🇨🇳 China's 10-Year Bond Auction Sees Record Demand
China's benchmark 10-year government bond auction drew a record 7.23 bid-to-cover ratio, with yields around 1.73%. The PBOC reaffirmed an "appropriately loose" monetary policy, while LCH expanded global access by accepting offshore yuan-denominated Chinese government bonds as collateral.
Axios cites US officials: The new campaign's duration and intensity depend on Tehran's next steps. The White House sees room for escalation as hundreds of oil tankers left the Gulf via the Strait of Hormuz recently. Their departure eased fears that conflict would spike oil prices. If the deal doesn't meet our wants, we won't make it.
US and euro-area government bond yields jumped after Trump said the US-Iran ceasefire was over. Rising oil prices added to the pressure. The 10-year US Treasury yield climbed 4.8 bps to 5.577%, while the 10-year German Bund yield rose 8 bps to 3.064%, according to Tradeweb.
Trump said the U.S. struck Iran after attacks on ships, called Iran's leaders liars, said talks can continue if they want, but added the Iran ceasefire is over.
🚨 BREAKING: Hedge funds' bearish bets on the Japanese yen hit the highest level since 2007 as USD/JPY surges above 162, the yen's weakest level since 1986.
CFTC data shows net short yen positions at ~146,000 contracts (as of June 30), the largest since 2007.
USD/JPY breaks above 162 on widening Fed-Bank of Japan policy divergence.
Japan warns it may intervene to support the yen.
A forced unwind of the massive yen carry trade could trigger volatility across global markets.
🚨 BREAKING: Samsung Electronics posts blockbuster Q2 earnings, estimates operating profit at ~₩89T, up nearly 19x YoY, driven by booming AI memory demand. Shares fall despite the earnings beat as revenue appears to miss the most optimistic forecasts.
South Korea's KOSPI fell 395.41 points, or 4.91%, to 7,655.92. It dropped over 8% intraday, triggering a market-wide circuit breaker. Japan's Nikkei 225 fell 1,480.73 points, or 2.12%, to 68,256.96. SK Hynix dropped about 6%. Samsung Electronics fell nearly 7%.
$META Meta said in a court filing that four U.S. states are seeking $1.4 trillion in penalties over claims that Facebook and Instagram were designed to addict young users.
The lawsuits were filed by California, Colorado, Kentucky and New Jersey, which argue Meta misled the public about the platforms' safety.
The proposed penalties are based on state laws and come ahead of an August trial in Oakland, California.
Meta rejected the figure, calling it unsupported by the evidence, as it continues to face thousands of claims over allegedly addictive platform features.
🇺🇸🚨 A draft U.S. Treasury report warns the AI boom could create risks similar to the dot com bubble if growth expectations are not met.
The report, prepared for Treasury Secretary Bessent, Fed Chair Kevin Warsh and other regulators, is awaiting approval before being officially released.
It says AI companies are more deeply connected to the U.S. economy than internet firms were, with risks from weaker funding, supply chain constraints and lower than expected productivity gains.
A Treasury spokesperson said the draft is not official policy and reiterated the department believes AI will drive strong productivity, economic growth and create new opportunities.
Morgan Stanley: Money is rotating out of semiconductor stocks and into hyperscalers such as Microsoft, Amazon and Meta Platforms, supported by their strong core businesses and AI data-center demand.
Strategists led by Michael Wilson said momentum is fading in some large-cap stocks, which could keep major U.S. equity indices under short-term pressure as sector rotation continues.
The team also warned that recent weakness may lead investors to lower expectations for future AI spending by hyperscalers.
Morgan Stanley maintained its year-end S&P 500 target of 8,000, implying about 7% upside from current levels.
Japan's former FX chief: Yen should strengthen to around ¥130 per dollar, up to 20% appreciation possible
Former Japan FX official Tatsuo Yamazaki said the yen should appreciate by as much as 20% to around ¥130 per $1, adding that estimates of a 10% undervaluation may be too conservative.
Yamazaki said the key issue is changing market expectations rather than economic fundamentals.
He warned Japanese authorities have moved beyond verbal warnings and are prepared to intervene, raising the risk of forced covering of yen short positions.
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