Vandal Finance
I do writing based on crypto analyses, make fun of cryptocoins and so on
High-Frequency Trader
8 Years
128 Following
1.0K+ Followers
1.3K+ Liked
153 Shared
All
Quotes
Videos
Tariff Alert: Trump Targets South Korea After Canada Threats
The trade war just took another aggressive turn. President Trump took to Truth Social on Monday to announce he’s cranking tariffs on South Korean goods back up to 25% (from the previous 15%).
$WET
Why the sudden hike?
Trump is blaming the South Korean National Assembly. Even though a "Historic Trade Agreement" was reached with President Lee Jae-myung back in 2025, the Korean legislature hasn't officially ratified it yet. Trump isn't waiting around, calling it their "prerogative" to delay—but one that comes with a price tag for their exports.
Key Sectors Hit:
🚗 Autos 🪵 Lumber 💊 Pharma ...and basically all other reciprocal goods.
$BREV
Canada is also in the crosshairs 🇨🇦
This isn't just about Korea. Trump also fired a warning shot at Canadian PM Mark Carney. He’s made it clear that if Canada tries to act as a "Drop Off Port" for Chinese goods to bypass US rules, they’ll be facing 100% tariffs next.
$AXS
#FedWatch #SouthKoreaSeizedBTCLoss #tarrifs
The trade war just took another aggressive turn. President Trump took to Truth Social on Monday to announce he’s cranking tariffs on South Korean goods back up to 25% (from the previous 15%).
$WET
Why the sudden hike?
Trump is blaming the South Korean National Assembly. Even though a "Historic Trade Agreement" was reached with President Lee Jae-myung back in 2025, the Korean legislature hasn't officially ratified it yet. Trump isn't waiting around, calling it their "prerogative" to delay—but one that comes with a price tag for their exports.
Key Sectors Hit:
🚗 Autos 🪵 Lumber 💊 Pharma ...and basically all other reciprocal goods.
$BREV
Canada is also in the crosshairs 🇨🇦
This isn't just about Korea. Trump also fired a warning shot at Canadian PM Mark Carney. He’s made it clear that if Canada tries to act as a "Drop Off Port" for Chinese goods to bypass US rules, they’ll be facing 100% tariffs next.
$AXS
#FedWatch #SouthKoreaSeizedBTCLoss #tarrifs
Tether is Stackin' Heavy: 27 Tons of Gold Added 🚀
Tether just dropped their Q4 2025 numbers, and it's official they aren't just playing with dollars anymore. They scooped up another 27 metric tons of gold last quarter.
If you’ve been watching the charts, you know Gold has been absolutely vertical. We’re talking about a 64% jump in 2025, and now it’s sitting pretty above $5,000/oz. Tether is essentially riding this wave to fortify the reserves backing USDT and XAUT.
Here’s the breakdown:
The Buy: 27 tons in Q4 (matching the 26 tons they grabbed in Q3).
The Context: Gold hit $5,000 on Monday. Tether is now buying at a scale usually reserved for actual countries (Central Banks).
$ELSA
The Scale: USDT is sitting at a massive $187B circulation, while their gold-backed token, XAUT, is at $2.7B.
Paolo Ardoino basically said they’re operating at "sovereign" levels now. When a stablecoin issuer starts acting like a central bank, you know the global financial landscape is shifting.
$XAU
Is this a move to de-risk from US Treasuries, or just Tether flexin' their massive profits? Either way, seeing $5k gold backed by crypto reserves is wild.
What do you guys think? Is Tether becoming "too big to fail" or is this the ultimate hedge? 👇
$PROMPT
#Tether #Gold #XAUT
Tether just dropped their Q4 2025 numbers, and it's official they aren't just playing with dollars anymore. They scooped up another 27 metric tons of gold last quarter.
If you’ve been watching the charts, you know Gold has been absolutely vertical. We’re talking about a 64% jump in 2025, and now it’s sitting pretty above $5,000/oz. Tether is essentially riding this wave to fortify the reserves backing USDT and XAUT.
Here’s the breakdown:
The Buy: 27 tons in Q4 (matching the 26 tons they grabbed in Q3).
The Context: Gold hit $5,000 on Monday. Tether is now buying at a scale usually reserved for actual countries (Central Banks).
$ELSA
The Scale: USDT is sitting at a massive $187B circulation, while their gold-backed token, XAUT, is at $2.7B.
Paolo Ardoino basically said they’re operating at "sovereign" levels now. When a stablecoin issuer starts acting like a central bank, you know the global financial landscape is shifting.
$XAU
Is this a move to de-risk from US Treasuries, or just Tether flexin' their massive profits? Either way, seeing $5k gold backed by crypto reserves is wild.
What do you guys think? Is Tether becoming "too big to fail" or is this the ultimate hedge? 👇
$PROMPT
#Tether #Gold #XAUT
The "ZachXBT" Bombshell (Security)
If you’re seeing this, drop your opinion with your bias & hit that 👣👣
Road to 30k let’s get it! 🚀
The biggest story currently circulating on chain is an allegation by ZachXBT regarding a $40 million government crypto theft. The investigation ties the funds to the son of a custody contractor. This is the kind of "on-the-ground" investigative reporting that AI-generated summaries usually miss because it involves nuanced social media sleuthing.
BlackRock’s New Yield Play (Institutional)
BlackRock is moving beyond a simple Spot ETF. They are reportedly looking to launch an iShares Bitcoin Premium Income ETF. This is a major shift because it aims to bring yield-generation (income) to $BTC investments, signaling that the "HODL" phase is evolving into a "Productization" phase for Wall Street.
Solana Staking vs. Price $SOL
Despite SOL crashing 16% today toward the $122-$126 support zone, staking activity just hit a record high (70% of supply). This is a weird "divergence" retail is panic selling, but the big stakers are locking in.
Regulatory Movements
Japan: News just broke that Japan is on track to legalize Crypto ETFs by 2028, accelerating the regulatory race in Asia.
UK: The Financial Authority is reportedly nearing the end of its crypto regulation consultations, which could lead to a massive legal framework update by mid-2026.
#FedWatch #zachxbt
If you’re seeing this, drop your opinion with your bias & hit that 👣👣
Road to 30k let’s get it! 🚀
The biggest story currently circulating on chain is an allegation by ZachXBT regarding a $40 million government crypto theft. The investigation ties the funds to the son of a custody contractor. This is the kind of "on-the-ground" investigative reporting that AI-generated summaries usually miss because it involves nuanced social media sleuthing.
BlackRock’s New Yield Play (Institutional)
BlackRock is moving beyond a simple Spot ETF. They are reportedly looking to launch an iShares Bitcoin Premium Income ETF. This is a major shift because it aims to bring yield-generation (income) to $BTC investments, signaling that the "HODL" phase is evolving into a "Productization" phase for Wall Street.
Solana Staking vs. Price $SOL
Despite SOL crashing 16% today toward the $122-$126 support zone, staking activity just hit a record high (70% of supply). This is a weird "divergence" retail is panic selling, but the big stakers are locking in.
Regulatory Movements
Japan: News just broke that Japan is on track to legalize Crypto ETFs by 2028, accelerating the regulatory race in Asia.
UK: The Financial Authority is reportedly nearing the end of its crypto regulation consultations, which could lead to a massive legal framework update by mid-2026.
#FedWatch #zachxbt
BOOM! RIPPLE STRIKES AGAIN – MASSIVE ADOPTION IN SAUDI ARABIA!
THE BIG NEWS:
Riyadh Bank (Jeel) has officially partnered with Ripple to launch a blockchain payment sandbox! This is a huge step for Saudi Arabia’s "Vision 2030."
This partnership focuses on Real-World Asset (RWA) tokenization and cross-border payments. XRP is proving once again it is the king of institutional utility. 👑
$XRP
BUT WAIT—THERE'S MORE (ETHEREUM "MOONSHOT"):
A company called Bitmine just announced they now own 4.2 MILLION ETH (3.52% of the total supply!). 💎
They are on a mission to own 5% of all Ethereum. When supply gets this tight, what do you think happens to the price? 🚀
$ETH
⚠️ THE MARKET SHOCK:
Despite these big wins, Bitcoin dipped to $86,000, liquidating over $550 MILLION in long positions. The whales are shaking the tree before the next leg up!
WHAT’S YOUR MOVE?
💸 XRP: Loading more on the Saudi news?
🔹 ETH: Following the Bitmine whales?
📉 BTC: Waiting for $82k?
$BTC
Don't get left behind—the rotation is REAL! 👇
#Ripple💰 #xrp #Ethereum #ETHWhales #bitcoin
THE BIG NEWS:
Riyadh Bank (Jeel) has officially partnered with Ripple to launch a blockchain payment sandbox! This is a huge step for Saudi Arabia’s "Vision 2030."
This partnership focuses on Real-World Asset (RWA) tokenization and cross-border payments. XRP is proving once again it is the king of institutional utility. 👑
$XRP
BUT WAIT—THERE'S MORE (ETHEREUM "MOONSHOT"):
A company called Bitmine just announced they now own 4.2 MILLION ETH (3.52% of the total supply!). 💎
They are on a mission to own 5% of all Ethereum. When supply gets this tight, what do you think happens to the price? 🚀
$ETH
⚠️ THE MARKET SHOCK:
Despite these big wins, Bitcoin dipped to $86,000, liquidating over $550 MILLION in long positions. The whales are shaking the tree before the next leg up!
WHAT’S YOUR MOVE?
💸 XRP: Loading more on the Saudi news?
🔹 ETH: Following the Bitmine whales?
📉 BTC: Waiting for $82k?
$BTC
Don't get left behind—the rotation is REAL! 👇
#Ripple💰 #xrp #Ethereum #ETHWhales #bitcoin
URGENT: BITCOIN AT A CROSSROADS – DUMP OR PUMP? 🚨
THE FED MEETING STARTS TOMORROW! 📉
While the world watches the Federal Reserve, the market is screaming "UNCERTAINTY." Here is what you need to know RIGHT NOW before the volatility explodes:
$BTC SINKING: Bitcoin has dropped below $88,000, hitting a 1-month low. We’ve seen over $130M in liquidations in the last 24 hours alone. Are whales shaking out the weak hands before a Fed move?
$PAXG GOLD IS STEALING THE SHOW: While crypto bleeds, Gold has smashed $5,100/oz and Silver hit $XAG $100+ today. Capital is rotating into "Old School" safe havens. Is the "Digital Gold" narrative in trouble?
THE FED FACTOR: The FOMC meeting starts in less than 24 hours. Markets are pricing in a "Dovish Pause" (No rate change). If Powell sounds too aggressive on Wednesday, expect a deeper dip. If he hints at cuts, we could see a massive V-shape recovery.
🔥 THE BOTTOM LINE:
Don't get liquidated! We are in a "Quiet Period" trap. Watch the $86,500 support level closely. If it holds, the "BOOM" is coming. If it breaks... buckle up.
What’s your move?
🚀 Buying the Dip
🐻 Staying in Cash
💎 HODLing to the Moon
#FedWatch #Mag7Earnings #GoldSilverAtRecordHighs
THE FED MEETING STARTS TOMORROW! 📉
While the world watches the Federal Reserve, the market is screaming "UNCERTAINTY." Here is what you need to know RIGHT NOW before the volatility explodes:
$BTC SINKING: Bitcoin has dropped below $88,000, hitting a 1-month low. We’ve seen over $130M in liquidations in the last 24 hours alone. Are whales shaking out the weak hands before a Fed move?
$PAXG GOLD IS STEALING THE SHOW: While crypto bleeds, Gold has smashed $5,100/oz and Silver hit $XAG $100+ today. Capital is rotating into "Old School" safe havens. Is the "Digital Gold" narrative in trouble?
THE FED FACTOR: The FOMC meeting starts in less than 24 hours. Markets are pricing in a "Dovish Pause" (No rate change). If Powell sounds too aggressive on Wednesday, expect a deeper dip. If he hints at cuts, we could see a massive V-shape recovery.
🔥 THE BOTTOM LINE:
Don't get liquidated! We are in a "Quiet Period" trap. Watch the $86,500 support level closely. If it holds, the "BOOM" is coming. If it breaks... buckle up.
What’s your move?
🚀 Buying the Dip
🐻 Staying in Cash
💎 HODLing to the Moon
#FedWatch #Mag7Earnings #GoldSilverAtRecordHighs
According to the official 2026 Federal Reserve calendar, the FOMC meeting is a two-day event starting tomorrow:
Today (Monday, Jan 26): No official meeting. This is the "quiet period" where Fed officials aren't allowed to speak publicly to avoid influencing the markets.
$COLLECT
Tomorrow (Tuesday, Jan 27): The meeting officially begins in Washington, D.C.
Wednesday (Jan 28): The meeting concludes. This is when the actual decision and "live" news will break at 2:00 PM ET, followed by Chair Powell's press conference at 2:30 PM ET.
What’s happening "Live" right now?
Since it’s the day before the meeting, the "news" you're seeing today is mostly market speculation and reaction to other economic stressors:
$LINEA
Gold & Silver Records: Gold just soared past $5,100/oz today as investors look for safety amid global trade uncertainty and tariff threats.
Pressure from the White House: There is significant "live" reporting today about the political pressure on the Fed to cut rates faster than they might want to.
$SENT
The "Wait and See" Mode: Most major banks (like Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan) are releasing their final predictions today, with a 97% consensus that the Fed will stay unchanged this Wednesday.
#FedWatch #Mag7Earnings
Today (Monday, Jan 26): No official meeting. This is the "quiet period" where Fed officials aren't allowed to speak publicly to avoid influencing the markets.
$COLLECT
Tomorrow (Tuesday, Jan 27): The meeting officially begins in Washington, D.C.
Wednesday (Jan 28): The meeting concludes. This is when the actual decision and "live" news will break at 2:00 PM ET, followed by Chair Powell's press conference at 2:30 PM ET.
What’s happening "Live" right now?
Since it’s the day before the meeting, the "news" you're seeing today is mostly market speculation and reaction to other economic stressors:
$LINEA
Gold & Silver Records: Gold just soared past $5,100/oz today as investors look for safety amid global trade uncertainty and tariff threats.
Pressure from the White House: There is significant "live" reporting today about the political pressure on the Fed to cut rates faster than they might want to.
$SENT
The "Wait and See" Mode: Most major banks (like Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan) are releasing their final predictions today, with a 97% consensus that the Fed will stay unchanged this Wednesday.
#FedWatch #Mag7Earnings
Fed Meeting Countdown: Is the Rate Cut Dream Dead?
The FOMC meeting starts in just a few hours, and the vibe in the market is heavy. We’ve gone from "Pivot soon!" to "Please don't hike" real fast. If you’re expecting a dovish surprise, you might want to check the data again.
The Reality Check:
Short $BTR Now!!
Inflation is Sticky: We’re still seeing 2.7% CPI. The Fed’s 2% target feels like a lifetime away, and they aren’t going to cut while prices are still heating up.
Labor is Too Strong: With unemployment sitting at 4.4%, Powell has all the "cover" he needs to keep rates high. He’s not in a rush to save the market if the economy isn't breaking.
Long $ICNT at 0.3555
The "Lame Duck" Factor: Powell’s term ends in May 2026. Between DOJ noise and White House pressure, the Fed is fighting for its life to look "independent." They likely won't move until a successor is locked in.
📉 March is Off the Table
The market has basically priced the chance of a March cut down to zero. We’re looking at a flat Q1. The liquidity "money printer" is staying unplugged for now.
What to watch for tonight:
Long $CYS
The Language: Look for any shift from "data-dependent" to "monitoring risks."
The Successor Hint: Any mention of the leadership transition could send yields flying.
Volatility: Expect a fake-out pump/dump as soon as the doors open.
My Take: High rates are the new normal until summer. Stop trading the "pivot" and start trading the range.
Are you de-risking before the meeting or betting on a Powell surprise? Drop your bias below! 👇
#FOMC #Powell #interestrates
The FOMC meeting starts in just a few hours, and the vibe in the market is heavy. We’ve gone from "Pivot soon!" to "Please don't hike" real fast. If you’re expecting a dovish surprise, you might want to check the data again.
The Reality Check:
Short $BTR Now!!
Inflation is Sticky: We’re still seeing 2.7% CPI. The Fed’s 2% target feels like a lifetime away, and they aren’t going to cut while prices are still heating up.
Labor is Too Strong: With unemployment sitting at 4.4%, Powell has all the "cover" he needs to keep rates high. He’s not in a rush to save the market if the economy isn't breaking.
Long $ICNT at 0.3555
The "Lame Duck" Factor: Powell’s term ends in May 2026. Between DOJ noise and White House pressure, the Fed is fighting for its life to look "independent." They likely won't move until a successor is locked in.
📉 March is Off the Table
The market has basically priced the chance of a March cut down to zero. We’re looking at a flat Q1. The liquidity "money printer" is staying unplugged for now.
What to watch for tonight:
Long $CYS
The Language: Look for any shift from "data-dependent" to "monitoring risks."
The Successor Hint: Any mention of the leadership transition could send yields flying.
Volatility: Expect a fake-out pump/dump as soon as the doors open.
My Take: High rates are the new normal until summer. Stop trading the "pivot" and start trading the range.
Are you de-risking before the meeting or betting on a Powell surprise? Drop your bias below! 👇
#FOMC #Powell #interestrates
The Whale Story (Sentiment: Extremely Bullish but Distributing)
Trade it short here 👇👇
$RIVER
Entry: 84.5 - 86
SL: 88.68
Tp1: 74.33
Tp2: 56
Technical Analysis (4H Chart)
Trend: Parabolic uptrend. The price is well above all key Moving Averages.
RSI (Relative Strength Index): The RSI(6) is at 82 and RSI(14) is at 74. This is Overbought. Historically, when RSI hits these levels, price either consolidates sideways or corrects down to meet the EMAs.
Support Gaps: The price ($82.29) is far extended from the EMA(9) (Pink line at $70.75). In healthy trends, price eventually snaps back to touch the EMA(9) or EMA(21).
The data from your first screenshot tells a very specific story:
Dominance: The sentiment is overwhelmingly Long. The "Notional Long/Short Ratio" is a staggering 2,468%.
The Smart Money: There are 183 Long Whales holding $57.15M worth of positions, compared to only 48 Short Whales holding $2.32M.
Profitability: The Long whales entered early (Avg Entry $46.46) and are sitting on massive profits.
⚠️ The Red Flag (Distribution): Look closely at the "Details 30m" section at the bottom.
Net Buy Vol: 378.28K
Net Sell Vol: 1.76M
Insight: While Whales are holding massive long positions for the long term, they are currently selling (taking profit) in the short term. The selling pressure in the last 30 minutes is 4x the buying pressure.
#Mag7Earnings #ClawdbotTakesSiliconValley
Trade it short here 👇👇
$RIVER
Entry: 84.5 - 86
SL: 88.68
Tp1: 74.33
Tp2: 56
Technical Analysis (4H Chart)
Trend: Parabolic uptrend. The price is well above all key Moving Averages.
RSI (Relative Strength Index): The RSI(6) is at 82 and RSI(14) is at 74. This is Overbought. Historically, when RSI hits these levels, price either consolidates sideways or corrects down to meet the EMAs.
Support Gaps: The price ($82.29) is far extended from the EMA(9) (Pink line at $70.75). In healthy trends, price eventually snaps back to touch the EMA(9) or EMA(21).
The data from your first screenshot tells a very specific story:
Dominance: The sentiment is overwhelmingly Long. The "Notional Long/Short Ratio" is a staggering 2,468%.
The Smart Money: There are 183 Long Whales holding $57.15M worth of positions, compared to only 48 Short Whales holding $2.32M.
Profitability: The Long whales entered early (Avg Entry $46.46) and are sitting on massive profits.
⚠️ The Red Flag (Distribution): Look closely at the "Details 30m" section at the bottom.
Net Buy Vol: 378.28K
Net Sell Vol: 1.76M
Insight: While Whales are holding massive long positions for the long term, they are currently selling (taking profit) in the short term. The selling pressure in the last 30 minutes is 4x the buying pressure.
#Mag7Earnings #ClawdbotTakesSiliconValley
THE TRUMP x MAG 7 COLLISION: Bitcoin’s $100K Breakout Catalyst?
The market is at a breaking point. While the Magnificent 7 report their earnings this week, a new variable has entered the chat: The Trump Administration’s Strategic Bitcoin Reserve. 🇺🇸
Here is why this week is the ultimate "stress test" for your portfolio:
$FIGHT
1. The "Strategic Reserve" Floor 🛡️
President Trump’s establishment of a Strategic Bitcoin Reserve (via seized assets) has created a psychological "floor" for BTC. While Mag 7 earnings might cause stock market volatility, any dip in BTC is being viewed as a "buy the dip" opportunity for institutions who see the U.S. government finally treating Bitcoin as a legitimate national asset.
$FF
2. Tech AI Revenue = Crypto AI Hype 🤖
Trump’s "America First" AI Action Plan is heavily dependent on the success of NVIDIA (NVDA) and Microsoft (MSFT).
Bottom Line: The "Trump Bump" met the "Tech Boom." We are trading in a pro-crypto, pro-innovation era. Don't let the short-term noise shake you out of a long-term cycle. 💎🙌
$RIVER
#ScrollCoFounderXAccountHacked #SouthKoreaSeizedBTCLoss #Mag7 #BullRun2026
The market is at a breaking point. While the Magnificent 7 report their earnings this week, a new variable has entered the chat: The Trump Administration’s Strategic Bitcoin Reserve. 🇺🇸
Here is why this week is the ultimate "stress test" for your portfolio:
$FIGHT
1. The "Strategic Reserve" Floor 🛡️
President Trump’s establishment of a Strategic Bitcoin Reserve (via seized assets) has created a psychological "floor" for BTC. While Mag 7 earnings might cause stock market volatility, any dip in BTC is being viewed as a "buy the dip" opportunity for institutions who see the U.S. government finally treating Bitcoin as a legitimate national asset.
$FF
2. Tech AI Revenue = Crypto AI Hype 🤖
Trump’s "America First" AI Action Plan is heavily dependent on the success of NVIDIA (NVDA) and Microsoft (MSFT).
Bottom Line: The "Trump Bump" met the "Tech Boom." We are trading in a pro-crypto, pro-innovation era. Don't let the short-term noise shake you out of a long-term cycle. 💎🙌
$RIVER
#ScrollCoFounderXAccountHacked #SouthKoreaSeizedBTCLoss #Mag7 #BullRun2026
Pro-Tips for the Week:
Expect Volatility: After-hours (4 PM ET) is when the madness happens. Watch for "wicky" price action on BTC.
$BLUAI
The "Blackwell" Factor: All eyes are on NVIDIA’s chips. If they signal a supply crunch, the AI sector might cool off.
Watch the DXY: If tech earnings are weak, the Dollar Strength Index (DXY) might spike, which usually puts pressure on Bitcoin.
$ROSE
Bottom line: We aren't just trading charts anymore; we're trading the global tech cycle. 🏁
What’s your play? Are we going to see a "God Candle" after the Microsoft/Tesla reports, or is it time to hedge? 👇
$arc
#Mag7 #Bitcoin #NVIDIA #CryptoTrading #AI
Expect Volatility: After-hours (4 PM ET) is when the madness happens. Watch for "wicky" price action on BTC.
$BLUAI
The "Blackwell" Factor: All eyes are on NVIDIA’s chips. If they signal a supply crunch, the AI sector might cool off.
Watch the DXY: If tech earnings are weak, the Dollar Strength Index (DXY) might spike, which usually puts pressure on Bitcoin.
$ROSE
Bottom line: We aren't just trading charts anymore; we're trading the global tech cycle. 🏁
What’s your play? Are we going to see a "God Candle" after the Microsoft/Tesla reports, or is it time to hedge? 👇
$arc
#Mag7 #Bitcoin #NVIDIA #CryptoTrading #AI
MAG 7 EARNINGS: Why Your Crypto Portfolio Should Care This Week!
If you think Big Tech earnings don’t affect your crypto bags, think again. We are entering the most volatile week of Q1 2026.
The "Magnificent 7" now dictate global liquidity. When these giants move, the "Risk-On" switch for Crypto either flips ON or OFF.
📊 The "Cheat Sheet" Schedule (Mark Your Calendars!):
Jan 28 (Wed): TSLA (Tesla), MSFT (Microsoft), META (Meta)
Jan 29 (Thu): AAPL (Apple)
Feb 4 (Est): GOOGL (Alphabet)
Feb 5 (Est): AMZN (Amazon)
Feb 25 (Est): NVDA (NVIDIA) — The king of the AI narrative.
Why does this matter for Crypto? 🤔
The AI Connection: Tokens like $NEAR , $RNDR and $FET often trade as "shadow stocks" to NVIDIA and Microsoft. If AI guidance is strong, expect an AI-coin rally.
The Liquidity Effect: Strong earnings = Green TradFi markets = More institutional capital flowing into ETFs.
The "Fear" Index: If the Mag 7 misses, investors flee to cash, dragging down high-risk assets (Crypto) in the short term.
#Mag7Earnings
If you think Big Tech earnings don’t affect your crypto bags, think again. We are entering the most volatile week of Q1 2026.
The "Magnificent 7" now dictate global liquidity. When these giants move, the "Risk-On" switch for Crypto either flips ON or OFF.
📊 The "Cheat Sheet" Schedule (Mark Your Calendars!):
Jan 28 (Wed): TSLA (Tesla), MSFT (Microsoft), META (Meta)
Jan 29 (Thu): AAPL (Apple)
Feb 4 (Est): GOOGL (Alphabet)
Feb 5 (Est): AMZN (Amazon)
Feb 25 (Est): NVDA (NVIDIA) — The king of the AI narrative.
Why does this matter for Crypto? 🤔
The AI Connection: Tokens like $NEAR , $RNDR and $FET often trade as "shadow stocks" to NVIDIA and Microsoft. If AI guidance is strong, expect an AI-coin rally.
The Liquidity Effect: Strong earnings = Green TradFi markets = More institutional capital flowing into ETFs.
The "Fear" Index: If the Mag 7 misses, investors flee to cash, dragging down high-risk assets (Crypto) in the short term.
#Mag7Earnings
Is this Powell’s "Final Stand"? 🛑 Fed 2026 meeting is getting ugly.
Mark the calendars: Jan 27-28 (Tuesday/Wednesday). Results drop Jan 29 at 03:00 UTC+8.
Everyone is asking "Rate cut?" but the market already knows the answer. Odds for a cut are sitting at a measly 5%.
$AVNT
That’s basically zero. But the real story isn't the interest rate it's the absolute chaos surrounding Jerome Powell right now.
The "Exit" Under Fire
Powell is out in May, but he’s not going quietly. Between a DOJ criminal investigation (the $2.5B building renovation scandal) and non-stop pressure from the President, the "independence" of the Fed is hanging by a thread.
$ZKC
This isn't just a meeting; it's a fight for his legacy.
What the "Smart Money" is watching:
March is the Pivot: 1/4 of the room thinks March is the last chance for a cut before the new Chair takes over.
The "Wait & See": 58% of economists bet we stay flat through Q1.
$TRUST
The Political Trap: The DOJ subpoenas look like a warning shot to anyone thinking about succeeding Powell. They want someone "compliant."
#Fed #WhoIsNextFedChair
Mark the calendars: Jan 27-28 (Tuesday/Wednesday). Results drop Jan 29 at 03:00 UTC+8.
Everyone is asking "Rate cut?" but the market already knows the answer. Odds for a cut are sitting at a measly 5%.
$AVNT
That’s basically zero. But the real story isn't the interest rate it's the absolute chaos surrounding Jerome Powell right now.
The "Exit" Under Fire
Powell is out in May, but he’s not going quietly. Between a DOJ criminal investigation (the $2.5B building renovation scandal) and non-stop pressure from the President, the "independence" of the Fed is hanging by a thread.
$ZKC
This isn't just a meeting; it's a fight for his legacy.
What the "Smart Money" is watching:
March is the Pivot: 1/4 of the room thinks March is the last chance for a cut before the new Chair takes over.
The "Wait & See": 58% of economists bet we stay flat through Q1.
$TRUST
The Political Trap: The DOJ subpoenas look like a warning shot to anyone thinking about succeeding Powell. They want someone "compliant."
#Fed #WhoIsNextFedChair
$NOM – Rebrand Rally or Trap? 📈
Just looking at the 1H chart for Nomina and the volume is absolutely insane over $580M in 24 hours. We’re up +114% today, finally seeing the "rebrand effect" play out after the OMNI swap.
The Tech Setup:
Price: Holding around $0.0167.
RSI Check: Hourly RSI is pushing 77. We are officially in the "FOMO zone." Historically, these vertical moves need to retest the 50-EMA (currently way down at $0.010) to stay healthy.
Volume: 3,800% increase in activity. This isn't just retail; whales are repositioning as the Indodax migration wraps up next week.
The Strategy:
If you missed the entry at $0.007, chasing here is risky. I’m watching for a consolidation range between $0.014 and $0.015. If it holds that as support, the next leg could target $0.020.
Just looking at the 1H chart for Nomina and the volume is absolutely insane over $580M in 24 hours. We’re up +114% today, finally seeing the "rebrand effect" play out after the OMNI swap.
The Tech Setup:
Price: Holding around $0.0167.
RSI Check: Hourly RSI is pushing 77. We are officially in the "FOMO zone." Historically, these vertical moves need to retest the 50-EMA (currently way down at $0.010) to stay healthy.
Volume: 3,800% increase in activity. This isn't just retail; whales are repositioning as the Indodax migration wraps up next week.
The Strategy:
If you missed the entry at $0.007, chasing here is risky. I’m watching for a consolidation range between $0.014 and $0.015. If it holds that as support, the next leg could target $0.020.
Thoughts on the $EUL "Leadership Pivot" – What’s the move?
Just caught the updates on Euler Finance and there’s a lot of noise. If you’re tracking the chart, you saw that volatility spike after the Michael Bentley news on Jan 13. He’s shifting to an advisor role, and Jonathan Han is stepping in as CEO.
Usually, a founder stepping back is a red flag, but look at the V2 data first.
The Hard Numbers (Jan 2026):
TVL: Sitting around $636M - $780M across chains.
Revenue: Currently generating ~$1.6M annualized for the DAO.
The "Oversold" Bounce: We saw a 700% volume surge recently. Why? Technicals hit an RSI of 18 (super oversold). "Smart money" likely sees this as a local bottom.
$EUL
The Real Shift:
Euler is moving away from just being "another lending protocol" to a bespoke credit infrastructure. They are targeting fintechs and institutions now. It’s less about "DeFi degens" and more about high-liquidity vaults (BUSD0, PYUSD, RLUSD).
My Take: The transition is bumpy, but the buyback program is still active ($88k+ just in the start of Q1). If the new CEO lands those RWA (Real World Asset) partnerships they’ve been teasing for the 2026 roadmap, this current "dip" looks more like a re-entry point than a exit.
#eul #RWA
Just caught the updates on Euler Finance and there’s a lot of noise. If you’re tracking the chart, you saw that volatility spike after the Michael Bentley news on Jan 13. He’s shifting to an advisor role, and Jonathan Han is stepping in as CEO.
Usually, a founder stepping back is a red flag, but look at the V2 data first.
The Hard Numbers (Jan 2026):
TVL: Sitting around $636M - $780M across chains.
Revenue: Currently generating ~$1.6M annualized for the DAO.
The "Oversold" Bounce: We saw a 700% volume surge recently. Why? Technicals hit an RSI of 18 (super oversold). "Smart money" likely sees this as a local bottom.
$EUL
The Real Shift:
Euler is moving away from just being "another lending protocol" to a bespoke credit infrastructure. They are targeting fintechs and institutions now. It’s less about "DeFi degens" and more about high-liquidity vaults (BUSD0, PYUSD, RLUSD).
My Take: The transition is bumpy, but the buyback program is still active ($88k+ just in the start of Q1). If the new CEO lands those RWA (Real World Asset) partnerships they’ve been teasing for the 2026 roadmap, this current "dip" looks more like a re-entry point than a exit.
#eul #RWA
The "Morgan Stanley" Leak (Solana Alpha)
This post focuses on the specific Morgan Stanley filing from earlier this month.
Title: The "Secret" Filing That Will Send Solana to $300 🤫☀️
While everyone is panic-selling Bitcoin, Morgan Stanley just quietly made the most bullish move of 2026.
Did you catch the fine print in their Jan 7th filing?
They didn't just file for a "Solana ETF"—they filed for a Solana ETF with STAKING REWARDS. This changes everything.
Old Model: You buy an ETF, you pay fees.
New Model: You buy the Morgan Stanley SOL ETF, and the yield pays the fees for you. The Institutional Math: Institutions are currently chasing "yield" in a low-rate world. A regulated, 5-7% APY on Solana is the "Holy Grail" for pension funds. This is why we are seeing $41 Million in weekly inflows into SOL products despite the market crash.
The Trade:
The SEC deadline for this approval is approaching in February. The market is pricing in a "Delay," but the smart money is front-running an "Approval."
$PENGU
$PEPE
$1000SHIB
#SEC #SOLETF #USJobsData
This post focuses on the specific Morgan Stanley filing from earlier this month.
Title: The "Secret" Filing That Will Send Solana to $300 🤫☀️
While everyone is panic-selling Bitcoin, Morgan Stanley just quietly made the most bullish move of 2026.
Did you catch the fine print in their Jan 7th filing?
They didn't just file for a "Solana ETF"—they filed for a Solana ETF with STAKING REWARDS. This changes everything.
Old Model: You buy an ETF, you pay fees.
New Model: You buy the Morgan Stanley SOL ETF, and the yield pays the fees for you. The Institutional Math: Institutions are currently chasing "yield" in a low-rate world. A regulated, 5-7% APY on Solana is the "Holy Grail" for pension funds. This is why we are seeing $41 Million in weekly inflows into SOL products despite the market crash.
The Trade:
The SEC deadline for this approval is approaching in February. The market is pricing in a "Delay," but the smart money is front-running an "Approval."
$PENGU
$PEPE
$1000SHIB
#SEC #SOLETF #USJobsData
Wait Until Tuesday Morning 🏛️⚠️
Everyone is watching the charts, but the real move is happening in Washington.
Mark your calendars for Tuesday, Jan 27. For the first time ever, the SEC and CFTC are holding a "Joint Harmonization Event" to discuss the new crypto framework. This isn't just a meeting; it’s the reaction to the CLARITY Act stalling in the Senate last week.
The Setup:
$G
The Bear Case: If they signal a "Turf War" over who controls DeFi, we dump.
The Bull Case: If they announce a unified "Digital Asset Class" (which is the rumor), the Institutions will unleash the liquidity.
$CC
Why this matters now:
We just saw $1.33 Billion in ETF outflows last week because Wall Street hates uncertainty. They are de-risking ahead of this Tuesday meeting.
Once the news drops on Tuesday, the "wait-and-see" money will flood back in—one way or the other.
$BTC
#ETHMarketWatch #GrayscaleBNBETFFiling
Everyone is watching the charts, but the real move is happening in Washington.
Mark your calendars for Tuesday, Jan 27. For the first time ever, the SEC and CFTC are holding a "Joint Harmonization Event" to discuss the new crypto framework. This isn't just a meeting; it’s the reaction to the CLARITY Act stalling in the Senate last week.
The Setup:
$G
The Bear Case: If they signal a "Turf War" over who controls DeFi, we dump.
The Bull Case: If they announce a unified "Digital Asset Class" (which is the rumor), the Institutions will unleash the liquidity.
$CC
Why this matters now:
We just saw $1.33 Billion in ETF outflows last week because Wall Street hates uncertainty. They are de-risking ahead of this Tuesday meeting.
Once the news drops on Tuesday, the "wait-and-see" money will flood back in—one way or the other.
$BTC
#ETHMarketWatch #GrayscaleBNBETFFiling
The 1% Disconnect: Is the BLS moving in slow motion? 📉
The "Official" CPI numbers just hit the tape at 2.7%, and the market reacted like inflation is stuck. But if you're only looking at the government's 45-day-old survey data, you’re trading with a blindfold on.
Here’s the actual "Alpha" for January 2026: Truflation is currently reporting 1.74%. Why is there a massive 1% gap between the BLS and real-time data? It comes down to Methodology vs. Reality.
$HOLO
The Shelter Lag is the "Smoking Gun" 🏠
The biggest reason for the discrepancy? Housing. The BLS uses a survey that asks people what they think they could rent their house for. Meanwhile, Truflation is pulling actual price drops from the rental market in real-time.
While the government says we are at 2.7%, the "boots on the ground" data says we’ve already crashed through the 2% target.
What this means for your Portfolio:
If Truflation is the leading indicator (which it usually is), the Fed is likely being way too hawkish right now.
$RIVER
The Pivot: When the official CPI finally "catches up" to the 1.74% reality, expect a massive relief rally in risk assets like Bitcoin and Tech Stocks.
The Risk: Trading based on the 2.7% "lagged" number means you might be selling the bottom of a cooling market.
Bottom line: Inflation isn't at zero, but it's much cooler than the headlines suggest. The government is measuring the wake of the boat; Truflation is looking at where the boat is actually going.
$AVNT
#cpi #USInflationData
The "Official" CPI numbers just hit the tape at 2.7%, and the market reacted like inflation is stuck. But if you're only looking at the government's 45-day-old survey data, you’re trading with a blindfold on.
Here’s the actual "Alpha" for January 2026: Truflation is currently reporting 1.74%. Why is there a massive 1% gap between the BLS and real-time data? It comes down to Methodology vs. Reality.
$HOLO
The Shelter Lag is the "Smoking Gun" 🏠
The biggest reason for the discrepancy? Housing. The BLS uses a survey that asks people what they think they could rent their house for. Meanwhile, Truflation is pulling actual price drops from the rental market in real-time.
While the government says we are at 2.7%, the "boots on the ground" data says we’ve already crashed through the 2% target.
What this means for your Portfolio:
If Truflation is the leading indicator (which it usually is), the Fed is likely being way too hawkish right now.
$RIVER
The Pivot: When the official CPI finally "catches up" to the 1.74% reality, expect a massive relief rally in risk assets like Bitcoin and Tech Stocks.
The Risk: Trading based on the 2.7% "lagged" number means you might be selling the bottom of a cooling market.
Bottom line: Inflation isn't at zero, but it's much cooler than the headlines suggest. The government is measuring the wake of the boat; Truflation is looking at where the boat is actually going.
$AVNT
#cpi #USInflationData
Interesting data..
The $6.18 Billion "Capitulation" Signal 📉🛑
If you are feeling like giving up today, you’re not alone. In fact, the on-chain data shows that almost everyone else already has.
We are currently witnessing a massive structural "reset" in Bitcoin. Here is the data that proves the selling pressure is reaching a breaking point:
$DUSK
1. The $6 Billion Realized Loss 💸
For the first time since the 2023 recovery, Bitcoin holders have flipped into a Net Realized Loss phase. Since December, investors have officially locked in over $6.18 Billion in losses (roughly 69,000 BTC).
When people sell at this scale, it’s not "trading"—it’s capitulation.
$WCT
2. The "Worst Since 2022" Metric 📊
The STH-SOPR (Short-Term Holder Spent Output Profit Ratio) has plummeted to 0.98. This is a technical way of saying that everyone who bought in the last 5 months is panic-selling at a loss.
The 2022 Connection: We haven't seen this specific pattern of "loss-heavy" blocks since the March 2022 bear market transition and the FTX collapse.
$ERA
3. Why This Might Be the "Bottom" 💎
Historically, when the "Bitcoin tourists" give up and the 30-day realized loss metric goes deep into the red, it marks the Seller Exhaustion Point.
We saw this exact setup before the major recoveries in 2022 and late 2023. It doesn’t mean we pump today, but it means the "forced selling" is almost over. Once the sellers are gone, even a small amount of buying pressure can send us back toward $100k. 🚀
The Strategy:
Wait for the STH-SOPR to cross back above 1.0. That is your signal that the "emotional selling" has ended and the smart money has taken control.
#GrayscaleBNBETFFiling #USIranMarketImpact #ETHMarketWatch
The $6.18 Billion "Capitulation" Signal 📉🛑
If you are feeling like giving up today, you’re not alone. In fact, the on-chain data shows that almost everyone else already has.
We are currently witnessing a massive structural "reset" in Bitcoin. Here is the data that proves the selling pressure is reaching a breaking point:
$DUSK
1. The $6 Billion Realized Loss 💸
For the first time since the 2023 recovery, Bitcoin holders have flipped into a Net Realized Loss phase. Since December, investors have officially locked in over $6.18 Billion in losses (roughly 69,000 BTC).
When people sell at this scale, it’s not "trading"—it’s capitulation.
$WCT
2. The "Worst Since 2022" Metric 📊
The STH-SOPR (Short-Term Holder Spent Output Profit Ratio) has plummeted to 0.98. This is a technical way of saying that everyone who bought in the last 5 months is panic-selling at a loss.
The 2022 Connection: We haven't seen this specific pattern of "loss-heavy" blocks since the March 2022 bear market transition and the FTX collapse.
$ERA
3. Why This Might Be the "Bottom" 💎
Historically, when the "Bitcoin tourists" give up and the 30-day realized loss metric goes deep into the red, it marks the Seller Exhaustion Point.
We saw this exact setup before the major recoveries in 2022 and late 2023. It doesn’t mean we pump today, but it means the "forced selling" is almost over. Once the sellers are gone, even a small amount of buying pressure can send us back toward $100k. 🚀
The Strategy:
Wait for the STH-SOPR to cross back above 1.0. That is your signal that the "emotional selling" has ended and the smart money has taken control.
#GrayscaleBNBETFFiling #USIranMarketImpact #ETHMarketWatch
The "TACO Effect": Is the K-Line Now the Real US President? 🌮🏛️📉
The White House just learned a $2 Trillion lesson: You don't mess with the Dow.
$SOPH
For those who missed the chaos earlier this week (Jan 20-22), we just witnessed the fastest policy "U-turn" in modern history. Trump threatened a 25% tariff on Europe over the Greenland annexation, the Dow Jones puked 870 points (the worst drop since October), and predictably the White House "TACO'd."
$FLUID
The "TACO" (Trump Always Chickens Out) trade is now official macro-doctrine. 🔄
Investors have realized that the current administration has a zero-tolerance policy for red candles. Policy cycles that used to take months are now being compressed into 48-hour "K-line tantrums." Washington isn't leading the market; the market is leading Washington.
$INIT
Why G old is Smashing over $5,000 🏆
This "policy-by-algorithm" is the ultimate sign of a credit collapse. When trade deals are decided by 15-minute candles, sovereign trust evaporates.
#WhoIsNextFedChair #Trump's #WallStreet
The White House just learned a $2 Trillion lesson: You don't mess with the Dow.
$SOPH
For those who missed the chaos earlier this week (Jan 20-22), we just witnessed the fastest policy "U-turn" in modern history. Trump threatened a 25% tariff on Europe over the Greenland annexation, the Dow Jones puked 870 points (the worst drop since October), and predictably the White House "TACO'd."
$FLUID
The "TACO" (Trump Always Chickens Out) trade is now official macro-doctrine. 🔄
Investors have realized that the current administration has a zero-tolerance policy for red candles. Policy cycles that used to take months are now being compressed into 48-hour "K-line tantrums." Washington isn't leading the market; the market is leading Washington.
$INIT
Why G old is Smashing over $5,000 🏆
This "policy-by-algorithm" is the ultimate sign of a credit collapse. When trade deals are decided by 15-minute candles, sovereign trust evaporates.
#WhoIsNextFedChair #Trump's #WallStreet
As of January 25, 2026, the trio that are dominating the gainers' list, but the data suggests these "vertical" moves are entering a dangerous exhaustion phase.
The "Why" Behind the Jumps
$ENSO
(+89%): The primary driver was a massive liquidity injection following its listing on Upbit and being named "Coin of the Day" on social prediction platforms. This triggered a retail FOMO wave that pushed it past the $1.35 resistance.
$SOMI
(+53%): Surged due to the "Dreamathon" incubator project showcases and a high-volume breakout from a multi-week descending wedge.
$KAIA
(+34%): Driven by the launch of the “Magic Squad” Web3 game on LINE NEXT, which showcased Kaia’s gas abstraction technology (using BORA for fees).
Strategy: Why Shorting is the "Pro" Move Now
If you missed the pump, do not chase it. These charts are showing classic "blow-off top" signals where retail gets trapped right before institutional profit-taking.
The "Why" Behind the Jumps
$ENSO
(+89%): The primary driver was a massive liquidity injection following its listing on Upbit and being named "Coin of the Day" on social prediction platforms. This triggered a retail FOMO wave that pushed it past the $1.35 resistance.
$SOMI
(+53%): Surged due to the "Dreamathon" incubator project showcases and a high-volume breakout from a multi-week descending wedge.
$KAIA
(+34%): Driven by the launch of the “Magic Squad” Web3 game on LINE NEXT, which showcased Kaia’s gas abstraction technology (using BORA for fees).
Strategy: Why Shorting is the "Pro" Move Now
If you missed the pump, do not chase it. These charts are showing classic "blow-off top" signals where retail gets trapped right before institutional profit-taking.
Login to explore more contents