AnhBo

📌 1. Overall picture $BTC 11/2025 - 01/2026

The chart shows:
• BTC Price (black line)
• STH Cost Basis (orange line): the average cost basis of short-term investors
• STH CB +1σ (red) and STH CB –1σ (green): volatility bands
• The green circles mark the times when the BTC price touches the STH Cost Basis area or lower → creating a short-term bottom.
Currently (green circle on the right):
• The BTC price is touching or falling below the STH Cost Basis, similar to the periods of 2020 – 2022 – 2023 – early 2024.

📌 2. Significance of the current signal
Historically, whenever:
👉 BTC falls below the STH Cost Basis
•Short-term investors start to incur unrealized losses
•Market sentiment turns cautious – pessimistic
•This is often the area: Creating a short-term bottom or Beginning a recovery cycle

Looking at the 3 previous green circles:
•2020 → price rebounded strongly immediately after
•End of 2022 → created a bottom and rose into 2023
•Mid 2023 → retested and then surged at the end of the year

The current state resembles the bottoming phases of previous cycles.

📌3. BTC price outlook in the SHORT TERM (1–4 weeks)

Based on the repeating behavior of the STH Cost Basis:
🔹 High probability scenario (60–70%)

BTC will have a bounce when the price is testing the STH CB area – similar to previous critical reversal points.
Short-term target level:
•Return to the STH CB area (orange line)
•Then retest the STH CB +1σ area (red line)
→ This is a common technical recovery area seen after each deep correction.

🔹 Alternative scenario (30–40%)
If the macro market is bad or liquidity weakens:
• BTC may slightly break below the STH CB –1σ (green)(around 79k then surge strongly)

🔥 $LUNC BƠM 70% TRONG 24H – CHUYỆN GÌ ĐANG XẢY RA?

Cộng đồng crypto bất ngờ “dậy sóng” khi $LUNC tăng hơn 70% chỉ trong một ngày. Nhưng điều gì đứng sau cú bật đầy cảm xúc này?

🔹 1. Chiếc áo “LUNA cũ” gây bão ở Binance Blockchain Week
Một đoạn clip lan truyền cho thấy Ian Allison (CoinDesk) mặc chiếc áo phông LUNA cũ ngay tại sự kiện Binance Blockchain Week.
Chỉ một chi tiết nhỏ, nhưng đủ khiến cộng đồng tò mò – làm sống lại câu chuyện Terra Classic và kéo dòng tiền đổ vào LUNC.

🔹 2. Tâm điểm: Phiên tòa của Do Kwon sắp diễn ra
Ngày 11/12, Do Kwon sẽ ra tòa tại Mỹ liên quan đến cáo buộc gian lận.
Càng đến gần ngày xét xử, thị trường càng đồn đoán – và chính sự kỳ vọng + FOMO đã đẩy LUNC tăng mạnh thời gian qua.

⸻

Vậy tiếp theo là gì?
📈 Nếu tâm lý FOMO tiếp tục mạnh – LUNC có thể còn dư địa bơm.
📉 Nhưng sau cú tăng quá nhanh, rủi ro rung lắc – điều chỉnh là hoàn toàn có thể.

👉 Theo Bạn, LUNC còn bay tiếp hay đây chỉ là cú hích ngắn hạn.
👉 Hình ảnh chiếc áo có phải là chất xúc tác hay sự trùng hợp ngẫu nhiên.
#BinanceBlockchainWeek

còn

Hệ #TerraLabs chạy khá đấy. Short thủ cẩn thận nhé.
Kiếm bánh mì đánh nho nhỏ vậy thôi
$LUNA $LUNC

Rene Reinsberg phải ko

note UST

🌋 THE RESURGENCE OPPORTUNITY OF TERRACLASSIC – WHEN OLD ASHES ARE REIGNITED 🔥

After the historical collapse, the Terra Classic ecosystem was once seen as "the land turned to ash". Trust was shattered, assets evaporated, and investors left in silence… But in the world of blockchain, where everything is built on trust and community, what has fallen can rise again — if there is a fire strong enough to reignite.

And then, at a time when the entire community seemed to give up, the flame of hope appeared! It brings strategic support — from contributing liquidity, encouraging token burns, to hints about supporting the construction of a new operational structure. This is not just an action; it is a message that:

👉 "You may fall, but you can still rise if you know where you want to go."

Today, Terra Classic is gradually transforming:
• Projects are returning to development
• The community is more active
• Liquidity is improving
• Tokenomics is refined and burned.

From the ashes, Terra is not returning to its former state — it is creating a better, more realistic, and more sustainable version.

And the opportunity to revive the Terra Classic ecosystem lies in this:
🔥 Recreated trust + United community + Strategic support from influencers.

It is no longer a game of "crazy profits" but has become a journey of rebirth marked by those who truly want to rebuild value.

Because sometimes, an ecosystem does not need a miracle…
It just needs someone to reignite the light.
$LUNC

📊 Basic Data
• The maximum supply of $LUNC is about 6.48–6.50 trillion tokens.
• Circulating supply is about 5.5 trillion LUNC.
• According to the "top holders" list as of November 12, 2025:
1. Binance's hot wallet holds ~ 1.83 trillion LUNC;
2. Staking pool wallet holds ~ 0.97 trillion LUNC;
3. A total of 7 wallets hold about 1.7 trillion LUNC.

When supply is scarce, everything will be different, to the point that even chart data cannot withstand the heat of #TerraLunaClassic .

$SEI SUMMARY OF BENEFITS FROM KALSHI COOPERATION

The integration between Kalshi – the largest legal prediction market platform in the U.S. – and Sei Network marks an important advancement for the Sei ecosystem. Kalshi users can trade prediction contracts using SEI and USDC on Sei, significantly increasing on-chain usage.

For Sei, this collaboration brings four key benefits:
1. Significantly increase the applicability of SEI
SEI becomes the main trading medium in the prediction market – a market with high demand and rapid growth.
2. Increase users & on-chain trading
The prediction market has a high transaction frequency. This helps Sei record more activity, increasing overall network liquidity.
3. Strengthen the technological credibility of Sei
When a platform valued at billions of USD like Kalshi chooses Sei, it affirms the speed, stability, and capacity to handle large transaction volumes of this Layer-1.
4. Expand the decentralized finance (DeFi) ecosystem
The emergence of Kalshi brings opportunities to develop many other financial applications revolving around predictive data, real-time trading, and derivative products.
$BTC

Sell the house all in, Lunc go to the top 5 by the end of the month delete 1 zero

$ETH Preparing for the biggest "blow-off top" in history? 🔥
When "the wider the base, the stronger the breakout", this chart is showing that something crazy is about to happen.

From $90 → $4,866, Ethereum has proven it never stops.
And now, after a long accumulation zone from $1,385, a new picture is unfolding…

⚡ An excessively large compression. A price line is bouncing strongly upwards.
⚡ And the gap ahead… is infinite!

Looking at this slide without getting goosebumps is a rarity!
The Binance & Celo hall was completely silent when the speaker said this:

👉 "The bigger the base, the bigger the breakout."

If history repeats itself, this breakout could leave many people… only able to ask:
"Really???"

💎 Crypto is not for latecomers.
💎 The one who sees the signals – is the winner.

Done TP1

✅ 1. Quick analysis of Total 3
• Time frame: Daily (D)
• TOTAL3 is currently around 899 billion USD.
• After a strong drop from the 1.2T area, the market has slightly recovered but remains in a short-term downtrend.
• Trading volume is gradually decreasing, indicating that the inflow into altcoins is not really strong.
• The current 900B area is a temporary support zone, having touched multiple times.
⸻

✅ 2. Current trend structure

Observing the chart:
• The main trend from last month's peak is lower high – lower low → down.
• Total market capitalization is retesting the 900B area, which is a very important zone for altcoins.
• If this zone is lost, altcoins will enter another adjustment phase.
⸻

🎯 3. Prediction for TOTAL3 in the near future

Scenario 1 – High probability (60–65%)

📉 Continuing to adjust down deeper
• Target: 820B – 850B
→ This is a strong support zone, having bounced several times.
→ Altcoins may have one more drop before bouncing back.

Scenario 2 – Lower probability (35–40%)

📈 Holding 900B and then bouncing back to 1T
• Condition: there must be significant capital inflow back into the mid-cap & low-cap altcoin group.
• If TOTAL3 closes a daily candle above 930–950B, it will confirm the upward trend.
⸻

🔥 Brief conclusion
• TOTAL3 is currently weak, with no strong inflow signals into altcoins.
• Prediction indicates there will be one more drop to 820–850B before increasing again to prepare for a real altseason.
• During this period: prioritize safe capital allocation, no need to go all-in on altcoins.
$BTC $TON #NEAR🚀🚀🚀 $SEI
#FOMCWatch

Look up 97&98 sweep okay… (08h35 - 4/12 comment)

please review the boost force that created the double peak in 2021. The analysis is too stupid

sleep now, my dear

$ETH The heat is coming, please pay attention to my previous post.
What do you choose when the boat arrives? 🥰

$ETH When he spoke, the network was upgraded.
TP1 : 3169
TP 2 : 3369
TP 3 : 3690

Save to check the results tomorrow and 15/12
#BinanceBlockchainWeek #FOMCWatch

$BTC just started
Based on the chart and annotations, the two arrow points indicate notable stages of the BTC Point-in-Time Accumulation Trend Score:

⬅️ The left arrow (around the end of October 2021): Points to a stage where the Accumulation Trend Score turned light yellow/yellow, indicating moderate BTC accumulation activity. This implies that entities are accumulating at a moderate scale, or there is a balance between accumulation and distribution.
* At that time, everything was dark black and it surged

➡️ The right arrow (around mid-November 2025): Points to a stage where the Accumulation Trend Score turned red/orange, especially red at some points, indicating strong distribution activity. The red implies that large-scale entities dominate in the distribution/sale of BTC.
Conclusion: Now it is also very dark black
#BinanceBlockchainWeek