老陌

$BTC Have you noticed?

This week, crypto is up by 291 billion, while US stocks are down by 1.4 trillion.

This isn’t small fluctuation—it’s capital casting votes.

They chose crypto.

Not because of belief, but because of returns.

By the time more people see this data, the price will already be at a different level.

$BTC is ready.

The biggest bull market of your lifetime is already on the way.

Not a rebound, not a trap—this is a real parabola.

Every pullback you see right now is an opportunity to get on board.

I’m listening, and I’m waiting.

When we reach that point, I’ll make my move immediately.

⚠️ 70K isn’t the starting point—it’s the final signpost before the finish line.

I’m seeing more and more people chasing after the spike.

I see posts everywhere on social media like “BTC is about to hit 100K.”

And that—exactly—is the signal I’m most worried about.

The stretch from 69K to 72K will drive people crazy.

But after 72K, the story takes a sharp turn downward.

57K.

48K.

This isn’t a prediction. This is the path told to me by the structure.

I called the bottom at 16K, and I also called the top at 126K.

This time, the position is more dangerous than those two moments, because everyone is too confident.

When confidence gets too high, it’s often the beginning of a reversal.

Don’t chase.

Wait for my next signal.

You’ll be glad you waited.

It’s here.
The biggest bull market is starting now.
Not a rebound, not a trap, it’s a trend.
Bitcoin won’t wait for anyone.
If you missed the bottom, don’t miss this.

Haha, it’s here, it’s here!

The Ministry of Finance’s buyback is doubling, and liquidity is being flooded.

BTC just takes off.

When the money-printing machine kicks on, gold will bring in fortunes by the tens of thousands.

Brothers, welcome back to the bull market train.🚀

The historical largest daily short liquidation has arrived—data confirms it.

The shorts were swept away by a wave, so don’t fight it in the short term.

Don’t treat callbacks as reversals.

People who start shouting “bear market” after a few days of decline are often the first ones thrown off the train.

Before the trend breaks, every drop is an opportunity to test your position.

Make sure you understand the level before you talk.

NBIS wants it lower.

0.887 Fibonacci was rejected and it’s already down 18% this week.

Once the 50-day line breaks, the next step is very likely to test the 0.618 level.

Not changing my view just to please anyone.

Just stating the truth.

SPX has indeed hit support—that part is correct.

But between “hitting support” and “a bottoming rebound,” there’s still one confirmation signal missing.

Wave A has finished, and now there will be a rebound in Wave B and a decline in Wave C—this is only the end of Wave A.

Before urgently calling for 7900, first see whether Wave C will break through Wave A’s low.

I’ll wait until ABC is complete before saying anything. I won’t guess that Wave A is the bottom.

Bitcoin’s daily chart looks like it’s about to break out.

But there have been too many false breakouts lately, and the whole market keeps reenacting this same scenario.

Whether it’s a real breakout or a fake move depends on whether it can hold steady at the close.

It’s still too early to draw conclusions—wait for confirmation before saying anything.

80% profit is indeed impressive, but calling this location “huge potential” makes me raise a question mark.

A few months ago, when nobody listened to it under 20, that was the real good spot.

Now it’s up 80% and you’re still shouting about it—that’s not the same situation as then.

If you already have positions, holding them is fine. But if you don’t have a position and you chase it now, the risk-reward ratio has already changed.

The last update on the SPX was on August 13.

We are now in the (IV) wave.

Don’t guess where the endpoint is—the structure, the Fibonacci zone, and the invalidation level at 7581.50 are all right there.

Look at the market in front of you—don’t focus on what you imagine in your head.

META continues to compress.

The price is back in the buy zone that smart money likes most.

With this kind of setup, it’s not something you panic about—it’s something you watch.

I’m keeping my eyes on it and not making a move, but I’m very interested.

BTC has just formed a dead cross.

The last time it appeared was in August 2022, and after that it went straight into a final shakeout.

Not every dead cross leads to a drop, but this signal should not be ignored.

I’d rather wait for confirmation before making a move, and not try to guess the bottom at this kind of level.

Every time someone asks me if we’re at the bottom yet, I think of 2022.

Back then, the charts were so bad that nobody even dared to speak.

Now, the charts are still too clean.

BlackRock coming out to speak is, by itself, a signal.
But it’s not a bullish signal—it means they’re paying attention to this level.
A $1.5 trillion institution needs to explain to its clients; it doesn’t mean they’re necessarily going to buy at this price.
It sounds good, but look at the net inflows of their ETFs.
Data is more reliable than statements.

Bitmine took 4.8% of ETH, currently down in the red by 8.4 billion, and it’s still 0.2% away from 5%.
Lark says it’s like turning gold into lead, but also admits Tom Lee has been right many times before.
The price at which they buy that final 0.2% is worth watching.

Strategy just made a trade.
The company increased its USD reserves by 150 million while also repurchasing 132 million worth of STRC.
The effect is very direct: the USD duration was extended to 2.8 years, adding 41 days. Bond credit spreads tightened by 4 basis points to 114 basis points.
In short, it’s about optimizing the balance sheet to make capital more stable and financing cheaper.
As of August 16, the company holds 840,447 BTC and has USD reserves of 4.8 billion.
MicroStrategy is still accumulating.

$BTC
A fact that’s happening: the 200-week moving average has been broken.

Last time this happened was in 2022.

But take a closer look: in 2022, the actual bottom was held up by the 350-week moving average.

Based on the current slope, this line will move up to $50,000 in October this year.

CVDD is also giving a signal from the same position.

Two completely unrelated indicators pointing to the same price range is uncommon.

Make a note of this level.

$BTC
No more nonsense—directly here are my technical thoughts.
A close above 64,700 is an early signal, indicating momentum is coming.
A close above 66,000 is a confirmation signal—late, but effective.
Once it breaks above 66,000, higher time-frame candlesticks will start to resonate and push upward.
Before then, it’s all about belief.
I have that belief.