🕒 Analysis time: August 2, 2026 10:44 (UTC+8) 🔹 BTC Current price: 63,358 On the 1-hour timeframe, the price has pierced downward to touch the stage low at 62,228.8, then launched a strong V-shaped rebound. It successfully broke through the prior downward suppression zone on increased volume, and the Supertrend indicator turned green, shifting to act as support (the support level has risen to around 62,571.6). In the chart, the MACD accelerated upward after forming a bullish cross below the zero line and expanding in volume (DIF: -66.5, DEA: -134.7). The green long momentum bars (68.2) have widened significantly, indicating that bullish counteroffensive sentiment is strong. This has effectively ended the short-term single-sided downtrend, and the market has returned to a ranging structure with a slightly bullish bias.
🕒 Analysis time: 2026-08-01 19:34 (UTC+8) 🔹 BTC Current price: 63,050 The 1-hour timeframe trend has bottomed at 62,410, but the expected strong reversal rally has not materialized. Instead, it has entered a period of extremely low-volume sideways consolidation with narrow-range oscillation. Currently, the price is hovering around 63,000. The Supertrend indicator’s red resistance band remains effective above, and the near-term resistance level has further shifted down to around 63,500. Although the MACD in the chart is still in a golden cross state below the zero line (DIF: -165.1, DEA: -224.6), with green momentum bars (59.5) appearing, there is no obvious expansion in volume. This suggests that short-term long momentum is still lacking. The current move is a typical weak “sideways as a substitute for a drop” type of repair.
🕒 Analysis time: August 1, 2026 10:02 (UTC+8) 🔹 BTC Current price: 62,947 The 1-hour trend is inserting downward and touching the stage low at 62,410. After that, the selling pressure has temporarily eased and a weak rebound correction has started. Above, the Supertrend indicator is still maintaining a red, suppressive state; the current resistance has shifted down to around 63,624. In the MACD sub-chart, positive signals have appeared—the two lines have successfully formed a golden cross in the deep-water area below the zero axis (DIF: -331.3, DEA: -350.6), and the green long-momentum histogram (19.2) is beginning to show. This suggests that the short-term panic selling has already waned, and the market is transitioning from extreme weakness to a consolidation and rebound phase after being oversold.
🕒 Analysis time: July 31, 2026 22:27 (UTC+8) 🔹 BTC Current price: 62,610 On the 1-hour timeframe, there was a fierce sell-off with a “head-chopping guillotine”-style one-sided plunge. The price dropped sharply from above 64,000, hitting a low of 62,410. The Supertrend indicator overhead has currently formed an extremely wide red strong-resistance zone (around 63,968). The MACD on the chart shows an extreme high-volume dead-cross state: both lines accelerate downward into deep water (DIF: -316.9, DEA: -155.2). In addition, the red bearish momentum bars (-161.7) are rapidly expanding. This indicates that the short-term market is in a deep phase of panic-driven bearish sentiment liquidation, with no resistance whatsoever.
🕒 Analysis time: 2026-07-30 11:25 (UTC+8) 🔹 BTC Current price: 64,208 The 1-hour trend, after a sharp sell-off and dip in the early stage (the lowest touched 63,234), has now seen a strong bottoming rebound. Current price is attempting to recover lost ground upward, but in terms of the bigger structure it still faces a newly formed red resistance/pressure band from the <Supertrend> indicator (around 64,998). The MACD indicator in the chart is releasing a positive bottom-correction signal: the fast and slow lines form a golden cross below the zero axis and diverge upward (DIF: 1.6, DEA: -8.6). The green bullish momentum histogram bars (10.2) continue to expand, indicating that the short-term bulls’ counterattack strength is relatively strong and the rebound trend is ongoing.
🕒 Analysis time: July 29, 2026 08:13 (UTC+8) 🔹 BTC Current price: 64,018 On the 1-hour timeframe, after bottoming out at 62,660, the price rebounded and the bulls continue to exert strong force. Currently, the price is strongly approaching and testing the red Supertrend core resistance line above (around 64,130). The MACD sub-indicator shows that after the two lines cross upward below the zero axis, they accelerate upward (DIF: -38.9, DEA: -128.5). The green bullish momentum bars (89.6) continue to expand in volume. This indicates that short-term bullish momentum is strong, and the market is at a critical turning point for whether it can fully reverse the bearish structure on the 1-hour timeframe.
📊 BTC / ETH Market Brief 🕒 Analysis Time: 2026-07-28 22:05 (UTC+8) 🔹 BTC * Current Price: 63,187 On the 1-hour timeframe, after dipping to the interim low of 62,660, price stabilized and rebounded. The current candlesticks are probing upward toward the 63,300–63,500 resistance zone, but the upside is still constrained by the red Supertrend dynamic resistance line (around 64,094). The chart indicators show a positive adjustment signal: the MACD’s two lines have completed a golden cross in the deep negative zone (DIF: -357.3, DEA: -363.2), and the green bullish momentum histogram (5.9) is beginning to appear. This suggests short-term selling pressure has eased somewhat and a technical oversold rebound is underway. Reference Probabilities: * 📈 Bullish: 40% * 📉 Bearish: 60% Trading Idea: The market is in the “deep-water golden cross oversold rebound” phase within a higher-timeframe bearish trend. Key support lies at the prior low of 62,660. As long as that level holds, the rebound is likely to continue. On the upside, the main resistance zone is 63,800 to the Supertrend suppression level (64,094). For now, don’t chase price blindly. Treat the long side as an oversold rebound play. If price rebounds into the 63,800–64,100 area and faces rejection with waning rebound momentum, you may consider setting up short positions in line with right-side signals. 🔹 ETH * Current Price: 1,878 After probing the low at 1,855, the 1-hour market is following the broader market to stage a weak rebound. Price is still trading below the red Supertrend resistance line (around 1,913), and the overall larger structure has not yet turned. In terms of indicators, the MACD fast and slow lines have similarly formed a low-level golden cross below the zero axis (DIF: -12.73, DEA: -13.07). The bullish momentum histogram (0.33) is starting to turn green, indicating a short-term need to repair and probe toward the 1,900 level. Reference Probabilities: * 📈 Bullish: 40% * 📉 Bearish: 60% Trading Idea: Price action is in an oversold corrective phase after a sharp selloff. Watch whether a second dip holds around 1,855. The first major resistance is the 1,900 psychological level; stronger resistance is the Supertrend suppression level at 1,913. Until price can effectively hold above 1,913, the broader trend remains bearish. It’s recommended to wait for the rebound into the resistance zone of 1,900–1,913 to assess whether buyers show follow-through. If it meets resistance and falls back, you may consider shorting in line with the trend; those attempting to bottom on the left side must set strict stop-losses. > ⚠️ Disclaimer: The above content is only personal market observation and market analysis and does not constitute any investment advice. $BTC
From a sharp plunge in the Korean KOSPI, to major pullbacks at Samsung Electronics and SK hynix, and then to simultaneous pressure on chip stocks in Japan and Taiwan, the global AI industry chain is undergoing a concentrated adjustment.
What the market is worried about isn’t just short-term stock price volatility, but the idea that the AI investment logic is shifting from “infinite imagination” back to “profit validation.”
But the question is:
Is this simply a normal shakeout within a bull market, or the beginning of a repricing of valuations?