My new book is officially finished! 😊 Once it passes review on major book platforms, you can search and buy it right away. If you’re in a hurry, you can ask me for the e-book 👌 Go to my homepage to enter the group chat
Looking back on my 9 years in the crypto world, from 8,000 to over 53 million, experiencing ups and downs.
[Dare to explore and try, and there will be opportunities.] 1. In March 2016, my parents lost a lot of money in business and were pursued by creditors. I was afraid to go home and could only hide in the school library reading books. At that time, I had only one thought in my mind: I must earn a lot of money to repay the debt and regain my parents' lost dignity. Carrying that sense of financial scarcity, I flipped through many books until I saw on the back of a book by an economics author his blog. After following it, I read an article about Bitcoin. I still remember the title: 'This thing will definitely change the world.'
Next, the big-bread trend will start to move a bit upward, because everyone almost always believes that there will be another crash ahead. The more people believe this, the more reality will go against expectations. #CME九月加息概率降至30.6%
A robot 🤖 triggered the dropping-in-pocket “So awesome, sis—after more than ten days, it’s still been lying around and eating 13.” This world is really crazy in a good way. On one side, the big pie has been swinging for a whole year—so long, really, really long. On the other side, the tech AI valuations are at the very highest levels in history!!! This world has become one where finance, technology, and fraud overlap to an extreme degree. Sometimes you really can’t tell whether it’s genuine technology innovation they want to do, or whether they just want to set up a scheme to pull you in. When facing a world like this, you can only look at the results—and you absolutely need to be able to control things yourself! Otherwise, you’ll just end up being someone else’s meal on the platter.
I reminded everyone before that the risk of shorting U.S. stocks is greater than going long. SanDisk has already shot up to over 1700, and that’s how fast it can happen. If a short position gets trapped, it can be very painful. #SNDK
Don’t go out and have fun during this market—what contract are you betting on? Fangte’s ASEAN legend can be compared, just a little, with Hong Kong’s Disneyland. Fangte, Disneyland, Chimelong. When I was a kid, my family was too poor to get to play. Later, when I grew up, I ended up playing everything. Nothing in life will last forever. There’s always time—right now you can’t play, but you will be able to later, as long as you want to.
Everyone is so eager for a cow to come A name where one bad film and then a cow comes You can directly sell like crazy So, in a bear market, there are methods to make money 😅
Wasn’t it at the bottom already? When will it finally start?
A lot of brothers and sisters have been worn down by this market for so long that they’re losing their temper—some are even starting to feel hopeless.
They keep waiting for a start signal to arrive, but it never does. They’re constantly being beaten down and dragged along.
1. After observing, the mainstream view in the market right now is: there will be one final drop around October, then you buy the dip after that final drop, and that’s when the bull market begins.
This is based on historical data that looks similar. In the previous BTC cycle, when it fell to around the MA weekly line of 200—roughly in the 20k+ range—after repeated sideways trading,
it dropped another ~10%, bottomed around 15k, and then started moving upward.
This time is also consolidation around the 200-week line. But the overall market environment in this world is in an economic downturn—every industry’s space to survive is being squeezed.
Other than the AI hype, and the quick rebound in AI-related hardware after its drop, there’s almost no excess capital flowing into other areas.
BTC is one of those. This situation could last for a long time, because the point of economic release hasn’t come yet. Everyone hasn’t found it easier to make money from AI—if anything, it’s a harder phase.
So everyone is just waiting and enduring for a breakthrough point, and that’s what keeps the market stuck in prolonged consolidation.
2. The Federal Reserve is holding off on rate cuts. It needs a reason—a justification for why the stock market absolutely has to be rescued.
This is what I’m more worried about. If it keeps delaying rate cuts, then the market will repair itself and keep negotiating internally—so it just stays stuck in range-bound movement.
When liquidity dries up, it moves sideways. Then as it keeps going sideways, more people can’t hold on, so more start selling, and then you get a big drop…
Once the market can’t be stopped from falling, then the Federal Reserve finally comes out and cuts rates.
So in the short term, I’m still relatively pessimistic—I can’t see any hope for a direct start.
But I believe this situation shouldn’t last more than 3 months; it should get better.
After all, market rallies are born out of despair…
Hang in there—the bull market will come back. #行情分析📈
1. In my trading system, except for automated bot arbitrage that shorts the upswing and downswing, or when I need to hedge the downside risk of holding spot positions with an equivalent position
Personally, I don’t often take the initiative to short leading targets like US stocks or Bitcoin.
Why is that?
First, the logic behind the fact that it’s rare to short US stocks is: The mechanism behind Nasdaq itself is fundamentally different from the mechanism of our A-shares (Mainland China stocks).
The U.S. is a country where people trade stocks on a per-capita basis. The underlying dollar system behind it is— the dollar is destined to be overissued long-term. In simple terms, they will keep printing money over the long run.
Long-term overissued 💵 dollars will flow back into US stocks.
US stocks form a long-term uptrend loop ♻️
So, there may be periods of decline in the short term, but that time usually gives us only a very brief reaction window.
Therefore, from a probability standpoint, the risk of shorting is greater than the risk of going long.
2. Shorting can at most capture 99%, while going long has no limit. Many people often say things like “down 10 times” or similar.
But actually, a 99% decline is basically equivalent to going to zero. After that, further decline doesn’t matter much.
And at the same position, for example, if you add 2x leverage: In the case of shorting, the result is at most 100×2 = 200,
but if it’s long, it can move 2x, and 200×2 = 400.
So, in essence, only an upward trend can create legends. Shorts or short-term price spreads can only be counted as small, phased opportunities.
I realized that wealth naturally comes. Playing with like-minded sisters is so much fun. Having a bit of champagne in the car🍾—we could chat until we were so tired we just fell asleep. Ever since last time, a member brought me a bottle of 0°C champagne, I’ve been completely hooked on it—I stocked up on some. Friends who don’t drink are welcome too; you can still enjoy the feeling of being lightly tipsy🍾🍾🍾🍾
NASDAQ officially announces the 23-hour trading system (23/5) will go live on December 6, 2026, and has already received approval from the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC)
At that time, the U.S. stock market will close for only 1 hour each day (20:00-21:00 U.S. Eastern Time) for system clearing and data processing, while trading will be open continuously at all other times
Do they really want even U.S. stocks to be open for 24 hours? In the crypto world, traditional finance like U.S. stocks, the A-shares market, and Hong Kong stocks have all been made 24/7—so why can’t U.S. stock brokers stop this? They still want more trading.🤣
But as retail investors, the opposite is true—we actually need to reduce trading frequency more.#纳斯达克开放23小时交易
#SNDK Sandisk keeps surging, up another 26%. It’s kind of impressive. Congrats to the friends who got in around 1188. 😂 Setting a target of 1500 is a bit too fast, though. And still, as that line from the Miss Hong Kong says: when buying US stocks, don’t buy those low-cap “zombie” coins that suddenly explode upward and then plummet—what’s the point.
The market is a stagnant pool; most people get their capital worn down through constant trading. My AI strategy 🤖—my robot—over these 15 days automatically avoided all invalid fluctuations. My principal remained untouched, and even through very tiny arbitrage, I accumulated a result of 11% That’s why I’m not chasing huge profits—I’m only focused on survival. Live through it first, and then you’ll have the right to talk about compounding. If you also want to learn how to use AI to build your own income system, reply 1 in the comments and join the livestream chatroom for the internal technical sharing session limited to 10 people 👌
Why most people can only be “financial consumers” Stable profitability is something you need to build a trading system for And once you build a trading system, afterward it will become very painful Because it means you have to completely give up everything except the trading system’s “temptations” Most people can’t do it for a reason: they don’t want to give anything up—they always want everything In the end, you get nothing #交易笔记
The US stocks are more fun. The big coin isn’t moving. Crypto has already hit a low point. How cold the market is, how crazy it will get when the trash coins start pumping again.