偷偷炒币的巴菲特

$BTC only has 53 days left.

$BTC 's macro cycle is almost perfect:

2015 ➜ 2017 Bull market: 1064 days
2017 ➜ 2018 Bear market: 364 days

2018 ➜ 2021 Bull market: 1064 days
2021 ➜ 2022 Bear market: 364 days

2022 ➜ 2025 Bull market: 1064 days

If this pattern repeats again:

2025 ➜ 2026 Bear market: 364 days

Cycle bottom: October 5, 2026.#BTC #Coin Circle Buffett

Remember one date: August 26.

Starting from this day, Hyperliquid will begin earning yield from USDC reserves, with 90% of the earnings going into the Assistance Fund, used to buy back and burn $HYPE .

What’s truly interesting about this isn’t just that there’s another “positive development.”

It’s that Hyperliquid is forming a rare kind of closed loop:

Users put USDC into the ecosystem → reserves generate yield → the yield goes into the AF → buy back $HYPE → burn it.

The money the platform earns ultimately turns back into buying pressure for HYPE.

Based on the current size of the USDC reserves, this portion of earnings could annualize to around $135M–$160M.

The first batch of earnings is expected to arrive on October 3.

Of course, what’s really worth verifying are two numbers:

How much can the USDC reserves still grow?

How much will be used each month to buy back HYPE?

If trading volume, USDC reserves, and protocol revenue continue to grow, the HYPE buyback mechanism will become stronger and stronger.

The most interesting part of Hyperliquid may be this:

It’s trying to make its own revenue become its biggest buyer.$HYPE #币圈巴菲特 #hype

You got fooled again.

You think you’re “cutting losses,” but in reality you might just be handing the $ETH you have to someone more patient.

2016: Retail sold at $7, and the whales picked it up. ETH later rose to $1,400.

2018: Retail sold at $140, and the whales picked it up. ETH later rose to $4,800.

2025: Retail cut losses around $1,500, and the whales keep buying. Now ETH has already reached $2,466.

The most brutal thing about the market is that before every big move starts, someone will always tell you:

“This time is different.”

And then you sell.

When the market really runs, you start chasing again.

Those who truly get into the 10x runs often don’t predict the top and bottom.

They just don’t hand over their chips during the most panic-inducing moments.

Every ETH you sell could become the ammunition for someone else’s next bull cycle.

The question was never whether you can buy at the lowest point.

It’s whether you can hold on.#币圈巴菲特 #ETH

$BTC reversal head and shoulders pattern, currently completing confirmation around $77,476.

Left shoulder.
Head.
Right shoulder.
Neckline break.
This structure is very similar to the one from 2023.

Back then, $BTC started from about $25,000 and ultimately made its way to $73,000, with a gain of nearly 3x.

Of course, history won’t repeat mechanically, and patterns are never a guarantee of price.

But what the market is truly worth paying attention to is this:

If it can continue to hold above $77,476, this head-and-shoulders bottom would no longer be just a pretty shape on a chart—and could instead indicate that the trend is starting to change.

The next thing to look at isn’t “can it rise,” but whether, after the breakout, a pullback can hold.

Hold it—the structure is confirmed. If it drops back below the neckline, this breakout must be reassessed.

The 2023 market gave an answer once. Now it’s time for it to answer again.#币圈巴菲特 #BTC #比特币创2023年3月来最佳周表现

If Ethereum really goes through a typical Wyckoff Spring, this path could be extremely uncomfortable.

First stop: $2,400–$2,700.

Then there might be another real bout of panic: a drop toward $1,475, wiping out both long and short stops and liquidations.

Everyone will think the market is completely broken, and market sentiment will hit rock bottom.

Only then might a real reversal come—pushing back up toward $5,000.#BTC

Wyckoff studied this kind of “Spring” back in 1931—price deliberately dips below key support to create panic, absorb the last batch of sell orders, and then launch in the opposite direction.

So if ETH really forms this structure, the hardest part might be precisely at the bottom.

Of course, a Spring is a market-structure hypothesis, not a price prediction.

But if it does appear, the most dangerous thing might not be the downside itself—it could be giving up your chips during the peak of panic.#币圈巴菲特 #ETH

The bears persuaded you to give up the 2025 consolidation of $ETH Ethereum at $1,800. Then in 2026 they pulled the same trick again.

Last time they did the same thing. The same consolidation range, the same resistance level at the top, the same buyers selling it all off. Then ETH surged.

Tomorrow it won’t go up to $10,000.

But next time it pulls back—either you buy, or you’ll have to explain later.#币圈巴菲特 #ETH

The $40,000 $BTC Bitcoin has no play left. The bulls have proven the bears wrong

The 2026 wedge breakout at $69,513 has been confirmed, accompanied by the same bullish RSI divergence.

The 2022 breakout rose 4x within 15 months. Target for this cycle chart: $150,000.

I hope you didn't wait for $40K!
#币圈巴菲特 #BTC

$BTC Bitcoin returns to $64,373. This is becoming a very important test.

Since February, Bitcoin has now tested the $66,100 area for the third time. Both of the previous attempts failed, followed by declines of approximately 33% and 20%, respectively.

This means that $66,100 is not just a resistance level.

If the market can reclaim and hold that price level, it may be where people can truly start discussing the possibility of a breakout, and $150,000 could also become a reasonable upside target.

If it gets rejected again, the market must take seriously the risk that prices could fall once more.

Interestingly, everyone is asking the same question:

Is the recent low really the bottom? We may not be able to determine that from the $64,000 level.

We will draw our conclusion from the action around $66,100. If it breaks through, things will change.

If it fails to break through, the market will again realize that resistance exists for a reason.#币圈巴菲特 #BTC

$SOL is standing at a very critical position.

Right now, the price is hovering around $77. The most important pressure zone in the near term is $78–80. If this area can break out with strong volume and hold, the next target is first $85, and then only a chance to challenge $90–100.

But what’s actually most worth watching here is the funds.

The Solana ETF still sees about $10.26M of weekly inflows, which indicates that institutional capital has not left despite the price weakness. Funds are flowing in, yet the price is still getting stuck near the resistance area—this divergence is worth paying attention to.

Below, $73–75 is the zone that bulls must defend.

If it holds, the market may continue to attempt a breakout.

If it breaks down, it suggests this rebound still lacks one more push.

So the question now is very simple:

$SOL is accumulating energy at the resistance level, or failing to break higher once again?

$78–80—give the answer.#币圈巴菲特 #sol

There’s a class of tokens whose performance has consistently outperformed #BTC and DeFi protocols, and this is because they can leverage NeoFi capabilities.

In other words, they can expand beyond DeFi and bridge to traditional markets, giving them a competitive edge.

A list:

- $HYPE +140% YTD (perpetual contracts + upcoming prediction markets)
- $CFG +96% (on-chain institutional lending)
- $MORPHO +76 (money markets)
- $LINK +13% (on-chain business oracle/prediction layer + infrastructure layer)
- $ONDO -3.3% (tokenized stocks + perpetual contracts)
- $SKY -3.9% (yield-bearing stablecoins)

Even more impressive is that all of this growth happened while $BTC and DeFi projects have fallen by about 27% this year.#币圈巴菲特 #比特币徘徊63500美元 #hype

$BTC Bitcoin’s current trading price is around $63,560, while some predicted target prices have been lowered to $54,000.

But the chart shows a different trend.

On the daily chart, a potential inverse head-and-shoulders pattern is forming, with the neckline around $66,200. If the price can break through the neckline effectively, the $76,000 target price could again become possible.

That’s what’s interesting about price targets.

As early as 2022, one of the most popular predictions was that the Bitcoin price would reach $12,000.$BNB

But the actual bottom was at $15,500.

Predictions can be useful, but they’re ultimately just predictions.

The market doesn’t care how confident a target price sounds.

Right now, $66,200 matters more than $54,000 or $76,000.

If the neckline is broken, the chart will turn bullish.

If it fails to break the neckline, the bears still have reason to keep defending.#币圈巴菲特 #Bitcoin hovering around $63,500

🚨 Japan’s economic crisis is unstoppable

Japan’s 2-year government bond yield has just reached 1.692%, the highest level in 31 years. At the beginning of 2024, it was still negative.

This means that in just two years, it has risen from below zero by nearly 170 basis points.

The 5-year yield is up to 2.173%, also a 31-year high, while the 10-year yield is 2.929%, a 30-year high. The entire yield curve is being repriced at the same time—not just the short end.

Japan’s debt level is already around 205% of GDP, while the annualized GDP growth rate in the second quarter was only 1.1%, below the expected 2.0%.

Rising debt, slowing economic growth, currency depreciation, and higher borrowing costs—these factors are hitting Japan all at once.

This is the worst possible combination any country could face. #CryptoBuffett

🚨 There’s a massive problem with the AI boom that nobody is factoring into pricing

OpenAI has just cut the price of GPT-5.6 Luna by 80%, dropping it from $1 per million input tokens to $0.20.

Anthropic launched Claude Opus 5 at half the price of its top model.

Since mid-July, the pricing of leading U.S. models has fallen by nearly 25%.

China’s open-source models are forcing this change.

DoorDash and Airbnb have switched to lower their bills, and DeepSeek V4 Flash now matches the performance of OpenAI’s Luna at just half the cost per task.

Every AI valuation assumes these companies will eventually be able to charge enough to cover their expenses.

Only NVIDIA, with #NVDA , has set aside $500 billion in financing for AI infrastructure.

A price drop of 80% in a month can’t pay for that.

And OpenAI and Anthropic are planning IPOs with trillion-dollar valuations.#币圈巴菲特 #NVDA

$HYPE Update

My view on HYPE so far is that everything is on track:

1. Liquidity absorbed (completed)
2. Longs zone - $52/$49.7, global channel midline & trendline (completed)
3. $57 lowest target - 50% position closed (completed)
4. Hold remaining 50% - 0.5 Fibonacci target: $60
5. Final targets: $61/$62

6. If $51/$49.7 breaks down, shorting will become the priority
7. Second longs zone - $41/$48, for the global channel & trendline bounce/retest

I plan to start my first spot buy in the $38–$48 range.

Greed is taking the upper hand now, so everyone has to decide for themselves when to close their long position.

Greed leads to poverty

Reminder: I expect the final correction to begin in August/September, and $BTC will reach the lows around October/November.

If anything changes, I will let everyone know.

One more reminder: I warned about the $82K bull trap and the summer selloff.

My next prediction will be the biggest one in this cycle.

Turn on notifications. Most people will follow me too late.#hype #BTC #crypto-Buffett

Don't wait for Bitcoin to reach $40,000 or $50,000. That will be your biggest mistake.

Everyone is using the 2022 fractal. Almost nobody has anchored it correctly.

The anchor is not the peak. It is the last sweep before the peak fails.

In October 2025, the price was pushed up to $126,000, while the RSI formed a lower high. This bearish divergence is exactly what confirms the location of the top—and where the stacking begins.

Anchor it there, and in 2026 it won't point to $40,000. It will place the price within the bottom zone, and $64,039 is exactly where it is.

If the weekly close breaks below $58,000, then my alignment is wrong.

Same fractal, different starting point—completely different conclusion.$BTC #币圈巴菲特 #BTC

Breaking: Nvidia is in talks to provide a $250 billion financing guarantee to OpenAI.

This guarantee would allow OpenAI to lease a 10-gigawatt data center being built in southern Ohio by SoftBank.

The total project cost could exceed $500 billion.

Its power is effectively allocated by the U.S. government and financed by Japan under the most recent trade agreement.

Nvidia is also separately considering providing another $350 billion to fund OpenAI’s chip procurement.

This could be one of the largest data center projects ever.#币圈巴菲特 #NVDA

The most terrifying Ethereum pullbacks all fall along the same line.

In 2020: The COVID crash touched this triangle’s rising support and rebounded sharply.

In 2026: The price is back on that exact route—for $1,879.

The same structure maintained for nine years. The crash looks different. The lines don’t move.

Reclaim it, and the triangle resolves upward. Stay below it, and the entire pattern is over.#ETH #Crypto Buffett

$BTC Most people are currently watching for a breakout.

I care more about what happens after the breakout—the flush.

My roadmap expects the following sequence:

→ Push to $69K
→ October crash
→ Cycle low near $46K
→ Recovery begins
→ Reach $150K by late 2027 / early 2028

First push to $69K, to get the market to believe again that the bull market is back.

Buy the breakout as momentum traders chase in; shorts get stopped out, and sentiment starts to repair.

Then comes the harshest leg.

Around October, if macro conditions, liquidity, ETF flows, and leveraged positioning all worsen at the same time, the market is likely to use a selloff to shake out all the newly entered longs.

Near $46K, that’s when this cycle’s true reset zone might be.

That corresponds to:

Sentiment capitulation,
Leverage getting cleared,
Retail giving up,
Long-term capital beginning to reprice the next cycle.

If this level holds, then later we can talk about the $93K recovery—and then the $150K by late 2027 or early 2028.

Click follow and save this post. I will update the roadmap as the market develops.#BTC #币圈巴菲特

🚨 Warning: 99% of people will miss this

$SPCX will become the biggest retail opportunity in this round of the cycle.

In 2016, Tesla acquired SolarCity.

Over the next five years, $TSLA rose 3,320%.

$10,000 → $332,000

Now SpaceX plans to merge with Tesla.

But this isn’t just a space merger.

After acquiring xAI, SpaceX is now an AI company.

→ SpaceX brings xAI, Grok, Starlink, satellites, and global data infrastructure
→ Tesla brings autonomous driving, robotics, energy, and public market liquidity
→ Together, they could create one of the most powerful AI ecosystems in the world

This could become one of the biggest events in modern stock market history.

And the scale of this opportunity is far beyond SolarCity.

Most people will ignore it until the change has already happened.

But my followers won’t.

Follow me and turn on notifications.

I’ll post this opportunity before everyone starts talking about it.#币圈巴菲特 #TSLA

$BTC At every market top, someone says, “This time is different.”

In the end, the market usually gives everyone a unified lesson with a -70% drawdown.

2017: $19K peak, then fell about 84%.
2021: $69K peak, then fell about 77%.
2025: $126K peak, and it has already retraced about 72% so far.

The most valuable thing about this pattern is not that it lets you pinpoint the exact bottom.

It is a reminder that:

when BTC has already fallen more than 70% from the top, the market’s risk-reward profile starts to change.

In the top zone, the higher the price rises, the greater the risk.
In a deep decline, the lower the price falls, the greater the fear becomes, but the future upside also starts opening up again.

If BTC appears around $45K, it could be the most important area to watch in this cycle.

Because historically, BTC’s big-cycle opportunities often appear when most people have already given up, leverage has been washed out, and the narrative is dead.

But don’t fantasize about going all-in at the exact bottom. The market usually prices in expectations ahead of time, and it often overshoots to the downside.

The truly reasonable approach is to scale in gradually:

start with a small position as a watch area,
if it keeps falling, add in stages,
add more after reversal is confirmed,
and stop if the structure breaks.

BTC bottoms never announce themselves with drums and gongs.

They usually look terrible, sentiment is awful, and the news is frightening.

Then a few years later, everyone starts saying again:

“It was so cheap back then—why didn’t I buy?”#BTC #币圈巴菲特