姜金-名家策略

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Then you can add me as a friend! $BTC $ETH #Bitcoin price prediction for 2026

8.12, The Rise of Gold: A Pullback Still Requires More

After gold refreshed its all-time high at the beginning of the year, it entered a six-month bear market. After two months of consolidation at lower levels, the price has recently reversed in the short term, and it has now returned to $4,400 per ounce. From the low of $3,950 to this point, gold has already delivered nearly a $500 gain. On the daily timeframe, momentum is gradually strengthening, and the pullback strength is relatively limited. Going forward, simply maintain a low-buy (long) mindset!

On Wednesday at midday, my personal view is to go long on a pullback at 4,385–4,360, with targets around 4,500–4,560. Trading isn’t about how often you enter—it’s about discipline. Endure the chaotic fluctuations, and only then can you get the final reward. $XAU
$NVDAB #美国7月CPI与PPI数据本周出炉

8.10 Gold faces resistance on the upside; the rebound should first find room to fall

After a full cycle of low-range consolidation, XAU has entered a phase of turning upward in the near term. Last week it was capped at $4,370 per ounce, and then dipped to $4,326. The daily chart opened and closed bearish, and there are signs of overbought conditions on the market. My personal expectation is that a pullback will occur in the short term.

In the early hours of Monday, my view is to short the rebound at 4340–4350, targeting around 4280–4200. $XAU
#英伟达拟向Lancium投资20亿美元

8.7 Friday, the rebound is blocked; upward movement faces pressure and continues to be flat

By week’s end, the “big coin”’s current trend clearly shows signs of weakening push upward. Over the past three consecutive trading days, it has repeatedly touched the 65,000 zone and consistently met selling pressure. Yesterday it also performed a pressure-and-pullback action at this same area, and it is currently trading around 64,300.

Yesterday’s idea was shorting the 64,800–65,200 range. When price reached the 65,000 area, it met resistance and pulled back. Overall, we are looking at roughly 900 points of downside correction. The short placed at the current price around 64,860 also achieved profit as expected. On the upside, resistance is strong, so keep shorting any rebounds during the day.

On the daily chart, there’s no need to say more about the structure—it remains unchanged with box-range consolidation. On the 4-hour chart, upward movement meets pressure and falls back. The MACD on the indicator shows bullish momentum shrinking; the histogram has returned below the zero axis. As long as price breaks down below 64,000, the downtrend should continue. For the first target below, focus on the 63,500 area; if it breaks through, then look toward daily-chart support around 62,600. If it doesn’t break, you can consider a short-term rebound.

Friday midday—my personal view: short the 64,500–65,000 rebound zone, targeting the 62,600–61,000 area. Don’t fight the market with emotions. Candlesticks will never cater to people’s insistence; following the trend is the shortcut.$BTC

65000 is always difficult to stand firm
The current price around 64860—short first
First target 63800; if it breaks, look at 62600
If it reaches 65300, take profit/cover—watch the 66000 area
$BTC
#美股收盘涨跌不一英伟达提振道指

8.6 Thursday: Upward movement hits a stopping point; rebounds are empty

Yesterday, the big coin’s daytime trend was not too significant. It continued to oscillate within a 500-point range. In the evening, it made a modest rise. After reaching 65,000, it met resistance and pulled back. It is now back around 64,500. Yesterday, when we called for a short on the rebound at 64,500–65,200, the price action did not fluctuate much. There was no effective drop, but everything stayed within expectations. In the short term, upward pressure is still there; for today, keep looking for shorts on rebounds.

On the daily chart, the box/range structure remains unchanged. In the short term, upward pressure is clearly strong. On the 4-hour chart, the price formed a sequence of consecutive bearish candles followed by a downturn. The MACD histogram shows the bullish momentum shrinking. The market has a chance to move lower. Meanwhile, on the 1-hour chart, there is already a sideways-to-downward consolidation trend. In the near term, I personally expect it to continue, dragging the 4-hour chart further lower as well. Therefore, you can continue to short the rebound today.

For Thursday afternoon, my view is to short the rebound at 648–652, with targets around 626–610. What range-trading tests is patience; what one-sided moves test is resolve. If you can endure the consolidation, you can hold onto your profits. $BTC
#美ADP7月私营就业逊预期

The cookie/“biscuit” is stopping around 64500.
From yesterday until today, it basically reached this level and then came down.
So the 64500 short we mentioned is still fine/not a problem.
For the second half of the week, we’ll continue to watch for a pullback to $BTC
#SpaceX上市后首份财报跌11%

The big pan has shown clear resistance over the past 4 hours; in the short term, attempts to rise to 64,500 have consistently failed to break through. In the afternoon, you may enter short positions from any level; the first short-term target is 62,800. If it breaks through, it will keep looking down toward the 61,000 area. $BTC
#SK海力士因回购预期上涨

On Wednesday, 8.5, a turning point—be cautious of a pullback from the high

Time has once again reached Wednesday. Since early in the week, after we provided a retracement-and-go-long approach, the market has been trending upward gradually from 62,200. After reaching a peak at around 64,500, it has started to stall. The 2,300-point rise is something we’ve delivered to everyone—those of you who entered at this stage should also see your positions increase. We are now facing the Wednesday turning-point phase. After the box structure has already delivered the move upward, it’s not advisable to chase too aggressively. In the second half of the week, the main focus should be a shorting bias from the high side.

As for the daily chart, the box-structure pattern remains unchanged. In the short term, although there has been a continuous bullish push, the 4-hour chart clearly shows signs of exhaustion: after price touched 64,500, it failed to break higher. For the short term, it faced renewed pressure again when it touched this area a second time. What the 4-hour timeframe is showing is a downward trend structure—each rebound peak is getting lower and lower. So after any short-term rebound, it’s likely to face pressure again. Therefore, there’s no need to chase long too much in the short term. Keep rebound-based shorts as the primary strategy.

For Wednesday afternoon, my personal view is to short BTC from 64,500–65,200, with targets to watch around 62,500–61,000. Don’t envy other people’s gains—every calm profit comes from countless rounds of review and restraint. $BTC

Yesterday we said buy at 62200 and target 64500-66200, but the highest only reached 64000. During the day it was also ranging; the 4-hour upward move cannot break through 64330, so it may be a bit difficult to push higher. It may come down tonight! It’s around 62400 again. $BTC
#金价维持4000美元上方

8.4 Tuesday, the market rebounds in the eyes/spot region; the large pancake (BTC) pulls back and continues long positions

At the start of the week, after a round of testing the lows, the “big pancake” made a reversal. The coin price rebounded from the 62,200 area. After reaching as high as the 64,000 region in the early morning, it met resistance and pulled back. Currently it’s trading around 63,700. Yesterday I clearly pointed out the bullish approach: for the big pancake, go long in the 62,500–62,200 range. The market’s movement perfectly matched Jiang Jin’s trading logic. Yesterday’s bullish idea directly realized a 1,800-point gain. In the short term, after a dip and rebound, going forward the short-term outlook should continue to treat this with a low-long (buy on dips) mindset.

From the current走势, the daily structure is still clearly a box/range pattern. In the short term it’s showing a dip-and-rebound move. Short-term candles are mainly alternating and consolidating with an upward bias. Yesterday’s candle closed with a relatively long lower wick, indicating strong support below. This led to a clear rebound. If the lower support is tested but not broken, the reversal can be realized. In the second half of the week, I still expect the rebound to continue.

On Tuesday afternoon, my personal view is to go long on a pullback from 63,300–62,800. Targets: around 64,500–66,200. If you understand the trend, keep your mindset steady—profit is never based on temporary luck. $BTC

8.3 Monday, the box-range is oscillating. As long as support is not broken, go long first.

August is another new month. After Bitcoin failed to break further below the 59,000 area where it bottomed in June, the market has already entered a two-month period of consolidation/sideways movement. The main resistance overhead is concentrated around 66,500. In the short term, support is near 62,000. This zone has been tested multiple times but has not been able to break down effectively. In the short term again, it has received support. In the first half of the week, priority should be to trade pullbacks for long entries.

On the daily chart, the price action shows a clearly defined box-range consolidation structure. The candlesticks do not have any obvious large bearish or large bullish candles, and there are no obvious wick-insertion situations. Most of the time it has been small bearish and small bullish movement. Currently, after touching the lower band of the daily range, a rebound has taken place. This indicates that there is still some support below. In the absence of a one-way move, you can consider bottom-rebound longs—low-entry longs can be used to participate.

On Monday morning, my personal view is to go long on a pullback in the 62,500–62,200 area. Targets are in the 64,500–66,200 region. If price moves up but does not break through, treat it as a high-side short/view from above! Mountains have their ups and downs, and the road has its twists and turns; in worldly affairs, there is never a completely smooth path. Temporary gains and losses don’t need to be dwelled upon. Stay calm, accumulate strength, and follow the way of staying true to yourself $BTC
#日本三个月减持960亿美元美债

All Air Force forces have withdrawn from the market. In just a day, the decline has already reached nearly 3,000 points. I believe that's enough for everyone to get a wave of profits. $BTC

7.31 Friday, wide-range consolidation, upward movement remains under pressure and continuation of shorts

Recently, the BTC chart has shown a wide-range consolidation structure. For now, there is no clear one-way movement. In the morning, there was a small spike up to 65,400, followed quickly by downward pullback. It is currently moving around 64,300. Yesterday, after providing a short setup in the 64,800–65,000 rebound zone, the subsequent price action largely matched expectations. Upward moves once again met with rejection. In the short term, there has already been room for a pullback of 1,000+ points. With upward pressure continuing, keep taking shorts on intraday rebounds.

From the daily perspective, a clear box/range structure is evident. Both bulls and bears have difficulty sustaining momentum. On smaller timeframes, there has also been no major one-direction move; the candles are mainly a series of choppy small bullish and bearish candles with relatively weak force. After a slight upward drift, price faces renewed rejection. Meanwhile, the 4-hour attempt to rally failed to continue. Near term, the upside is being blocked, and price is pressing below the upper rail. There are signs of a short-term pullback. Going forward, keep favoring high-to-short setups on rebounds!

For the intraday trading plan, maintain a range-trading mindset. Do not chase price or kill the trade. For shorts: place orders in the 64,800–65,200 zone, stop-loss at 66,000, and targets at 63,200–61,000. For longs: if price touches 63,000 and does not break below it, consider a light short-term long position, stop-loss at 62,500, and look back toward the 64,500 zone. Be patient and wait for opportunities at the high and low points—stay steady and focus on prudence. $BTC

7.30 Thursday, choppy consolidation; rebound continues to stay bearish

Overnight, BTC’s overall trend was steady and range-bound, with no extreme one-way movement. After dipping to around 63,200, it rebounded quickly, printing a long lower-wick candle. Supported by key support, the market stabilized and turned upward. In the morning session, price moved slightly higher and held steady above the 64,000 level. Influenced by the Fed’s rate-stability announcement, market sentiment warmed slightly, but spot capital inflows remain weak. Overall, it still maintains a range-trading consolidation pattern.

On the daily timeframe, the coin has formed a provisional bottom around 62,500. Support is solid and effective, and the downside room in the short term has been greatly compressed. The main overhead pressure zone is concentrated between 64,800 and 65,500, with the 66,000 round-number mark acting as strong resistance. As a result, the market is trapped in back-and-forth box-range oscillation in the near term. Indicators on smaller timeframes are steadily repairing; bullish and bearish momentum is relatively balanced, with no clear breakdown signal. The morning session continues with a choppy repair and consolidation走势.

For intraday trading, still follow the range strategy of selling near highs and buying near lows. If price reaches 64,800–65,000, consider a small short position, with a stop-loss at 65,600 and targets at 64,000–63,500. If it pulls back into 63,300–63,500, you can look to go long, with a stop-loss at 62,800 and a target around 64,500. In a choppy market, avoid chasing or panic-selling; wait for a confirmed directional breakout. $BTC
#参议员就Clarity法案道德条款达成妥协

7.29 BTC Market Analysis: Consolidation and Accumulation, Waiting for the Right Opportunity in the Range

Yesterday, on Tuesday, the market saw a rapid sharp drop. After BTC hit a high and met heavy resistance, it pulled back significantly, ending the short-term rebound cycle. Overnight, price action stabilized and saw a mild repair. Currently, the price is trading in a range around the 63,900 area. Overall market sentiment remains cautious. There has been no one-way continuation trend, and the market continues to exhibit the recent pattern of wide-range choppy consolidation, with a relatively balanced tug-of-war between bulls and bears.

At the daily timeframe, the box-range consolidation structure remains intact. The prior 67,000 high faced clear rejection; the price has repeatedly surged and then pulled back, with no signal of a one-way trend. The short-term downside momentum is gradually fading. The strength of the rebound repair is somewhat weak. The overhead short-term pressure zone is mainly concentrated around 64,500–64,800. Below, the key support is holding at 63,000. For the mid-term, the crucial support still hinges on the 60,000 level. As long as the level hasn’t been broken, the market’s consolidation rhythm remains unchanged.

For today, follow the swing trading approach of “go long first, then short.” On short-term pullbacks to 63,200–63,400, consider taking a small position to bet on a rebound, with a tight stop-loss at 62,900. If the rebound reaches the 64,400–64,600 zone, take partial short entries in batches. Targets are, in sequence: 62,800 and 61,200. In a choppy range market, avoid chasing highs or panic-selling lows. Wait patiently for precise entry points; maintaining discipline with the right timing is the key to steady success.

$BTC

Morning sharp drop, consolidating and repairing during the day
Until the evening, there was no effective rebound action
The BTC at the 63,000 area was shorted directly
Target the 62,000 area; if it breaks through, look further down $BTC
#美国国债收益率回落

7.28 Tuesday. During a sharp drop on the chart, price first went long and then short within the day.

After the journey ends, everything returns to its proper track. Recently, the trend of the big BTC coin ("big cake") continues to maintain a box-ranging structure. After failing to break through 67,000 in the earlier run-up, it came under renewed pressure and pulled back again. In the morning, there was a round of rapid sell-off; it is now trading in the 63,200 area. The short-term move has somewhat paused—so within the day, it’s long first and then short.

For the current market action, on the daily timeframe the structure as a whole is still in a wide-range box pattern. There hasn’t been any major one-way breakout in terms of cycle. This means we should continue to hold our previous box-range view. In the short term, any upward attempt is still met with resistance and a pullback. The bottom is still worth watching around the 60,000 level. For the short term, you can consider a short around the 64,500 area.

On Tuesday midday, my personal view is: short on the BTC rally in the 64,000–64,400 range. Targets are the 62,500–61,000 area. No matter how turbulent the road ahead may be, keep your resolve unchanged. Stay calm and steady, move forward step by step, and turn every test into confidence for growth. For every path you grit your teeth and persist through, there will eventually be blossoms and flowers waiting at the end. $BTC

Evening CPI data is released; interest rates are below the prior value, and gold, silver, and digital currencies all move higher across the board. After the rebound around 64200 in the evening, short again at $BTC #

On Monday, July 13, the Big Pie faces pressure and moves downward; any rebound still seems bearish

It’s a new week again. During the weekend’s rhythm, the Big Pie continues to operate within a box-range range. After being pressured near the end of last week at 64,700, it has undergone choppy adjustments. In the morning, it continued to weaken, and at the current moment it has moved into the 63,200 area. In the recent outlook, Jiang Jin has consistently maintained a bearish stance. As expected, the morning market moved downward. In the short term, price is being capped and pulled back after meeting resistance above. Going forward, it’s fine to continue treating the outlook with a high-short (bearish) mindset!

In terms of the daily structure, a box-range pattern is currently forming. The main resistance is still concentrated above 65,000. In the short term, multiple tests have failed to break through, and the resistance can be said to be quite strong. Right now, short-term candles are showing consecutive red declines and a pullback. Under the pressure from above, the market is trending weakly lower. The top of the box-range has been capped and resisted. Going forward, keep an eye on the strength of the pullback. Support below to watch is the 58,000 area.

For Monday morning, my personal view: on a rebound around 63,800–64,200, look to short, with targets at the 61,000–60,000 range. If price breaks through, it can continue to look down toward the 58,000 area.

No need to rush for success—growth is a slow practice. Calm down and refine yourself, quietly accumulate strength. Don’t be loud, don’t be impatient. In the days when no one is paying attention, keep taking root—one day, you will surely welcome your own bloom. $BTC