老焊闯币圈
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老焊闯币圈
18年入坑老韭菜，24年最高赚200万，到26年只剩10万，被迫下厂打工维持日常生活，等一个翻身日
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Step 1: Click on Invite in the wallet
Step 2: Click to enter the invitation code, and the transaction fee will be reduced by 10%
Step 3: Enter the invitation code GL3HP5A2#币安HODLer空投FF
Follow me to learn about money-saving tips and news first, and let's earn guaranteed money together!
One generation of versions, one generation of gods; this version has become Robinhood’s world.
I checked and Robinhood’s on-chain revenue recently briefly exceeded $6M in 24H, ranking first among public chains in revenue.
From DeFi to the animal kingdom, then from MEME to inscriptions, and now to the crypto-stock concept, the first wave of innovation can all take off.
Now it depends on whether any public chain can replicate Robinhood and keep up.
Let’s see what Binance does later; stay close to CZ, you never know when he’ll pump a coin. BNB has also caught up these past few days. Always believe in the number one exchange #bnb一輩子
I checked and Robinhood’s on-chain revenue recently briefly exceeded $6M in 24H, ranking first among public chains in revenue.
From DeFi to the animal kingdom, then from MEME to inscriptions, and now to the crypto-stock concept, the first wave of innovation can all take off.
Now it depends on whether any public chain can replicate Robinhood and keep up.
Let’s see what Binance does later; stay close to CZ, you never know when he’ll pump a coin. BNB has also caught up these past few days. Always believe in the number one exchange #bnb一輩子
Recently, many coins in the market have been surging, which is dazzling, but over a longer period of time many altcoins cannot stand the test of time.
In the next pullback, many coins will fall back to their original levels.
In 2027, many coins will fall back to their original levels, in 2028 many coins will fall back to their original levels, and in 2029 many coins will fall back to their original levels.
Only a few coins will keep making higher tops and higher bottoms.
To survive market cycles, real value is needed. Any coin without user support will fall back down the way it rose.
Do not chase altcoins.
Do not chase junk.
Long-term investing requires buying down-to-earth assets.
It is best to be involved in the crypto world, and even better if it is a company you use every day, such as investing in BN's platform coin.#BNB走势
In the next pullback, many coins will fall back to their original levels.
In 2027, many coins will fall back to their original levels, in 2028 many coins will fall back to their original levels, and in 2029 many coins will fall back to their original levels.
Only a few coins will keep making higher tops and higher bottoms.
To survive market cycles, real value is needed. Any coin without user support will fall back down the way it rose.
Do not chase altcoins.
Do not chase junk.
Long-term investing requires buying down-to-earth assets.
It is best to be involved in the crypto world, and even better if it is a company you use every day, such as investing in BN's platform coin.#BNB走势
Damn, wow
The more pons goes up, the more impressive it feels
The chips I got back at 0.5
Have doubled again already
The first 10x coin this year
Although I sold a lot along the way
Planning to sell half again at 1 dollar
As for the rest, when RH growth slows down, I’ll sell it all
But no rush, I估计 the Coinbase listing and Binance listing probably aren’t far off
In U.S. stocks, I currently hold Marvell, NBIS, Intel, and CRCL, all of which are profitable
Let’s keep holding
Both U.S. stocks and crypto are booming
Didn’t get on Pelosi, the stock guru’s, BE ride
Missed the biggest gain [tearful][tearful]#美国初请失业金人数升至20.6万
The more pons goes up, the more impressive it feels
The chips I got back at 0.5
Have doubled again already
The first 10x coin this year
Although I sold a lot along the way
Planning to sell half again at 1 dollar
As for the rest, when RH growth slows down, I’ll sell it all
But no rush, I估计 the Coinbase listing and Binance listing probably aren’t far off
In U.S. stocks, I currently hold Marvell, NBIS, Intel, and CRCL, all of which are profitable
Let’s keep holding
Both U.S. stocks and crypto are booming
Didn’t get on Pelosi, the stock guru’s, BE ride
Missed the biggest gain [tearful][tearful]#美国初请失业金人数升至20.6万
Earlier I bought BNB for 20% of my allocation and started dollar-cost averaging.
The plan is to keep DCAing until the end of the year and finish building the position.
Right now my position is only a little over 40%.
My average BTC price is around 78, and my average #BNB price is $701.
By the end of the year, the average price may be pulled up a bit or pulled down a bit, but that is all minor detail.
What matters is sticking to your goals for the long term.
And getting through countless "local pullbacks" and "local tops".
Investing takes time, and it also takes patience.
When you see other coins making big gains, don’t chase them.
Maybe the coins you hold will all be "local tops" this year, and only see major gains after next year, but you must resist the temptation#bnb一輩子 .
The two kings of the crypto world, zec and hype, I didn’t buy either of them, so I can only accept missing out.
The plan is to keep DCAing until the end of the year and finish building the position.
Right now my position is only a little over 40%.
My average BTC price is around 78, and my average #BNB price is $701.
By the end of the year, the average price may be pulled up a bit or pulled down a bit, but that is all minor detail.
What matters is sticking to your goals for the long term.
And getting through countless "local pullbacks" and "local tops".
Investing takes time, and it also takes patience.
When you see other coins making big gains, don’t chase them.
Maybe the coins you hold will all be "local tops" this year, and only see major gains after next year, but you must resist the temptation#bnb一輩子 .
The two kings of the crypto world, zec and hype, I didn’t buy either of them, so I can only accept missing out.
The big pie has surged back above $81,000. ETH is around 2,500, BNB around 725, HYPE around 85. A few of the coins that I’m watching are all up—the fuse is: Waller left room for no rate hike in September. For family members on board, things feel relatively comfortable. Those who missed the move and kept watching must be uncomfortable too—that’s just how it is. Who hasn’t been barely able to hold back??? And don’t ask me what to do—I missed it too.
Right now, since HOOD is getting really hot, I’ve taken some HOOD stock positions and CRCL; BNB and the big pie only make up the base position, total allocation at 30%. Does this mean the bull market is about to follow and charge with the new batch of newbies? Instead of sticking with the old guys and missing out the whole time.
Newbies aren’t afraid of risk—they’re the ones who charge, and they actually make the most in a bull market. But the old bull—too timid to charge, afraid of getting trapped once it turns, maybe that’s why they don’t.
#BTC走势分析
Right now, since HOOD is getting really hot, I’ve taken some HOOD stock positions and CRCL; BNB and the big pie only make up the base position, total allocation at 30%. Does this mean the bull market is about to follow and charge with the new batch of newbies? Instead of sticking with the old guys and missing out the whole time.
Newbies aren’t afraid of risk—they’re the ones who charge, and they actually make the most in a bull market. But the old bull—too timid to charge, afraid of getting trapped once it turns, maybe that’s why they don’t.
#BTC走势分析
The recently hot “hood” chain rug-pull/“打土狗” madness is really scorching—so hot it’s almost as prosperous as the old days of the SOL chain rug-pull/“土狗.” Did any of you participate? Anyway, I missed it. I didn’t put in a cent because I’m afraid that if I did, it would affect your ability to make money. I’ve never made money when “hunting dogs”; when others buy and it goes up several times or even dozens of times, the moment I enter, it turns into a “top at the summit,” and then I regret participating.
Now on X, there are all kinds of money-making screenshot videos—viewers who don’t participate feel itchy—but if you do participate, you lose money. So forget it—I’ll be honest and stay cautious.
BTC continues to grind around $77,000. Over the past 24 hours, it basically hasn’t moved. Sideways trading really is the norm.
Binance’s copycat/gangsta version today—it's AKE’s turn. It surged about 139% in a day, with trading volume of more than $600 million, and the funding rate was extremely negative as well. #BTC走势分析 —there are a whole bunch of people shorting; I don’t know why so many still can’t break the habit. Supposedly, the market should’ve educated them by now.
This kind of thing looks truly thrilling, but I really don’t dare to touch it.
Once you’re in, it could keep pumping—but it could also, in the next second, start burying people. It’s really a 50-50.
Now on X, there are all kinds of money-making screenshot videos—viewers who don’t participate feel itchy—but if you do participate, you lose money. So forget it—I’ll be honest and stay cautious.
BTC continues to grind around $77,000. Over the past 24 hours, it basically hasn’t moved. Sideways trading really is the norm.
Binance’s copycat/gangsta version today—it's AKE’s turn. It surged about 139% in a day, with trading volume of more than $600 million, and the funding rate was extremely negative as well. #BTC走势分析 —there are a whole bunch of people shorting; I don’t know why so many still can’t break the habit. Supposedly, the market should’ve educated them by now.
This kind of thing looks truly thrilling, but I really don’t dare to touch it.
Once you’re in, it could keep pumping—but it could also, in the next second, start burying people. It’s really a 50-50.
Someone said: you missed out on Bitcoin, so you plan to heavily allocate to BNB and OKB, not even buying Bitcoin.
#bnb一輩子 Ever since the bear market began, my articles have been laying the groundwork for OKB and BNB. I never treated Bitcoin as a priority item.
And I have said multiple times: “Even if Bitcoin drops to $40,000, I may not necessarily consider Bitcoin, and will prioritize BNB and OK.”
For a long time, I have been inclined toward OKB and BNB.
So where does the idea come from that I missed Bitcoin, then switched to buying BNB and OKB?
#bnb一輩子 Ever since the bear market began, my articles have been laying the groundwork for OKB and BNB. I never treated Bitcoin as a priority item.
And I have said multiple times: “Even if Bitcoin drops to $40,000, I may not necessarily consider Bitcoin, and will prioritize BNB and OK.”
For a long time, I have been inclined toward OKB and BNB.
So where does the idea come from that I missed Bitcoin, then switched to buying BNB and OKB?
In the last bull market, I originally planned to wait for BNB to reach $1,500 before selling. But things didn’t go as expected, and I exited completely at the $1,170 mark.
In this bear market, I was most optimistic about OKB. I thought I’d wait until OKB dropped to $65 to buy in—but OKB just kept rising.
If you don’t insist on perfection, you might have bought OKB earlier.
Trading—no matter how you do it—can’t be perfect. You can’t buy at the absolute lowest and sell at the absolute highest.
If you don’t build your position in batches, once the time comes you might not dare to go heavy. Because no matter how you enter, you won’t feel satisfied.
Sometimes overemphasizing perfection causes you to miss even more.
So now I’m not fixated on the end of the year either. I’m preparing to DCA until the end of the year to complete a heavy position, without chasing the “perfect” entry point.
DCA BNB below the yearly moving average.
Keep DCA until the end of the year, or until the price returns to the yearly moving average and trading stops.
For the average cost, it’s enough to pick a “middle value” below the yearly moving average. #BNB走势
In this bear market, I was most optimistic about OKB. I thought I’d wait until OKB dropped to $65 to buy in—but OKB just kept rising.
If you don’t insist on perfection, you might have bought OKB earlier.
Trading—no matter how you do it—can’t be perfect. You can’t buy at the absolute lowest and sell at the absolute highest.
If you don’t build your position in batches, once the time comes you might not dare to go heavy. Because no matter how you enter, you won’t feel satisfied.
Sometimes overemphasizing perfection causes you to miss even more.
So now I’m not fixated on the end of the year either. I’m preparing to DCA until the end of the year to complete a heavy position, without chasing the “perfect” entry point.
DCA BNB below the yearly moving average.
Keep DCA until the end of the year, or until the price returns to the yearly moving average and trading stops.
For the average cost, it’s enough to pick a “middle value” below the yearly moving average. #BNB走势
I predict that Bitcoin’s rebound will not exceed the previous high of $82,000.
If this rebound surpasses $82,000, then my prediction is wrong and the earlier forecasts no longer hold.
For example, if Bitcoin falls to $44,000–$37,000.
If Bitcoin exceeds the previous high of $82,000, then the only option is to change strategy and enter on the next pullback at the weekly level.
Once Bitcoin’s rebound goes beyond the previous high.
The four-year cycle structure has changed.
So it’s no longer a case of waiting to enter by the end of the year.
Nor is it waiting to enter between $44,000 and $37,000.
I accept the reality of missing out on this rebound. But whether the market later breaks through $82,000 or not, this trading cycle has nothing to do with me.
Having missed the opportunity, you shouldn’t participate in this cycle.
No matter whether the prediction is correct or not?
You must wait for the next weekly “golden dip” to consider.
Possibly in 2 months, possibly after half a year.
It could also be next year before entering.#BTC走势分析
If this rebound surpasses $82,000, then my prediction is wrong and the earlier forecasts no longer hold.
For example, if Bitcoin falls to $44,000–$37,000.
If Bitcoin exceeds the previous high of $82,000, then the only option is to change strategy and enter on the next pullback at the weekly level.
Once Bitcoin’s rebound goes beyond the previous high.
The four-year cycle structure has changed.
So it’s no longer a case of waiting to enter by the end of the year.
Nor is it waiting to enter between $44,000 and $37,000.
I accept the reality of missing out on this rebound. But whether the market later breaks through $82,000 or not, this trading cycle has nothing to do with me.
Having missed the opportunity, you shouldn’t participate in this cycle.
No matter whether the prediction is correct or not?
You must wait for the next weekly “golden dip” to consider.
Possibly in 2 months, possibly after half a year.
It could also be next year before entering.#BTC走势分析
At the peak of the next bull market, $130,000~$140,000 for Bitcoin would be pretty good.
In three years, a little more than 1x.
Tasteless to eat, and not a pity to abandon.
There’s still a long time ahead—after a short-term spike, the market will fall into a long period of consolidation, with an asset that only rises about 1x over three years.
An extremely long consolidation period will wear down many people’s confidence.
To verify that the “benefits” are still there, I’ll stick to my original target and just wait for Bitcoin to drop to $37,000~$44,000.
Otherwise, you might as well give up on Bitcoin…
Everyone thinks the bull is here, and you can’t get the car up anymore—actually, it’s a trap. Once you’ve all rushed in, a single big bearish candle comes crashing down. Chasing after it is impossible, #BTC走势分析
In three years, a little more than 1x.
Tasteless to eat, and not a pity to abandon.
There’s still a long time ahead—after a short-term spike, the market will fall into a long period of consolidation, with an asset that only rises about 1x over three years.
An extremely long consolidation period will wear down many people’s confidence.
To verify that the “benefits” are still there, I’ll stick to my original target and just wait for Bitcoin to drop to $37,000~$44,000.
Otherwise, you might as well give up on Bitcoin…
Everyone thinks the bull is here, and you can’t get the car up anymore—actually, it’s a trap. Once you’ve all rushed in, a single big bearish candle comes crashing down. Chasing after it is impossible, #BTC走势分析
A piece of good news has pushed Bitcoin up to $73,000, with Bitcoin rising more than 12% within 24 hours.
Many altcoins have also seen gains of 10%~20%.
However, this is only a temporary fluctuation—most of it is a brief spike in price action.
After it rises, it will likely fall even lower.
The viewpoint remains unchanged.
Most cryptocurrencies, including Bitcoin, are still in a bear market.
What’s happening now is only a bear-market rebound. I had also already mentally prepared for Bitcoin to rebound to over $70,000.
“Allow Bitcoin to rebound to over $70,000 before falling again.”
A bear market won’t drop straight to the bottom at once; rebounds are normal, 126,000→97,000→82,000→and then even lower after this rebound.
As for the news backdrop.
It might affect the trend for a few days or maybe one or two weeks.
After that, the big picture will still move the way it’s going to move…#BTC走势分析
Many altcoins have also seen gains of 10%~20%.
However, this is only a temporary fluctuation—most of it is a brief spike in price action.
After it rises, it will likely fall even lower.
The viewpoint remains unchanged.
Most cryptocurrencies, including Bitcoin, are still in a bear market.
What’s happening now is only a bear-market rebound. I had also already mentally prepared for Bitcoin to rebound to over $70,000.
“Allow Bitcoin to rebound to over $70,000 before falling again.”
A bear market won’t drop straight to the bottom at once; rebounds are normal, 126,000→97,000→82,000→and then even lower after this rebound.
As for the news backdrop.
It might affect the trend for a few days or maybe one or two weeks.
After that, the big picture will still move the way it’s going to move…#BTC走势分析
Bitcoin hasn’t fallen to the bottom yet, and the bear market hasn’t ended. So bnb has risen a bit these days—that’s just a rebound. After that, it will also be a correction; it can’t surge straight up
Only after Bitcoin drops to the proper level will bnb break out unexpectedly, rising ahead of Bitcoin
My current view remains as follows:
In a normal bnb correction, I don’t expect it to drop very deeply. More small fluctuations, stay steady— it won’t crash. Only if Bitcoin experiences a major crash—down 30%~40%—will bnb fall back to the previous low. Then if Bitcoin has a 20% retracement, that would be the opportunity to buy. Right now, besides trusting Binance, what else can you trust?#BTC走势分析
Only after Bitcoin drops to the proper level will bnb break out unexpectedly, rising ahead of Bitcoin
My current view remains as follows:
In a normal bnb correction, I don’t expect it to drop very deeply. More small fluctuations, stay steady— it won’t crash. Only if Bitcoin experiences a major crash—down 30%~40%—will bnb fall back to the previous low. Then if Bitcoin has a 20% retracement, that would be the opportunity to buy. Right now, besides trusting Binance, what else can you trust?#BTC走势分析
BTC worth over $60,000 doesn’t really hold much appeal for investors—only after it rises to 130,000 would it bring a 100% profit.
The upside potential likely isn’t even as good as many large-cap stocks in the US market.
In the context of an era where buying crypto is more convenient, Bitcoin is no longer the only option, and it’s not necessarily the best one either.
Either another wave of a big drop—consider it again only if Bitcoin falls to 37,000~44,000.
Or simply give up on Bitcoin.
There are many US stocks with better value than BTC, so there’s no need to obsessively buy it—#BTC走势分析
The upside potential likely isn’t even as good as many large-cap stocks in the US market.
In the context of an era where buying crypto is more convenient, Bitcoin is no longer the only option, and it’s not necessarily the best one either.
Either another wave of a big drop—consider it again only if Bitcoin falls to 37,000~44,000.
Or simply give up on Bitcoin.
There are many US stocks with better value than BTC, so there’s no need to obsessively buy it—#BTC走势分析
The bearish market cycle is almost over too.
I'm going to enter during the next wave of crash.
When the market sees another broad sell-off, if there's an opportunity, I will prioritize OKB as the target coin.
Candidate ①: Bitcoin, BNB, Apple, Tesla. Candidate ②: Nasdaq, COIN, GT, CRCL.
None of the above are assets you absolutely must buy.
It's only about relative choices after a crash.
For example, if this year OKB outperforms the broader market, that doesn't mean it will outperform next year. If Bitcoin can outperform the broader market in 2027, that doesn't mean it will in 2028 or 2029.
Everything is cyclical.
After those big rallies, even if the price pulls back, it still isn't low enough. If the risk-reward ratio isn't great, you can temporarily not buy—no one is forcing you to buy!
After a major-level crash, then filter and compare prices before considering.
Personal expectations by year-end:
1. Big BTC starts the final leg of new lows, falling by 30%~40%, creating even lower lows, with a drawdown close to historical figures. 2. OKB is affected by the BTC crash, falling by 20%~30%, but the bottom is still gradually rising.
After BTC drops, recovery is slower; after OKB drops, recovery is faster. #BTC走势分析
I'm going to enter during the next wave of crash.
When the market sees another broad sell-off, if there's an opportunity, I will prioritize OKB as the target coin.
Candidate ①: Bitcoin, BNB, Apple, Tesla. Candidate ②: Nasdaq, COIN, GT, CRCL.
None of the above are assets you absolutely must buy.
It's only about relative choices after a crash.
For example, if this year OKB outperforms the broader market, that doesn't mean it will outperform next year. If Bitcoin can outperform the broader market in 2027, that doesn't mean it will in 2028 or 2029.
Everything is cyclical.
After those big rallies, even if the price pulls back, it still isn't low enough. If the risk-reward ratio isn't great, you can temporarily not buy—no one is forcing you to buy!
After a major-level crash, then filter and compare prices before considering.
Personal expectations by year-end:
1. Big BTC starts the final leg of new lows, falling by 30%~40%, creating even lower lows, with a drawdown close to historical figures. 2. OKB is affected by the BTC crash, falling by 20%~30%, but the bottom is still gradually rising.
After BTC drops, recovery is slower; after OKB drops, recovery is faster. #BTC走势分析
Bitcoin worth more than $60,000—don’t say that now; even by the end of the year, at this price it’s basically impossible to jump in.
In a bull run lasting one cycle at this price level for 2–3 years, you can only make 1–2x.
Pick any random U.S.-stock token and its upside is higher than Bitcoin’s. So why get in?
2–3 years to earn 1–2x—might as well be buying the Nasdaq?
Also, if by year-end Bitcoin drops to $44,000–37,000, I would prioritize OKB or BNB.
The shift to stock tokens drains liquidity from the market, but it only affects altcoins.
No matter how many people trade stock tokens now or in the future— even if half the trading volume moves to stock tokens—crypto trading volume shrinks.
Platforms will always be able to grab a share of the profits.
If there really isn’t a chance to buy BNB or OKB, then I might consider Bitcoin as the secondary option—especially not Bitcoin at more than $60,000 now.
Only when it climbs back to the previous high of $126,000 would you get a 100% profit.
Honestly, I’m really not interested~#BTC走势分析
In a bull run lasting one cycle at this price level for 2–3 years, you can only make 1–2x.
Pick any random U.S.-stock token and its upside is higher than Bitcoin’s. So why get in?
2–3 years to earn 1–2x—might as well be buying the Nasdaq?
Also, if by year-end Bitcoin drops to $44,000–37,000, I would prioritize OKB or BNB.
The shift to stock tokens drains liquidity from the market, but it only affects altcoins.
No matter how many people trade stock tokens now or in the future— even if half the trading volume moves to stock tokens—crypto trading volume shrinks.
Platforms will always be able to grab a share of the profits.
If there really isn’t a chance to buy BNB or OKB, then I might consider Bitcoin as the secondary option—especially not Bitcoin at more than $60,000 now.
Only when it climbs back to the previous high of $126,000 would you get a 100% profit.
Honestly, I’m really not interested~#BTC走势分析
Even if you’re bearish on Bitcoin, you still believe that OKB will lead first in hitting the bottom.
$60 → $65 → and the next pullback bottom is lifted higher.
BNB’s decline is also quite limited.
In the second half of the bear market, Bitcoin could still fall another 30%~40%, and it may be a bit hard for BNB to drop another 20%.
Buying OKB and BNB is only separated by one more broad market sell-off.
When the time comes, when either OKB or BNB drops 20%, most likely you’ll choose which one first—or choose both.
$BNB #BTC走势分析 Whether it’s BN with quarterly burns and stock-token revenue, or OKB whose market cap is undervalued, it’s not surprising if they outperform Bitcoin in the second half of the bear market and the early stage of the bull market.
$60 → $65 → and the next pullback bottom is lifted higher.
BNB’s decline is also quite limited.
In the second half of the bear market, Bitcoin could still fall another 30%~40%, and it may be a bit hard for BNB to drop another 20%.
Buying OKB and BNB is only separated by one more broad market sell-off.
When the time comes, when either OKB or BNB drops 20%, most likely you’ll choose which one first—or choose both.
$BNB #BTC走势分析 Whether it’s BN with quarterly burns and stock-token revenue, or OKB whose market cap is undervalued, it’s not surprising if they outperform Bitcoin in the second half of the bear market and the early stage of the bull market.
Alpha Airdrop Announcement
Kiichain (kll), an L1 blockchain project for cross-border payments, on-chain foreign exchange, and the RWA concept. The other day they opened pre-sales; the price is about 0.097U, and funding has exceeded $1.6 million. Total supply: 1.8 billion, corresponding FDV of about $174.6 million,
Binance Alpha allocates 1%, 18 million tokens; OK Boost has 0.3%, 5.4 million tokens. It’s expected to list around 21:00 tomorrow night, near the 242 mark. Contract address: 0xEEC6574eAbBa52bac3f0277F2cD5Ac7e67197886
Are there many still playing Alpha now? How many are still坚持ing? #ALPHA
Kiichain (kll), an L1 blockchain project for cross-border payments, on-chain foreign exchange, and the RWA concept. The other day they opened pre-sales; the price is about 0.097U, and funding has exceeded $1.6 million. Total supply: 1.8 billion, corresponding FDV of about $174.6 million,
Binance Alpha allocates 1%, 18 million tokens; OK Boost has 0.3%, 5.4 million tokens. It’s expected to list around 21:00 tomorrow night, near the 242 mark. Contract address: 0xEEC6574eAbBa52bac3f0277F2cD5Ac7e67197886
Are there many still playing Alpha now? How many are still坚持ing? #ALPHA
At the moment, I have different expectations for the bottom of Bitcoin and BNB.
Bitcoin.
The bottom range should be a 65%~70% drop from the highest point, meaning the bottom price should be between 44100~37800.
The broader market index moves slowly, and when it drops into the bottom area, it will tend to trade sideways for a very long time—such as a sideways consolidation for 4~6 months.
BNB.
#BTC走势分析 The bottom range should be a 60%~65% drop from the highest point, meaning the bottom price should be between 550 and 480.
Binance has quarterly buybacks and burns, and the platform continues to generate profits; ultimately, the historical drawdown should be less than Bitcoin’s, making it more resilient during the latter half of the bull market.
Level 1: Bitcoin’s continuous weekly drawdown of 3%~5%. Level 2: Bitcoin’s continuous weekly drawdown of 6%~9%. Level 3: Bitcoin’s continuous weekly drawdown of 10%~20%.
Bitcoin.
The bottom range should be a 65%~70% drop from the highest point, meaning the bottom price should be between 44100~37800.
The broader market index moves slowly, and when it drops into the bottom area, it will tend to trade sideways for a very long time—such as a sideways consolidation for 4~6 months.
BNB.
#BTC走势分析 The bottom range should be a 60%~65% drop from the highest point, meaning the bottom price should be between 550 and 480.
Binance has quarterly buybacks and burns, and the platform continues to generate profits; ultimately, the historical drawdown should be less than Bitcoin’s, making it more resilient during the latter half of the bull market.
Level 1: Bitcoin’s continuous weekly drawdown of 3%~5%. Level 2: Bitcoin’s continuous weekly drawdown of 6%~9%. Level 3: Bitcoin’s continuous weekly drawdown of 10%~20%.
Bitcoin rebounds, and many people smugly say that I missed the move.
I just smile.
I allow for a Bitcoin rebound— even allow for a short-term bounce to over $70,000— but in the bigger picture, you still need to look at the bear trend.
A bear market can’t be only down with no upswings.
The rebound of $BTC is also for a better subsequent drop.
Many people are just too impatient. If Bitcoin doesn’t drop for a moment, they get frantic and chase the rally, rushing to get on the train, afraid of missing out.
But how could the bear market cycle end that quickly?
From the $126,000 high, Bitcoin fell to the bear market’s bottom, then returned to the all-time high again— the cycle will take at least 3 years or more.#BTC走势分析
I just smile.
I allow for a Bitcoin rebound— even allow for a short-term bounce to over $70,000— but in the bigger picture, you still need to look at the bear trend.
A bear market can’t be only down with no upswings.
The rebound of $BTC is also for a better subsequent drop.
Many people are just too impatient. If Bitcoin doesn’t drop for a moment, they get frantic and chase the rally, rushing to get on the train, afraid of missing out.
But how could the bear market cycle end that quickly?
From the $126,000 high, Bitcoin fell to the bear market’s bottom, then returned to the all-time high again— the cycle will take at least 3 years or more.#BTC走势分析
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