Dual Focus: The US-Iran-Oman negotiation impasse remains unresolved, and the virtual currency regulation's 'strict blockade + easing' hides deeper meaning.
Today, two major hotspots are affecting global market nerves: on one side, the US-Iran negotiations in Oman have fallen into an awkward situation of 'talking without progress', where Trump clearly displays military posturing but is reluctant to take action; on the other side, China's regulatory authorities are rarely taking a 'dual approach', with eight ministries intensifying pressure on virtual currency regulation, while the Securities Regulatory Commission has opened the door for domestic assets to issue asset-backed securities tokens abroad. These seemingly unrelated events both conceal deep-seated power struggles among various forces. Combining the latest real-time data and dynamics, we will dissect the core logic one by one. Part One: The US-Iran-Oman negotiations are at an impasse, and Trump's 'wait-and-see' mentality has four core aspects.
The Butterfly Effect of Gold's Flash Crash $5,590 → $4,404 (21% drop in two weeks) Latest on February 13: $4,923 📉 Consolidating
Silver: $121 → $71 (31% drop in one day) Latest: $78.11, still dropping after the fall
The trigger was Trump's nomination of Warsh to succeed Powell. A hawkish taper, instantly repricing the entire interest rate curve.
But the truly overlooked second-order effect is: Gold crash → leverage liquidation → forced liquidation of other assets to cover margin → tech stocks getting hammered → $MSFT evaporating $357B in a single day -12% → risk sentiment transmission → $BTC breaking $60,000 in the same week.
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Gold is currently bottoming out between $4,900 and $5,100. Deutsche Bank still sees $6,000, and JPM is calling for $6,300.
The real bet is in May: Warsh's first FOMC meeting after officially taking office. Accelerated taper signal → retest of $4,400. Mild tone → rebound back to $5,500+.
Keep an eye on DXY (currently at 96.94) and the 10Y real interest rate (latest 4.206%). The direction of gold is the direction of all risk assets. Just with different time lags.
Continuing… 😭
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$BTC: $126,000 → $65,299 (48% drop) Latest: $65,994, still on the edge.
The Crypto Fear & Greed Index is at 14 (extreme fear), not down to the 5 that users mentioned, but still lower than when FTX collapsed. (Note: There is a rare divergence in market quotes — some data sources recorded single-digit readings.)
The last time there was a single-digit reading, 12 months later? Average return +187%.
When the temperature drops to the bottom, it's often the coldest, and also closest to dawn.
The 10th month since Sora pressed the pause button, ByteDance threw out a deep-water bomb
Across the ocean, OpenAI seems to have pressed the 'pause' button on Sora, but the counterattack from Chinese tech giants came faster than anyone expected. On the eve of the 2026 Spring Festival, ByteDance launched the AI video generation model Seedance 2.0. Tim, the founder of Film Hurricane, described this moment as a 'tsunami': 'This is not a small technological innovation, but one that will sweep away all past processes and sediment in the industry.' Feng Ji, the founder of Game Science, has a more complex experience. Amidst the shock, he rarely shows confusion: 'To use an inappropriate analogy: if AI elevates the Kardashev scale of content production from Type I to Type II civilization, not by a factor of 100, but by a factor of 10 billion, what kind of world would that be? I don't know.'
RMB breaks through 6.91: a signal of 'defensive fortress' or 'consumption upgrade'?
Before the Spring Festival holiday, the offshore RMB to USD exchange rate briefly broke through the 6.91 mark during intraday trading, setting a new high since May 2023. The financial strategic adjustments beneath the surface of market fluctuations are prompting deep reflections on the direction of the economy. As the Spring Festival holiday approaches, the RMB exchange rate continues to appreciate. On February 10, both the offshore and onshore RMB to USD exchange rates briefly broke through the 6.91 mark during intraday trading, with the RMB to USD central parity rate reported at 6.9458, an increase of 65 basis points, both setting new highs since May 2023. Against the backdrop of a weakening US dollar index, the onshore RMB to USD spot exchange rate reached a high of 6.9539 during intraday trading on January 26, setting a new high since May 17, 2023. In the offshore market, the offshore RMB to USD exchange rate reached a high of 6.9445 during intraday trading on January 26, marking a new high since May 13, 2023.
Munger is called a 'master reader' not only because he reads a lot but because he transforms reading into a system of wisdom and decision-making. Here are the clues he left behind:
📚 Investment and Persistence
Reading is a high-cost activity that requires ongoing investment of time. Munger takes books wherever he goes, and without fail, reads before breakfast. Without a significant amount of time immersed, it's hard to truly excel—just like someone who has never been in the water cannot learn to swim.
🧠 Understanding and Connection
The real difficulty in reading lies in merging information with personal experiences, weaving it into a 'web of thought.'
The backers behind Yi Lihua and Garrett Jin may be the same institution that triggered the $IBIT liquidation?!
The cryptocurrency market is in turmoil, with two 'super bulls' suddenly conceding defeat, yet on-chain data reveals an even more astonishing secret. Recently, the crypto market has experienced an 'epic' crash, with Bitcoin's price briefly falling below $60,000 and Ethereum also experiencing a significant drop. Meanwhile, two of the three well-known 'super bulls' in this round of market have declared defeat and exited. However, on-chain data reveals a more astonishing secret than market fluctuations: the address marked as '1011 Internal Giant Whale' used the same Binance deposit address as Trend Research under Yi Lihua.
When Predictions Fail: Dissecting the Survival Rules of an Epic Volatility Week
Ultimately, what makes you money may not be the precise predictions, but the ability to adapt to changes. The past week will be recorded in market history. The Dow Jones Industrial Average has first broken through the 50,000-point mark, Bitcoin plunged over $10,000 in a single day, precious metals experienced a crazy roller coaster... however, after five nerve-wracking trading days, the S&P 500 Index only fell by 6 points this week—what is going on? 01 Confusion in Extreme Volatility The market is operating in new ways. In the mid-term update on February 4th, we wrote: 'On Wednesday, the reversal at the close was once again met with selling, presenting a clear large-volume distribution pattern. A gap down and continued decline are imminent.'
U.S. Stocks Plunge, Bitcoin Crashes! It's said that old European money is dumping stocks, opposing Trump to split the world?
Waking up, global assets are in a state of wailing, and the capital giants of old European money are quietly showing their fangs. The global market has just undergone a sudden bloodbath—Bitcoin has plummeted from a high of $73,000 to $63,000, on the verge of breaking the psychological threshold of $60,000. This is not just a disaster for cryptocurrencies; the three major U.S. stock indices have collectively plummeted, with tech stocks leading the decline, and traditional safe-haven assets such as gold and silver have not been spared.
01 Global Asset Avalanche In the early hours of September 5, the financial markets suddenly stirred up a storm. Bitcoin fell more than $10,000 in just a few hours, dropping from $73,000 straight to $63,000.
When the 'AI Myth' Meets Leverage Limits: The Truth Behind the Industry and Capital of the U.S. Stock 'Spring Robbery'
When the earnings report of tech giant Microsoft could not satisfy the market's extreme thirst for growth, and when the last cash and credit line of investors were exhausted, a 'spring robbery market' quietly descended, driven by both the industry itself and market leverage. At the beginning of February 2026, the global market experienced an indiscriminate cold wave. From U.S. stocks to gold, from Bitcoin to the Nikkei index, asset prices collectively plummeted. The S&P 500 index fell by more than 1% in a single day, and the Nasdaq's decline was even greater. The cryptocurrency market staged a terrifying scene: Bitcoin free-fell from $73,000 to around $60,000 within 24 hours, evaporating nearly a trillion dollars in market value.
When Market Narratives Encounter Capital Mechanisms: Repricing of U.S. Stocks, Cryptocurrencies, and Gold
Since the beginning of this year, the volatility in financial markets has never ceased. After quickly retracing from a historic high, the S&P 500 index, Bitcoin repeatedly testing key resistance amid controversy, and gold quietly breaking through historical highs. Is there a common logical clue behind these seemingly isolated market movements? Professional investors are confronted not only with price fluctuations but also with the deeper mechanisms and narrative changes driving these fluctuations. I. U.S. Stocks: The Game of Technical Patterns and Liquidity January 31, the S&P 500 index presented a typical 'distribution pattern' on the 30-minute chart - despite a gap down in the overnight session, the market resiliently rebounded close to the previous high, but the subsequent straight drop exceeded 110 points, exposing the fragility of the internal structure. This trend highly aligns with the 'black path' proposed in the (swing market research report): the index is advancing towards the 6464-point area in late February to digest the monthly level overbought RSI readings.
According to the current derivatives data, ETH price fluctuations may be affected by nearby liquidation zones.
Crypto.com API data shows that as of 2026-02-04 19:08 (SGT), the quote for $ETH /USD is 2,233, with a 24-hour fluctuation range of 2,347-2,107. The on-chain liquidation heatmap indicates that there is a long liquidation area with a scale exceeding 1 billion USD approximately 3.9% below the current price; there is a short liquidation area with a scale of about 800 million USD approximately 6.0% above the current price.
When the price approaches these high liquidation density areas, the on-chain liquidation mechanism may be triggered, thereby amplifying short-term price fluctuations. The current market focus is on: if the funding rate remains low and open contracts remain high, the liquidation risk will continue to accumulate; if open contracts decrease during price consolidation, it may indicate a reduction in market leverage.
Current technical analysis generally views this pullback as a continuation of the existing pattern and focuses on the performance of subsequent key support levels.
As the year-end approaches, beware of scams | Binance founder CZ exposes the dark side of the 'forged group photo' of the 860,000 follower X account
An X account with 863,000 followers, featuring group photos of several blockchain giants 'personally endorsing' it, along with the aura of Forbes elite list and the Chief Revenue Officer of BNB Chain. It appears to be an industry authority, but in reality, it is a carefully designed scam. CZ's screenshot of the X account revealed a false group photo posted by Wei Wei, where the color of CZ's clothes did not match his usual dressing habits, showing clear signs of forgery. This discovery not only exposed a potential scam trap but also sounded the alarm for the entire cryptocurrency community.
01 Masquerade Ball The world of cryptocurrency has once again staged a farce that is difficult to distinguish between reality and fake. In February 2026, Binance founder CZ issued a warning on social media X, revealing the fraudulent behavior of an account with 863,000 followers named 'Wei Wei'.
Epstein's Crypto Network: The Early History of Digital Currency Rewritten Under the Shadow of Power
In an email from 2016, Jeffrey Epstein showcased his connections in the crypto world to a Saudi contact: “I have spoken with some Bitcoin founders, and they are all very excited.” A hidden chapter in the history of digital currency slowly unfolds with the exposure of the Epstein documents. While ordinary investors are still analyzing Bitcoin's candlestick charts, a crypto network that spans finance, technology, and the core of power has quietly woven itself during the infancy of digital currency. The key nodes of this network include the edges of the Satoshi Nakamoto mystery, the sources of funding for Bitcoin core developers, academic appointments of senior regulatory officials, and the investment layout of Silicon Valley tycoons.
Walsh Shock: Why a Nomination Triggered a Global Market Turmoil?
With silver plummeting 28%, Bitcoin crashing, and the South Korean stock market's circuit breaker being triggered, a financial storm sparked by a personnel appointment across the ocean is sweeping through global markets. Silver prices plummeted 28% on January 30, marking the worst single-day performance since 1980; gold fell 9%, the largest drop since 2013. Meanwhile, Bitcoin has fallen below $80,000, marking its lowest level since April 2025. Earlier, the South Korean stock market triggered a circuit breaker. These seemingly scattered events all point to the same ignition point: U.S. President Trump nominated Kevin Walsh as the next chairman of the Federal Reserve.
$BTC has fallen to levels not seen since 2024, prompting many investors to rethink their strategies in the current bear market. When prices lose key support and volatility increases, successful strategies often focus on risk management and disciplined execution rather than quick profits.
One core approach is to prioritize capital preservation. During market declines, maintaining liquidity and reducing exposure helps avoid significant drawdowns. This often means cutting positions that no longer align with long-term arguments and reallocating to stable assets or cash equivalents until the trend direction is clearer.
Another effective strategy is to systematically buy at determined support levels. Some investors do not chase prices but instead adopt a tiered entry plan, gradually accumulating as prices test historically significant ranges. This diversifies risk and avoids large entries at local highs.
For those with a longer time horizon, focusing on fundamentals remains crucial. Projects with clear use cases, strong development activity, and healthy network metrics are more likely to withstand prolonged market weakness. This does not eliminate risk but helps align capital with assets that demonstrate resilience throughout market cycles.
Risk management tools such as protective stop-loss orders, position size adjustments, and risk exposure limits are also key. They help investors stay aligned with their risk tolerance while avoiding emotional decisions during extreme market movements.
In the current environment, the best bear market strategy should balance patience with preparedness. Protecting capital, selectively accumulating, and focusing on quality over speculation can provide investors with a favorable advantage when market conditions improve.
Vanar Chain: High-Performance Infrastructure for the Next-Gen Web3
🚀 The Next-Gen Web3 Infrastructure is Here: Why Vanar Chain ($VANRY ) Is Building for Real Adoption
We're entering an era where scalable, stable, and truly usable infrastructure defines the future of Web3. While many projects chase hype, @Vanar is engineering the foundation for mass adoption — focusing on gaming, AI, and immersive digital experiences.
Here’s what sets Vanar Chain apart: ✅ High Performance & Low Costs: Powered by a unique hybrid consensus mechanism (PoR + DPoS + PoA), Vanar achieves rapid transaction finality, near-zero congestion, and consistently low fees — essential for high-frequency applications. ✅ Strategic Alliance with NVIDIA: By integrating NVIDIA’s top-tier computing power, Vanar is supercharging its infrastructure, enabling faster, more reliable, and scalable Web3 solutions. ✅ Built for Developers & Creators: From seamless interoperability to robust tooling, Vanar prioritizes developer experience, allowing creators to build interactive worlds, tokenized assets, and AI-driven applications without friction. ✅ Eco-Friendly & Compliant Ready: With a clear ESG focus and forward-thinking compliance design, Vanar is positioning itself as a sustainable and institution-ready platform.
$VANRY isn’t just another token — it’s the engine of this ecosystem. It powers network activity, supports long-term incentives, and aligns everyone in the chain’s growth. While others speculate, Vanar is solving real-world infrastructure challenges: optimizing RPC reliability, leveraging enterprise-grade networks like Google’s to minimize data loss, and preparing for the future of AI and tokenized economies.
As we watch the AI and Web3 landscapes evolve, the question isn't just who will survive — it's who will thrive. Vanar answers with a “service-first” physical and digital infrastructure designed for stability, scalability, and real utility.
Join the movement. Build, create, and grow with a chain that’s engineered for what comes next.
Vanar is building Web3 for entertainment and gaming. @Vanar delivers speed, low fees & eco-friendly infrastructure — empowering creators to launch interactive worlds, tokenized assets & AI apps. A purpose-built Layer-1 for the next-gen digital economy.
Davos 2026 - When Trump Ridicules Weapons, Tech Giants are Reshaping the Future
❝ Behind the global elite gathering is the fierce confrontation of geopolitical games and technological revolutions ❞
💥 Trump's incendiary speech: Mocking the Chinese and Russian air defense systems 'fizzling out' in Venezuela, claiming they 'need to go back to the drawing board,' boasting about America's military technological advantages, and intensifying geopolitical pressure. // Analysis points out potential involvement in maintenance, training, and the comprehensive effects of U.S. electronic warfare
🚀 Musk's debut at Davos (a surprise appearance! Previously criticized the forum as boring): ▫️ By 2027, AI may surpass human intelligence, approaching 'superhuman aggregate' levels by 2030 ▫️ The bottleneck in computing power is electricity! Plans to establish space AI data centers in 2-3 years, strongly supporting China's solar + energy storage progress
🍰 Jensen Huang's 'AI Five-Layer Cake' theory: Energy → Chips → Cloud → Models → Applications, AI is the biggest infrastructure! Emphasizing that AI does not destroy jobs, but rather reconstructs value, repetitive white-collar jobs are more easily replaced than blue-collar ones
🔗 CZ's crypto future: Binance users surpass 300 million, trading volume exceeds Shanghai/Shenzhen + NYSE! Betting on tokenization and crypto payments, the core view: cryptocurrencies will become the native currency for AI agents ✨ Key consensus: The core of future power lies in technological control, not traditional geopolitical means. While politicians debate weapons, tech leaders are already building the framework for a new era of AI, space energy, and digital finance.
Astonishing Scam on Nasdaq? $APP Exposed as a Money Laundering Tool in Southeast Asia, CEO Directly Involved!
As the green stock price on Nasdaq covers the stench of dirty money, and the shiny exterior of the AI engine becomes a tool for money laundering — the astonishing scam of $APP, spanning Southeast Asia's black market and Wall Street capital, is being unraveled layer by layer!
On the Nasdaq screen, the green stock price of $APP (AppLovin) once attracted countless investors, touted as 'the AI-driven future of mobile internet.' But a 36-page forensic investigation report tore apart its grim facade — it is not a tech unicorn but a 'money laundering machine' for Southeast Asian criminal groups. On January 21, 2026, in the face of money laundering allegations from CapitalWatch, AppLovin urgently responded with Yahoo Finance, dismissing the accusations as 'false and economically unfeasible.' However, this pale defense not only failed to clear its suspicions but also exposed its compliance failures and securities fraud in the face of irrefutable evidence. More significantly, CapitalWatch has explicitly warned: three more solid reports are set to be released, and this storm surrounding $APP is just beginning.
🔥Breaking news: CapitalWatch exposes $APP (AppLovin)! The rebuttal is flimsy, and three strong pieces of evidence point to fraud!
1️⃣ Core shareholder Tang Hao: A wanted criminal in China (involved in $9.57 billion of illegal fundraising + illegal gambling), controls 28.1% of the shares through a shell company, and $APP openly violates SEC anti-money laundering due diligence obligations! 2️⃣ Money laundering scheme: The advertising + gaming model becomes a "black money laundering machine"! The prince group pays 30-40% in "cleaning fees" to convert fraudulently obtained funds into legitimate revenue on Nasdaq through closed-loop operations! 3️⃣ The claim of "no significant business" is pure deception! CEO Adam personally heads the Beijing subsidiary (established in 2018, still active) + Hangzhou branch, the core engine Axon China team is actively hiring at high salaries!
💥 Major announcement: Three more reports are on the way! Complete evidence click 👉 http://capitalwatch.com
$APP's response not only fails to clear its suspicions but also exposes a lack of compliance awareness + blatant securities fraud! 👉 View $APP's pale defense: https://finance.yahoo.com/news/applovin-denies-money-laundering-claims-204726964.html