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The White House will host a cryptocurrency summit on March 7, bringing together industry leaders and policymakers, marking an important step by the Trump administration to advance U.S. digital asset policy.

David Sacks, the White House's AI and cryptocurrency affairs lead, announced on February 28 on the X platform that President Trump will host the summit, engaging with notable founders, CEOs, and investors. According to a White House press release, Trump will deliver remarks at the event, which will be chaired by Sacks, the head of the President's Digital Asset Working Group, and organized by Executive Director Bo Hines.

On March 2, Sacks revealed that Trump has announced the establishment of a Crypto Strategic Reserve, which includes top cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin, in accordance with his Executive Order 14178 (E.O. 14178). He emphasized that Trump is fulfilling his commitment to "make America a global cryptocurrency hub," with more details to be announced at the summit.

Fox Business reporter Eleanor Terrett stated that this summit is the first in a series of meetings, replacing the previously proposed "Cryptocurrency Advisory Committee" to drive policy development. An invite list of about 25 people has been confirmed, but the specific names have not yet been made public.

Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse plans to travel to Washington and may attend the summit. This meeting highlights the Trump administration's focus on cryptocurrency regulation, which could influence future policy-making and facilitate cooperation between the government and the industry.
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Loukas believes that Bitcoin may still pull back to $80,000 in the short term, and even touch the mid $70,000 range (about a 30% decline):

"The price could drop below $80,000 and possibly further pull back to $75,000 or $73,000, which is still within Bitcoin's normal volatility range."

He views such pullbacks as a market 'fear reset,' which often eliminates latecomers but also paves the way for a new round of increases. Based on a four-year cycle, he notes that Bitcoin's 'weekly cycle' is about six months, mostly rising, followed by adjustments to reshape market sentiment. Despite the short-term volatility, he believes the current trend still aligns with Bitcoin's historical pattern:

"Unless the four-year cycle has peaked— which I don't think it has— this is just a regular adjustment that we have seen many times."

Loukas's target price is $153,000. If Bitcoin rebounds from around $80,000, it may see an 80% increase in the short term. However, if the rebound does not break through the previous high of $110,000 and sets a new low, a larger downside may be imminent:

"If it sharply rebounds and then falls below the previous low, that will be a warning of a trend change, possibly indicating that the four-year cycle has peaked."

Decoupling of Bitcoin and altcoins

He points out that in this cycle, Bitcoin and altcoins have shown significant divergence, with many altcoins lacking institutional and retail support: "Market flow is limited, narratives fade quickly… TrumpCoin is an exception."

In contrast, Bitcoin is favored by pension funds, sovereign funds, and other institutions, gradually being viewed as a mature asset.

Key Nodes of the Four-Year Cycle

Loukas believes Bitcoin has not yet entered the final stage of a bull market. According to historical trends, a peak may be seen in the fall or early winter of 2025: "If the cycle follows historical patterns, it could reach a new high by the end of the year. But each cycle is different, and we need to be wary of top signals."

He emphasizes that although the upward trend is still expected to continue, if a short-term rebound swiftly reverses and creates lower lows, it may indicate that the turning point of the four-year cycle has arrived. Nevertheless, he remains bullish:

"There must be a pullback before a peak, and we need to hold on. In terms of timing, we are currently at the low point of the weekly cycle, and may rise thereafter."

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Bitcoin breaks through $84,000, and future trends are affected by multiple factors

Bitcoin fluctuates around $84,000, and global economic uncertainty is affecting market sentiment. From Fed policy to trade frictions to institutional capital flows, the following are key factors that may determine Bitcoin's next move:

1. Fed interest rate decision (March 18-19)

If interest rates are raised, market liquidity will tighten, which may suppress Bitcoin; if interest rates are maintained or lowered, it may boost market sentiment.

2. US CPI data (March 12)

Inflation data affects Fed policy. High inflation may strengthen expectations of rate hikes and suppress risky assets, while cooling is beneficial to Bitcoin.

3. Trade policy uncertainty

Trump's tariff policy has triggered market volatility, and some funds have flowed to safe-haven assets such as gold, affecting the liquidity of the crypto market.

4. G20 Finance Ministers' Meeting (February 26-27)

Tighter international regulation may affect the compliance of the crypto market and cross-border capital flows.

5. ETF selling pressure

Institutional outflows exceed $1 billion. If continued, it may weaken market confidence; capital inflows may provide support.

6. Spot altcoin ETF approval

If the SEC approves spot ETFs such as XRP, SOL, and DOGE, it may drive capital inflows, otherwise it may trigger adjustments.

7. US non-farm payrolls (March 7)

Employment data affects Fed policy. Strong employment may strengthen tightening expectations, while weak data may trigger recession concerns.

8. Downturn in altcoin market

The proportion of altcoins has dropped to 42.1%, and capital has flowed back to Bitcoin, which may affect the overall market sentiment.

9. Rising U.S. Treasury yields

Higher yields attract capital to low-risk assets, which may weaken market demand for Bitcoin.

10. Bitcoin market capitalization share

Bitcoin dominance has risen to 59.69%. If it falls below $80,000, it may cause panic or trigger bargain hunting.
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CZ (Zhao Changpeng) retweeted a post emphasizing the necessity of long-term investment. The tweet mentioned: 'On the same day last year, Bitcoin was priced at $54,000, Ethereum at $3,178, BNB at $401, and SOL at $109. Looking back now, all these coins have increased in value, and three of them recently hit all-time highs. A short-term perspective often only shows us price fluctuations, but if we extend our view, we can see more opportunities.' CZ uses this to remind investors not to be troubled by short-term price fluctuations but to view the market with a broader perspective and seize long-term investment opportunities. $BTC