老焊闯币圈

Big piece of good news—now in Wallet transactions you can save on transaction fees! Binance has just launched a feature that also lets you bind an invitation code on the mobile app to get commission back. The official commission rate is currently 30%. After an upgrade in the future, the commission rate will be increased for everyone as soon as possible. The more people you invite, the more you’ll get back. There are already 358 people now.
Step 1: In your Wallet, tap Invite
Step 2: Tap enter invitation code, and your transaction fees will be reduced by 30%
Step 3: Enter the invitation code GL3HP5A2#币安HODLer空投FF
Follow me to learn money-saving tips and updates first, and let’s earn certain income together!

B安 launched something new yesterday: Agent ID. Give your Agentic Wallet a name ending in .ai and claim it for free—first come, first served. It uses SPACE ID's infrastructure. I don't know what this new thing is for, but I signed up anyway, just in case it comes in handy later.
I'm still holding my Bitcoin long position and my ZEC short position. I'll decide when to exit later.$BTC
#摩根大通预测比特币十年领跑

80% of people are bullish now, but I don't see it that way. This BTC rally won't get past 90,000 before it comes back down.
It's the same data as before: the external environment isn't strong enough to support a bull market. We're in a rate-hiking cycle, oil prices are rising, and US Treasury yields are rising. None of the data points to a bull market, so be careful if you're chasing the highs. Stay away from altcoins—they could still fall several times over if the market really drops.
The crypto market has entered a bear market first, then A-shares followed. US stocks are now fluctuating at high levels, and I predict they'll start heading into a bear market too. No market only goes up, and US stocks are no exception.
A sharp drop in US stocks will naturally affect crypto. ZEC rose too much earlier on; if Bitcoin crashes, it'll fall even harder. I still see it going below 1,000. Holding onto shorts opened at the highs and collecting funding fees every day feels great. #BTC $ZEC

For the past couple of days, one phrase has been all over my feed: U.S. stocks are in a “bubble bull market”—a fake bull market.
The Buffett Indicator really is frighteningly high, and a handful of AI stocks are propping up half the S&P 500. There is a bubble. But the thing is, even a bubble bull market is still a bull market 😂
Over the past 100 years, the U.S. stock market has crashed in 1929, 1987, 2000, and 2008—and hit new highs after every crash.
The A-share market’s 6,124-point peak was back in 2007. Nearly 20 years later, we’re still waiting for it to return.
One is a bubble that’s risen so much people fear it’ll burst; the other is a “value bargain” that’s been falling for 20 years.
Where would you rather put your money?
I’m not here to hype U.S. stocks. I just think before calling someone else’s market a bubble, you should probably take a look at your own account.
The A-share market: forever a value bargain #纳指道指周度差距创2002年7月来最大

The current market is just a fake bull market. The blond guy is trying to stabilize the stock market ahead of the midterm elections and win votes by encouraging investment in crypto. He doesn’t dare let the market plunge, because big capital is behind it—who would support him if they lost money?
With CPI so high, there’s at least one more rate hike ahead, and oil prices are so high. What conditions are there for a major bull market? It’s impossible. The market is already moving sideways near the highs.
Bitcoin will move sideways at this level, while altcoins will gradually decline, so don’t buy any altcoins. If you’re really itching to buy, pick up some gold or leading U.S. stocks.
After the midterm elections, U.S. stocks will plunge, and Bitcoin will follow. For now, just short every rebound. It’s only a matter of time before ZEC drops to 1,000; that would be perfectly normal. Now we just have to see whether Bitcoin can fall to around 75,000. If it does, there’ll be a sharp crash. Be patient and hold on to your short positions. $ZEC
#ZECUSDT

I've been saying for a week that it would break 1,000—it's almost here. In the short term, I see it around 800.$ZEC

Just hold on to it. The pullback has only just begun. When it was at 1,500, lots of people laughed at me, saying I was trapped and would get liquidated. Now that crowd of haters has stopped commenting because I was right and proved them wrong. I said its destiny was to fall below 1,000. It can surge several times over in the short term, but even a 1x drop from there would be a modest decline.
The funding fees are great too—earning 7u each time, nearly 30u a day. Given the external conditions, the rate-hike cycle, ongoing wars, and crude oil prices soaring like this, it’s hard for other assets to keep rising. U.S. stocks are near their highs; if there’s a major correction, everything will plunge.
Bitcoin has been rising for months. No market goes up forever. Short into rallies over the next two months: $ZEC
#BTC走势分析

Yesterday I said that below 1,000 is where it’s headed. It’s surged so high in the short term—1,600 is the all-time top. Current external conditions don’t allow for a major bull run. If Bitcoin falls, it’ll drop even harder. A fall to 800 would be perfectly normal, and 600 isn’t out of the question either. Just be patient and hold on.
U.S. Treasuries, crude oil, the rate-hike cycle—how can it go up? At most, the midterm elections might delay things a bit. Once the election is over, that’s when the huge crash will come. The decline won’t happen all at once, and there’ll be bounces along the way. Don’t get scared off—hold on to your positions.$ZEC
#比特币期权波动率创五年新低

A downturn doesn’t happen all at once; there can be rebounds along the way. Be patient and wait. Below 1,000 is your best bet. U.S. Treasury yields are so high right now, oil is rising again, and we’re in a rate-hike cycle. With things this chaotic, there’s no way prices can rise.
BTC is also consolidating near the highs at a resistance level, and U.S. stocks have been hovering near their highs. When the floodgates finally open, the drop will be sharp. Be patient and wait. None of the current conditions point to a major bull run. $ZEC
#BTC

Continue falling. Target is below 1,000. I said 1,500 was the top well over two weeks ago. A bunch of people mocked me—where are they now? Why aren’t they here to keep bashing?
The big pie will keep adjusting. If BTC drops below 80,000, then ZEC will be a critical hit. Wait patiently—if you persist, you win. If ZEC at 800 comes calling, $ZEC
#ZECUSDT

I can only say that it’s not far off from dropping below 1,000. BTC has also started to pull back. Once Bitcoin has a major correction, ZEC will basically be below 1,000. A lot of people mocked me before, saying I’d get liquidated. Turns out I didn’t—and I even made a profit.
BTC has been rising for three straight months with basically no pullback. No market goes up forever. Seeing Bitcoin start with a 7, I think that’s probably coming soon too. Just be patient. $ZEC
#BTC

Can it double in ten years?$INTCB #

Before September, I was wildly bearish. After that, I
bought BNB and OKB and became one of the market’s most committed bulls.
We can’t lose sight of the bigger picture just because we’re afraid of losing face.
If we’ve got the overall direction wrong, we should correct course in time instead of doubling down on our mistake. That only hurts others and ourselves.
There was once a major influencer who stayed bearish on Bitcoin throughout the bear market. Even two months, half a year, and a year after Bitcoin had passed its low, he was still bearish.
A lot of people started treating him as a contrarian indicator. He was extremely angry.
He was once hailed as a legend and revered as “yyds.” He couldn’t accept being questioned or mocked, and in the end, he missed the entire bull market. So our thinking needs to adapt to the market in time.
We’re at the very start of a bull market now. Looking at the long term, these are all bottom levels, so just hold on to your positions.#市场分析 $BNB

It's also getting better. For BTC, the idea is to cut losses at the original entry price; once you reach 100,000, then we’ll talk. After all, it’s a bull market. If you can hold, hold. If you get stopped out, then it’s accepted. Whether you can catch a big move depends on fate—either way, cut losses at the original entry price.
For the ZEC short position, hold it for now, because the profit is relatively large. If it stays steady and doesn’t drop, we’ll reduce the position and leave. This coin is too wild. If it weren’t a bear market, it would probably be hard for it to drop big. For now, that’s how the strategy is set. $BTC
#BTC走势分析

Really great—at the very beginning I lost 3000u; a bunch of people told me to cut (sell). In the end, I still stuck to being myself. There was too much noise. Now I’ve also made some gains—under 1000, I’ll slowly bring it back. The dip still isn’t enough.
It’s already risen five or six times from the bottom, and it’s only dropped a little so far—still a long way to go. Don’t be in a hurry. Any opportunity for a rebound is an opportunity to short. A few days ago it moved sideways near the highs for several days; basically the dog syndicate has already dumped. Just wait patiently.$ZEC

A few days ago I already said ZEC’s historical top. Back then I even lost 3000 USDT. A bunch of people told me to go to 1800 so I would cut my losses. Only I insisted on shorting again, because within a week there was high-level consolidation and distribution, so I wasn’t afraid. Now I’ve gotten the results, so I don’t know where the people who were attacking me went?

BTC is the same at this level—although many people think it’s the bull move, you still need to respect the market. During the rate-hike cycle, oil keeps rising, US Treasuries keep breaking to new highs—what kind of scheme is going on behind the scenes, I can’t really explain. Anyway, I just feel the risk is huge. Spot is not scary; leverage is dangerous. I’m really afraid that when it all breaks, it could all collapse together.

Before buying, if you buy spot—US stocks and the crypto圈—top ones by market cap are fine. I don’t touch anything else. People need to learn a lesson and remember it: #BTC走势分析 $ZEC

How many people are rural kids, and how many are gambling with money while hiding it from their families? Whether you’re rich or poor, you still have to go home and peel corn $ZEC

Just hold on, don’t be in a rush—the real crash hasn’t come yet. $ZEC
Below 1,000 is where it’s headed.

Why is it rising and still making up for the gap? I knew it—this dog stock/panic-joker crew is up to something. I knew these past few days were a major top: it was chopping sideways at the high level, distributing slowly and offloading bit by bit. I said it yesterday too, and I even added to my short position. And there were people in the comments mocking me—no more talking.
I started by shorting around 1340 and held the order without adding. Yesterday I also saw that Bitcoin (the big pie) was chopping sideways at the high level and slowly distributing, so I decisively added to my position. My average price is now around 1500. I said yesterday that we’d soon get a big profit—and today it happened. I finally made it through.
Bitcoin has been chopping sideways at the high level for more than a week. Every day it lures you with “up” moves while it’s actually distributing. I knew it was going to drop—how could it possibly go up for three months without any correction? Even in a bull market, you still need a pullback to be solid.
Now that the big pie has just started its pullback, ZEC is already “jumping off a building.” Wait until Bitcoin pulls back 20% and ZEC will drop so much you won’t recognize its mother. $ZEC
#BTC走势分析

Brothers, hold on—it's basically confirmed that this wave is the top. Today I added a bit more to my position; the average price is around 1500. I estimate we'll soon be out of the loss and making money.
Bitcoin has been rising for three straight months. After this month, there will be a big pullback. Very soon zec shorts will start taking big profits. There can't be a market that keeps going up forever without a correction—it’s impossible. The macro environment is right here.
Now is the interest-rate hike cycle; the strait issue hasn’t been resolved yet. U.S. Treasuries are hitting fresh highs one after another, and expecting it to keep rising is not realistic. This month, once BTC closes the monthly chart, it will be a brutal crash—just wait and see.#BTC走势分析 $ZEC
ZEC will soon fall to around 1000. With such a huge market cap, such a big pump, and then a long period of high-level consolidation—most of the dealer’s inventory has basically been sold off. Just hold your positions.