already a signal to set up a short. Today’s second push higher also failed to continue breaking above the high, which further confirms the bearish foundation. With the 85,000 support level broken, the broader market has already formed an accelerated downswing. At this point, the key focus is the strength of support near 82,800, where the prior upward pressure is expected to turn into support. In the evening, continue to look for bearish follow-through. As for targets, first focus on around 82,800. If it can hold, there is a chance to see a new wave-shaped rebound. If it breaks, the room for further pullback will widen. For the next level, watch around 80,500. For the evening strategy: at the current price of 84,400, open a small-position short; add to the short at 85,000. Target: 82,800. For Ethereum: at the current price of 2,670, open a small-position short; add at 2,710. Target: 2,550. $BTC $ETH
There is no such thing as a bullish trend that only rises and never falls, and there is no such thing as a bearish trend that only falls and never rises. Yesterday’s intraday rebound failed to break the earlier high—this was already a signal to set up a short. Today’s second push higher also failed to continue breaking above the high, which further confirms the bearish foundation. With the 85,000 support level broken, the broader market has already formed an accelerated downswing. At this point, the key focus is the strength of support near 82,800, where the prior upward pressure is expected to turn into support. In the evening, continue to look for bearish follow-through. As for targets, first focus on around 82,800. If it can hold, there is a chance to see a new wave-shaped rebound. If it breaks, the room for further pullback will widen. For the next level, watch around 80,500.

For the evening strategy: at the current price of 84,400, open a small-position short; add to the short at 85,000. Target: 82,800.

For Ethereum: at the current price of 2,670, open a small-position short; add at 2,710. Target: 2,550.

$BTC $ETH
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